JOHN RYAN
Game: UCLA at Villanova Mar 21 2009 1:05PM
Prediction: UCLA
Reason: Ai Simulator 15* graded play on UCLA as they take on Villanova slated to start at 1:05 EST. AiS shows an 86% probability that UCLA will win this game. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 37-12 ATS for 76% winners since 1997. Play on any team that is a good offensive team scoring 74-78 PPG facing a good defensive team allowing 63-67 PPG and after scoring 65 points or less 3 straight games. AiS shows a 95% probability that UCLA will get between 34 and 39 rebounds in this game. Note that UCLA is a near perfect 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game this season. They are also a very strong 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) after a game where they made 88% of their free throws or better since 1997. I also like an optional and alternative wager splitting the 15* amount into a 10* amount on the game line and a 5* amount on the first half line. Since this is a huge 15* play there is NO advantage to adding even more investment. My program is designed for the long haul and has served us very well over 16 years so never do we ever want to load up our success on just a few 15* games. Take UCLA
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Game: UCLA at Villanova Mar 21 2009 1:05PM
Prediction: UCLA
Reason: Ai Simulator 15* graded play on UCLA as they take on Villanova slated to start at 1:05 EST. AiS shows an 86% probability that UCLA will win this game. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 37-12 ATS for 76% winners since 1997. Play on any team that is a good offensive team scoring 74-78 PPG facing a good defensive team allowing 63-67 PPG and after scoring 65 points or less 3 straight games. AiS shows a 95% probability that UCLA will get between 34 and 39 rebounds in this game. Note that UCLA is a near perfect 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game this season. They are also a very strong 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) after a game where they made 88% of their free throws or better since 1997. I also like an optional and alternative wager splitting the 15* amount into a 10* amount on the game line and a 5* amount on the first half line. Since this is a huge 15* play there is NO advantage to adding even more investment. My program is designed for the long haul and has served us very well over 16 years so never do we ever want to load up our success on just a few 15* games. Take UCLA
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<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR bgColor=#dddddd><TD vAlign=top>The Hammer</TD><TD vAlign=top align=right>Guaranteed Selections</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top>Date: Saturday, March 21, 2009
$25.00 Guaranteed: This will be my BIGGEST COLLEGE HOOPS BETS SO FAR THIS YEAR! Yes, I said BET as I do play all of my games right along with you! You can get my MEGA NCAA ROUND TWO TOURNAMENT PLAY OF THE YEAR today for just $25 and you pay only after I win! Look Out Mr Bookie the HAMMER is out to BUST your Butt!!! The BIG MAN is EN FUEGO!!! Currently the Hammer is on a 66-37 run!</TD><TD vAlign=top noWrap align=right>3/21/2009</TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2> </TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2>MEGA NCAA ROUND TWO TOURNAMENT PLAY OF THE YEAR
527 Purdue +1 5:40 EST</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
$25.00 Guaranteed: This will be my BIGGEST COLLEGE HOOPS BETS SO FAR THIS YEAR! Yes, I said BET as I do play all of my games right along with you! You can get my MEGA NCAA ROUND TWO TOURNAMENT PLAY OF THE YEAR today for just $25 and you pay only after I win! Look Out Mr Bookie the HAMMER is out to BUST your Butt!!! The BIG MAN is EN FUEGO!!! Currently the Hammer is on a 66-37 run!</TD><TD vAlign=top noWrap align=right>3/21/2009</TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2> </TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2>MEGA NCAA ROUND TWO TOURNAMENT PLAY OF THE YEAR
527 Purdue +1 5:40 EST</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
Ferringo
3-Unit Play. Take #522 Villanova (-2) over UCLA (1 p.m., Saturday, March 21)
1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 145.0 UCLA vs. Villanova (1 p.m., Saturday, March 21)
1-Unit Play. Take #517 Texas (+7.5) over Duke (8 p.m., Saturday, March 21)
1-Unit Play. Take #528 Washington (-1.5) over Purdue (5:40 p.m., Saturday, March 21)
1.5-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 140.0 Purdue vs. Washington (5:40 p.m., Saturday, March 21)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #526 Oklahoma (-6.5) over Michigan (5 p.m., Saturday, March 21)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #529 Western Kentucky (+11) over Gonzaga (8 p.m., Saturday, March 21)
1-Unit Play. Take #515 LSU (+12.5) over North Carolina (5:45 p.m., Saturday, March 21)
1-Unit Play. Take #523 Maryland (+9.5) over Maryland (3:20 p.m., Saturday, March 21)
3-Unit Play. Take #522 Villanova (-2) over UCLA (1 p.m., Saturday, March 21)
1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 145.0 UCLA vs. Villanova (1 p.m., Saturday, March 21)
