WUNDERDOG
Complimentary Picks and Analysis
Game: Boston at New York Yankees (4:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: Boston +1.5 runs -140 (runline)
The Red Sox have a lot going for them here as Dice-K Matsuzaka has gotten the velocity back that has made him a career 36-20 pitcher in the Big leagues. He also shines in this spot, unfettered by the road and the competition, the Red Sox are 10-1 behind him in road games against winning teams, and the Sox have handled Sabathia for a winning record in his career against them. The Sox have also put one in the win column to the tune of a 17-4 mark in Matsuzaka's last 21 road starts. The Sox have handled top pitching, those with a WHIP of 1.15 or less to a 21-8 mark as well, so getting the plus side of the runline, just magnifies the opportunity here, so the Sox get the call on the runline
Complimentary Picks and Analysis
Game: Boston at New York Yankees (4:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: Boston +1.5 runs -140 (runline)
The Red Sox have a lot going for them here as Dice-K Matsuzaka has gotten the velocity back that has made him a career 36-20 pitcher in the Big leagues. He also shines in this spot, unfettered by the road and the competition, the Red Sox are 10-1 behind him in road games against winning teams, and the Sox have handled Sabathia for a winning record in his career against them. The Sox have also put one in the win column to the tune of a 17-4 mark in Matsuzaka's last 21 road starts. The Sox have handled top pitching, those with a WHIP of 1.15 or less to a 21-8 mark as well, so getting the plus side of the runline, just magnifies the opportunity here, so the Sox get the call on the runline
paid and confirmed by me:
Analyst: Eddie Roman
25,000 Dime Personal System Game of the Year
(HOME TEAM IN CAPS)
25,000 Dime Personal System Game of the Year
CLEMSON TIGERS -2.5 over tcu
Here we are again. Let me bring you back to last week when we went with Oregon, playing as an unranked team, against the nationally ranked Utah Utes, who just happened to be riding the longest winning streak in the nation at 16 games. Oregon, somehow is not just favored, but favored by a nice amount and what happens, they win a game that was never really as close as the final score indicated.
Today we have Clemson, unranked, playing against the nationally ranked TCU Horned Frogs. Clemson comes in 2-1, TCU comes in 2-0 and again, somehow, the unranked team is favored at home. Thank you very much to the oddsmakers because they just told us another winner.
I always say that oddsmakers know more then we ever will and if they are telling us Clemson is the favorite, that means they believe Clemson is the better team and sometimes you just have to listen to what they say to us.
Also, Clemson has played "real" competition the last couple weeks in Georgia Tech and Boston College. Those are legit ACC teams and Clemson has fared very well. TCU played an ACC joke in Virginia and Texas State, who I didn't even know had a team. Just like we saw Thursday with Ole Miss, who hadn't played tough competition before heading into South Carolina, I feel TCU will have their struggles.
Listen, Clemson is one of the fastest teams in the nation and I feel they will score points in bunches today with big plays on offense and special teams. The defense is off a dominating performance against BC and I do feel they will get after TCU today. Clemson is the faster team and the oddsmakers know they are the better team, which is why they are favored in the damn game. Unranked at home favored over a ranked team is always something to look at and this one here should be an easy blowout winner I feel. Clemson minus the points is my play.
7500 Dime Plays
Under 47.5 Pittsburgh at NC STATE
Boise State Broncos -16.5 over BOWLING GREEEN
No analysis available with lower rated plays but I will say it's raining at NC State and both defenses have better athletes then both offenses so I expect an easy under there and if Boise State doesn't win by 50 I will be surprised. The only reason the Broncos aren't my top rated play was because I was a little afraid of their travel schedule right now having played at Fresno last week and now having to travel across the country to get to BG.
Analyst: Eddie Roman
25,000 Dime Personal System Game of the Year
(HOME TEAM IN CAPS)
25,000 Dime Personal System Game of the Year
CLEMSON TIGERS -2.5 over tcu
Here we are again. Let me bring you back to last week when we went with Oregon, playing as an unranked team, against the nationally ranked Utah Utes, who just happened to be riding the longest winning streak in the nation at 16 games. Oregon, somehow is not just favored, but favored by a nice amount and what happens, they win a game that was never really as close as the final score indicated.
Today we have Clemson, unranked, playing against the nationally ranked TCU Horned Frogs. Clemson comes in 2-1, TCU comes in 2-0 and again, somehow, the unranked team is favored at home. Thank you very much to the oddsmakers because they just told us another winner.
I always say that oddsmakers know more then we ever will and if they are telling us Clemson is the favorite, that means they believe Clemson is the better team and sometimes you just have to listen to what they say to us.
