Service Plays Saturday 1/09/10

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ugk

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RANDALL THE HANDLE

NY Jets @ Bengals

Pay no attention to last week’s 37-0 kneecapping that the Jets laid on these Bengals. The only seed that mattered to Cincinnati was con-cede. The visiting Bengals knew exactly what they were doing. Aside from being allowed to rest some starters prior to playoffs commencing, a win would have had Cincy hosting the Texans instead of these Jets. Not much of a decision from where we sit. After all, the Jets had a very gratuitous path into this post-season. Sitting at just 7-7 two weeks ago, this New York squad lucked into finishing against two teams (Indianapolis, Cincinnati) that basically laid down. Prior to facing that disinterested pair, the Jets had not defeated a winning team since September. We don’t see how that changes on this day. New York’s QB Mark Sanchez has struggled all year long.. Only Matthew Stafford’s 26 interceptions were more than Sanchez’s 20. If you’re going to throw that many picks, you’d better have a lot of touchdowns to compensate. That’s not the case here as New York’s starting QB had just 12 TD throws. Even in last week’s win, the Jets’ pivot was just 8 for 16 for a puny 63 yards. Conversely, the Bengals do have a quality passer in Carson Palmer. Even though Cincinnati’s offence has staggered at times, they possess enough weapons to inflict damage, including RB Cedric Benson, who sat out last week’s game. The Jets fell into the playoff. The thump will be heard when exiting.

TAKING: Cincinnati –2½ RISKING: 2.02 units to win 2


Eagles @ Cowboys

Two weeks ago, the Eagles were widely considered a top contender in the NFC. After last week’s 24-0 pasting by these Cowboys, their stock plummeted faster than a speeding bullet with Philadelphia dropping to a #6 seed. The Cowboys are America’s darlings once again. Perhaps it is justifiably so. Dallas has dismissed the Kong-like monkey off its back with three impressive December wins heading into this post-season, including last week’s win to secure division. But can we trust it to continue? We have our doubts. While the talent level on these two clubs is debatable, coaching is not. We’re being offered a generous amount of points with Andy Reid’s squad. Reid is 7-0 in opening playoff games with the Eagles. Dallas’ Wade Phillips is winless in four playoff attempts with Denver, Buffalo and the Cowboys. In fact, the Cowboys haven’t won a playoff game since 1996. You need to go back just two years, to when Dallas failed to defeat the visiting Giants as a 7-point favourite on its own turf. Playing in this fancy facility won’t bother this visitor either. Under Reid, Philadelphia has excelled on the road with 17 covers in past 25 away games. We’ve seen Donovan McNabb shine come playoff time. The same cannot be said for Tony Romo. While Romo has been exceptional lately, McNabb brings the better resume. The Eagles had won six of seven before last week’s setback. These birds have a multitude of talent that is worthy of our endorsement. Let’s not write them off just yet.

TAKING: Philadelphia +4 RISKING: 2.22 to win 2
 

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KB Hoops

5* Missouri Tigers -4.5 **POD**
4* Gonzaga -2.5
3* UTEP -1
3* Wisconsin -1.5
4* Philadelphia Eagles +4
3* Cincinnati Bengals -2.5
 
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Langs Basketball Pick on Saturday...

25 DIME - HOFSTRA PRIDE -One thing you must understand about Hofstra is the fact they struggle against teams with a big presence.

Old Dominion doesn't pose that problem and this is a great spot for Hofstra to get the cover against a team they really match up against.

They are off a solid win and cover over Towson State winning by 17 as a 11 point favorite and now take to the road where they are 3-1-1 ATS this year.

Last meeting between these two was a one point game last March, and I firmly believe the rematch will be much of the same, a close hard fought battle that will be a single digit game throughout.

