Cajun-Sports Executive- Saturday CBB
TIME: 1:30 PM EST. Saturday January 17 (CBS)
GAME: Georgetown Hoyas vs. Duke Blue Devils -8.5
RATING: 1* to 6* (6* Highest Rated Selection)
PLAY: 5* Duke Blue Devils -8.5
ANALYSIS:
Cameron Indoor Arena will be the site of Saturday’s Big East / ACC clash between the visiting Georgetown Hoyas and the host Duke Blue Devils. The Hoyas enter today’s contest with a 12-3 SU and 6-5 ATS record on the season. The hometown Blue Devils are 15-1 SU and 9-6 against the number this season.
Georgetown has suffered two of their three losses on the highway; they are 3-2 SU and 2-3 ATS on the road this season. They are averaging 70.4 points per game on the road this season and allowing 64.8 points per game.
The Hoyas look to slow their opponents down and force them to play at their pace by using a very physical style of play but that may not be possible against Duke in their building. Georgetown comes into today’s matchup with a pace rating of 65.0 and an efficiency rating of 119.5. The Hoyas defensive efficiency rating is 88.5 so far this season.
Duke is undefeated at home posting a 9-0 SU record but they are only .500 when it comes to covering the number at home with a 4-4 ATS record. Duke is averaging 85.7 points per game against teams that allow 67.9 points per game. On the defensive end of the floor Duke is allowing 58.9 points per game versus teams that are averaging 71.4 points per game. The Blue Devils have a positive point differential when they take the floor at Cameron this season.
Duke plays at a faster pace than the Hoyas as evidenced by their rating of 70.0 this season. Their efficiency rating is 115.7 on the offensive end of the floor and 81.5 on the defensive side of the court which ranks second in the nation.
Taking a closer look into the numbers for each team we see that Duke has an effective FG percentage of 52.4 while the Hoyas are a little better in this department with a 55.1 percent in effective field goal percentage. One of the keys to today’s matchup will be on the offensive boards where Duke has a large advantage with a 41.2% rating which is 12th in the nation to the Hoyas 34.0 which ranks 149th in the country.
Duke controls the tempo and gets more second chance opportunities which will make it difficult on the slower paced Hoya team to gain an advantage. Duke’s sophomore guard Nolan Smith has done a terrific job of forcing Duke’s opponents to play at their pace and tempo and he will be a huge factor in today’s game.
We see that Duke responds well to solid defensive teams as they are 45-25 ATS versus teams with a shooting percent defense of <=39% since 1997. The Blue Devils very seldom suffer from a letdown after a big win they are 65-40 ATS in home games after a win by 10 points or more since 1997.
Duke qualifies in one of our statistical indicators that is 57-18-1 ATS. They are also active in a CBB system that tells us to Play Against CBB road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points with a team attempting >=25 free throws per game, a team averaging 53 or less shots per game on the season, 99-54 ATS the last five seasons.
With significant statistical advantages as well as fundamental, technical and situational support we will back the host here as the Blue Devils take down another non-conference foe at Cameron Indoor Arena.
Projected Final Score: (5*) Duke Blue Devils 77 Georgetown Hoyas 62
TIME: 4 PM EST. Saturday January 17
GAME: Valparaiso Crusaders vs. Loyola-Chicago Ramblers -6
RATING: 1* to 6* (6* Highest Rated Selection)
PLAY: 4* Loyola-Chicago Ramblers -6
ANALYSIS:
The Joseph J. Gentile Center will be the site of today’s Horizon Conference clash between the host Loyola-Chicago Ramblers and the visiting Valparaiso Crusaders. Valparaiso enters today’s game with a 5-13 SU record and 6-9 ATS. Loyola is 10-8 SU and 5-8 against the number this season.
Valparaiso is 1-10 SU on the road this season and 4-7 ATS averaging only 56.2 points per game against teams that allow 65.7 points per game. Defensively they are allowing 70.5 points per game to teams that only average 66.3 points per game.
Loyola is 6-3 SU at home and 1-3 ATS averaging 68.1 points per game against teams that allow 67.4 points per game. Defensively the Ramblers are allowing 64.8 points per game against teams that would normally score 68.6 points per game.
