5 Unit Play. Take Chicago Sky -3 over the Detroit Shock (Saturday @ 8pm est). It seems we are on a nice groove in the wnba. Let's hope it continues and continue to focus. These two teams meet for the second time this year. The first time, the Shock won 64-58 at home but the Sky were 7.5 dogs and they covered the spread. The game went well under as the posted total was 150. The Sky are 13-13 and are looking to secure playoff seating currently. While the Conn Sun are 13-12, Atlanta is 14-11 and Indiana is 19-6. The Sky are also tied with Washington who is 13-13 as well in the East. It seems that Detroit could have packed it in for the season as they have lost their last 3. More importantly, this is a pivotal game for the Sky who come off a loss to Phoenix at home. And, the Sky have yet to lose back to back games during this playoff stretch over their last 8 games where they are 6-2 ATS during that span. I like the Sky coming off a loss, having revenge here in a game that they certainly could use to propel them to 14 wins in the East. This team is the #1 team in the league in 3 point field goals percentage at 41.5% and 3rd in the league in field goal % overall at 44.6. I think this is a good opportunity for us to step out here and pick up 5 units as we have made some solid ground over the past 2 weeks. The Shock are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 against the Eastern Conference and the Sky are 5-1 ATS after a straight up loss.
Good luck,
IC
Good luck,
IC
Stardust Sports Picks
Your TOP NFL Winner for Saturday is:
Play on Miami (-2) over Carolina
7:30 P.M. EST (10* Top NFL Play)
Carolina has lost 5 consecutive pre-season games when playing with six days or
less of rest and they have also lost 4 consecutive pre-season games as an
underdog. Carolina has lost 4 of the last 5 pre-season games coming off an OVER
the total and they have also lost 3 of the last 4 non-conference pre-season
games.
Your Extra NFL Winner for Saturday is:
Play on Pittsburgh (pick) over Washington
7:30 P.M. EST (5* Extra NFL Play)
Pittsburgh has won 8 of the last 9 pre-season non-conference games and they have
also won 7 of the last 9 pre-season games when the total posted is 35 points or
less. Washington has lost 9 of the last 10 pre-season games against the spread
after scoring nine or less points in the last game and they have also lost 12 of
the last 14 pre-season games coming off a loss by 14 or more.
Your TOP NFL Winner for Saturday is:
Play on Miami (-2) over Carolina
7:30 P.M. EST (10* Top NFL Play)
Carolina has lost 5 consecutive pre-season games when playing with six days or
less of rest and they have also lost 4 consecutive pre-season games as an
underdog. Carolina has lost 4 of the last 5 pre-season games coming off an OVER
the total and they have also lost 3 of the last 4 non-conference pre-season
games.
Your Extra NFL Winner for Saturday is:
Play on Pittsburgh (pick) over Washington
7:30 P.M. EST (5* Extra NFL Play)
Pittsburgh has won 8 of the last 9 pre-season non-conference games and they have
also won 7 of the last 9 pre-season games when the total posted is 35 points or
less. Washington has lost 9 of the last 10 pre-season games against the spread
after scoring nine or less points in the last game and they have also lost 12 of
the last 14 pre-season games coming off a loss by 14 or more.
Stephen Nover
Diamondbacks at Astros
Pick: Astros -120
I think Arizona's Max Scherzer is a highly promising pitcher. He was 5-2 with a 3.52 ERA in his previous 12 starts until taking a 9-4 loss to the Braves in his last outing, although he surrendered just three earned runs.
But the major part of my handicap in this matchup is a go-against on the Astros' Brian Moehler. He is one of the worst starting pitchers in baseball.
Moehler especially can't pitch at hitter-friendly Minute Maid Park. He's 2-6 with a 6.44 ERA at home this season.
Moehler's ERA in his last three overall starts is 7.31. He has a 5.40 ERA in five career starts versus Arizona. The Astros are 0-5 in Moehler's last five starts.
Diamondbacks at Astros
Pick: Astros -120
I think Arizona's Max Scherzer is a highly promising pitcher. He was 5-2 with a 3.52 ERA in his previous 12 starts until taking a 9-4 loss to the Braves in his last outing, although he surrendered just three earned runs.
But the major part of my handicap in this matchup is a go-against on the Astros' Brian Moehler. He is one of the worst starting pitchers in baseball.
Moehler especially can't pitch at hitter-friendly Minute Maid Park. He's 2-6 with a 6.44 ERA at home this season.
Moehler's ERA in his last three overall starts is 7.31. He has a 5.40 ERA in five career starts versus Arizona. The Astros are 0-5 in Moehler's last five starts.
