IndianCowboy
Sport: College Basketball
Game: Michigan @ Connecticut Huskies - Saturday February 7, 2009 6:00 pm
Pick: 4 unit(s) ATS: Connecticut Huskies -16.5 (-110) (Play of the Day)
4 Unit Play. #582. Take UCONN -16.5 over Michigan (Saturday @ 6pm est). Let's go 6-0 on the week in College Ball. I know we have hit 4 straight College Dogs Outright, but today we're going to lay the wood on a favorite. I'm not the one to necessarily lay the wood on favorites, in fact, the last time I did was when Illinois crushed Indiana in 5* selection which brought our Big Ten 5* Selections to a perfect lifetime 9-0 and our 5* selections to 30-7 Lifetime as well. UCONN is rolling and I believe Michigan is going to have a let down after their win against Penn State at home. Remember, Michigan is the same team that went on the road to lose by 18 to Purdue, the same team to lose by 18 to Ohio State on the road, the same team to lose by 15 to Penn State and 15 to Illinois. Why in the world can this team not lose by 17 to the #1 team in the country in Uconn? What has Michigan done on the road this year after all? Yes, this team beat Duke - but that was at home. Yes, this team beat NW - but that was at home. On the highway, this team has gotten crushed for the most part. Plus, what was the point total in these road contests? This team put up 49 points at Purdue, 54 points at Ohio State, 58 at Penn State, 58 at Ohio State and 51 points at Illinois. If this team thinks that point total is going to be enough to be competitive or get inside this number today, I think they need to reconsider. UCONN is the type of team that puts up 75+ points at home and there is no reason why they don't want to lay the hammer down on "Michigan" - a school with plenty of name recognition and who has an outside shot at going to the Dance. I look for UCONN, the same team that beat Louisville on the road by 17, Providence at home by 33, Depaul on the road by 21 and Rutgers at home by 21 to get the job done here as they likely win by 20+ when all is said and done. The Wolverines are 0-4 ATS as Underdogs and UCONN is a solid 5-0 ATS on Saturday games and of course, this is a night game so the crowd will be rocking and wanting a show which the #1 team in the land will provide.
Good luck,
Indian Cowboy.
Sport: College Basketball
Game: Michigan @ Connecticut Huskies - Saturday February 7, 2009 6:00 pm
Pick: 4 unit(s) ATS: Connecticut Huskies -16.5 (-110) (Play of the Day)
4 Unit Play. #582. Take UCONN -16.5 over Michigan (Saturday @ 6pm est). Let's go 6-0 on the week in College Ball. I know we have hit 4 straight College Dogs Outright, but today we're going to lay the wood on a favorite. I'm not the one to necessarily lay the wood on favorites, in fact, the last time I did was when Illinois crushed Indiana in 5* selection which brought our Big Ten 5* Selections to a perfect lifetime 9-0 and our 5* selections to 30-7 Lifetime as well. UCONN is rolling and I believe Michigan is going to have a let down after their win against Penn State at home. Remember, Michigan is the same team that went on the road to lose by 18 to Purdue, the same team to lose by 18 to Ohio State on the road, the same team to lose by 15 to Penn State and 15 to Illinois. Why in the world can this team not lose by 17 to the #1 team in the country in Uconn? What has Michigan done on the road this year after all? Yes, this team beat Duke - but that was at home. Yes, this team beat NW - but that was at home. On the highway, this team has gotten crushed for the most part. Plus, what was the point total in these road contests? This team put up 49 points at Purdue, 54 points at Ohio State, 58 at Penn State, 58 at Ohio State and 51 points at Illinois. If this team thinks that point total is going to be enough to be competitive or get inside this number today, I think they need to reconsider. UCONN is the type of team that puts up 75+ points at home and there is no reason why they don't want to lay the hammer down on "Michigan" - a school with plenty of name recognition and who has an outside shot at going to the Dance. I look for UCONN, the same team that beat Louisville on the road by 17, Providence at home by 33, Depaul on the road by 21 and Rutgers at home by 21 to get the job done here as they likely win by 20+ when all is said and done. The Wolverines are 0-4 ATS as Underdogs and UCONN is a solid 5-0 ATS on Saturday games and of course, this is a night game so the crowd will be rocking and wanting a show which the #1 team in the land will provide.
Good luck,
Indian Cowboy.
