SPORTS INSURANCE ADJUSTERS: 450-399-12 YTD +192 Units
Bonus Play: Seattle RL -125 vs Houston (6-0 last 6 Bonus Plays)
Monday 9/8 Service Plays
If we could have only hit our 5* Play yesterday things would have been so good... Atlanta just didn't come through and hurt us once again. Overall it was still a winning day but such a heartbreak type of day since we think "only if"... Let's get another winning day going today and we really feel the sweep coming tonight!!
MLB
Milwaukee RL -1.5 +120
LA Angels -105
Pittsburgh RL -1.5 +135
Monday 9/8 NFL Service Plays
A great start to the NFL season so far!! Let's get 2 more wins tonight to get us to 6-1 to start the season!!
NFL
NY Giants vs Detroit Over 46.5
San Diego +3 vs Arizona
Bonus Play: Seattle RL -125 vs Houston (6-0 last 6 Bonus Plays)
Monday 9/8 Service Plays
If we could have only hit our 5* Play yesterday things would have been so good... Atlanta just didn't come through and hurt us once again. Overall it was still a winning day but such a heartbreak type of day since we think "only if"... Let's get another winning day going today and we really feel the sweep coming tonight!!
MLB
Milwaukee RL -1.5 +120
LA Angels -105
Pittsburgh RL -1.5 +135
Monday 9/8 NFL Service Plays
A great start to the NFL season so far!! Let's get 2 more wins tonight to get us to 6-1 to start the season!!
NFL
NY Giants vs Detroit Over 46.5
San Diego +3 vs Arizona
Jeffrey James (YouWinNow)
NFL Play of the Day - New York Giants - Detroit Lions OVER 47
The Lions look to be set up as a great over team this year with a powerful offense featuring Stafford, Johnson and Bush and a solid offensive line. Their defense, on the other hand, looks to be vulnerable - especially the secondary. Look for Eli to take advantage of that weakness to score some points through the air in this one. The elements won't be a factor since this one is indoors at Ford Field. Look for the scoreboard operator to get a workout in this one.
NFL Play of the Day - New York Giants - Detroit Lions OVER 47
The Lions look to be set up as a great over team this year with a powerful offense featuring Stafford, Johnson and Bush and a solid offensive line. Their defense, on the other hand, looks to be vulnerable - especially the secondary. Look for Eli to take advantage of that weakness to score some points through the air in this one. The elements won't be a factor since this one is indoors at Ford Field. Look for the scoreboard operator to get a workout in this one.
MLB betting cheat sheet: Felix facing largest-ever line
Here’s a comprehensive look at betting notes for the early-week major-league games:
Mets Get Pushy (Again)
Bettor frustration may be at an all-time high with the New York Mets, who recorded their league-high 17th push Sunday in a 4-3 victory over the Cincinnati Reds. The Mets equaled the Miami Marlins’ league-leading total from a season ago – and still have 19 games remaining to best the mark.
Felix a Big Favorite
Seattle Mariners ace Felix Hernandez is a whopping -299 favorite Monday evening against the visiting Houston Astros – the biggest edge of his 10 year major-league career. Hernandez is 2-1 in three starts this season as a fave of -200 or greater, including a 1-1 mark against the Astros.
Buehrle Hungry for Wins
Toronto Blue Jays lefty Mark Buehrle is on the lookout for a victory Tuesday as he hosts the Chicago Cubs. Buehrle has just one win since the All-Star break after going into the stretch with 10 victories – and has four no-decisions in his last five starts, all Toronto victories.
Pitching Notes
* It’s no surprise that Cy Young favorite Clayton Kershaw has been a strong under play as his Los Angeles Dodgers (-155) host the San Diego Padres on Monday. Kershaw, who leads the majors with a 1.70 ERA, has gone Under in eight of his last 10 starts, including five in a row.
* The Baltimore Orioles hope to continue riding the hot hand Tuesday as they send right-hander Chris Tillman to the hill against the host Boston Red Sox. The Orioles have won each of Tillman’s last eight starts, helping vault him into top spot on the pitcher value chart at +$1,320 entering Tuesday.