ODU is having a great year at 11-4 but they have covered just 1 of their last 4 ballgames and asking them to cover this double digit number is a bit to much today
 
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LOGICAL APPROACH

NEW YORK JETS a 3Star Selection
UNDER also a 3 Star Selection

DALLAS a 2 Star Selection
UNDER a 1 Star Selection
 
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BlacK WidoW / B i l L Y o u n G

6* Widow Wiseguy Cowboys/Eagles Wild Card TOTA L OF THE Y EA R on UNDER 45(-107 at 5dimes)

The first two meetings between these teams went well UNDER the number. With a total of 49 in their first meeting, Dallas won 20-16 for 36 combined points. They dropped the total to 47 points in their second meeting, and Dallas won 24-0. Now, they dropped the total 2 more points, yet it's still too low. Dallas is playing tremendous defense, giving up just 17 points in their last 3 games combined for an average of 5.7 points/game. With the Eagles' offensive line beat up, they won't be able to do anything offensively in this game either. But we do expect their defense to rise to the occasion and make up for it. Dallas has gotten their running game going the last few weeks, and the Eagles know they have to get their running game going Sunday to try and keep Dallas off balance. Otherwise, the Cowboys will be able to just pin their ears back and get after McNabb all game long just like they have in the first two meetings. Dallas is 6-0 UNDER (+6.0 Units) off a division game this season. The Eagles are 13-4 UNDER (+8.6 Units) revenging a loss against opponent by 14 points or more since 1992. The UNDER is 8-1 in Dallas' last 9 games overall and they continue their stellar defense Saturday in a low-scoring defensive battle with the Eagles. Take the UNDER.



5* W iseg uy Jets/Bengals AFC Wild Card Re mat ch on New York +3(-125 at betus)

We aren't basing this play off of what happened last week in a 37-0 win over the Cincinnati Bengals. Though the Bengals played their starters, other than Cedric Benson, for the first half, they still couldn't have totally been into the game. That said, the Jets owned the Bengals when their starters were in, limiting Carson Palmer to 1-of-11 passing for 0 yards. The Bengals will have a better attitude Saturday when playing at home, and they will be focused. But they don't have what it takes to slow down the Jets. New York owns the #1 ranked defense in the league, giving up just 14.7 points/game and 252 yards/game which is far and away the best average in the league. They also own the #1 running game at 172 rushing yards/game. Having the #1 defense and the #1 rushing offense is huge in the playoffs, as we've seen in year's past. Cincinnati simply isn't the same team they were in the first half of the season. The Bengals are just 3-4 in their last 7 games, with their wins coming against the Browns, Lions and Chiefs. And even in those wins, they weren't that impressive, failing to beat any of those 3 teams by more than 10 points. Chad Johnson just got hurt last week, and he is likely to play in this game but will also likely be slowed a little. He is really their only weapon at receiver. New York is the hotter team heading into the playoffs, and Mark Sanchez isn't being asked to do too much right now. New Yorks' offensive and defensive numbers are both better than Cincinnati's, and not even home field can help the Bengals get things turned around Saturday. Cincinnati is 0-7 ATS as a favorite this season. Take the Jets and the points. (Recommend buying to +3)



4* on Northern Colorado -12.5(-105 at 5dimes)

Northern Colorado is the superior team here and should be a much heavier favorite against 4-12 Idaho State. Northern Colorado is one of the better teams that nobody knows about as they enter Saturday's game with a 14-3 record on the season. At home, NCU is 5-0 S.U. and 4-1 ATS while winning by 12.8 points/game. Idaho State is 1-10 on the road this season, losing by 12.4 points/game. Idaho State is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons. Idaho State is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) when playing their 2nd road game in 3 days over the last 3 seasons. Northern Colorado is 11-0 ATS (+11.0 Units) after one or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons. NCU is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing their 2nd game in 3 days over the last 2 seasons. Take Northern Colorado and lay the points.



4* on St. John's +11.5(-102 at 5dimes)

We really like this St. John's team this season as they continue going under the radar. At 10-4 this season and with 5 returning starters, this team can compete with anyone in the country on any given night. They have proven that on the road twice this season already, losing at Duke by only 9 points and losing at Georgetown by just 7. On the road this season, they are 4-1 ATS and their experience allows them to not get rattled while playing in front of hostile road crowds. It will be hostile at Louisville Saturday, but the Cardinals' players won't fully be into this game. They are much more interested in having Villanova come to their place up next on Monday, just two days away. The Red Storm are 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games after a loss by 15 points or more since 1997. St. John's is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games after scoring 60 points or less 2 straight games since 1997. Take St. John's and the points.
 
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Mighty Quinn

Mighty had no play Friday and likes the Jets and Eagles today.

The deficit is 15 sirignanos.
 
