Randall the Handle
NY Mets +1.88 over NY YANKEES PINNACLE
On strictly value alone, the Mets are a play here. Of course that doesn’t mean they’ll win but damn, this is a big time tag on a strong team. Yesterday’s pitching match-up looked a lot more favorable for the Yanks than this one and the Yanks needed a whole lot of luck and a ninth inning error to overcome an 8-7 deficit, not to mention a 6-3 deficit earlier on. The Mets are a dangerous team, just like the Yanks and Andy Pettitte, although he can be very tough, has thrown a ton of pitches this season and it’ll catch up to him at some point. In fact, his pitch-count over his last several games reads like this; 104, 104, 87, 114, 105, 106 and 115. Pettitte has allowed four runs or more in five of his last eight games and his ERA at home is 5.40 to go along with a .316 BAA. He could definitely get hit hard here. For the Mets, we’ll see a young pitcher with major-league experience. Fernando Nieve has thrown 109 pitches in the bigs and his numbers are not bad at all. He’s started 11 games, he’s appeared in 52 and in those 109 innings, he’s allowed just 105 hits while striking out 84. He’s been up here for a few games and saw action in relief on June 6 in Washington in which he went two full innings and allowed one hit, no runs and struck out two. Nieves has been around for a while and he’s one of those guys that could fill in very nicely for an injured pitcher for a start or two. He’s been up and down for years and won’t be intimidated by this scenario. These long-time minor leaguers that have been around for a while have seen it all and it’s not like he doesn’t have talent. Anyway, the Yanks are overpriced again and the tag here makes the risk a worthy one. Play: NY Mets +1.88 (Risking 2 units).
Atlanta +1.01 over BALTIMORE PINNACLE
I’m going to break my rule of playing AL teams only in inter-league play because the Orioles are absolutely not worthy of being the chalk right now. Whether they’re playing at home or on the road, the Orioles are not scoring runs and that’s an understatement. In fact, over its last 12 games, they’ve scored more than three times in a game just once. They’ve been held to two runs or fewer in eight of those last 12. They have two wins over that stretch and one of the wins was a 1-0 victory over Seattle. They’ve never seen today’s Braves starter and that can’t be beneficial to them in any way. The Braves came in here last night, scored two in the first and it was over. They cruised to an easy 7-2 victory and chances are they’ll win again over this crumbling host. Play: Atlanta +1.01 (Risking 2 units).
Florida +1.30 over TORONTO PINNACLE
The Jays looked completely lifeless last night in a 7-2 loss and this one goes at 1:00 PM. If last night is any indication then there’s a good chance that they’ll be lethargic again today. Ricky Nolasco was having a horrible year indeed until he faced the Jays last night and they made him look very good when in fact, he’s not. Nolasco struck out nine Jays. Today, the Jays will have to deal with Sean West, a guy that throws extremely hard and has wicked stuff. West is a big lefty that has made four big-league starts. In those starts he’s 1-1 with a 2.22 ERA. In 24.1 innings he’s allowed just 14 hits while striking out 15 and the opposition has hit a puny .159 against him. Casey Janssen has also made four starts but his ERA is 5.24 and at home in two starts his ERA is 6.55. The Blue Jays looked awful last night and they’re very vulnerable to another defeat today. Play: Florida +1.30 (Risking 2 units).
Detroit +1.00 over PITTSBURGH PINNACLE
The Pirates held true to form last night with another inter-league loss and have now dropped 41 of its last 56 inter-league games. The fact that they’re favored here is all the incentive needed to pull the trigger on the Tigers. Zach Duke has impressive numbers this season but a lot of luck has figured into that. He’s struck out just five batters over his last 20 innings and now has just 44 k’s in 85 innings of work. He puts the ball in play and he keeps it down but this isn’t the Cubbies, Atlanta, San Diego or Cincinnati he’ll be facing. No, this is the Tigers, a team that has won six of eight and that has a 14-5 record against left-handed starters. Offensively, the Tigers are far superior and when I don’t have to lay anything with the Tigers over the Buccos, you can pencil me in and I make no exception here. Play: Detroit +1.00 (Risking 2 units).