Hitting Notes
* Detroit Tigers first baseman Miguel Cabrera is heating up heading into Monday’s showdown with the visiting Kansas City Royals (+120, 8.5). Cabrera has 15 hits in 30 at-bats over the past seven days, with five home runs, nine RBIs and a ridiculous 1.567 OPS in that span.
* It could be a long night for the Dodgers hitters on Tuesday as they take on Andrew Cashner and the Padres. Members of the Los Angeles roster are hitting a paltry .225 in 129 combined at-bats versus Cashner, with just eight extra-base hits – and zero home runs – over that stretch.
Totals Streak
Minnesota Twins (8-0 O/U): Things are getting ugly for the Twins, who have put together an impressive Over streak after allowing at least five runs in six of their previous eight games. The recent surge has propelled Minnesota into top spot on the Over list for the season, at 76-62-5 O/U overall.
Prop of the Day
While the margin is razor-thin, bettors should consider taking the Padres Under 1.5 (+120) against Kershaw and the Dodgers. Kershaw has allowed just two runs on six hits in 17 innings against San Diego this season, while the Padres have scored fewer than two runs in four of their last five games.
Injury Notes
* Angels outfielder Josh Hamilton will miss Monday’s game against the host Cleveland Indians (-113, 7.5) with a nagging shoulder ailment that has sidelined him since last Thursday. Los Angeles hasn’t missed the slugger, going 3-0 SU, 3-0 O/U and +303 units in his absence.
* Oakland Athletics catcher John Jaso will return from the concussion disabled list this week, but is expected to be limited to pinch-hitting duty for the remainder of the season. The Athletics have struggled in his absence, going 4-10 SU, 5-9 O/U and a staggering -920 units in that span.
Weather Watch
* Wind at Comerica Park will blow in from center field at 7 mph for Monday’s game between the host Tigers (-130, 8.5) and Kansas City. Teams combined to hit 1.4 home runs per game under similar conditions in 2013, well below the stadium average of 1.87.
* Citi Field will see wind blowing from right to left field at 8 mph Tuesday when the Mets entertain the Colorado Rockies. Teams combined to hit a paltry .199 in six games under similar wind conditions a season ago.
**Odds, stats, weather forecasts and probable pitchers as of 10:55 a.m. ET Monday.
Here’s a comprehensive look at betting notes for the early-week major-league games:
Mets Get Pushy (Again)
Bettor frustration may be at an all-time high with the New York Mets, who recorded their league-high 17th push Sunday in a 4-3 victory over the Cincinnati Reds. The Mets equaled the Miami Marlins’ league-leading total from a season ago – and still have 19 games remaining to best the mark.
Felix a Big Favorite
Seattle Mariners ace Felix Hernandez is a whopping -299 favorite Monday evening against the visiting Houston Astros – the biggest edge of his 10 year major-league career. Hernandez is 2-1 in three starts this season as a fave of -200 or greater, including a 1-1 mark against the Astros.
Buehrle Hungry for Wins
Toronto Blue Jays lefty Mark Buehrle is on the lookout for a victory Tuesday as he hosts the Chicago Cubs. Buehrle has just one win since the All-Star break after going into the stretch with 10 victories – and has four no-decisions in his last five starts, all Toronto victories.
Pitching Notes
* It’s no surprise that Cy Young favorite Clayton Kershaw has been a strong under play as his Los Angeles Dodgers (-155) host the San Diego Padres on Monday. Kershaw, who leads the majors with a 1.70 ERA, has gone Under in eight of his last 10 starts, including five in a row.
* The Baltimore Orioles hope to continue riding the hot hand Tuesday as they send right-hander Chris Tillman to the hill against the host Boston Red Sox. The Orioles have won each of Tillman’s last eight starts, helping vault him into top spot on the pitcher value chart at +$1,320 entering Tuesday.
Hitting Notes
* Detroit Tigers first baseman Miguel Cabrera is heating up heading into Monday’s showdown with the visiting Kansas City Royals (+120, 8.5). Cabrera has 15 hits in 30 at-bats over the past seven days, with five home runs, nine RBIs and a ridiculous 1.567 OPS in that span.