Also, Clemson has played "real" competition the last couple weeks in Georgia Tech and Boston College. Those are legit ACC teams and Clemson has fared very well. TCU played an ACC joke in Virginia and Texas State, who I didn't even know had a team. Just like we saw Thursday with Ole Miss, who hadn't played tough competition before heading into South Carolina, I feel TCU will have their struggles.
Listen, Clemson is one of the fastest teams in the nation and I feel they will score points in bunches today with big plays on offense and special teams. The defense is off a dominating performance against BC and I do feel they will get after TCU today. Clemson is the faster team and the oddsmakers know they are the better team, which is why they are favored in the damn game. Unranked at home favored over a ranked team is always something to look at and this one here should be an easy blowout winner I feel. Clemson minus the points is my play.
7500 Dime Plays
Under 47.5 Pittsburgh at NC STATE
Boise State Broncos -16.5 over BOWLING GREEEN
No analysis available with lower rated plays but I will say it's raining at NC State and both defenses have better athletes then both offenses so I expect an easy under there and if Boise State doesn't win by 50 I will be surprised. The only reason the Broncos aren't my top rated play was because I was a little afraid of their travel schedule right now having played at Fresno last week and now having to travel across the country to get to BG.
C-Stars Sports
5000 Units Big 10 Total Of The Year! Minnesota/Northwestern over the total 12:00 PM
5000 units Northern Illinois/Idaho under the total
5000 units Texas Minus the points over Texas El Paso
1000 Units Florida minus the points over Kentucky 6:00 PM
50 units Miami at Virginia Tech under the total 3:30 PM
5000 Units Big 10 Total Of The Year! Minnesota/Northwestern over the total 12:00 PM
5000 units Northern Illinois/Idaho under the total
5000 units Texas Minus the points over Texas El Paso
1000 Units Florida minus the points over Kentucky 6:00 PM
50 units Miami at Virginia Tech under the total 3:30 PM
Guaranteed Pick: Scott Rickenbach
Game: TCU at Clemson Sep 26 2009 3:30PM
Prediction: TCU
Reason: Scott Rickenbach’s College Football Game #317 – 10* (Top Play) TCU Horned Frogs (+) @ Clemson @ 3:30 PM ET –
First off, we want to emphasize here that we are aware of the fact that there could be rain during this game at Clemson on Saturday afternoon. However, the field does drain very well – in fact that was evident in last week’s game versus Boston College where there were two stoppages of play due to inclement weather. Additionally, we feel that the rain does not hinder our “play on” team here as TCU is fully capable of winning this game in the trenches and grinding out a win. That would be on the strength of their own ground game and the fact that the Horned Frogs defense can focus on shutting down the Tigers run game since Clemson has a freshman quarterback and their offense has often struggled for long periods of time as a result.
While the Tigers got a big win over Boston College last week, their offense did sputter at times and their defense faces a much bigger challenge here from the Horned Frogs than they did from the Eagles last week. While TCU hasn’t even opened up conference action yet, and their game next week is also a non-conference game (against SMU), the Tigers are in a tough ACC sandwich here. They’ve already played two conference games (lost at Georgia Tech, beat Boston College at home last week) and Clemson has an ACC game on deck with a game at Maryland up next. While the Tigers are already watching the ACC standings, the Horned Frogs aren’t even concerned with their MWC Standings yet. The Mountain West action doesn’t even begin for them until they visit Air Force on October 10th. That said, it’s a very focused TCU team that is visiting Clemson on Saturday. Head Coach Gary Patterson and his Horned Frogs are still playing the “no respect” card as an MWC team – we all remember the fuss about Utah’s undefeated season last year as a school in a non-BCS Conference. This lack of respect serves TCU well in a game like this because they have additional motivation and are out to prove they belong.
One of the things we love about TCU in this spot is that, as well as they played, coach Patterson has them believing that they should have (and need to be) much better. They dominated Virginia even more than the final score showed as it was two late touchdowns for the Cavaliers that made them game look much closer than it really was. Also, the offense excelled last week against Texas State, an FCS foe, but the defense looked disinterested at times and wasn’t flying around against the Bobcats. Again, this serves as additional motivation this week and you can bet that the Horned Frogs are fully prepared to fly to the ball against the Tigers and try to “state their case” at Clemson. While the Tigers have RB CJ Spiller back, the losses of QB Cullen Harper and RB James Davis are proving to be huge for this team. The offense has struggled at times under redshirt freshman QB Kyle Parker. Also, this offense lost WR Aaron Kelly, their leading receiver, from last season’s team. Contrast this with a Horned Frogs offense that is led by a junior QB, Andy Dalton, who is also a dangerous runner plus RB Joseph Turner is a senior RB that leads a very tough rushing attack.
