IC SATURDAY'S COMP PLAY (3 Winners in a Row):
Take Under 8.5 between the Seattle Mariners @ LA Angels (9:05pm est). The last time these two pitchers met, the score was 6-5 Angels, as they LA won in Seattle. Now, these two pitchers and teams hook up in LA as they look to tango once again. Whenever you see two teams and two pitchers hook up, you can usually expect either the pitcher or the hitters to make the necessary changes. Time and time again, pitchers who got shelled in the first game, will bounce-back either due to making the necessary changes, revenge, or through a bounce-back. Felix gave up 11 hits in less than 6 innings as well as 3 walks at home against LA. I don't expect to pitch that bad today as he bounced-back from that terrible start against LA at home against the Giants giving up just 1 earned run in 8 innings. Now, the team he just faced at home whom he struggled against, is the same team he will try to exact revenge against on the road. Palmer gave up 7 hits and 5 runs in 5 innings at Seattle and if he wants to continue to pitch in this rotation, he needs a quality start today. Thus, given the fact that Palmer desperately needs a quality start today and Felix on the bounce-back, I like the under today for hopefully four comp winners in a row. The Under is 5-0 in the M's last 5 road games and the Under is 9-2 in the Angels last 11 home games.
Take Under 8.5 between the Seattle Mariners @ LA Angels (9:05pm est). The last time these two pitchers met, the score was 6-5 Angels, as they LA won in Seattle. Now, these two pitchers and teams hook up in LA as they look to tango once again. Whenever you see two teams and two pitchers hook up, you can usually expect either the pitcher or the hitters to make the necessary changes. Time and time again, pitchers who got shelled in the first game, will bounce-back either due to making the necessary changes, revenge, or through a bounce-back. Felix gave up 11 hits in less than 6 innings as well as 3 walks at home against LA. I don't expect to pitch that bad today as he bounced-back from that terrible start against LA at home against the Giants giving up just 1 earned run in 8 innings. Now, the team he just faced at home whom he struggled against, is the same team he will try to exact revenge against on the road. Palmer gave up 7 hits and 5 runs in 5 innings at Seattle and if he wants to continue to pitch in this rotation, he needs a quality start today. Thus, given the fact that Palmer desperately needs a quality start today and Felix on the bounce-back, I like the under today for hopefully four comp winners in a row. The Under is 5-0 in the M's last 5 road games and the Under is 9-2 in the Angels last 11 home games.
MTi Sports
Cleveland at Orlando
Pick: Magic -1.5
In order for the Cavs to win this one, they have to play a LOT better than they have recently in Orlando. We see no compelling reason for this to happen.In game five, the Cavs had a lot of trouble shaking off the Magic. However, they shot 50% from the field and made 9-of-18 threes to avoid elimination. The Magic are terrific at home in this spot. Orlando is 10-0 ATS as a favorite after a double-digit loss in which they allowed at least 50% from the field. They are 8-0 ATS at home with at most one day of rest after a game in which their opponent shot at least ten three-pointers and made at least half of them and 7-0 ATS after a road loss in which the percentage of their baskets that were assisted was at least ten percentage points lower than their season-to-date average.The player-based trends are just as compelling. Orlando is 19-0 ATS at home after a road in which Dwight Howard had 10+ rebounds and 12+ points as long as they are not laying more than 14 points, winning straight up by an average of 16.2 ppg.Turniong our attention to Rashard Lewis we note that he was 4-of-13 from the field and 1-of-5 from the arc in 40:43 of playing time. Well, the Magic are 16-0 ATS after a loss on the road in which Rashard Lewis played more than 40 minutes and made fewer than five three pointers. In addition, Orlando is 6-0 ATS (13.1 ppg) after a loss on the road in which Rashard Lewis shot worse than 33% from the field.The Cavs are relying heavily on Lebron, but they are 0-7 ATS (-7.3 ppg) since January with at least a day of rest after a win at home in which Lebron James took more than 20 shots. Also, cleveland is 0-5 ATS (-7.3 ppg) since January after a win at home in which Maurice Williams played more than 40 minutes.Finally, the Cavs are 0-10 ATS (-9.3 ppg) as a road dog with at least one day of rest after a double-digit win in which they shot at least 50% from the field.It sure looks as if the Lakers will be facing the Magic in the Championship this season.