* It could be a long night for the Dodgers hitters on Tuesday as they take on Andrew Cashner and the Padres. Members of the Los Angeles roster are hitting a paltry .225 in 129 combined at-bats versus Cashner, with just eight extra-base hits – and zero home runs – over that stretch.
Totals Streak
Minnesota Twins (8-0 O/U): Things are getting ugly for the Twins, who have put together an impressive Over streak after allowing at least five runs in six of their previous eight games. The recent surge has propelled Minnesota into top spot on the Over list for the season, at 76-62-5 O/U overall.
Prop of the Day
While the margin is razor-thin, bettors should consider taking the Padres Under 1.5 (+120) against Kershaw and the Dodgers. Kershaw has allowed just two runs on six hits in 17 innings against San Diego this season, while the Padres have scored fewer than two runs in four of their last five games.
Injury Notes
* Angels outfielder Josh Hamilton will miss Monday’s game against the host Cleveland Indians (-113, 7.5) with a nagging shoulder ailment that has sidelined him since last Thursday. Los Angeles hasn’t missed the slugger, going 3-0 SU, 3-0 O/U and +303 units in his absence.
* Oakland Athletics catcher John Jaso will return from the concussion disabled list this week, but is expected to be limited to pinch-hitting duty for the remainder of the season. The Athletics have struggled in his absence, going 4-10 SU, 5-9 O/U and a staggering -920 units in that span.
Weather Watch
* Wind at Comerica Park will blow in from center field at 7 mph for Monday’s game between the host Tigers (-130, 8.5) and Kansas City. Teams combined to hit 1.4 home runs per game under similar conditions in 2013, well below the stadium average of 1.87.
* Citi Field will see wind blowing from right to left field at 8 mph Tuesday when the Mets entertain the Colorado Rockies. Teams combined to hit a paltry .199 in six games under similar wind conditions a season ago.
**Odds, stats, weather forecasts and probable pitchers as of 10:55 a.m. ET Monday.
Wunderdog Sports
Complimentary NFL Pick for September 8th, 2014
Game: New York Giants @ Detroit Lions
Time: Monday 09/08 7:10 PM Eastern
Pick: Game Total UNDER 47.5 (-115) at Bovada
The NFL has always been a QB dominated league. You either have a good one or you don't win a lot. Eli Manning is closing in on the age of 34, and he has regressed in each of the past two seasons. Last year was brutally bad. Manning threw just 18 TD passes, his fewest ever, and the most interceptions at 27, also a career high. That is not a healthy situation for an offense that struggles to run the ball. The Giants did make some changes, but not important ones on offense. In fact, a big playmaker in Hakeem Nicks is gone. The Giants went out added Rashad Jennings and Andre Williams to the backfield. They should be deeper and better as injuries killed them last year. The Detroit Lions have one of the best front sevens in the NFL, but their secondary has always been suspect. Can Eli Manning exploit it at this point? His 83 INTs over the last four years doesn’t bode well. New York has played to a 14-4 mark to the UNDER in their last 18 road games, and Detroit has now gone 7-0 to the UNDER in their last seven Monday night games. Since the arrival of Tom Coughlin in New York, the Giants are 26-11 UNDER in road games with a total set above 45. This one stays UNDER.
Complimentary NFL Pick for September 8th, 2014
Game: New York Giants @ Detroit Lions
Time: Monday 09/08 7:10 PM Eastern
Pick: Game Total UNDER 47.5 (-115) at Bovada
The NFL has always been a QB dominated league. You either have a good one or you don't win a lot. Eli Manning is closing in on the age of 34, and he has regressed in each of the past two seasons. Last year was brutally bad. Manning threw just 18 TD passes, his fewest ever, and the most interceptions at 27, also a career high. That is not a healthy situation for an offense that struggles to run the ball. The Giants did make some changes, but not important ones on offense. In fact, a big playmaker in Hakeem Nicks is gone. The Giants went out added Rashad Jennings and Andre Williams to the backfield. They should be deeper and better as injuries killed them last year. The Detroit Lions have one of the best front sevens in the NFL, but their secondary has always been suspect. Can Eli Manning exploit it at this point? His 83 INTs over the last four years doesn’t bode well. New York has played to a 14-4 mark to the UNDER in their last 18 road games, and Detroit has now gone 7-0 to the UNDER in their last seven Monday night games. Since the arrival of Tom Coughlin in New York, the Giants are 26-11 UNDER in road games with a total set above 45. This one stays UNDER.