Dr. Bob -
Saturday Daytime Opinions/Possible Best Bets
GEORGE WASHINGTON (-13 ½) over Fordham
Rotation #530 – 10 am Pacific
George Washington has lost 11 consecutive games but is favored by double-digits - which tells you how bad Fordham is. Fordham did win a couple of games back with an upset at St. Bonaventure, but the Rams are just 21-43-2 ATS as an underdog of more than 2 points away from home under coach Dereck Whittenburg, including 9-36 ATS if they are not coming off 2 or more consecutive losses (0-3 ATS this season). Most of George Washington’s recent losses (8 of 11) have been away from home, but the Colonials are 40-19-1 ATS in their last 60 lined home games under coach Karl Hobbs, including 2-1-1 this season. My ratings favor George Washington by 15 ½ points and there is no way the Colonials are going to letdown given their long losing streak. I’ll lean with GW at -14 or less and I’d take George Washington in a 2-Star Best Bet at -12 points or less.
Miami-Florida (+14) over DUKE
Rotation #533 – 10:30 am Pacific
Duke is coming off a humiliating 47-74 loss at Clemson while Miami is coming off an impressive 79-52 upset win over highly ranked Wake Forest. Miami applies to a 181-90-3 ATS big road underdog momentum situation today while Duke’s loss sets them up in a negative 41-89-4 ATS situation. Duke is only 29-41 ATS in conference games after a conference loss over the years, so there is certainly no evidence that they’ll have an easy time bouncing back from their loss at Clemson. Miami, meanwhile, is 20-11-2 ATS as a conference dog of 2 points or more away from home, including 13-1-1 ATS against a team coming off a loss. Unfortunately, my ratings favor Duke by 15 points, so the line isn’t high enough to make this game a Best Bet. I’d take Miami-Florida in a 2-Star Best Bet at +15 points or more.
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Saturday Daytime Opinions/Possible Best Bets
GEORGE WASHINGTON (-13 ½) over Fordham
Rotation #530 – 10 am Pacific
George Washington has lost 11 consecutive games but is favored by double-digits - which tells you how bad Fordham is. Fordham did win a couple of games back with an upset at St. Bonaventure, but the Rams are just 21-43-2 ATS as an underdog of more than 2 points away from home under coach Dereck Whittenburg, including 9-36 ATS if they are not coming off 2 or more consecutive losses (0-3 ATS this season). Most of George Washington’s recent losses (8 of 11) have been away from home, but the Colonials are 40-19-1 ATS in their last 60 lined home games under coach Karl Hobbs, including 2-1-1 this season. My ratings favor George Washington by 15 ½ points and there is no way the Colonials are going to letdown given their long losing streak. I’ll lean with GW at -14 or less and I’d take George Washington in a 2-Star Best Bet at -12 points or less.
Miami-Florida (+14) over DUKE
Rotation #533 – 10:30 am Pacific
Duke is coming off a humiliating 47-74 loss at Clemson while Miami is coming off an impressive 79-52 upset win over highly ranked Wake Forest. Miami applies to a 181-90-3 ATS big road underdog momentum situation today while Duke’s loss sets them up in a negative 41-89-4 ATS situation. Duke is only 29-41 ATS in conference games after a conference loss over the years, so there is certainly no evidence that they’ll have an easy time bouncing back from their loss at Clemson. Miami, meanwhile, is 20-11-2 ATS as a conference dog of 2 points or more away from home, including 13-1-1 ATS against a team coming off a loss. Unfortunately, my ratings favor Duke by 15 points, so the line isn’t high enough to make this game a Best Bet. I’d take Miami-Florida in a 2-Star Best Bet at +15 points or more.
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JOE NELSON
Minnesota at Ohio St
Play: Minnesota +5
Minnesota played as poorly as possible against Michigan State for an ugly loss last week. Coach Smith should have a very motivated squad and this could be a tough situation for Ohio State as the Buckeyes enter this game off a big national TV win over Purdue that took overtime. Minnesota won the first meeting between these teams in Minneapolis but a revenge effort might not happen tonight. Minnesota severely out-rebounded Ohio State in that game and the Buckeyes had a big edge at the free throw line yet still lost by nine points. Ohio State has been beatable at home as well as West Virginia destroyed the Buckeyes in Columbus and Michigan State also picked up a convincing win in this building. Purdue, Iowa, Butler, and Bowling Green also played games down to the wire here. Ohio State has allowed over 70 points per game in the past five games while Minnesota is giving up just 63 points per game in that span. Free throw shooting has been a problem for Ohio State and despite having good size the Buckeyes have not been a strong rebounding team. Minnesota has the depth and quickness to control this game and should deliver a great effort coming off an ugly loss. Minnesota has already won three road games in Big Ten play and is 5-2 S/U away from home so far this season.