1-Unit Play. Take #517 Texas (+7.5) over Duke (8 p.m., Saturday, March 21)
1-Unit Play. Take #528 Washington (-1.5) over Purdue (5:40 p.m., Saturday, March 21)
1.5-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 140.0 Purdue vs. Washington (5:40 p.m., Saturday, March 21)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #526 Oklahoma (-6.5) over Michigan (5 p.m., Saturday, March 21)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #529 Western Kentucky (+11) over Gonzaga (8 p.m., Saturday, March 21)
1-Unit Play. Take #515 LSU (+12.5) over North Carolina (5:45 p.m., Saturday, March 21)
1-Unit Play. Take #523 Maryland (+9.5) over Maryland (3:20 p.m., Saturday, March 21)
Stu's Big Dance 5000 Dime Tournament Games of the Year - Early Edition
UCLA (145) vs Villanova (-2) @ Philadelphia - 1:05 p.m. EST
In what will be a like a home game this afternoon at the Wachovia Center in Philly, Jay Wright's Wildcats will give Ben Howland's Bruins a dose of their own tough-as-nails defense medicine as Villanova pulls away and blasts this UCLA bunch. The Bruins have failed to cover in two straight after just barely surviving against VCU Thursday night. It will be a different story against this Nova team that plays tough, physical defense and will get after this at times offensively-challenged UCLA team. The Bruins can play good defense, too, but they have not been as stout in that department as in recent years as witnessed by UCLA allowing its opponents to make 44.4% percent of their shots this year including 36.3% from beyond the arc. The Cats have three top-notch guards and this team can sink the trey. They've won seven of their last nine straight-up and while UCLA went just 4-7 ATS this year on one day rest, Nova went 10-5 ATS its last 15 versus teams with winning records. The home crowd helped Nova in its second half comeback over American Thursday and they'll be there again to support unsung senior forward Dante Cunningham and the Wildcats as Villanova blows out the Bruins in the second half.
VILLANOVA (-2) 5000 Dime High Roller
Stu's Big Dance 5000 Dime Tournament Games of the Year - Late Edition
Texas A&M (+10) vs UConn (139') @ Philadelphia - 3:35 p.m. EST
UConn just hasn't looked the same since losing floor general Jerome Dyson to a season-ending knee injury and the Huskies will not be able to cover this big number today. In fact, I expect coach Mark Turgeon's Aggies to make the winning plays down the stretch and to win this one outright. The well-balanced Aggies whipped BYU on Thursday and are now on runs of 7-1 SU and 7-2 ATS. They played in the rugged Big 12, which produced two No. 3 seeds and one second-seed for this tournament. Last year they lost to UCLA in the second round in Anaheim. Two years ago they beat Louisville in Lexington. This is a solid team that has covered seven of its last eight Big Dance games and went 10-3 ATS as a dog this year. They've covered three of four against Big East competition and 12 of their last 16 neutral court games, Meanwhile, the Dyson-less Huskies no longer have their best on-ball defender and they got a free pass in the first round in facing a horrid UTC team. Overconfident, UConn, which had dropped two straight on the scoreboard while failing to cover in three straight and six of seven before Thursday, will quickly find that the bulky Aggies will bang with the Huskies inside. Look for big games from both Donald Sloan and Josh Carter as A&M pulls the upset later today.
TEXAS A&M (+10) 5000 Dime High Roller
Stu's 100 Dime Big Dance Five Pack - Game #1
Maryland (131') vs Memphis (-9) @ Kansas City - 3:20 p.m. EST
Here's the deal, outside of Roburt Sallie and his 35 points off the bench, not one Memphis Tiger played up to his potential in the Tigers' opening round win over scrappy Cal State-Northridge. John Calipari's club will not turn in two straight clunkers and the Tigers, winners of 26 straight and 32-3 SU and 21-12 ATS this year, will steamroll this Maryland team that leans way, way too much on one player. Maryland's Greivis Vasquez will see plenty of Tyreke Evans and the Tigers today and the Terps' season comes to a close. Maryland is just 4-7 SU and 3-8 ATS on one or less days rest this year and the much deeper and much more athletic Tigers will win this game by at least 15 points.
MEMPHIS (-9) 100 Dimes
Stu's 100 Dime Big Dance Five Pack - Game #2
Michigan (+6') vs Oklahoma (137) @ Kansas City - 5:50 p.m. EST
The bottom line is that this is just too many points for Oklahoma to cover as the Sooners depend on one player way too much. Of course that one player, Blake Griffin, is a stud, but Michigan is used to playing grind-it-out games in the Big Ten with lots of banging inside. The Sooners got past Morgan State on Thursday, but are still just 3-4 SU and 2-5 ATS in their last seven games and on a 6-9 ATS slide when playing on one or less day's rest. John Beilein's Wolverines have covered seven of their last eight non-conference games and did beat the likes of Duke and UCLA this year. Their quirky offense and unorthodox 1-3-1 zone defense will give the Sooners fits and DeShawn Sims and the Wolverines will easily stay inside this number.