Loyola as a favorite of 3 to 6.5 points has a record of 18-5-2 ATS. If they are installed as a home favorite they are 13-4-2 ATS. Loyola coming off a home loss in their last game they are 11-2 ATS if they are now a home favorite they are 7-1 ATS. Loyola coming off a loss and now facing a conference opponent they are 46-27-4 ATS if they are now at home their record is 24-11-3 ATS. College Basketball Teams coming off a loss and going ‘over’ in their last game now facing a conference opponent with a line range of 3 to 6.5 are 65-40 ATS. If they also lost ATS in their last game their record is 56-35 ATS.
We will back the host here as the Ramblers add another SU and ATS win versus the Crusaders.
PROJECTED FINAL SCORE: Loyola-Chicago Ramblers 67 Valparaiso Crusaders 54
TIME: 8 PM EST. Saturday Jan 17 (BIG10)
GAME: Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Michigan Wolverines -3.5
PLAY: 4* Michigan Wolverines -3.5
ANALYSIS:
Crisler Arena will be the site of today’s Big 10 clash between the visiting Ohio State Buckeyes and the host Michigan Wolverines. Ohio State is 12-3 SU and 6-5 ATS this season while the host checks in with a record of 13-4 SU and 7-4 ATS.
The Buckeyes are coming in off a blowout win over Big 10 opponent Indiana on Tuesday, 77 to 53. That win came against a very weak Hoosiers squad and it was at home, the Buckeyes must now take to the Big 10 highway where they are 0-2 SU and 1-1 ATS on the Big 10 Road this season.
Michigan returns home after suffering a tough loss at the hands of a talented Illinois team on Wednesday in Champaign, 66 to 51 as a seven-point road underdog. In that game the Wolverines actually had the lead at halftime 31 to 30 but they were overwhelmed in the second half by the Illini which led to their demise.
The Wolverines are 3-2 SU and 2-3 ATS in conference action this season but they are 2-0 SU and ATS at home in Big 10 games. Michigan has proven to be a tough out at home overall posting a record of 10-1 SU and 6-1 ATS.
On the technical front we see that Ohio State has struggled in the role of underdog after playing at least two of their previous games at home, their record in that situation is 10-23-1 ATS. If the Buckeyes are installed as a road underdog their record is 7-19-1 ATS their last 27 in that role.
Finally we have a CBB system that tells us to Play On CBB teams after a game where a team made 33% of their shots or worse against an opponent after a game making 13 or more 3 point shots, 68-34 ATS since 1997.
We will lay the chalk with the host as they continue their home-court perfection against conference foes and get the ATS win as well.
PROJECTED FINAL SCORE: Michigan Wolverines 73 Ohio State Buckeyes 65
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TIME: 1:30 PM EST. Saturday January 17 (CBS)
GAME: Georgetown Hoyas vs. Duke Blue Devils -8.5
RATING: 1* to 6* (6* Highest Rated Selection)
PLAY: 5* Duke Blue Devils -8.5
ANALYSIS:
Cameron Indoor Arena will be the site of Saturday’s Big East / ACC clash between the visiting Georgetown Hoyas and the host Duke Blue Devils. The Hoyas enter today’s contest with a 12-3 SU and 6-5 ATS record on the season. The hometown Blue Devils are 15-1 SU and 9-6 against the number this season.
Georgetown has suffered two of their three losses on the highway; they are 3-2 SU and 2-3 ATS on the road this season. They are averaging 70.4 points per game on the road this season and allowing 64.8 points per game.
The Hoyas look to slow their opponents down and force them to play at their pace by using a very physical style of play but that may not be possible against Duke in their building. Georgetown comes into today’s matchup with a pace rating of 65.0 and an efficiency rating of 119.5. The Hoyas defensive efficiency rating is 88.5 so far this season.
Duke is undefeated at home posting a 9-0 SU record but they are only .500 when it comes to covering the number at home with a 4-4 ATS record. Duke is averaging 85.7 points per game against teams that allow 67.9 points per game. On the defensive end of the floor Duke is allowing 58.9 points per game versus teams that are averaging 71.4 points per game. The Blue Devils have a positive point differential when they take the floor at Cameron this season.
Duke plays at a faster pace than the Hoyas as evidenced by their rating of 70.0 this season. Their efficiency rating is 115.7 on the offensive end of the floor and 81.5 on the defensive side of the court which ranks second in the nation.
Taking a closer look into the numbers for each team we see that Duke has an effective FG percentage of 52.4 while the Hoyas are a little better in this department with a 55.1 percent in effective field goal percentage. One of the keys to today’s matchup will be on the offensive boards where Duke has a large advantage with a 41.2% rating which is 12th in the nation to the Hoyas 34.0 which ranks 149th in the country.