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Minnesota at Ohio St
Play: Minnesota +5
Minnesota played as poorly as possible against Michigan State for an ugly loss last week. Coach Smith should have a very motivated squad and this could be a tough situation for Ohio State as the Buckeyes enter this game off a big national TV win over Purdue that took overtime. Minnesota won the first meeting between these teams in Minneapolis but a revenge effort might not happen tonight. Minnesota severely out-rebounded Ohio State in that game and the Buckeyes had a big edge at the free throw line yet still lost by nine points. Ohio State has been beatable at home as well as West Virginia destroyed the Buckeyes in Columbus and Michigan State also picked up a convincing win in this building. Purdue, Iowa, Butler, and Bowling Green also played games down to the wire here. Ohio State has allowed over 70 points per game in the past five games while Minnesota is giving up just 63 points per game in that span. Free throw shooting has been a problem for Ohio State and despite having good size the Buckeyes have not been a strong rebounding team. Minnesota has the depth and quickness to control this game and should deliver a great effort coming off an ugly loss. Minnesota has already won three road games in Big Ten play and is 5-2 S/U away from home so far this season.
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Joe D'Amico
Miami at Philadelphia
Play: Philadelphia -3.5
Prior to Miami's win over Philly back in November, the 76er's have dominated the Heat winning and covering 5 straight in the series. Philadelphia has has the upper-hand at the Wachovia Center, going 14-2 SU and covering 8 of the last 9 vs. the Heat in Philly. Miami is just 6-13-1 ATS their last 20 games on 2 days rest and 8-23 ATS their last 31 vs. the NBA Atlantic. The 76er's are 4-0-1 ATS their last 5 vs. the NBA Southeast, 7-2 ATS their last 9 vs. teams with a winning record, and 29-13 ATS their last 42 games played on Saturday. Philly is in 7th place in the East, just 2 games back of the 6th place Heat. In their first game, Iguodala had a season low 2 points. He will come back with a vengence. The line is low due to the absence of Elton Brand. But Miller, Iguodala, and Dalembert will step up. Philly minus the points.
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Miami at Philadelphia
Play: Philadelphia -3.5
Prior to Miami's win over Philly back in November, the 76er's have dominated the Heat winning and covering 5 straight in the series. Philadelphia has has the upper-hand at the Wachovia Center, going 14-2 SU and covering 8 of the last 9 vs. the Heat in Philly. Miami is just 6-13-1 ATS their last 20 games on 2 days rest and 8-23 ATS their last 31 vs. the NBA Atlantic. The 76er's are 4-0-1 ATS their last 5 vs. the NBA Southeast, 7-2 ATS their last 9 vs. teams with a winning record, and 29-13 ATS their last 42 games played on Saturday. Philly is in 7th place in the East, just 2 games back of the 6th place Heat. In their first game, Iguodala had a season low 2 points. He will come back with a vengence. The line is low due to the absence of Elton Brand. But Miller, Iguodala, and Dalembert will step up. Philly minus the points.
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Beat Your Bookie
Daily Premium Hoops & Hockey Winners for Saturday
NCAA Basketball
100* Play Mississippi (+6.5) over Vanderbilt (NCAA)
Mississippi is 7-1 ATS vs. conference opponents this season
Mississippi is 7-1 SU over the last 8 games
Mississippi is 5-1 ATS in road games this season
Mississippi is 9-1 ATS coming off a game as an underdog
100* Play Kansas State (+3) over Texas A&M (NCAA)
Kansas State is 8-1 ATS after allowing 55 points or less the last game
Kansas State is 12-2 SU coming off a win
Kansas State is 4-0 SU over the last 4 games
Texas A&M is 1-3 ATS as a home favorite this season
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Daily Premium Hoops & Hockey Winners for Saturday
NCAA Basketball
100* Play Mississippi (+6.5) over Vanderbilt (NCAA)
Mississippi is 7-1 ATS vs. conference opponents this season
Mississippi is 7-1 SU over the last 8 games
Mississippi is 5-1 ATS in road games this season
Mississippi is 9-1 ATS coming off a game as an underdog
100* Play Kansas State (+3) over Texas A&M (NCAA)
Kansas State is 8-1 ATS after allowing 55 points or less the last game
Kansas State is 12-2 SU coming off a win
Kansas State is 4-0 SU over the last 4 games
Texas A&M is 1-3 ATS as a home favorite this season
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SMOOT44/ WSP
THE 'CUSE +6 -120
Pre-game Comment: Nova has won 5 of L6 and covered 6 straight. The Cuse got back on track last time out with a nice win over WVa. Today I like the Cuse because of their big man down low. I believe he will be the difference today and his presence will be enough to get Nova out of their game plan. Some feel the Cuse's win over the Mountaineers wasn't enough to get them back on track but I feel different, at least for today!
