Service Plays Saturday 1/09/10

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

sports insights best bets
NBA

1/9 11:42 A NBA 01/09/10 7:05 P (501) Play on Atlanta Hawks 4
1/9 11:42 A NBA 01/09/10 10:05 P (515) Play on Sacramento Kings (1.5-105)
1/9 11:42 A NBA 01/09/10 8:05 P (507) Play on Indiana Pacers (8.5-105)

NCAABB
1/9 11:32 A NCAABB 01/09/10 9:00 P (649) Play on UTEP -1.5
1/9 11:32 A NCAABB 01/09/10 3:00 P (669) Play on Rider -2
1/9 11:32 A NCAABB 01/09/10 7:00 P (611) Play on CS Fullerton 2.5
1/9 11:32 A NCAABB 01/09/10 6:00 P (601) Play on Wyoming 7
1/9 11:32 A NCAABB 01/09/10 2:00 P (545) Play on James Madison -7.5
1/9 11:32 A NCAABB 01/09/10 4:00 P (575) Play on Northern Iowa 1

NCAABB totals
1/9 11:32 A NCAABB 01/09/10 12:00 P (525) Play on Florida Over 136.5
1/9 11:32 A NCAABB 01/09/10 12:00 P (521) Play on Virginia Over 126.5


NBA totals
1/9 11:42 A NBA 01/09/10 7:05 P (503) Play on Charlotte Bobcats Under 200


NFL
1/9 11:42 A NFL 01/09/10 4:30 P (101) Play on Cincinnati Bengals (-2.5-115)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

alatex
superplay Philly +4
superplay bakets UTEP over 146

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Wayne Root

Saturday:
Vegas Legend - Bengals
Billionaire - Cowboys

Sunday:
Vegas Legand - Ravens
No Limit - Cardinals (Wildcard Game of the Year)

Hoops:
Vegas Legand - Alabama
Millionaire - New Mexico
Billionaire - Texas A&M

 

[brewerfan003]

found this elsewhere

Al DeMarco Saturday's Play15 Dime - Dallas Cowboys

Two things you've heard all week leading into this game, both myths that I want to debunk right now. First, it's not that hard for a team to beat another three times in one season. The possibility has arisen 19 times since 1970, and there have been 12 sweeps, including the Steelers of the Ravens last year.

The other myth-buster: Don't buy into the fact that the Eagles didn't give their all last week at Dallas with one of the reasons being they didn't want to "tip their hand" because of an eventual rematch with the Cowboys in the postseason. Are you kidding me? I'm based out of Philly and trust me, this wasn't like Cincinnati rolling over and playing dead at New York, or Indianapolis throwing in the towel in its final two games. The Birds had plenty to play for last week, mainly the No. 2 seed in the NFC and a first-round bye. Instead, by losing 24-0 in a game in which they were outplayed from start to finish, they got the absolute toughest road to reach the Super Bowl as it down will potentially take them through not only Dallas but Minnesota, too.

As for the games on the field, the Cowboys defense dominated in a 20-16 upset at Philadelphia and last Sunday's 24-0 shutout at home, sacking Donovan McNabb eight times and completely shutting down the Eagles' ground game. Do you know Philly had 21 offensive series in those two games but McNabb's attack managed just one touchdown? Not surprising when you consider receivers DeSean Jackson and Jeremy Macklin were held to a combined 11 catches in those contests.

On offense, Dallas had its way against Philadelphia's defense. Tony Romo passed for over 300 yards in both contests and the Eagles' pass rush rarely put significant pressure on him. Philly's secondary has had problems covering tight ends the past three years; nothing changed this season against Jay Witten. And they had no answer for Miles Austin, either. On the ground, the 1-2 punch of Miles Barber and Felix Jones, alternating liberally, churned out 179 of the Pokes' 474 total yards last week.

Will this be a closer game than last week's shutout? Absolutely. The Eagles will give their all, but it won't be enough as Dallas rolls 31-24.