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THE SPORTS ADVISORS

SATURDAY, JANUARY 9

NFL PLAYOFFS


N.Y. Jets (9-7 SU and ATS) at Cincinnati (10-6, 7-8 ATS)
In the first of three rematches from last weekend’s regular-season finales, the Jets travel to Paul Brown Stadium for a meeting with the Bengals to open wild-card weekend.
New York won its first three games of the season both SU and ATS behind rookie QB Mark Sanchez, then went on a 1-6 SU and ATS slide that appeared to kill any hopes of making the playoffs. But the Jets finished the year on a 5-1 SU and ATS run, including victories in their last two games to clinch the final AFC postseason berth. In Sunday night’s regular-season finale, they hammered a disinterested Bengals squad 37-0 as a 10-point home chalk, earning a wild-card bid for the first time in three years.
Cincinnati’s effort last week stemmed primarily from having already clinched the AFC North. The Bengals went 6-0 (4-2 ATS) in division play, pulling off home and road upsets of the defending Super Bowl champion Steelers and the Ravens – the two teams that met in last year’s AFC title game. Cincy needed all those division wins, as it finished the season on a 1-3 SU and ATS slide, though all three SU losses came on the road against playoff-bound teams: Minnesota, San Diego and last week’s debacle against the Jets.
The Jets are in the playoffs for the first time since the 2006 season, when they got trounced at New England 37-16 in the wild-card round as a 9½-point pup. Meanwhile, the Bengals return to the postseason for the first time since 2005, when Palmer got his knee torn up on the first possession of a 31-17 wild-card loss to Pittsburgh as a three-point home ‘dog.
These teams have met each of the last three regular seasons, with New York going 2-1 SU and ATS and the home team going 3-0 SU and ATS. In October 2007 at Paul Brown Stadium, Cincinnati held on for a 38-31 win laying six points, and in October 2008, New York won 26-14 giving 9½ points. The Jets are 7-1 SU (4-4 ATS) in the last eight clashes, including 3-1 SU and ATS in the last four meetings.
New York rated a below-average 20th in total offense this year (321 ypg), and were slightly better at No. 17 in scoring (21.8 ppg). However, the Jets field the NFL’s most potent running attack, piling up 172.2 ypg. RB Thomas Jones leads the way, having rushed for 1,402 yards (4.2 ypc), which was third in the NFL behind only the Titans’ Chris Johnson and the Rams’ Steven Jackson. Jones also had 14 rushing touchdowns. Sanchez had 12 TDs passes offset by 20 INTs (second-most in the league), and he also fumbled 10 times, losing three.
Defensively, the Jets ranked No. 1 in points and yards allowed, at a stifling 14.8 ppg and 252.3 ypg. But due to Sanchez’s rookie penchant for INTs, New York posted only a plus-1 turnover margin (17th).
The Bengals’ offense was lackluster at best in averaging 309.1 ypg (24th) and 19.1 ppg (22nd), paced by the running of Cedric Benson, who finished eighth in the league at 1,251 yards (4.2 ypc) despite missing three games. QB Carson Palmer was effective, if not flashy, in the regular season, passing for 3,094 yards with 21 TDs and 13 INTs.
Cincinnati also fields a stout defense, allowing 301.4 ypg (fourth) and 18.2 ppg (sixth), and the Bengals give up just 98.3 rushing ypg (seventh). However, like the Jets, Cincy wasn’t productive in the turnover margin department, finishing dead-even to rate 18th, just behind New York.
New York is on a bundle of ATS rolls, including 5-1 overall, 4-1 on the highway, 5-0 catching three points or less and 8-3 as a road pup. The SU winner has also cashed in all 16 of the Jets’ games this season and the last 18 overall.
Cincy is on a 7-1 ATS tear against winning teams, but also shoulders negative pointspread streaks of 1-5 overall, 7-21-1 laying points (0-7 as a favorite this year) and 3-9-2 as a home chalk of three points or less. In addition, the underdog is 14-2 ATS in the Bengals’ 16 games this year.
New York is on “under” upticks of 4-1-1 overall, 4-1 after a SU win, 3-1-1 as a pup and 3-1-1 against winning teams. Furthermore, the under for Cincinnati is on several sprees, including 4-1 overall, 9-2 with the Bengals favored, 19-7-1 at home and 9-0 when Marvin Lewis’ troops are a home chalk. Conversely, the Jets carry “over” streaks of 4-1 in January, 4-1-1 against AFC opponents and 4-1 as a road pup of three points or less.
Finally, last week’s game – despite no help from Cincinnati – went over the posted price of 33½, and the total has gone high in three of the last four meetings in this rivalry.