The Horned Frogs losses last season came at Oklahoma and at Utah but they actually had more first downs than the Sooners and they dominated the Utes with a huge statistical edge. They lost both of those games on turnovers and this is adding even more value to a team that totally dominated Boise State in the Poinsettia Bowl last season and should have won by much more than a one point margin. They are every bit deserving of their current ranking in the Top 25 and the Frogs come in fully focused here while there are a few concerns for the Tigers here in addition to the “ACC sandwich spot” that they are in. Clemson has scored just one TD on nine trips inside the red zone this season. QB Parker has looked like a freshman already this season with two poorly thrown interceptions against the Eagles a perfect example of this in last week’s game. Also, the Tigers star left tackle, Chris Hairston, is dealing with a sprained left knee and Clemson really needs him in there (if healthy) because the Horned Frogs DE Jerry Hughes is lining up on the other side and is an All-American. Also, a flu bug was running through the team earlier this week and certainly did the Tigers no favors. Look for Clemson to fall short here against a hungry Horned Frogs that is extremely motivated for making a statement in this non-conference affair! Play TCU plus the points as a 10* Top Play selection.
Game: TCU at Clemson Sep 26 2009 3:30PM
Prediction: TCU
Reason: Scott Rickenbach’s College Football Game #317 – 10* (Top Play) TCU Horned Frogs (+) @ Clemson @ 3:30 PM ET –
First off, we want to emphasize here that we are aware of the fact that there could be rain during this game at Clemson on Saturday afternoon. However, the field does drain very well – in fact that was evident in last week’s game versus Boston College where there were two stoppages of play due to inclement weather. Additionally, we feel that the rain does not hinder our “play on” team here as TCU is fully capable of winning this game in the trenches and grinding out a win. That would be on the strength of their own ground game and the fact that the Horned Frogs defense can focus on shutting down the Tigers run game since Clemson has a freshman quarterback and their offense has often struggled for long periods of time as a result.
While the Tigers got a big win over Boston College last week, their offense did sputter at times and their defense faces a much bigger challenge here from the Horned Frogs than they did from the Eagles last week. While TCU hasn’t even opened up conference action yet, and their game next week is also a non-conference game (against SMU), the Tigers are in a tough ACC sandwich here. They’ve already played two conference games (lost at Georgia Tech, beat Boston College at home last week) and Clemson has an ACC game on deck with a game at Maryland up next. While the Tigers are already watching the ACC standings, the Horned Frogs aren’t even concerned with their MWC Standings yet. The Mountain West action doesn’t even begin for them until they visit Air Force on October 10th. That said, it’s a very focused TCU team that is visiting Clemson on Saturday. Head Coach Gary Patterson and his Horned Frogs are still playing the “no respect” card as an MWC team – we all remember the fuss about Utah’s undefeated season last year as a school in a non-BCS Conference. This lack of respect serves TCU well in a game like this because they have additional motivation and are out to prove they belong.
One of the things we love about TCU in this spot is that, as well as they played, coach Patterson has them believing that they should have (and need to be) much better. They dominated Virginia even more than the final score showed as it was two late touchdowns for the Cavaliers that made them game look much closer than it really was. Also, the offense excelled last week against Texas State, an FCS foe, but the defense looked disinterested at times and wasn’t flying around against the Bobcats. Again, this serves as additional motivation this week and you can bet that the Horned Frogs are fully prepared to fly to the ball against the Tigers and try to “state their case” at Clemson. While the Tigers have RB CJ Spiller back, the losses of QB Cullen Harper and RB James Davis are proving to be huge for this team. The offense has struggled at times under redshirt freshman QB Kyle Parker. Also, this offense lost WR Aaron Kelly, their leading receiver, from last season’s team. Contrast this with a Horned Frogs offense that is led by a junior QB, Andy Dalton, who is also a dangerous runner plus RB Joseph Turner is a senior RB that leads a very tough rushing attack.
The Horned Frogs losses last season came at Oklahoma and at Utah but they actually had more first downs than the Sooners and they dominated the Utes with a huge statistical edge. They lost both of those games on turnovers and this is adding even more value to a team that totally dominated Boise State in the Poinsettia Bowl last season and should have won by much more than a one point margin. They are every bit deserving of their current ranking in the Top 25 and the Frogs come in fully focused here while there are a few concerns for the Tigers here in addition to the “ACC sandwich spot” that they are in. Clemson has scored just one TD on nine trips inside the red zone this season. QB Parker has looked like a freshman already this season with two poorly thrown interceptions against the Eagles a perfect example of this in last week’s game. Also, the Tigers star left tackle, Chris Hairston, is dealing with a sprained left knee and Clemson really needs him in there (if healthy) because the Horned Frogs DE Jerry Hughes is lining up on the other side and is an All-American. Also, a flu bug was running through the team earlier this week and certainly did the Tigers no favors. Look for Clemson to fall short here against a hungry Horned Frogs that is extremely motivated for making a statement in this non-conference affair! Play TCU plus the points as a 10* Top Play selection.