Strategy Note:

You've heard me discuss this many times on TV and radio; I only believe in buying half points when the number is around 3, 4 or 7. This price is floating between 3 1/2 and 4, so go ahead and buy down the half-point in either case on Dallas.

Jeff Benton Saturday's Winners ... 25 Dime: COWBOYS (minus the points vs. Eagles) ...





NOTE: If this number is at 3 1/2, buy the half-point and grab Dallas at -3. Do NOT get beat by the hook in this contest!


Scott Delaney Saturday ... 40-Dime DALLAS COWBOYS ... I look at this game and realize that Dallas has two significant advantages, and that doesn't include the 100,000 maniacs who will be cheering for them, while frustrating and drowning out quarterback Donovan McNabb’s signals for Philadelphia.


Stephen Nover Saturday's Picks25 Dime - Cincinnati Bengals


Steve Duemig Saturday 25 Dime - Bengals

 

[Buffsfan]

Big Al

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals minus the points over the New York Jets. The Jets won their last two games of the regular season to get into the playoffs. But both of their opponents -- the Colts in Game 15, and the Bengals last week -- "mailed it in," so to speak. Thus, it's awfully hard to give New York much credit for its victories, since if either, or both of its opponents had put forth a 100% effort, the Jets likely would be sitting at home this weekend. Besides having two teams "lie down" for them, the Jets also had the benefit this season of playing a less-than-impressive schedule. Of New York's 14 other games, only three were against playoff teams (New England (twice) and New Orleans). New York was 1-2 SU/ATS in those games, including an 0-2 SU/ATS record on the road. In contrast, Cincinnati played games against Green Bay, Baltimore (twice), Minnesota, and San Diego. And, in those five games, the Bengals were an impressive 3-2 SU and 4-1 ATS, even though four of them were on the road, and also despite the fact Cincy was an underdog in all five games. Last week, the Jets shut out the Bengals 37-0, but NFL teams have covered just one of 12 (8 percent) in the playoffs over the past 29 seasons, if they i) won their previous game by more than 28 points; ii) and held their previous foe to three points or less; and iii) are not favored by more than seven in their current game. Look for the Bengals to ground the Flyboys. Take Cincinnati minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.


At 8 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles plus the points over Dallas. After winning six straight games, the Eagles certainly laid an egg last Sunday when they were blanked 24-0 by the Cowboys. But perhaps no team has been better over the years than Philadelphia in rebounding off a loss, as the Eagles are a solid 59-33 ATS the past 15 seasons following a defeat (including 3-0 in the Playoffs), and 31-7 ATS off a loss since 1997 if they failed to cover by more than seven points in their previous game. Also, Dallas won 17-0 at Washington the week prior to its 24-0 whitewash of Philly. But NFL teams are terrible against the spread (54-109 ATS) when priced from -11 to +4.5 points, if they held their last two opponents to less than 10 points, and scored at least 17 in their most recent game. Take the Eagles + the points. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. And don't miss my New York Jets/Cincy winner out of a 92% ATS System.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Harry Bondi

4* Philadelphia Eagles
3* Cincinnati Bengals

 

[logan1981]

executive

4:00 NCAA 600% Geo.Mason -5
over NC Wilmington
1:30 NCAA 300% Purdue -1 over Wisconsin
2:00 NCAA 300% Kansas St +5 over Missouri
4:00 NCAA 300% New Mexico -5 over Unlv

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Cappers Access

NFL - Jets
NFL - Cowboys
CBB - Vanderbilt

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Donn Wagner
Kansas St

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Top Notch Sports

25** Jets +2.5 over Cincy
25** Eagles +3.5 over Dallas
25** Drexel -3 over William & Mary

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Sports reporter
4 missouri

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Kelso BB

Noon 5 units Georgetown -4.5
2 pm 3 units Dayton -12
4 pm 3 units Clemson -9.5
6 pm 15 units Baylor -7.5
7 PM 4 units Loy Chic +3

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Gamblers Data (Fletcher)

added
Marshall-5.5 5*
Ole. miss-2.5 4*
N.Mexico-5 4*

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

dr. calhoun
under dallas/philly

 

[JVu81]

Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons

GEORGIA TECH +7

For a number of different reasons I believe we're getting excellent value on Georgia Tech today:

The Blue Devils might need to see how they react to a close game because it has been a while. They’ve been in one game decided by less than nine points, and that resulted in their only loss in a game at Wisconsin. That also marked the team’s only true road game; keep in mind that Duke is 0-1 ATS on the road this season.