ATS ADVANTAGE: N.Y. JETS


Philadelphia (11-5, 9-7 ATS) at Dallas (11-5, 9-7 ATS)
In another rematch from last week, the Eagles make a return trip to the Lone Star State to collide with the NFC East rival Cowboys in the wild-card round.
Dallas drubbed Philadelphia 24-0 Sunday as a three-point home chalk, leaping from a wild-card spot to the No. 3 seed and an opening-round home game. After winning eight of their first 11 games (6-5 ATS), the Cowboys went on their seemingly annual December swoon, losing the first two games of that month SU and ATS. But they snapped out of it by going 3-0 SU and ATS to finish the season, starting with a 24-17 road upset of previously unbeaten New Orleans as a seven-point pup, and following with shutouts of both Washington and Philly. It was the first time in the storied franchise history that Dallas posted consecutive shutouts.
Philadelphia was one of the hottest teams in the league prior to last week’s contest at the new Cowboys Stadium, having won six in a row SU (4-2 ATS). That put the Eagles in position to claim the No. 2 seed and a first-round playoff bye with a win at Dallas, but they couldn’t even muster a point and dropped all the way to the sixth seed. Philly netted a meager 228 total yards, while allowing the Pokes to go off for a whopping 474 yards, including 179 on the ground. The Eagles also got killed in time of possession (40:23-19:37).
The Cowboys reached the playoffs after a one-year hiatus, with their last appearance coming after the 2007 regular season. In that divisional-round contest, Dallas suffered a 21-17 upset home loss as a seven-point chalk against the Giants, who went on to win the Super Bowl. Dallas has lost its last six playoff games, going 1-5 ATS in that stretch, with its last postseason win coming after the 1996 season.
The Eagles are in the playoffs for the eighth time under coach Andy Reid, having reached the NFC Championship Game as a wild card last year by beating the Vikings and Giants on the road before losing at Arizona 32-25 as a 3½-point chalk. Additionally, Reid has never lost a playoff opener – be it in the wild-card or divisional round -- in his 11 years with the Eagles, going 7-0 SU and 5-2 ATS, including 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS on wild-card weekend.
Dallas won and covered in both regular-season meetings with Philadelphia this year, posting a 20-16 road victory as a three-point pup in November to go along with last week’s rout. Those efforts ended Philly’s three-game ATS run (2-1 SU) in this rivalry, including a 44-6 beatdown as a 2½-point home chalk in the 2008 regular-season finale, which kept Dallas from making the playoffs and sent the Eagles into the postseason.
Despite last week’s result, the road team is 5-2 ATS in the last seven clashes between these two, Philadelphia is 10-4 ATS on its last 14 trips to Dallas, and the underdog is on an 8-3 pointspread roll.
The Eagles rank 11th in the league in total offense (357.9 ypg) and are fifth in scoring (26.8 ppg). A big key to Philadelphia’s success is its plus-15 turnover margin, the second-best total in the league behind only Green Bay’s whopping plus-24. QB Donovan McNabb passed for 3,553 yards with 22 TDs against just 10 INTs, with multi-threat WR DeSean Jackson leading the way at 1,167 receiving yards. Jackson led the Eagles with 12 TDs – nine receiving, one rushing and two on punt returns.
On defense, Philadelphia are 12th in yards allowed (321.1 ypg ) and 19th in points allowed (21.1 ppg), rating ninth against the run (104.7 ypg) despite letting the Cowboys run wild last week. CB Asante Samuel tied for the league lead with nine INTs in helping the Eagles post their lofty turnover margin.
The Cowboys have the league’s second-best total offense, racking up 399.4 ypg, behind only the high-octane Saints (403.8 ypg), but that has translated into just 22.6 ppg (14th). QB Tony Romo led a passing attack that netted 267.9 ypg (sixth), and Dallas was seventh in rushing (131.5 ypg), paced by Marion Barber (932 yards, 7 TDs, 4.4 ypc). Romo passed for 4,483 yards (third) with 26 TDs and just nine INTs.
Thanks to ending the season with consecutive shutouts, Dallas ranked second to the Jets in scoring defense (15.6 ppg) and was ninth in total defense (315.9 ypg). The Cowboys were fifth against the rush (90.5 ypg), and DeMarcus Ware piled up a team-best 11 sacks.
The Pokes are in ATS ruts of 1-4 as a playoff chalk, 3-9 in January and 5-11 against NFC East foes, but they still carry positive ATS streaks of 6-2 after a SU win, 5-2 at home (all as a chalk) and 12-5 in conference action.
Philly is on a handful of ATS tears, including 13-5 as a pup, 5-0 as a playoff ‘dog, 6-2 in the postseason, 17-8 on the highway, 5-1 in postseason roadies, 7-0 catching 3½ to 10 points and 6-2 on Saturday.
The under for Dallas is on streaks of 4-0 overall, 4-0 at home (all as a chalk), 4-0 in January, 6-1 in the NFC, 5-1 after a SU win, 4-1 in the postseason and 4-1 inside the division. Philadelphia sports “under” runs of 4-1 on wild-card weekend and 7-2-1 in the playoffs, and in this rivalry, the total has stayed low in four of the last five meetings in Dallas, with last week falling far short of the 47½-point price. The under also cashed in the first Cowboys-Eagles clash in Philadelphia in November.
That said, the Eagles are on “over” surges of 6-1 after a SU loss, 20-6 as a pup, 11-5 as a road ‘dog and 29-14-1 against winning teams.