Duke controls the tempo and gets more second chance opportunities which will make it difficult on the slower paced Hoya team to gain an advantage. Duke’s sophomore guard Nolan Smith has done a terrific job of forcing Duke’s opponents to play at their pace and tempo and he will be a huge factor in today’s game.
We see that Duke responds well to solid defensive teams as they are 45-25 ATS versus teams with a shooting percent defense of <=39% since 1997. The Blue Devils very seldom suffer from a letdown after a big win they are 65-40 ATS in home games after a win by 10 points or more since 1997.
Duke qualifies in one of our statistical indicators that is 57-18-1 ATS. They are also active in a CBB system that tells us to Play Against CBB road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points with a team attempting >=25 free throws per game, a team averaging 53 or less shots per game on the season, 99-54 ATS the last five seasons.
With significant statistical advantages as well as fundamental, technical and situational support we will back the host here as the Blue Devils take down another non-conference foe at Cameron Indoor Arena.
Projected Final Score: (5*) Duke Blue Devils 77 Georgetown Hoyas 62
TIME: 4 PM EST. Saturday January 17
GAME: Valparaiso Crusaders vs. Loyola-Chicago Ramblers -6
RATING: 1* to 6* (6* Highest Rated Selection)
PLAY: 4* Loyola-Chicago Ramblers -6
ANALYSIS:
The Joseph J. Gentile Center will be the site of today’s Horizon Conference clash between the host Loyola-Chicago Ramblers and the visiting Valparaiso Crusaders. Valparaiso enters today’s game with a 5-13 SU record and 6-9 ATS. Loyola is 10-8 SU and 5-8 against the number this season.
Valparaiso is 1-10 SU on the road this season and 4-7 ATS averaging only 56.2 points per game against teams that allow 65.7 points per game. Defensively they are allowing 70.5 points per game to teams that only average 66.3 points per game.
Loyola is 6-3 SU at home and 1-3 ATS averaging 68.1 points per game against teams that allow 67.4 points per game. Defensively the Ramblers are allowing 64.8 points per game against teams that would normally score 68.6 points per game.
Loyola as a favorite of 3 to 6.5 points has a record of 18-5-2 ATS. If they are installed as a home favorite they are 13-4-2 ATS. Loyola coming off a home loss in their last game they are 11-2 ATS if they are now a home favorite they are 7-1 ATS. Loyola coming off a loss and now facing a conference opponent they are 46-27-4 ATS if they are now at home their record is 24-11-3 ATS. College Basketball Teams coming off a loss and going ‘over’ in their last game now facing a conference opponent with a line range of 3 to 6.5 are 65-40 ATS. If they also lost ATS in their last game their record is 56-35 ATS.
We will back the host here as the Ramblers add another SU and ATS win versus the Crusaders.
PROJECTED FINAL SCORE: Loyola-Chicago Ramblers 67 Valparaiso Crusaders 54
TIME: 8 PM EST. Saturday Jan 17 (BIG10)
GAME: Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Michigan Wolverines -3.5
PLAY: 4* Michigan Wolverines -3.5
ANALYSIS:
Crisler Arena will be the site of today’s Big 10 clash between the visiting Ohio State Buckeyes and the host Michigan Wolverines. Ohio State is 12-3 SU and 6-5 ATS this season while the host checks in with a record of 13-4 SU and 7-4 ATS.
The Buckeyes are coming in off a blowout win over Big 10 opponent Indiana on Tuesday, 77 to 53. That win came against a very weak Hoosiers squad and it was at home, the Buckeyes must now take to the Big 10 highway where they are 0-2 SU and 1-1 ATS on the Big 10 Road this season.
Michigan returns home after suffering a tough loss at the hands of a talented Illinois team on Wednesday in Champaign, 66 to 51 as a seven-point road underdog. In that game the Wolverines actually had the lead at halftime 31 to 30 but they were overwhelmed in the second half by the Illini which led to their demise.
The Wolverines are 3-2 SU and 2-3 ATS in conference action this season but they are 2-0 SU and ATS at home in Big 10 games. Michigan has proven to be a tough out at home overall posting a record of 10-1 SU and 6-1 ATS.