(CBB) 12:00PM EST
GEORGETOWN -10 -120
Pre-game Comment: The Hoyas have failed to cover 5 straight and yet are still a double digit fave to Cincy, a team that has won and covered 6 of their L8? I don't think so. Cincy has struggled on the road this year when facing solid competition and I believe the Hoyas presents them with many match up challenges. Look for the Hoyas to make a statement today!
(CBB) 1:00PM EST
MISSISSIPPI +7
Pre-game Comment: The two teams are more evenly matched than the line suggests. Vandy is 0-2 ATS this year when coming off a 5-9 point win and also 0-2 ATS this year as a 5-7 point fave! Meanwhile, Ole Miss has loved stepping up in competition this year and is an impressive 11-3 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record! I love Ole Miss to win the battle of the boards and to keep this close throughout and possibly stealing the outright win!
(CBB) 1:30PM EST
MIAMI-FL +14
Pre-game Comment: Duke is one of "America's" teams so it should not surprise us to see such an inflated line off their blowout loss last time out. While most of the world will be riding Duke I will gladly run the other way! Maimi is a very long and athletic team and they match up very well with the Devils. The Canes play great defense and defend the perimeter as well as anyone in the nation! They also crash the boards on both ends. I see them giving Duke trouble and an upset by the Canes wouldn't shock me!
(CBB) 2:00PM EST
NEBRASKA +4 -120
Pre-game Comment: Oddsmakers and the general public continue to over-value the Longhorns and today is no different. However, the Longhorns are just an average team in my opinion. The Huskers are an impressive 7-1 at home when coming off a win while Texas a perfect 0-3 ATS as a 3-4.5 point fave this season! Huskers win in a mild upset!
(CBB) 4:00PM EST
TEXAS A&M -3 -120
Pre-game Comment: K-ST appears to be rolling winning 4 straight while TXAM has dropped 4 of their L6. And this is exactly where we get our line value from. The Aggies are coming off a brutal stretch that included Texas, Kansas and Oklahoma twice so today they should welcome this step down in competition and at home! K-ST has struggled on the road covering just 3 of their L9 in this spot. Take the Aggies to get back to the win column!
(CBB) 6:00PM EST
NORTHWESTERN +2
Pre-game Comment: Northwestern continues to get no respect from oddsmakers but today I believe they make a statement. This team is very athletic and can hit the open 3's. If they are successful in hitting the 3's they force Iowa out of the paint and to respect the perimeter. This will lead to many opportunities for the Wildcats to drive the lines and get some easy buckets. I like this Northwestern team and believe they can be one of this year's surprises come tourney time. However, they have to prove to me they can win on the road and today is their chance!
(CBB) 8:00PM EST
OHIO STATE -4 -120
Pre-game Comment: Simply backing a system that involves backing certain unranked home teams against a ranked opponent. OSU fits into this system today! Some expect Minny to bounce back strong off that humiliating loss last time out but I don't!
(NBA) 8:35PM EST
MINNESOTA +8
Pre-game Comment: The T-Wolves have covered 13 of their L19 games and are an impressive 17-7 ATS on the road this year. The Wolves are also an impressive 7-3 ATS when coming off a 5-9 point loss. Meanwhile, Houston is a perfect 0-3 ATS when playing on 2 days rest and playing an opponent who is also on 2 days rest!
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THE 'CUSE +6 -120
Pre-game Comment: Nova has won 5 of L6 and covered 6 straight. The Cuse got back on track last time out with a nice win over WVa. Today I like the Cuse because of their big man down low. I believe he will be the difference today and his presence will be enough to get Nova out of their game plan. Some feel the Cuse's win over the Mountaineers wasn't enough to get them back on track but I feel different, at least for today!