NY Mets +1.88 over NY YANKEES PINNACLE
On strictly value alone, the Mets are a play here. Of course that doesn’t mean they’ll win but damn, this is a big time tag on a strong team. Yesterday’s pitching match-up looked a lot more favorable for the Yanks than this one and the Yanks needed a whole lot of luck and a ninth inning error to overcome an 8-7 deficit, not to mention a 6-3 deficit earlier on. The Mets are a dangerous team, just like the Yanks and Andy Pettitte, although he can be very tough, has thrown a ton of pitches this season and it’ll catch up to him at some point. In fact, his pitch-count over his last several games reads like this; 104, 104, 87, 114, 105, 106 and 115. Pettitte has allowed four runs or more in five of his last eight games and his ERA at home is 5.40 to go along with a .316 BAA. He could definitely get hit hard here. For the Mets, we’ll see a young pitcher with major-league experience. Fernando Nieve has thrown 109 pitches in the bigs and his numbers are not bad at all. He’s started 11 games, he’s appeared in 52 and in those 109 innings, he’s allowed just 105 hits while striking out 84. He’s been up here for a few games and saw action in relief on June 6 in Washington in which he went two full innings and allowed one hit, no runs and struck out two. Nieves has been around for a while and he’s one of those guys that could fill in very nicely for an injured pitcher for a start or two. He’s been up and down for years and won’t be intimidated by this scenario. These long-time minor leaguers that have been around for a while have seen it all and it’s not like he doesn’t have talent. Anyway, the Yanks are overpriced again and the tag here makes the risk a worthy one. Play: NY Mets +1.88 (Risking 2 units).
Atlanta +1.01 over BALTIMORE PINNACLE
I’m going to break my rule of playing AL teams only in inter-league play because the Orioles are absolutely not worthy of being the chalk right now. Whether they’re playing at home or on the road, the Orioles are not scoring runs and that’s an understatement. In fact, over its last 12 games, they’ve scored more than three times in a game just once. They’ve been held to two runs or fewer in eight of those last 12. They have two wins over that stretch and one of the wins was a 1-0 victory over Seattle. They’ve never seen today’s Braves starter and that can’t be beneficial to them in any way. The Braves came in here last night, scored two in the first and it was over. They cruised to an easy 7-2 victory and chances are they’ll win again over this crumbling host. Play: Atlanta +1.01 (Risking 2 units).
Florida +1.30 over TORONTO PINNACLE
The Jays looked completely lifeless last night in a 7-2 loss and this one goes at 1:00 PM. If last night is any indication then there’s a good chance that they’ll be lethargic again today. Ricky Nolasco was having a horrible year indeed until he faced the Jays last night and they made him look very good when in fact, he’s not. Nolasco struck out nine Jays. Today, the Jays will have to deal with Sean West, a guy that throws extremely hard and has wicked stuff. West is a big lefty that has made four big-league starts. In those starts he’s 1-1 with a 2.22 ERA. In 24.1 innings he’s allowed just 14 hits while striking out 15 and the opposition has hit a puny .159 against him. Casey Janssen has also made four starts but his ERA is 5.24 and at home in two starts his ERA is 6.55. The Blue Jays looked awful last night and they’re very vulnerable to another defeat today. Play: Florida +1.30 (Risking 2 units).
Detroit +1.00 over PITTSBURGH PINNACLE
The Pirates held true to form last night with another inter-league loss and have now dropped 41 of its last 56 inter-league games. The fact that they’re favored here is all the incentive needed to pull the trigger on the Tigers. Zach Duke has impressive numbers this season but a lot of luck has figured into that. He’s struck out just five batters over his last 20 innings and now has just 44 k’s in 85 innings of work. He puts the ball in play and he keeps it down but this isn’t the Cubbies, Atlanta, San Diego or Cincinnati he’ll be facing. No, this is the Tigers, a team that has won six of eight and that has a 14-5 record against left-handed starters. Offensively, the Tigers are far superior and when I don’t have to lay anything with the Tigers over the Buccos, you can pencil me in and I make no exception here. Play: Detroit +1.00 (Risking 2 units).
