Service Plays Saturday 03/14/09

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Brandon Lang Saturday ... 30 Dime Florida State -

15 Dime Louisville -

15 Dime Auburn -

5 Dime Mississippi State -

5 Dime Temple -

Free pick - Missouri (for analysis of this game see daily video)
 

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Chris Jordan:


Saturday sweep...

1,000♦ BINGHAMTON - Let’s get the familiarities out of the way … you all know where Baltimore is located. But Binghamton is in upstate New York, a bit Southwest of Syracuse, near the border of Pennsylvania. I’ve been there several times, and trust me when I tell you this is a town dying for something like this. But that’s not why I’m taking the Bearcats; try looking at how well this team is playing right now.



It’s been 45 days since they’ve lost a game, and the team they lost to is this same Maryland, Baltimore County team that is in town to defend its league title. Only problem, Binghamton is the top-seeded team in the America East Championship, it comes in on a 10-game win streak, it beat the Retrievers by 20, 71-51, just 17 days ago, on Feb. 26 and though UMBC found its way to the final, it’s still 15-16 on the year and is the No. 6 seed.



The Retrievers boast a solid backcourt, but Binghamton plays an impressive brand of defense, and has been quite solid over its last six games, giving up an average of just 59.1 points per game. And the lowest output for UMBC in last 12 games … the 51 it scored here in Vestal, New York. It was the second-lowest output for the Retrievers this season. As for the frontcourt, one might believe UMBC has the edge with go-to guy Darryl Proctor, but this kid Reggie Fuller is the only forward in the Bearcats' four-guard lineup, and he played awfully well down the stretch. He comes in as the team's top rebounder, and that’s an advantage for us. Despite having first-team all-conference Proctor on the floor, the Retrievers have been out-rebounded by an average of three boards per game.



Listen, Binghamton hasn’t seen excitement like this in a long, long time. Maybe since the NHL’s Rangers had their farm team in town. And the Bearcats are 11-2 at home this season, including a five-game win streak at the Events Center. This game will be sold out, and the atmosphere is contagiously raucous. So honestly, I don’t care that UMBC was able to get past No. 3 seed Albany to defend its title … this is year of the Bing. For tonight, forget about being the minor-league town for the NHL’s Senators and the Major League-Mets, it’s all about the Bearcats taking care of business and dancing into this madness of March.



200♦ MEMPHIS - Scroll through these numbers … 49, 41, 47, 60, 42, 60, 63, 47, 47 and 37. Those are the last 10 games for Memphis, and how much it’s given up in each one of them, dating back to the regular season, as far back as Feb. 11. Case you’re wondering, the 37-point allowance? That was in a 63-37 win over Tulsa. The line that day: -14 points. And let’s be real here, with all the talk about who deserves the No. 1 seeds, and most loud mouths on television diarrhea dialogue spewing crap about the Big East, I’ve yet to hear anyone build up these Tigers.



I’ve been telling you for a month and a half about how much John Calipari wants nothing more than to get a top seed, because of how well he’s done when waltzing into the Big Dance with a No. 1 or 2 seed. And forget No. 2, and the memory of Derrick Rose – the Tigers are a deserving No. 1 seed after they win their fourth straight conference tournament crown. These two met in last year’s final, and the Tigers won by 26. Memphis has won the last nine meetings, while covering four of the last six. I am not going against the Tigers, who aren’t receiving any respect whatsoever by analysts around the nation … except me. Lay the chalk.

Paid & confirmed
 

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Tulsa at Memphis (-14'), at Memphis, Tenn.

By Chris Jordan, Featured Handicapper

We'll get to your analysis momentarily, but don't forget my 200? side winner in this contest is available along with my highest-rated release of the entire season out of the America East Conference - my 1,000? College Lock of the Year. The last time I released a 1,000? play it was three weeks ago and New Mexico crushed San Diego State by better than 20 points. This is an early 11:00 a.m. tip time, so don't miss out on starting your day with an extra 1,000 units in hand.



Don't you deserve a winner today?



I know Memphis has put together some defensive masterpieces this season, especially over its past 10 games, but this is not only the championship game between last year’s finalists, but this is the same Tulsa team looking for revenge from an embarrassing 63-37 loss just 32 days ago. Not to mention the blowout loss in last year’s final.