From THE PLATINUM SHEET
NY GIANTS (489) at DETROIT (490)
Latest Line: Lions -6.5; Total: 47
New Giants OC Ben McAdoo's West Coast passing game seems to emphasize QB Eli Manning's decisionmaking weaknesses and neglect his elite downfield skills. RB Rashad Jennings can't do any worse than New York's awful running attack from 2013. On defense, the back seven may be a strength, but they lack pass-rushers. The Lions hope that WR Golden Tate and rookie TE Eric Ebron can keep defenses honest against the league's best WR, Calvin Johnson. Detroit's defense was decent last year and will be more aggressive under new DC Teryl Austin. They need their young talent in the front seven to step up.
StatFox Trends Six Pack:
DETROIT is 5-14 ATS in games played on turf since the start of the 2012 season.
DETROIT is 10-1 under the 1H total when playing on Monday night since 1992.
DETROIT is 23-44 against the 1H line as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 18-5 ATS away against NFC North division opponents since 2002.
NY GIANTS are 14-3 OVER away in the first two weeks of the season since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 29-13 OVER in the first two weeks of the season since 1992.
FORECASTER: Detroit 21, NY Giants 17
NY GIANTS (489) at DETROIT (490)
Latest Line: Lions -6.5; Total: 47
New Giants OC Ben McAdoo's West Coast passing game seems to emphasize QB Eli Manning's decisionmaking weaknesses and neglect his elite downfield skills. RB Rashad Jennings can't do any worse than New York's awful running attack from 2013. On defense, the back seven may be a strength, but they lack pass-rushers. The Lions hope that WR Golden Tate and rookie TE Eric Ebron can keep defenses honest against the league's best WR, Calvin Johnson. Detroit's defense was decent last year and will be more aggressive under new DC Teryl Austin. They need their young talent in the front seven to step up.
StatFox Trends Six Pack:
DETROIT is 5-14 ATS in games played on turf since the start of the 2012 season.
DETROIT is 10-1 under the 1H total when playing on Monday night since 1992.
DETROIT is 23-44 against the 1H line as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 18-5 ATS away against NFC North division opponents since 2002.
NY GIANTS are 14-3 OVER away in the first two weeks of the season since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 29-13 OVER in the first two weeks of the season since 1992.
FORECASTER: Detroit 21, NY Giants 17
STATFOX BRIAN'S BEST BET
SAN DIEGO (491) at ARIZONA (492)
Latest Line: Cardinals -3; Total: 47
Bruce Arians has done an outstanding job in his 1 1/2 seasons as an NFL head coach, leading the Colts to a 9-3 record when Chuck Pagano was diagnosed with cancer, and then winning 10 games in his first season with the Cardinals when he closed out the year on a 7-2 SU run (6-2-1 ATS). In his brief head-coaching career, Arians is 7-0 ATS at home when the total is between 42.5 and 49 points, and that should continue with a raucous home crowd packing University of Phoenix Stadium on Monday night. Arizona has some exciting young players in RB Andre Ellington and WR Michael Floyd to go along with steady veterans QB Carson Palmer and WR Larry Fitzgerald, and I think their underrated defense will stand tall in a 10-point win.
PLAY ON: ARIZONA -3
SAN DIEGO (491) at ARIZONA (492)
Latest Line: Cardinals -3; Total: 47
Bruce Arians has done an outstanding job in his 1 1/2 seasons as an NFL head coach, leading the Colts to a 9-3 record when Chuck Pagano was diagnosed with cancer, and then winning 10 games in his first season with the Cardinals when he closed out the year on a 7-2 SU run (6-2-1 ATS). In his brief head-coaching career, Arians is 7-0 ATS at home when the total is between 42.5 and 49 points, and that should continue with a raucous home crowd packing University of Phoenix Stadium on Monday night. Arizona has some exciting young players in RB Andre Ellington and WR Michael Floyd to go along with steady veterans QB Carson Palmer and WR Larry Fitzgerald, and I think their underrated defense will stand tall in a 10-point win.