ATS ADVANTAGE: DALLAS and UNDER


COLLEGE BASKETBALL

ATS ADVANTAGE: UCONN and UNDER

ATS ADVANTAGE: PURDUE and UNDER

ATS ADVANTAGE: DUKE and UNDER

ATS ADVANTAGE: MISSOURI and OVER

ATS ADVANTAGE: MINNESOTA

ATS ADVANTAGE: NEW MEXICO and OVER

ATS ADVANTAGE: OKLAHOMA STATE
 
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Savannah Sports

Todays Selections

NFL Football
2 (**) Teaser..6 pointer
Cincinnati +3.5 @ Philadelphia +10

Professional Plays
Eric Degarde
NBA Basketball
2 (**) Charlotte -2.5
 
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Kikki Sports

4.5* Playoff Lock GOY - Bengals
2* Lock GOM - U.A.B

* Lost their NBA GOM on the Lakers last night.
 
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Sports Winning Picks

Free picks:
Selection #1: NCABB-Duke (-6)

Selection #2: NCABB-Vandy (-5.5)

Premium:
Selection #1: Purdue (+2)

Selection #2: Michigan St. (-14)
 

THE MMA Guru
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TheInsiderSports

1.9

Soccer England
Cardiff -0.5 @ -130
3/10
5dimes

Soccer Spain
Gimnastic pk -0.5 @ +103
3/10
5dimes

Soccer Italy
Cittadella pk @ -132
3/10
5dimes

Soccer Italy
Ascoli -0.5 @ +106
3/10
5dimes

Soccer Italy
Piacenza +0.5 @ -105
3/10
5dimes
 
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Dave Blezow

He went 14-3 on his locks this year. (27-7-1 last 35),
He also had a great week last week Going 13-3 in all his plays & went 2-1 on his 3 pack of BB

Pats - 3 1/2 for his One & Only Lock-14-3 This Year
SUNDAY

PATRIOTS (-31⁄2) over Ravens

Over 43

This hasn’t been a banner year for the Patriots. The defense has slipped. Wes Welker got hurt last week against the Texans. Even Bill Belichick was raked over the coals for his fourth-down call in Indy. And Tom Brady is entering the playoffs with numerous injuries. Added up, it’s a lot, but still not enough to expect the Patriots to lose at home, where they are 8-0 this season and 8-0 in the playoffs in the Brady/Belichick era, to a Ravens team that needed late-season wins over the Lions, Bears and Raiders to get to 9-7.