On the technical front we see that Ohio State has struggled in the role of underdog after playing at least two of their previous games at home, their record in that situation is 10-23-1 ATS. If the Buckeyes are installed as a road underdog their record is 7-19-1 ATS their last 27 in that role.
Finally we have a CBB system that tells us to Play On CBB teams after a game where a team made 33% of their shots or worse against an opponent after a game making 13 or more 3 point shots, 68-34 ATS since 1997.
We will lay the chalk with the host as they continue their home-court perfection against conference foes and get the ATS win as well.
PROJECTED FINAL SCORE: Michigan Wolverines 73 Ohio State Buckeyes 65
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DJD
NCAAB
Brown -3.5 -120 vs Yale 1 unit Loser
Wright State -3.5 -120 vs Detroit U 1 unit Winner
Loyola Maryland +5 vs Manhattan 1 unit Winner
2-1 +.80 units
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves/Phoenix Suns Under 214 1 unit Winner
Orlando Magic +5 -120 vs Los Angeles Lakers 1 unit Winner
2-0 +2 units
HALFERS
Brown 2nd Half -1.5 vs Yale 1 unit Loser
0-1 - 1.10 units
FROM MYDOLLARPICKS.
NCAAB
Brown -3.5 -120 vs Yale 1 unit Loser
Wright State -3.5 -120 vs Detroit U 1 unit Winner
Loyola Maryland +5 vs Manhattan 1 unit Winner
2-1 +.80 units
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves/Phoenix Suns Under 214 1 unit Winner
Orlando Magic +5 -120 vs Los Angeles Lakers 1 unit Winner
2-0 +2 units
HALFERS
Brown 2nd Half -1.5 vs Yale 1 unit Loser
0-1 - 1.10 units
FROM MYDOLLARPICKS.
Ferringo's picks for Saturday:
3.5-Unit Play. #581 Texas (-6) over Texas Tech (4 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 17)
Note: This is our Game of the Week.
2.5-Unit Play. #597 South Carolina (+9) over Tennessee (6 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 17)
2.5-Unit Play. #629 San Francisco (+26.5) over Gonzaga (8 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 17)
2.5-Unit Play. #537 Oklahoma State (+8) over Baylor (1:45 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 17)
2-Unit Play. #573 LSU (Pk) over Mississippi (4 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 17)
2-Unit Play. #624 Long Beach State (-4.5) over CS-Northridge (7 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 17)
2-Unit Play. #586 Buffalo (-4.5) over Ohio (4 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 17)
1.5-Unit Play. #553 Cincinnati (Pk) over DePaul (2 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 17)
1.5-Unit Play. #590 Bowling Green (-2.5) over Akron (8 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 17)
1.5-Unit Play. #626 Florida International (-5) over Denver (7:30 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 17)
1.5-Unit Play. #611 UTEP (-3) over East Carolina (7 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 17)
1-Unit Play. #541 Oklahoma (-3) over Texas A&M (2 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 17)
1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #641 UAB (+18) over Memphis AND Take #545 James Madison (+13.5) over George Mason (2 p.m.) AND #563 Arizona State (+11.5) over UCLA (3:45 p.m.)
3.5-Unit Play. #581 Texas (-6) over Texas Tech (4 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 17)
Note: This is our Game of the Week.
2.5-Unit Play. #597 South Carolina (+9) over Tennessee (6 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 17)
2.5-Unit Play. #629 San Francisco (+26.5) over Gonzaga (8 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 17)
2.5-Unit Play. #537 Oklahoma State (+8) over Baylor (1:45 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 17)
2-Unit Play. #573 LSU (Pk) over Mississippi (4 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 17)
2-Unit Play. #624 Long Beach State (-4.5) over CS-Northridge (7 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 17)
2-Unit Play. #586 Buffalo (-4.5) over Ohio (4 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 17)
1.5-Unit Play. #553 Cincinnati (Pk) over DePaul (2 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 17)
1.5-Unit Play. #590 Bowling Green (-2.5) over Akron (8 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 17)
1.5-Unit Play. #626 Florida International (-5) over Denver (7:30 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 17)
1.5-Unit Play. #611 UTEP (-3) over East Carolina (7 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 17)
1-Unit Play. #541 Oklahoma (-3) over Texas A&M (2 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 17)
1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #641 UAB (+18) over Memphis AND Take #545 James Madison (+13.5) over George Mason (2 p.m.) AND #563 Arizona State (+11.5) over UCLA (3:45 p.m.)