Fact is, this is an improved Tulsa team that has just as much momentum as John Calipari’s bunch right now, and there is no doubt in my head we’re going to see a somewhat high-scoring game for these two. I know I always say to look inside the betting numbers at this point in the season, but that’s near impossible when taking in account six of the last seven meetings have stayed under.



The over is on winning runs in five of Tulsa’s last six, and seven of its last eight after an ATS win. And since both teams have shined offensively the past months and a half, I don’t think it’ll be as tight as everyone thinks.



Memphis put up 74 on Houston yesterday; Tulsa scored 70 on UAB. Now it’s time to outscore one another, and I don’t think either believes the concern is on defense, but rather how to out-perform the other offensively. After all, Calipari knows a blowout win means a No. 1 seed, while the Golden Hurricane have to know the only way to win is to penetrate the D and score points.



Play this one high.

1? OVER


Mississippi State (+3') vs. Lsu, at Tampa

By Chris Jordan, Featured Handicapper

I whole-heartedly agree the Tigers might be the most underappreciated talent right now in college basketball. But boy oh boy do these Bulldogs look awfully rabid after an 82-68 whipping of South Carolina in the quarterfinals of the SEC Tournament. And since Mississippi State's home loss to LSU just a little more than a month ago started a nasty skid that threatened to blow the Bulldogs' entire season, I think there’s revenge in order here.



Mississippi State has won four straight now, and I think it’s more than ready to avenge that 97-94 setback to LSU in double-overtime in Starkville on Feb. 11. It was a game marred by arguably some ugly officiating, and a technical foul at the end of regulation, which resulted in the first overtime tipping off with LSU holding a one-point lead.



The Bulldogs don’t talk much about it, but it’s still fresh in their minds. As is the 24-point shellacking the Tigers gave MSU back on Jan. 21. Prior to this year’s regular-season sweep, Mississippi State had won four straight in this series.



Just looking at the technical point of this game, I see that while both defenses give up their far share of points, it’s the Bulldogs who appear to have the more potent offensive attack. In nine of their last 10 games they’ve scored at least 75 points – six times posting 80 or more. LSU has gotten past 80 just twice in its last 10.



Something strange is brewing here, and I’m going to roll with Mississippi State and the points in this one.


1? MISSISSIPPI STATE


Mississippi State vs. LSU (-3') at Tampa

By Tony Weston, Featured Handicapper

That’s two straight Comp Play winners in a row as Michigan State does its job yesterday. We’re going for No. 3 in a row today as we’re taking Louisiana State over Mississippi State in some SEC action.

In their two meetings this season the Tigers have beaten the Bulldogs by an average of 13.5 points per game. And today, LSU is installed as only about a 3 1/2 point favorite.

We’re taking advantage of that line as we’re taking the Tigers to win this one by double digits.

LSU comes into this game having covered in six of its last eight games when installed as a favorite of between 1/2 and 6 1/2 points and has covered in three straight games against Mississippi State.

Keep in mind also, that over their last 13 games, the Tigers have gone 11-2 SU and have outscored their opponents by nearly five points per, at an average of 75-70.3.

Today, LSU will make it four straight covers against Mississippi State and continue its winning trend. Take LSU easily in this one today.

3? LSU


Auburn vs. Tennessee at Tampa

By Jeff Benton, Featured Handicapper



Finally got back in the free-play win column Friday, as Louisville (4?) rallied in the second half and covered against Villanova. For Saturday, we’ll play Auburn plus the points against Tennessee in SEC tournament action.



This play comes down to the simple fact that no team in the nation – not one! – has been as profitable this season as Auburn. After Friday’s 61-58 upset win over Florida as a 3½-point underdog, the Tigers are now a remarkable 20-5 ATS on the season. That includes 10 consecutive spread-covers in a row and 13 of 15, all in SEC action. The current 10-0 ATS run started with a 78-77 upset win over Tennessee as a 3½-point home underdog on Feb. 7, and during its 13-2 ATS streak, Auburn is 7-0 ATS as an underdog, including five outright upsets!



Auburn essentially punched its Big Dance ticket with yesterday’s win over the Gators, but don’t think for a second that this team – which had lost four straight SEC tournament games (1-3 ATS) before this season and hadn’t advanced past the quarterfinals since 2000 – doesn’t want to win this whole enchilada.