Patriots 27-17-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
heres the rest of his plays

Jets + 2 1/2
Jets 16-10

Eagles (+4) over COWBOYS

Over 45

The Cowboys won both games against the Eagles this season, including a 24-0 wipeout last week with the NFC East title (and a bye for Philly) on the line. With a late-season surge, they beat away the Tony Romo December blues of the past few years.

But this one’s all about pedigree. Andy Reid is 6-0 in the first game of a playoff season, and Donovan McNabb has won three playoff road games. By comparison, the Cowboys haven’t won in the postseason since 1996, Wade Phillips is 0-4 lifetime, and Romo 0-2.

Reid has had a little time now to adjust to the huge loss of center Jamaal Jackson, and the Birds have a big edge with David Akers over Shaun Suisham if it comes down to a late kick.

Eagles 24-23




Sunday
SUNDAY

PATRIOTS (-31⁄2) over Ravens Best Bet



CARDINALS (-1) over Packers

Over 471⁄2

Kurt Warner is going to Canton on the wings of his great playoff performances, and even though Aaron Rodgers (30 TDs, 7 INTs) quickly has risen to the upper echelon, it’s hard to go against Warner at home in the tournament.

The Pack’s bugaboo in their losses this season has been sacks, and the Cards bring seven sacks off each edge up front in Calais Campbell (he’ll cast up his broken thumb) and Darnell Dockett. With the pressure and the ballhawks in the secondary, the Cards D can thwart Rodgers enough to make it winnable for Warner, Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin (betting he’ll play, too).

Cardinals 28-24
 
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VEGAS VIC

Eagles (+4) over COWBOYS

It was quite a struggle handicapping this game. Sunday, coming in on a six-game winning streak, and with a chance to get a first-round bye, the Birds never showed up. Wow, what an ugly non-effort. This week, the Eagles need to get back to that stretch run team. And it's not as simple as saying Dallas can't beat the Birds three times in one season. There have been 19 times where teams have met in the playoffs after one of those teams swept the season series. The team that swept has completed the hat trick 12 times. The difference here is Andy Reid. In his seven trips to the playoffs, Reid has a glittering 7-0 mark in first games, with an overall spread record of 6-2 in all road playoff games. One more stat to put into the mix: Since Andy took over, anytime the Eagles have scored seven or fewer, in the following game, they have covered 12 of 14. Not sure whether the Birds find the upset, so I'm calling for the Cowboys to advance with a 26-24 win.

Packers (+1) over CARDINALS
When Arizona found out before its Week 17 kickoff that its chance for a first-round bye was history, it played - or should we say, did not play - accordingly. Kurt Warner played only two series, before Matt Leinart mopped up. It'll be a different group of Cards on Sunday, but after looking at their body of work this season, we just don't get that warm fuzzy feeling about them that we had last year in the playoffs. And possibly going in without WR Anquan Boldin (sprained ankle), as well as injuries to cornerback Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie and defensive end Calais Campbell, is bound to have an effect on 'Zona. We are getting a warm fuzzy feeling about this Green Bay team, which has the best defense in the NFC and comes rolling into this rematch on a gorgeous 8-0 spread run. It ain't gonna be a blowout like Sunday, but the Packers are best bet of the weekend as they roll into the second round.

BENGALS (-2) over Jets
Rex Ryan is turning out to be more colorful than his dad Buddy, saying that the Jets are the favorite to win the Super Bowl. Guess Rex hasn't been to Vegas, where the odds on the New Yorkers' winning it all are 50-1, last among the 12 playoff teams. Much has been made of the Jets' win at Indy and the bagel given to Cincy, but these two teams basically mailed it in. And can Carson Palmer do any worse than 1-fo1, zero yards, and one interception? Don't think so. The Bengals played their starters, yes, but they knew the rematch with New York was a possibility, so they were not gonna give away anything. The four crucial elements that put me on Cincinnati are: 1) homefield advantage; 2) Cedric Benson, who rushed for 1,251, is back; 3) Mark Sanchez, the Jets' rookie QB who has thrown for 12 TDs and 20 picks; and, 4) New York's leading tackler, David Harris, has a sprained ankle.