Ethan Law | NBA Sides
dime bet504 CHL 2.5 (-110) Bodog vs 503 POR
Analysis:
PORTLAND (24-15) Portland Trail Blazers at Charlotte Bobcats CHARLOTTE (15-24)
Verdict: Portland 83, Charlotte 87
PLAY 1* UNIT (2%) ON CHARLOTTE +2.5
Ethan Law | CBB Sides
dime bet600 Indiana 5.0 (-110) BetUS vs 599 Penn St.
Analysis:
PENN ST (13-5) Penn State Nittany Lions at Indiana Hoosiers INDIANA (5-11)
Verdict: Penn State 56, Indiana 61
PLAY 1* UNIT (2%) ON INDIANA +5
Ethan Law | CBB Sides
dime bet586 Buffalo -4.0 (-110) BetUS vs 585 Ohio
Analysis:
OHIO U (9-6) at BUFFALO (9-5)
Verdict: Ohio University 61, Buffalo 70
PLAY 1* UNIT (2%) ON BUFFALO -4
Ethan Law | CBB Sides
dime bet597 S.Carolina 10.0 (-110) Bodog vs 598 Tennessee
Analysis:
S CAROLINA (12-3) at TENNESSEE (10-5)
Verdict: South Carolina 76, Tennessee 72
PLAY 1* UNIT (2%) ON SOUTH CAROLINA +10
Ethan Law | NBA Sides
dime bet514 DEN 0.0 (-110) BetUS vs 513 ORL
Analysis:
ORLANDO (32-8) at DENVER (27-13)
Verdict: Orlando 91, Denver 99
PLAY 1* UNIT (2%) ON DENVER PICK'EM
AND Bonus Play ON JAMES MADISON +9
dime bet504 CHL 2.5 (-110) Bodog vs 503 POR
Analysis:
PORTLAND (24-15) Portland Trail Blazers at Charlotte Bobcats CHARLOTTE (15-24)
Verdict: Portland 83, Charlotte 87
PLAY 1* UNIT (2%) ON CHARLOTTE +2.5
Ethan Law | CBB Sides
dime bet600 Indiana 5.0 (-110) BetUS vs 599 Penn St.
Analysis:
PENN ST (13-5) Penn State Nittany Lions at Indiana Hoosiers INDIANA (5-11)
Verdict: Penn State 56, Indiana 61
PLAY 1* UNIT (2%) ON INDIANA +5
Ethan Law | CBB Sides
dime bet586 Buffalo -4.0 (-110) BetUS vs 585 Ohio
Analysis:
OHIO U (9-6) at BUFFALO (9-5)
Verdict: Ohio University 61, Buffalo 70
PLAY 1* UNIT (2%) ON BUFFALO -4
Ethan Law | CBB Sides
dime bet597 S.Carolina 10.0 (-110) Bodog vs 598 Tennessee
Analysis:
S CAROLINA (12-3) at TENNESSEE (10-5)
Verdict: South Carolina 76, Tennessee 72
PLAY 1* UNIT (2%) ON SOUTH CAROLINA +10
Ethan Law | NBA Sides
dime bet514 DEN 0.0 (-110) BetUS vs 513 ORL
Analysis:
ORLANDO (32-8) at DENVER (27-13)
Verdict: Orlando 91, Denver 99
PLAY 1* UNIT (2%) ON DENVER PICK'EM
AND Bonus Play ON JAMES MADISON +9
STAN SHARP CBB Saturday
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TRIPLE DIME
Stanford -2.5 (-110) BetUS vs 657 California @ 8 ET
Analysis: Stan is Betting STANFORD today. Stan notes that we are getting exceptional line value here as we catch California off of 3 straight outright upset wins. Stan feels this line should be much higher. Stanford returns home and gets a Big Win today. Stan has Stanford winning by 10-13 points here. TAKE STANFORD as STAN'S PAC 10 CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR and make them a TRIPLE DIME PLAY
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TRIPLE DIME
Stanford -2.5 (-110) BetUS vs 657 California @ 8 ET
Analysis: Stan is Betting STANFORD today. Stan notes that we are getting exceptional line value here as we catch California off of 3 straight outright upset wins. Stan feels this line should be much higher. Stanford returns home and gets a Big Win today. Stan has Stanford winning by 10-13 points here. TAKE STANFORD as STAN'S PAC 10 CONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR and make them a TRIPLE DIME PLAY