On the other side of the court: Georgia Tech has vastly improved after a dismal 2008-09 season.

Thanks to 6-foot-9 junior Gani Lawal and one of the nation’s top freshmen classes, Georgia Tech (11-3, 0-1) is one win shy of matching its total from last season when it won two ACC games. Despite the turnaround, the Yellow Jackets are in danger of dropping their first two league games after falling 73-66 at rival Georgia on Tuesday; however I expect a "rebound" tonight.

The Yellow Jackets will try to slow Duke with their aggressive full-court pressure.

Not only is Georgia Tech 10-2 SU its last 12 overall, it also always plays tough in front of the hometown crowd; 6-1 SU its last seven at home.

Bottom line: With "revenge" on their minds, look for GEORGIA TECH to improve to 5-3 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record and for Duke to fall to 1-1 ATS against conference opponents.

*8* GEORGIA TECH.

 

[JVu81]

Bob Balfe

CINCINNATI BENGALS -2.5

The Bengals have been through a lot this season and are playing in their first playoff game in ages. Do not look at last Sunday's Game to handicap this game. Cincinnati has playing as vanilla as they could. The Jets do have a great defense, but the Bengals play good defensive ball and I just do not see Marc Sanchez as a rookie winning a big playoff game on the road. Look for the Bengals to get a big playoff win.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Boooj bball correction

50 units Illinois -6.5 over Indiana NCAA

20 units Charlotte -5.5 over Memphis NBA

 

[JVu81]

GoodFella

MISSISSIPPI -2

Miss St. is playing their 3rd road game in 9 days today, when they take on in-state rival Ole Miss. Ole Miss is a perfect (8-0) at home this season & the favorite is 10-3 ATS L/13 in this series. Ole Miss is looking for revenge from last seasons 2 pt home loss they suffered & I fully expect them to get that revenge in this spot today. Not an easy task for Miss St. today--going up against not only a in conference, but in-state rival with revenge. Also not a very good spot for Miss St. playing their 3rd roadie in 9 days. Lay the short number with Ole Miss in this spot today guys.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Kavitch aka Gamebreakers

Saturday, January 09, 2010


8:00 PM
Dallas
Philadelphia

Spread Pick
Picked Philadelphia with spread of +4 (-109)
100 units were wagered.


I'm taking Philly getting more than a FG and Under a big total of 45. I expect a close game and a better defensive effort from the Eagles this week. last week Philly was playing for positioning and I'm always surprised at how poorly that tends to work out for teams. Aside from what's on the field I like their edge in coaching and I think they will be ready Saturday. As for the Under, I like both defenses and the potential for this one to have 41 points or less scored. Take Philly +4 and Under 45, both for 3* Plays.

8:00 PM
Dallas
Philadelphia

Under Pick
with total of 45 costing -105
100 units were wagered.



4:30 PM
Cincinnati
NY Jets

Moneyline Pick
Picked Cincinnati with moneyline of -128
100 units were wagered.


I like the Bengals to get the job done at home. Last game was misleading and the intensity wasn't there for ther Bengals. That gives us added line value and I'll back the team with the better QB at home. I believe Jets turnovers will be the difference and one of my all-time favorite Wild-Card angles indicates a play on the Bengals. I like the Bengals to cover the -2.5 but I'm going to grab the moneyline at a very reasonable -128 for added insurance. If you don't have that same option, lay the -2.5. Take Cincinnati for a 4* Play.

 

[JVu81]

Marc Lawrence

PORTLAND +2.5 (CBB: 10:00 ET)

We recommend a 3-unit play on Portland.