Meanwhile, even though Tennessee was very impressive in last night’s double-digit rout of Alabama, the Vols remain just 8-6 SU in their last 14 and 8-12 ATS in their last 20 (6-10 ATS as a favorite). In fact, UT’s 12-15-1 ATS record this year pales in comparison to Auburn’s 20-5 ATS mark. Grab the points.

5? AUBURN (based on a 1? to 10? scale)


Ohio State vs. MICHIGAN STATE - at Indianapolis

By Sports Gambling Hotline, Featured Handicapper

Outright winner on Temple yesterday to put our Bonus Play run at 23-14-2 the last 39 days!



Today, lay the wood with Michigan State, as the Spartans are making their case for a # 1 seed come Sunday's unveiling of the Big Dance brackets.



Michigan State took care of business yesterday with the win and cover over Minnesota, as Tom Izzo's team ran their winning streak to 6 in a row, and the Spartans have also banked the cabbage in their last pair of wins, and 3 of their last 4.



The Buckeyes did pull the mild upset over Wisconsin yesterday, but they were unable to dent the Spartans in this year's season series, Michigan State winning by 9 in East Lansing as the 11-point favorite, and winning by an impressive 11 at Columbus as the 3-point road choice.



The Spartans have been quietly building their Big Dance resume, and with Pittsburgh, Connecticut, and Oklahoma ALL bowing out early in their respective conference tournaments, perhaps a convincing Spartans win both today, and tomorrow will earn them the right to be a # 1 seed come Sunday night.



It all starts with this semifinal double-digit win, and cover.



Lay the wood!

4? MICHIGAN STATE


Ohio State vs. MICHIGAN STATE (-7'), in Indianapolis

By Bobby Maxwell, Featured Handicapper

We've delivered FREE winners in 27 of the last 48 days and today we've got another one for you as we go with Michigan State to get the job done against Ohio State.



Ohio State just isn't a team that can pull off this upset today. The Buckeyes got to 20 wins with Friday's victory, but they aren't getting No. 21 today because Michigan State is a much better team and Tom Izzo has his team focused and preparing for the Big Dance.



Michigan State has won the last three against Ohio State, including a two-game sweep this season, 67-58 at home and 78-67 in Ohio. The Spartans have covered two of the last three in this series.



The Spartans have won six straight games (4-2 ATS) and they are on ATS runs of 6-2 as a favorite, 6-1 on Saturdays, 7-3 overall (all in Big Ten play) and 44-20-1 as a favorite of 7 to 12 1/2-points. Meanwhile the Buckeyes are just 1-4 ATS in their last five against teams with winning records.



Look for a balanced effort from the Spartans today and they'll pull away late and beat the Buckeyes by double-digits. Play Michigan State.

4? MICHIGAN STATE


Ohio State vs. Michigan State (-7') at Indianapolis

By Drew Gordon, Featured Handicapper

Nice win by the Buckeyes yesterday against Wisconsin, but this is where the winning stops, as they match up against a Spartans team that not only has plenty to play for, but is playing extremely well of late. With all the upsets that happened yesterday, all of a sudden a # 1 seed in the Mayhem is a possibilty, so rest-assured, coach Izzo will have his boys playing HARD in this one, and that's bad news for Ohio State-backers!



Speaking of recent play, leave it up to Tom Izzo to have his team peaking at precisely the right time, winners of 6 in a row SU (4-2 ATS)! They won and covered vs Minnesota yesterday 64-56, and I expect more of the same today. How have they done it? The way you'd expect, on defense, allowing 57 ppg on 39% shooting over their last 5 games! Ohio State's defense has been solid, but they're still allowing a relatively generous 43% shooting over the same 5-game span.



The real difference here is in the paint, where Morgan and Suton can and will own this OSU frontline. Dallas Lauderdale is a decent player, but he's going to get gobbled alive by the Michigan State frontcourt. We all know the Spartans are an excellent rebounding team, and if you do not have the size to match up, you're in BIG trouble. This holds true once again this afternoon, just like it did in both meetings this season!