Found this on another thread.
GL
Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons | MLB Money Line
free pick928 ANA (-130) vs 927 SDP
Analysis:
Member Play: The San Diego Padres had originally scheduled Jake Peavy to take
the mound in the second game of an interleague series against the Los Angeles
Angels. Instead, he likely won?t make another start until after the All-Star
break. The Angels? Joe Saunders(notes) (6-4, 3.94) went 3-1 with a 2.03 ERA in
four starts against the NL in 2008 and is set to make his first career start
against San Diego and I expect him to be sharp; LA is 4-2 (+1.2 units) as a home
favorite of -125 to -150! Play on the ANGELS!
GL
Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons | MLB Money Line
free pick928 ANA (-130) vs 927 SDP
Analysis:
Member Play: The San Diego Padres had originally scheduled Jake Peavy to take
the mound in the second game of an interleague series against the Los Angeles
Angels. Instead, he likely won?t make another start until after the All-Star
break. The Angels? Joe Saunders(notes) (6-4, 3.94) went 3-1 with a 2.03 ERA in
four starts against the NL in 2008 and is set to make his first career start
against San Diego and I expect him to be sharp; LA is 4-2 (+1.2 units) as a home
favorite of -125 to -150! Play on the ANGELS!
Robert Ferringo
2 units each
Take #904 Toronto (-135) over Florida (1 p.m., Saturday, June 13)
Take #928 L.A. Angels (-1.5, +100) over San Diego (9 p.m., Saturday, June 13)
Take #923 L.A. Dodgers (+105) over Texas (8 p.m., Saturday, June 13)
Take #914 Tampa Bay (-155) over Washington (6 p.m., Saturday, June 13)
Today's Totals
Take ‘Over’ 9.5 L.A. Dodgers at Texas (8 p.m., Saturday, June 13)
Take ‘Over’ 9.5 Boston at Philadelphia (7 p.m., Saturday, June 13)
Take ‘Under’ 9.0 Minnesota at Chicago Cubs (1 p.m., Saturday, June 13)
Take ‘Over’ 9.0 Florida at Toronto (1 p.m., Saturday, June 13)
2 units each
Take #904 Toronto (-135) over Florida (1 p.m., Saturday, June 13)
Take #928 L.A. Angels (-1.5, +100) over San Diego (9 p.m., Saturday, June 13)
Take #923 L.A. Dodgers (+105) over Texas (8 p.m., Saturday, June 13)
Take #914 Tampa Bay (-155) over Washington (6 p.m., Saturday, June 13)
Today's Totals
Take ‘Over’ 9.5 L.A. Dodgers at Texas (8 p.m., Saturday, June 13)
Take ‘Over’ 9.5 Boston at Philadelphia (7 p.m., Saturday, June 13)
Take ‘Under’ 9.0 Minnesota at Chicago Cubs (1 p.m., Saturday, June 13)
Take ‘Over’ 9.0 Florida at Toronto (1 p.m., Saturday, June 13)
John Siu
Florida Marlins (West) @ Toronto Blue Jays (Janssen)
This price is almost a little too high but I'll lay the chalk with Barksdale behind the dish calling balls and strikes. The home team is on a 4-0 run with him behind the plate calling balls and strikes and may be just what the Jays need to end their 6 game losing run against the Marlins. West has pitched well in place of the injured Sanchez while the Jays haver struggled the last two games at the plate going 2-20 with RISP. The Blue Jays get to the young Marlins starter and back on track after last night's disappointing loss in easy fashion.
Toronto Blue Jays (-135) 10 Dime Early Interleague Winner
Florida Marlins (West) @ Toronto Blue Jays (Janssen)
This price is almost a little too high but I'll lay the chalk with Barksdale behind the dish calling balls and strikes. The home team is on a 4-0 run with him behind the plate calling balls and strikes and may be just what the Jays need to end their 6 game losing run against the Marlins. West has pitched well in place of the injured Sanchez while the Jays haver struggled the last two games at the plate going 2-20 with RISP. The Blue Jays get to the young Marlins starter and back on track after last night's disappointing loss in easy fashion.