MICHIGAN (+6') 100 Dimes
Stu's 100 Dime Big Dance Five Pack - Game #3
Purdue (139') vs Washington (-1') @ Portland - 5:40 pm EST
Purdue took advantage of a home crowd advantage in Indianapolis last week to win the Big Ten tournament championship, and Washington will take advantage of a home crowd advantage Saturday at the Rose Garden in Portland to win and cover and move onto the Sweet 16. The Boilermakers went 0-2 SU/ATS as a dog this year while Jon Brockman and the Huskies have won four straight and are 7-3 ATS playing on one days rest this season. Washington has a decided edge in the backcourt with Justin Dentmon and Isaiah Thomas the Pac-10 regular season champs will make the plays down the stretch to score this second round win and cover.
WASHINGTON (-1') 100 Dimes
Stu's 100 Dime Big Dance Five Pack - Game #4
LSU (+11) vs North Carolina (157') @ Greensboro - 5:45 pm EST
As per the norm, the Tar Heels are being asked to cover too many points and they will again come up short covering this steep impost. UNC has losing spread marks this year overall, as a favorite and is just 4-10 ATS its last 14 versus teams with winning records. And of course, the status of ACC Player of the Year Ty Lawson is still uncertain as even if he and his much-talked about jammed big toe can go, he will be nowhere near 100 percent. The SEC regular season champion Tigers felt slighted by their seeding for this tournament, but make no mistake, the Bayou Bengals can play. Conference Player of the Year Marcus Thornto will come big as will upperclassmen Garrett Temple and Tasmin Mitchell as the Tigers keep this one close.
LSU (+11) 100 Dimes
Stu's 100 Dime Big Dance Five Pack - Game #5
Western Kentucky (143') vs Gonzaga (-10') @ Portland - 8:10 pm EST
The Hilltoppers won a below average Sun Belt tournament title this year and took advantage of an injured Illinois team Thursday, but Western Kentucky's season comes to a halt tonight as Gonzaga wins this game by at least 15 points. Last year the Bulldogs routed WKU by the tune of 74-51 as the taller and more technically skilled Zags will again handle this Hilltopper team that will not catch Gonzaga off guard. Plenty of Bulldog faithful will be on hand from nearby Spokane and Mark Few's Bulldogs will dominate in the pain in covering this number.
GONZAGA (-10') 100 Dimes
UCLA (145) vs Villanova (-2) @ Philadelphia - 1:05 p.m. EST
In what will be a like a home game this afternoon at the Wachovia Center in Philly, Jay Wright's Wildcats will give Ben Howland's Bruins a dose of their own tough-as-nails defense medicine as Villanova pulls away and blasts this UCLA bunch. The Bruins have failed to cover in two straight after just barely surviving against VCU Thursday night. It will be a different story against this Nova team that plays tough, physical defense and will get after this at times offensively-challenged UCLA team. The Bruins can play good defense, too, but they have not been as stout in that department as in recent years as witnessed by UCLA allowing its opponents to make 44.4% percent of their shots this year including 36.3% from beyond the arc. The Cats have three top-notch guards and this team can sink the trey. They've won seven of their last nine straight-up and while UCLA went just 4-7 ATS this year on one day rest, Nova went 10-5 ATS its last 15 versus teams with winning records. The home crowd helped Nova in its second half comeback over American Thursday and they'll be there again to support unsung senior forward Dante Cunningham and the Wildcats as Villanova blows out the Bruins in the second half.
VILLANOVA (-2) 5000 Dime High Roller
Stu's Big Dance 5000 Dime Tournament Games of the Year - Late Edition
Texas A&M (+10) vs UConn (139') @ Philadelphia - 3:35 p.m. EST
UConn just hasn't looked the same since losing floor general Jerome Dyson to a season-ending knee injury and the Huskies will not be able to cover this big number today. In fact, I expect coach Mark Turgeon's Aggies to make the winning plays down the stretch and to win this one outright. The well-balanced Aggies whipped BYU on Thursday and are now on runs of 7-1 SU and 7-2 ATS. They played in the rugged Big 12, which produced two No. 3 seeds and one second-seed for this tournament. Last year they lost to UCLA in the second round in Anaheim. Two years ago they beat Louisville in Lexington. This is a solid team that has covered seven of its last eight Big Dance games and went 10-3 ATS as a dog this year. They've covered three of four against Big East competition and 12 of their last 16 neutral court games, Meanwhile, the Dyson-less Huskies no longer have their best on-ball defender and they got a free pass in the first round in facing a horrid UTC team. Overconfident, UConn, which had dropped two straight on the scoreboard while failing to cover in three straight and six of seven before Thursday, will quickly find that the bulky Aggies will bang with the Huskies inside. Look for big games from both Donald Sloan and Josh Carter as A&M pulls the upset later today.