Looking over their two match ups this season, we learned two things: A. The Spartans frontcort owned the Buckeyes, as mentioned above. And B. Even when the Buckeyes were at home, and shot 54%, they still lost by 11 points, wondering why? Because they simply could not stop the Michigan State offense, led by Kalin Lucas. Spartans shot 49% in Columbus, and I expect another strong shooting effort this afternoon against a beatable Ohio State D. Lay the points, as Izzo and his troops come in focused and ready for this contest.



Take Michigan State over Ohio State in this college hoops match up.

2? MICHIGAN STATE
 

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Karl Garrett

30 DIMER - MISSOURI TIGERS....10 DIMERS - TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS, & TEMPLE OWLS
20 DIMER - MISSOURI TIGERS - 6:00 PM



Time for the clock to strike midnight on Baylor's tournament. Give the Bears credit for springing 3 straight upsets, but Missouri is poised to grab the Big 12 tourney title for the first time since I can remember!



Mizzou has covered both of their tournament games as the favorite, and they also dismantled Baylor 89-72 as the 6 1/2-point favorite back on January 31st.



Missorui has also been lights out when installed as the favorite, covering 8 of their last 10 in that role.



G-Man is going to lay the points in this Big 12 title game, as the Tigers head into the Big Dance with a head of steam.



10 DIMER - TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS - 3:20 PM



I have a feeling both Auburn, and Tennesee have assured themselves of an invite to next week's fiesta, but I also have a feeling that aside from their head scratching loss to Alabama at home to end the regular season, the Volunteers are the call in today's contest.



Auburn couldn't be any hotter, winning 5 straight, and 9 of 10, while covering in ALL 10 of those games! Included is a 78-77 home upset of Tennessee, so as you can see, the Vols have a little added "revenge" motivation.



Tennessee is on a little run of their own, as they have now won 4 of their last 5, and of particular note in that string are solid road wins at South Carolina, and Florida.



G-Man riding the Volunteers in this one.



10 DIMER - TEMPLE OWLS - 6:00 PM



Hot vs. Hot today in Atlantic City, but I am siding with the "home" team in this one, as Temple figures to have some fans in the stands for this 40-minute clash.



The Owls won the season's lone meeting by 5 at the Polombo Center, and they have won 5 of the last 6, and 8 of the last 10 series showdowns overall.



The Iron Dukes have caught fire in the tourney, but they didn't exactly burn things up to close the regular season, losing 2 of 3, and 4 of their final 7.



Temple meanwhile, has won 9 of their last 11 to get to this point.



Gotta "give a hoot", and lay it with the Owls!
 
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Gina

Saturday, March 14th, 2009 8:00 p.m. est.
Charlotte Bobcats (28-37) at Minnesota Timberwolves (19-46)
The Bobcats should get back to winning ways when they visit the pitiable Timberwolves. Minnesota has dropped 11 of their last 12 games and 12 of its last 13 at home. Go with Charlotte to grab their fifth straight win over shatter Minnesota. The Bobcats are 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games versus the Wolves and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 in Minnesota.

Charlotte Bobcats -4
 
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Johnny Guild

Michigan St Spartans -7.5

Saturday, March 14, 2009 8:30 PM EST.
San Antonio Spurs (43-21) at Houston Rockets (43-24)
San Antonio has played well away from home, but the home team in this rivalry has won the last six clashes. The Rockets have won 12 of heir last 15 games and have been a tough team to beat on their home court. Take the Rockets to win and cover a close battle at the Toyota Center. The Rockets are 6-3 ATS in the last nine meetings with the Spurs and the home team in this series has covered the spread in the last four contests.

Houston Rockets -2
 

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Johnnie's Picks

3/14/09

St. Louis -112
Minnesota -129
Chi. Cubs -112
LA Dodgers +101

Tulsa/Memphis == O/120
Ohio St/Michigan St= U/126.50
 

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Dr. Canada

Game 1 - Islanders/Bruins over 5.5

Game 2 - Rangers/Flyers over 5.5

Game 3 - Red Wings/Blues over 5.5

Game 4 - Senators/Penguins over 5.5

Game 5 - Hurricanes/Capitals over 6
 

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Most Recent <fieldset class="fieldset-box" style="margin: 0px 0px 10px;"> <legend class="legend-box">Sports Bob Free Sports Picks March 14 2009</legend>

