B Lang
Saturday ...
20 Dime Orlando Magic
10 Dime Over Magic/Cavaliers
5 Dime Tigers Run Line
5 Dime Cardinals Run Line
Free pick - Brewers (See daily video for your analysis on this game)
Note: I sat there watching the Lakers just have their way with Denver last night and the only thing I kept asking myself is where has that been?
Sure as hell didn't see that kind of effort at Houston in games 4 and 6 but we saw it last night.
That is what is so frustrating handicapping this Laker team. When they really want to play they do. When they don't, as a gambler, you get screwed.
And that was the case last night.
Flat out didn't see that coming and I am pretty confident I am not alone.
So once again, the Dr.Jekyl/Mr.Hyde Lakers figure out a way to beat me on a big play. Unreal.
Really got to step up now.
20 Dime Orlando Magic and 10 Dime Over Magic/Cavaliers - Time for the Magic step up as well. I say this with great urgency because this is just as much a do-or-die game for Orlando, as it is Cleveland. The Magic do not want to go back to Cleveland for a Game 7, so I'm pretty confident we're going to see their absolute best performance tonight. Of course that's what we always get when Orlando plays the Cavs, only this time there's a whole bunch at stake. Everything I'm going to say relates to this being a shootout, so consider the over with everything I'm telling you as well ...
Win tonight and big-bad LeBron go away. No more puppets in their nightmares, just the Kobe one awaiting them in the NBA Finals. Fact is, life would be much simpler with a win tonight. It would mean four days off, to prepare for Kobe and the Lakers, rather than another trip to Cleveland and a Monday night date with the Cavaliers at the Q.
Think about this, the Magic should already be in the NBA Finals, if not for that incomprehensible game-winning shot in Game 2 by King James with one second left in the game. That was the dagger. Fortunately, there's a good chance to recover from that wound. It's a much better wound than the one looming over their heads if they lose these last two games. Forget the three-game collapse, the Magic would have to head to the fishing pond or golf course for the summer, knowing they came within one second of playing for the championship for only the second time in franchise history.
I'm thinking it won't sit well. And I'm thinking the Magic will find that wherewithal they had in Game 6 up in Philly and in Game 7 up in Boston. Only this time they get to do it at home, with the chance to move on to the Finals. Hey, the road resume is impressive, this is a given. But why chance it.
Win the East in front of the home crowd. I've lived in Orlando before, I know what it's like inside that arena. I know all about the Magic, and I am telling you right now this is the most excitable crowd ever, even when Shaq was in town, there wasn't as much hope as there is with the current start wearing the emblazoned S on his chest.
It'll come down to the fourth quarter, again, and you're going to see the Magic will send an extra defender to guard LeBron, while trying to make him give up the ball. And let's not forget how tough the Magic are at defending on the perimeter. We all know Lebron can dish the rock, and so does Stan Van Gundy. Shut down those passing lanes!!! Defend, defend, defend, and create turnovers to create transitional buckets.
The first half is going to be where we get a slew of points. Things may slow up in the third quarter, and we'll stick to the pace in the fourth quarter. When it's all said and done, this one is going to fall in Orlando's favor and will be over the posted number. Magic win, 104-98.
5 Dime Tigers Run Line - To win on the run line you have to have effective pitching and a solid lineup. And when it comes to the Tigers, you don't get much more effective than Justin Verlander. The right-hander is 5-0 with a 0.85 ERA over his last six starts, and in facing an inconsistent Orioles team, I'm looking at a solid 4-run win in this one. Verlander is in off a Memorial-Day win against the Royals, who struck out eight times by his arm. He tossed seven scoreless innings and didn't walk a single batter. I didn't watch the game, but I did read a piece on him and saw the highlights ... kid is incredible with the control he has. He's getting batters to swing and miss from all angles, thanks to the command of his heater, and the right mix of junk at any point in the count. He's owned these Orioles, beating them three times without a loss in four career outings and has a stifling 1.29 ERA in 28 innings against them. Let's lay the run line and take Detroit.
5 Dime Cardinals Run Line - My early vote for Comeback Player of the Year has to be on Chris Carpenter. Talk about a feel-good story, the right-hander has returned twice in incredible shape from injury. He began the 2009 campaign with two spectacular starts after missing nearly all of the last two season with elbow and shoulder issues, and following another sting on the disabled list due to a left oblique strain, he tossed two more startling games. Carpenter, who is 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA, will look to make it five starts without allowing an earned run, which pretty much wraps it up as to why we're playing this one on the run line. The veteran hurler is 2-0 with a 3.03 ERA in four career starts versus San Francisco, and I think we can count on him to neutralize this lineup tonight, while we can bank on the Cardinals to provide plenty of run support against the always abysmal, I-should-have-stayed-in-Oakland, overpaid Barry Zito. Cards roll here.