Ravens (+3) over PATRIOTS
Here's what we know: Wes Welker, Tom Brady's lifeline, and the league leader with 123 receptions, is gone with a knee injury. He will be replaced by Julian Edelman, a rookie who played quarterback at Kent State. If Edelman beats me, I'll rip up my betting slip with a smile. Here's what we're not sure about: Brady could have anywhere from one to three broken ribs, a possible broken finger, and some kind of shoulder tweak. Still, he's Tom Brady, so we'll keep a wary eye out for any late injury news, and possible line move. Baltimore comes in with a pretty healthy squad, including the return of OT Jared Gaither, a vital cog in the running game. With the dynamic duo of Ray Rice (1,339 yards rushing and 78 receptions) and Willis McGahee, Joe Flacco should be able to keep the Ravens close enough to win on a late field goal or cover.
 

ugk

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AL DEMARCO
Saturday's Play
15 Dime - Dallas Cowboys

Returning with my analysis by 9 A.M. Eastern

Strategy Note:

You've heard me discuss this many times on TV and radio; I only believe in buying half points when the number is around 3, 4 or 7. This price is floating between 3 1/2 and 4, so go ahead and buy down the half-point in either case on Dallas.
 

ugk

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TRACE ADAMS

1500* - Cincinnati Bengals,
500* - Philadelphia Eagles,
500* - Minnesota Golden Gophers

You can't say that last Sunday night's 37-0 blanking the Jets laid on the Bengals doesn't mean anything, but I honestly don't think it is indicative of what is going to happen on Saturday in Cincinnati.

For me, this game bolis down to two things; # 1- Rookie Quarteback, # 2 - The Road!

You can go on all you want about how the Jets will minmize Mark Sanchez' passes in this game, and how the Jets defense will be the difference, but eventually Sanchez is going to have to throw the pigskin, and I just don't see him engineering a road win in his first playoff start in a hostile environment.

Keep in mind that the Jets closed the season with wins over a pair of teams that mailed it in for the year, in the Colts and the Bengals. You will see a different Cincy team this afternoon in their 1st playoff game since Carson Palmer blew out his knee back in the 2005 season at home against Pittsburgh.

The Bengals have won their last 5 home games, and 6 of 8 overall this season, and while they are on a 1-6 overall spread slide, and a 3-5 home spread slide this year, this is the lowest price they have been asked to cover all season long, and I just don't see them losing this game.

Cincy has been through an awful lot this season with the deaths of Chris Henry, and the loss of defensive coordinator Mike Zimmer's wife. You can assume that all of that emotion is going to be channeled in a positive way today for the Bengals.

The Jets did well to make the postseason, today the reality sets in.

Take the Bengals minus the short chalk.

1500♦ - Cincinnati Bengals

Lest you think that a team that sweeps the regular season pair of games cannot win for a third time in the same season, 12 of the 19 times the scenario has presented itself, the hat trick has been completed. In fact, Pittsburgh won all 3 last season against Baltimore en route to winning the Super Bowl.

That fact bodes well for the Cowboys on Saturday night hosting the Eagles, but with Dallas having not won a playoff game since 1996, and with Philadelphia knowing the route to the championship game oh so well, I don't think it is going to be smooth sailing for the 'Pokes this evening at home.

I do think Dallas is going to eek out the win, but covering the impost is not going to happen.

If you ask me, no team is more dangerous in the NFC than the peaking Cowboys, but I don't see them pitching a 3rd straight shutout.

Philly did not maximize their patented blitzes in last week's loss, so you can assume they will try and rattle Romo's cage with a wide variety of their blitz packages in this one.

The first meeting between the teams saw Dallas win it 20-16 on November 8th in Philadelphia, I think this game will more resemble the first meeting than last last week's 24-0 beatdown.

Eagles plus the points as this game is decided by a field-goal tops.

500♦ - Philadelphia Eagles

One college hoops release for ya, as I like Minnesota to rebound from the beating Purdue put on them earlier this week in West Lafayette.

Minnesota is a perfect 9-0 at the Williams Arena, and 5-2 against the spread in their lined home games. I expect them to take advantage of an Ohio State team that has not been able to get much going in the absence of guard Evan Turner who is sidelined with a back injury.

The Buckeyes are just 4-3 straight up their last 7, and only 1-6 against the spread in that span!

The home team has won the last 4 series meetings, and 6 of the last 7 overall. With Minnesota looking so strong at home this year, no hesitation in laying the points with the Golden Gophers here.

500♦ - Minnesota Golden Gophers
 

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