By Free Nba Picks - Last updated: Saturday, March 14, 2009


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GREG SHAKER

NCAAB: Ohio State Buckeyes at Michigan State Spartans - Under 126 -110
Game Date: 3/14/2009
Note: Michigan State games over the last few days of this season and the first game of the Big Ten Tournament are prime examples of why we see lower than usual scoring affairs during the time when wins mean the most. The Cream D Teams bring their Cream to the Top and that has what has happened to the Spartans the last 6 times they have been on the court. This squad is ranked #10 in defensive efficiency this year and they are displaying their talents in a big way with six consecutive victories. Over this span opponents are connecting on just 38% of their shots, and they are scoring just 56 points per contest. Much of scoring woes have been not due to anything more than a much lower pace being set. Over the course of the season, the Spartans have ranked at or near the Top 100 in this department, but the have slipped hard into more halfcourt of late and that is typical. Perhaps that is why they are 5-1 UNDER last 6, and low and behold and they are 9-1 UNDER last 10 as well. Trends like this mean something when they mean something. With Ohio State on the other side of the court today, it would be far fetched to expect anything other than what has been going on lately. The Buckeyes have the #300 Pace in the country out of 341 teams. That means they crawl up the court. Including yesterday, they are 10-3 UNDER when not playing on their homecourt. Their last 4 games have played UNDER the Total. Trends like this mean something when they mean something. Wait! I have already told you that. Ohio State is within the Top 25% of all D squads in the country. They too are peaking at this phase of their game. They too are limiting their opponents to less than good shot selection and many fewer points. They too are playing even a slower pace. Vegas has set this betting line low and it is falling from an open of 127.5. Not low enough. Play it down to 124 and feel good about hearing a lot of Doinks and not many put backs with both teams gobbling down defensive rebounds like a Buckeye Cheerleader gobbles down a Kilbasa.
 
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CRAIG TRAPP

Today Florida State try's to derail the favorite North Carolina. UNC is a -9.5 point favorite and hopes to get Ty Lawson back after he missed yesterday with an injured big toe. North Carolina held on to win yesterday with a tight win 79-76 over Virginia tech while FSU held on to a win over Georgia Tech 64-62. Earlier this year these two played with North Carolina going to FSU and winning 80-77.

Betting Trends ATS

-Seminoles are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.
-Seminoles are 14-4-1 ATS in their last 19 games as an underdog.
-Seminoles are 21-8-2 ATS in their last 31 games overall.
-Tar Heels are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
-Tar Heels are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.
-Tar Heels are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

ATS Records

FSU 17-7 ATS overall record 10-3 away record ATS
UNC 11-18 ATS overall record 7-8 away record ATS

Not sure if Lawson is going to play but either way like FSU and the +9.5 points here ATS. Douglas has been unbelievable for FSU all season and think he will keep them in the game. If Lawson does not play think UNC will lose straight up but looks like a game time decision today. UNC has poor all year ATS whereas FSU has been great ATS all year. Don't look for the trends to change today. SCORE UNC 80 - FSU 78
 
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DCI

NHL

BOSTON 4, N.Y. Islanders 2
PHILADELPHIA 3, N.Y. Rangers 2
Detroit 4, ST. LOUIS 3
PITTSBURGH 4, Ottawa 2
BUFFALO 4, Atlanta 3
Calgary 4, TORONTO 3
New Jersey vs. MONTREAL: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Carolina vs. WASHINGTON: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
FLORIDA 4, Tampa Bay 2
DALLAS 3, Minnesota 2
Colorado vs. EDMONTON: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Nashville vs. PHOENIX: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
SAN JOSE 4, Los Angeles 2
 
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DCI

NBA

Utah 100, MIAMI 99
Charlotte 97, MINNESOTA 94
New Orleans vs. CHICAGO: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
HOUSTON 94, San Antonio 91
DENVER 109, L.A. Clippers 92
PHOENIX 112, Oklahoma City 103
 
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ATS LOCK CLUB
8-Temple -5 over Duquesne 6:00
5-Auburn +4 over Tennessee 3:20
3-Arizona State -1 over USC 6:00
<!-- / message -->
 

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BobbyClarkeSports
Tulsa +14
Miss St -3.5
No Carolina -8.5
Baylor +4.5
Temple -4.5
Duke -8.5
Binghamton -6
Northridge +1

Wager 770 to win 700 on all bets...
 

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