TEXAS A&M (+10) 5000 Dime High Roller
Stu's 100 Dime Big Dance Five Pack - Game #1
Maryland (131') vs Memphis (-9) @ Kansas City - 3:20 p.m. EST
Here's the deal, outside of Roburt Sallie and his 35 points off the bench, not one Memphis Tiger played up to his potential in the Tigers' opening round win over scrappy Cal State-Northridge. John Calipari's club will not turn in two straight clunkers and the Tigers, winners of 26 straight and 32-3 SU and 21-12 ATS this year, will steamroll this Maryland team that leans way, way too much on one player. Maryland's Greivis Vasquez will see plenty of Tyreke Evans and the Tigers today and the Terps' season comes to a close. Maryland is just 4-7 SU and 3-8 ATS on one or less days rest this year and the much deeper and much more athletic Tigers will win this game by at least 15 points.
MEMPHIS (-9) 100 Dimes
Stu's 100 Dime Big Dance Five Pack - Game #2
Michigan (+6') vs Oklahoma (137) @ Kansas City - 5:50 p.m. EST
The bottom line is that this is just too many points for Oklahoma to cover as the Sooners depend on one player way too much. Of course that one player, Blake Griffin, is a stud, but Michigan is used to playing grind-it-out games in the Big Ten with lots of banging inside. The Sooners got past Morgan State on Thursday, but are still just 3-4 SU and 2-5 ATS in their last seven games and on a 6-9 ATS slide when playing on one or less day's rest. John Beilein's Wolverines have covered seven of their last eight non-conference games and did beat the likes of Duke and UCLA this year. Their quirky offense and unorthodox 1-3-1 zone defense will give the Sooners fits and DeShawn Sims and the Wolverines will easily stay inside this number.
MICHIGAN (+6') 100 Dimes
Stu's 100 Dime Big Dance Five Pack - Game #3
Purdue (139') vs Washington (-1') @ Portland - 5:40 pm EST
Purdue took advantage of a home crowd advantage in Indianapolis last week to win the Big Ten tournament championship, and Washington will take advantage of a home crowd advantage Saturday at the Rose Garden in Portland to win and cover and move onto the Sweet 16. The Boilermakers went 0-2 SU/ATS as a dog this year while Jon Brockman and the Huskies have won four straight and are 7-3 ATS playing on one days rest this season. Washington has a decided edge in the backcourt with Justin Dentmon and Isaiah Thomas the Pac-10 regular season champs will make the plays down the stretch to score this second round win and cover.
WASHINGTON (-1') 100 Dimes
Stu's 100 Dime Big Dance Five Pack - Game #4
LSU (+11) vs North Carolina (157') @ Greensboro - 5:45 pm EST
As per the norm, the Tar Heels are being asked to cover too many points and they will again come up short covering this steep impost. UNC has losing spread marks this year overall, as a favorite and is just 4-10 ATS its last 14 versus teams with winning records. And of course, the status of ACC Player of the Year Ty Lawson is still uncertain as even if he and his much-talked about jammed big toe can go, he will be nowhere near 100 percent. The SEC regular season champion Tigers felt slighted by their seeding for this tournament, but make no mistake, the Bayou Bengals can play. Conference Player of the Year Marcus Thornto will come big as will upperclassmen Garrett Temple and Tasmin Mitchell as the Tigers keep this one close.
LSU (+11) 100 Dimes
Stu's 100 Dime Big Dance Five Pack - Game #5
Western Kentucky (143') vs Gonzaga (-10') @ Portland - 8:10 pm EST
The Hilltoppers won a below average Sun Belt tournament title this year and took advantage of an injured Illinois team Thursday, but Western Kentucky's season comes to a halt tonight as Gonzaga wins this game by at least 15 points. Last year the Bulldogs routed WKU by the tune of 74-51 as the taller and more technically skilled Zags will again handle this Hilltopper team that will not catch Gonzaga off guard. Plenty of Bulldog faithful will be on hand from nearby Spokane and Mark Few's Bulldogs will dominate in the pain in covering this number.
GONZAGA (-10') 100 Dimes