MTi’s FORECAST: ORLANDO 104 Cleveland 90
Cleveland at Orlando
Pick: Magic -1.5
In order for the Cavs to win this one, they have to play a LOT better than they have recently in Orlando. We see no compelling reason for this to happen.In game five, the Cavs had a lot of trouble shaking off the Magic. However, they shot 50% from the field and made 9-of-18 threes to avoid elimination. The Magic are terrific at home in this spot. Orlando is 10-0 ATS as a favorite after a double-digit loss in which they allowed at least 50% from the field. They are 8-0 ATS at home with at most one day of rest after a game in which their opponent shot at least ten three-pointers and made at least half of them and 7-0 ATS after a road loss in which the percentage of their baskets that were assisted was at least ten percentage points lower than their season-to-date average.The player-based trends are just as compelling. Orlando is 19-0 ATS at home after a road in which Dwight Howard had 10+ rebounds and 12+ points as long as they are not laying more than 14 points, winning straight up by an average of 16.2 ppg.Turniong our attention to Rashard Lewis we note that he was 4-of-13 from the field and 1-of-5 from the arc in 40:43 of playing time. Well, the Magic are 16-0 ATS after a loss on the road in which Rashard Lewis played more than 40 minutes and made fewer than five three pointers. In addition, Orlando is 6-0 ATS (13.1 ppg) after a loss on the road in which Rashard Lewis shot worse than 33% from the field.The Cavs are relying heavily on Lebron, but they are 0-7 ATS (-7.3 ppg) since January with at least a day of rest after a win at home in which Lebron James took more than 20 shots. Also, cleveland is 0-5 ATS (-7.3 ppg) since January after a win at home in which Maurice Williams played more than 40 minutes.Finally, the Cavs are 0-10 ATS (-9.3 ppg) as a road dog with at least one day of rest after a double-digit win in which they shot at least 50% from the field.It sure looks as if the Lakers will be facing the Magic in the Championship this season.
MTi’s FORECAST: ORLANDO 104 Cleveland 90
Mark Fox
Cleveland at Orlando
Play: Under 193
In this Eastern Conference Finals Game 6 between the Cleveland Cavaliers and Orlando Magic, take the total to stay UNDER the posted number!!!
With the oddsmakers bumping up the total because of the last 2 games, I am switching sides and taking this Game 6 UNDER! I think the 2 best defensive teams in the league will finally showcase that in this game as the Magic try to end this series and the Cavs trying to make it a Game 7 in Cleveland. I look for both teams to play it tight and not make this a run and gun game!
More UNDER Trends:
# The UNDER is 31-17 in the Magic L48 HOME games INCLUDING 8-3 in their L11!!!
# The UNDER is 6-0 in the Cavaliers L6 ROAD games where where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points
Cleveland at Orlando
Play: Under 193
In this Eastern Conference Finals Game 6 between the Cleveland Cavaliers and Orlando Magic, take the total to stay UNDER the posted number!!!
With the oddsmakers bumping up the total because of the last 2 games, I am switching sides and taking this Game 6 UNDER! I think the 2 best defensive teams in the league will finally showcase that in this game as the Magic try to end this series and the Cavs trying to make it a Game 7 in Cleveland. I look for both teams to play it tight and not make this a run and gun game!
More UNDER Trends:
# The UNDER is 31-17 in the Magic L48 HOME games INCLUDING 8-3 in their L11!!!
# The UNDER is 6-0 in the Cavaliers L6 ROAD games where where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points