Toronto Blue Jays (-135) 10 Dime Early Interleague Winner
Billy Sharp
20 Dime Interleague "Sharp" Game of the Month
Boston Red Sox (Matsuzaka) @ Philadelphia Phillies (Bastardo)
Let's take a look at the Boston Red Sox and the Philadelphia Phillies. The Red Sox are 37-24 with an away record of 16-16, but are on a 5 game winning streak on the road and are beating good teams in that stretch. They beat the Phillies last night in extra innings, swept the Tigers in Detroit and took the last game from the Blue Jays on May 31st. The Phillies meanwhile are dominant on the road, but are playing downright terrible at home. Their home record is 12-15 and 5 of those wins are against the worst team in baseball, the Washington Nationals. Matsuzaka has struggled this season going 1-4 with a 7.33 era, but I look for him to step up tonight. When everyone around you is playing well, you step up your game and that's what he'll do tonight. Bastardo is 2-0 with a 2.45 era, but hasn't seen a lineup like the Red Sox. He is only in his 3rd start of his Major League career and I don't see him beating a hot Red Sox team that is hot on the road. Jump all over the Red Sox tonight and watch them take game 2 in Philly tonight!
Boston Red Sox (+101) 20 Dime Interleague "Sharp" Game of the Month
20 Dime Interleague "Sharp" Game of the Month
Boston Red Sox (Matsuzaka) @ Philadelphia Phillies (Bastardo)
Let's take a look at the Boston Red Sox and the Philadelphia Phillies. The Red Sox are 37-24 with an away record of 16-16, but are on a 5 game winning streak on the road and are beating good teams in that stretch. They beat the Phillies last night in extra innings, swept the Tigers in Detroit and took the last game from the Blue Jays on May 31st. The Phillies meanwhile are dominant on the road, but are playing downright terrible at home. Their home record is 12-15 and 5 of those wins are against the worst team in baseball, the Washington Nationals. Matsuzaka has struggled this season going 1-4 with a 7.33 era, but I look for him to step up tonight. When everyone around you is playing well, you step up your game and that's what he'll do tonight. Bastardo is 2-0 with a 2.45 era, but hasn't seen a lineup like the Red Sox. He is only in his 3rd start of his Major League career and I don't see him beating a hot Red Sox team that is hot on the road. Jump all over the Red Sox tonight and watch them take game 2 in Philly tonight!
Boston Red Sox (+101) 20 Dime Interleague "Sharp" Game of the Month
Dave Malinsky
4* #926 COLORADO Run Line -1.5 +120 over SEATTLE
We do not buy the line movement in this one, and now that the price has dropped into the -160’s, bringing with it the corresponding Run Line adjustment, it is time to get in play with the hottest team in the game right now, a pitcher at the top of his own personal form, and a completely rested bullpen going up against a weak opposing package.The current 9-0 Colorado run has been real. The first eight of those wins came on the road, and they have compiled a +37 advantage in this process. Friday’s complete game from Ubaldo Jimenez to open this series refreshed all bullpen arms, and Jason Marquis is working better than we have seen him in many years, with his 4-1/2.23 over his last five starts keyed by a sparkling ratio of 67 ground ball outs vs. only 27 on the air. He does not face much of a challenge here against one of the weakest offenses in the game, which keeps his form right on track.For the Seattle pitching staff this game can be an adventure. The starting nod goes to the struggling Brandon Morrow, who has worked to an awful 0-3/10.24 on the road this season, and Morrow is expected to be limited to about 60 pitches, even if he does find his good stuff for a change. After that it gets dicey. Ordinarily the first option in long relief is Miguel Batista, but he is unlikely to go after throwing 32 pitches over two full innings last night, with half of them missing the strike zone. That leaves few options to gut through a lot of innings, especially with Morrow himself not part of the bullpen corps, and it means plenty of opportunities for a hot team to break this one wide open.