PLAY ON: ARIZONA -3
River City Sharps
Lots of trends here point towards the Under tonight. Saw a little bit of steam pushing the line up earlier in the day, most likely to get some Sharps buying back the Under at a higher number. The Lions are 10-2 Under when playing on Monday Night Football since 1992 and the Giants are 29-12 Under in road games where the total is posted at 45 or higher since 1992. Worth a smaller position here...
2 UNITS - NYG/DET UNDER 46
Lots of trends here point towards the Under tonight. Saw a little bit of steam pushing the line up earlier in the day, most likely to get some Sharps buying back the Under at a higher number. The Lions are 10-2 Under when playing on Monday Night Football since 1992 and the Giants are 29-12 Under in road games where the total is posted at 45 or higher since 1992. Worth a smaller position here...
2 UNITS - NYG/DET UNDER 46
ANDRE GOMES
MLB Pick: 965 Kansas City Royals @ 966 Detroit Tigers
(Starting Pitchers: J. Guthrie vs. J. Verlander)
Rating: 3 units – Single Dime Play
Pick: 966 Detroit Tigers ML @ -130
Detailed Write Up:
It’s a good thing that the Tigers are facing division leaders Royals today in this early contest, because they will take the game “seriously” and therefore, the potential letdown spot of playing @SNB yesterday and then early today will be dissipated in my opinion.
I’m fading once again KC’s SP Jeremy Guthrie after losing an “OVER” play on his last start vs. TEX. In that game, Guthrie managed to allow just 1 ER in 7 IP’s despite allowing 9 hits and striking out just one batter. He has been ultra inconsistent lately alternating good starts with some truly awful ones. In the L6 games he was solid against TEX twice and ARI… well, these two offenses are ranked #28 & #29 in the league in this second half season, so he took advantage of the fact that he enjoyed favorable matchups. Certainly, this won’t be the case today with the Tigers.
On the other end, we have DET’s SP Verlander on the mound… we can’t expect anything “special” from him as he is far from the pitcher he used to be. He is coming from a tough start vs. #2 offense in the league in CLE in which he allowed 6 ER’s in 6.2 IP’s. However note that he had a nice 7/1 K/BB ratio and actually, he had 21 K’s on his L3 starts – a good sign for him! He had some “personal stuff” going on in the internet in the last week… I expect him to be more focused today and therefore, I see some value w/ DET today.
MLB Pick: 965 Kansas City Royals @ 966 Detroit Tigers
(Starting Pitchers: J. Guthrie vs. J. Verlander)
Rating: 3 units – Single Dime Play
Pick: 966 Detroit Tigers ML @ -130
Detailed Write Up:
It’s a good thing that the Tigers are facing division leaders Royals today in this early contest, because they will take the game “seriously” and therefore, the potential letdown spot of playing @SNB yesterday and then early today will be dissipated in my opinion.
I’m fading once again KC’s SP Jeremy Guthrie after losing an “OVER” play on his last start vs. TEX. In that game, Guthrie managed to allow just 1 ER in 7 IP’s despite allowing 9 hits and striking out just one batter. He has been ultra inconsistent lately alternating good starts with some truly awful ones. In the L6 games he was solid against TEX twice and ARI… well, these two offenses are ranked #28 & #29 in the league in this second half season, so he took advantage of the fact that he enjoyed favorable matchups. Certainly, this won’t be the case today with the Tigers.
On the other end, we have DET’s SP Verlander on the mound… we can’t expect anything “special” from him as he is far from the pitcher he used to be. He is coming from a tough start vs. #2 offense in the league in CLE in which he allowed 6 ER’s in 6.2 IP’s. However note that he had a nice 7/1 K/BB ratio and actually, he had 21 K’s on his L3 starts – a good sign for him! He had some “personal stuff” going on in the internet in the last week… I expect him to be more focused today and therefore, I see some value w/ DET today.