(CBB) 12:00PM EST
GEORGETOWN -10 -120
Pre-game Comment: The Hoyas have failed to cover 5 straight and yet are still a double digit fave to Cincy, a team that has won and covered 6 of their L8? I don't think so. Cincy has struggled on the road this year when facing solid competition and I believe the Hoyas presents them with many match up challenges. Look for the Hoyas to make a statement today!
(CBB) 1:00PM EST
MISSISSIPPI +7
Pre-game Comment: The two teams are more evenly matched than the line suggests. Vandy is 0-2 ATS this year when coming off a 5-9 point win and also 0-2 ATS this year as a 5-7 point fave! Meanwhile, Ole Miss has loved stepping up in competition this year and is an impressive 11-3 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record! I love Ole Miss to win the battle of the boards and to keep this close throughout and possibly stealing the outright win!
(CBB) 1:30PM EST
MIAMI-FL +14
Pre-game Comment: Duke is one of "America's" teams so it should not surprise us to see such an inflated line off their blowout loss last time out. While most of the world will be riding Duke I will gladly run the other way! Maimi is a very long and athletic team and they match up very well with the Devils. The Canes play great defense and defend the perimeter as well as anyone in the nation! They also crash the boards on both ends. I see them giving Duke trouble and an upset by the Canes wouldn't shock me!
(CBB) 2:00PM EST
NEBRASKA +4 -120
Pre-game Comment: Oddsmakers and the general public continue to over-value the Longhorns and today is no different. However, the Longhorns are just an average team in my opinion. The Huskers are an impressive 7-1 at home when coming off a win while Texas a perfect 0-3 ATS as a 3-4.5 point fave this season! Huskers win in a mild upset!
(CBB) 4:00PM EST
TEXAS A&M -3 -120
Pre-game Comment: K-ST appears to be rolling winning 4 straight while TXAM has dropped 4 of their L6. And this is exactly where we get our line value from. The Aggies are coming off a brutal stretch that included Texas, Kansas and Oklahoma twice so today they should welcome this step down in competition and at home! K-ST has struggled on the road covering just 3 of their L9 in this spot. Take the Aggies to get back to the win column!
(CBB) 6:00PM EST
NORTHWESTERN +2
Pre-game Comment: Northwestern continues to get no respect from oddsmakers but today I believe they make a statement. This team is very athletic and can hit the open 3's. If they are successful in hitting the 3's they force Iowa out of the paint and to respect the perimeter. This will lead to many opportunities for the Wildcats to drive the lines and get some easy buckets. I like this Northwestern team and believe they can be one of this year's surprises come tourney time. However, they have to prove to me they can win on the road and today is their chance!
(CBB) 8:00PM EST
OHIO STATE -4 -120
Pre-game Comment: Simply backing a system that involves backing certain unranked home teams against a ranked opponent. OSU fits into this system today! Some expect Minny to bounce back strong off that humiliating loss last time out but I don't!
(NBA) 8:35PM EST
MINNESOTA +8
Pre-game Comment: The T-Wolves have covered 13 of their L19 games and are an impressive 17-7 ATS on the road this year. The Wolves are also an impressive 7-3 ATS when coming off a 5-9 point loss. Meanwhile, Houston is a perfect 0-3 ATS when playing on 2 days rest and playing an opponent who is also on 2 days rest!
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The Prez NA
Cincinnati r515
+11.0 (-110) / 4 units
The Prez NA
NC Wilmington r525
+20.5 (-110) / 6 units
The Prez NA
Notre Dame r523
+11.0 (-110) / 4 units
The Prez NA
Notre Dame r523
UCLA r524
u150.0 (-110) / 4 units
The Prez NA
Texas A&M r554
-3.5 (-110) / 4 units
The Prez NA
Michigan r581
+17.0 (-110) / 4 units
The Prez NA
New Mexico r638
-4.5 (-110) / 5 units
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Cincinnati r515
+11.0 (-110) / 4 units
The Prez NA
NC Wilmington r525
+20.5 (-110) / 6 units
The Prez NA
Notre Dame r523
+11.0 (-110) / 4 units
The Prez NA
Notre Dame r523
UCLA r524
u150.0 (-110) / 4 units
The Prez NA
Texas A&M r554
-3.5 (-110) / 4 units
The Prez NA
Michigan r581
+17.0 (-110) / 4 units
The Prez NA
New Mexico r638
-4.5 (-110) / 5 units
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