Wunderdog
Game: New York Yankees at Boston
4 units Boston +130 (moneyline) (risk 4 to win 5.2)
3 units UNDER 10.5 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)
The oddsmakers have a forced hand here after everyone watched these teams put up 31 runs last night, so this one is padded. You know the Red Sox are going to take last night's debacle personally, and come out with a much better resolve for this one. The Red Sox have been devastating at home vs. right-hand pitching, where they have run the count to 90-41 in their last 131 at Fenway. Overall they are now 14-3 against a team with a winning record playing them at Fenway as well. Burnett has pitched well enough to see his last eight starts with a total set between 9-10.5 all go UNDER, and the Sox have played to a 20-7-1 mark in their last 28 as a dog, and under to the tune of 30-13-2 when the opponent scored five or more in their last game. The Yankees haven't exactly been feasting at Fenway, as they are just 1-7 in their last eight played here. I like the Red Sox and the UNDER here.
Game: Texas at Tampa Bay
5 units Tampa Bay -170 (moneyline) (risk 5 to win 2.9)
While the gap between these teams in the standings is minimal, when you consider the venue, the gap is substantial. The Rangers are 55-115 in their last 170 as a dog of +151 to +200. They have a losing record on the road this season, while Tampa Bay has been fielding a wrecking crew in Tampa at 85-35 in their last 120 as a home favorite. Jump that line up to -151 to -200 and they go to a solid 49-11! So we are really looking at 49-11 vs. 55-115 when you get right down to it. I don't see the odds here looking anything close to what those numbers say, especially with Tampa having their ace on the mound in Matt Garza who has had a 3.21 and 2.89 ERA at home the past two seasons. The Rangers have found the wins difficult to come by in Tampa as they have dropped six of their last seven here. I like Tampa in this one.
Game: Texas at Tampa Bay
3 units Tampa Bay -1.5 runs +120 (runline) (risk 3 to win 3.6)
You don't have to look long and hard to find value here, as Tampa is in their best role as a chunky chalk, which is the Rangers worst role - as a chunky dog. The Rays are 49-11 as a favorite from -151 to -200, while the Rangers are just 55-115 in the same size role as a dog. When you consider that Garza is the Rays' ace, and the Rangers are just 1-7 in their last eight played in Tampa, the runline with its plus odds, becomes a very favorable and value-laden proposition. I'll also go with Tampa on the runline in this one.
Game: New York Yankees at Boston
4 units Boston +130 (moneyline) (risk 4 to win 5.2)
3 units UNDER 10.5 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)
The oddsmakers have a forced hand here after everyone watched these teams put up 31 runs last night, so this one is padded. You know the Red Sox are going to take last night's debacle personally, and come out with a much better resolve for this one. The Red Sox have been devastating at home vs. right-hand pitching, where they have run the count to 90-41 in their last 131 at Fenway. Overall they are now 14-3 against a team with a winning record playing them at Fenway as well. Burnett has pitched well enough to see his last eight starts with a total set between 9-10.5 all go UNDER, and the Sox have played to a 20-7-1 mark in their last 28 as a dog, and under to the tune of 30-13-2 when the opponent scored five or more in their last game. The Yankees haven't exactly been feasting at Fenway, as they are just 1-7 in their last eight played here. I like the Red Sox and the UNDER here.
Game: Texas at Tampa Bay
5 units Tampa Bay -170 (moneyline) (risk 5 to win 2.9)
While the gap between these teams in the standings is minimal, when you consider the venue, the gap is substantial. The Rangers are 55-115 in their last 170 as a dog of +151 to +200. They have a losing record on the road this season, while Tampa Bay has been fielding a wrecking crew in Tampa at 85-35 in their last 120 as a home favorite. Jump that line up to -151 to -200 and they go to a solid 49-11! So we are really looking at 49-11 vs. 55-115 when you get right down to it. I don't see the odds here looking anything close to what those numbers say, especially with Tampa having their ace on the mound in Matt Garza who has had a 3.21 and 2.89 ERA at home the past two seasons. The Rangers have found the wins difficult to come by in Tampa as they have dropped six of their last seven here. I like Tampa in this one.
Game: Texas at Tampa Bay
3 units Tampa Bay -1.5 runs +120 (runline) (risk 3 to win 3.6)
You don't have to look long and hard to find value here, as Tampa is in their best role as a chunky chalk, which is the Rangers worst role - as a chunky dog. The Rays are 49-11 as a favorite from -151 to -200, while the Rangers are just 55-115 in the same size role as a dog. When you consider that Garza is the Rays' ace, and the Rangers are just 1-7 in their last eight played in Tampa, the runline with its plus odds, becomes a very favorable and value-laden proposition. I'll also go with Tampa on the runline in this one.
