AAA
Double-Dime Bet
CLEVELAND INDIANS +118
Cliff Lee has had great success verses this Ray Squad. He has compiled a 1.57 ERA to win his last three outings against the Rays, including a six inning stint during a 5-0 Cleveland home win on July 11. Garza has not done well verses the Indians, going 0-2 with a 5.85 ERA in four career starts. On July 12 at Cleveland, he gave up seven earned runs and 11 hits, both season highs, in five innings of an 8-4 loss. Facing the lefty, puts Tampa Bay in their worst hitting posture, batting 20 points less this year and just .210 over the last 10 played. As well as the Rays are performing recently, they are over valued here and I will grab the nice odds..
Double-Dime Bet
CHICAGO CUBS -1½ RL
The Cubs Pitcher has been marvalous at home this year and is 10-1 with a 2.72 ERA in 13 home starts. He has thrown very well his last 2 outings on the road as well and has allowed just 2 earned runs over the last 21 innings. He is throwing well. The Cubs are hitting the ball right now very well, so Dempy should get nice run support. Chicago is an amazing 41-15 here at Wrigley and Houston is not so spiffy as travelers. Therefore, I am laying the 1.5 Runs again for this one.
Double-Dime Bet
CLEVELAND INDIANS +118
Cliff Lee has had great success verses this Ray Squad. He has compiled a 1.57 ERA to win his last three outings against the Rays, including a six inning stint during a 5-0 Cleveland home win on July 11. Garza has not done well verses the Indians, going 0-2 with a 5.85 ERA in four career starts. On July 12 at Cleveland, he gave up seven earned runs and 11 hits, both season highs, in five innings of an 8-4 loss. Facing the lefty, puts Tampa Bay in their worst hitting posture, batting 20 points less this year and just .210 over the last 10 played. As well as the Rays are performing recently, they are over valued here and I will grab the nice odds..
Double-Dime Bet
CHICAGO CUBS -1½ RL
The Cubs Pitcher has been marvalous at home this year and is 10-1 with a 2.72 ERA in 13 home starts. He has thrown very well his last 2 outings on the road as well and has allowed just 2 earned runs over the last 21 innings. He is throwing well. The Cubs are hitting the ball right now very well, so Dempy should get nice run support. Chicago is an amazing 41-15 here at Wrigley and Houston is not so spiffy as travelers. Therefore, I am laying the 1.5 Runs again for this one.
Oak -3 Over -1
Tor 5 Under -2
Clev -14 Over -1
Tb -7 Under -1
Nyy -7 Over -5
Tex -5 Under -3
Bos -7 Over -3
Kc -13 Under -1
Bal -1 Over -1
Laa -8 Under -2
Min -14 Over -1
Sea -3 Under
Mil -9 Over -1
Cin -5 Under -1
Hou -2 Over -2
Cubs -5 Under -3
Wash -1 Over -3
Col -8 Under -1
Pit -4 Over -2
Az -5 Under - 1
Atl -3 Over -1
Sf -12 Under -5
Tor 5 Under -2
Clev -14 Over -1
Tb -7 Under -1
Nyy -7 Over -5
Tex -5 Under -3
Bos -7 Over -3
Kc -13 Under -1
Bal -1 Over -1
Laa -8 Under -2
Min -14 Over -1
Sea -3 Under
Mil -9 Over -1
Cin -5 Under -1
Hou -2 Over -2
Cubs -5 Under -3
Wash -1 Over -3
Col -8 Under -1
Pit -4 Over -2
Az -5 Under - 1
Atl -3 Over -1
Sf -12 Under -5
Anthony Capone
Four Kings Sports
Play : 2 * Twins -130
Today I am laying the Road wood on the Minnesota Twins as they send Glen Perkins to
the mound to face the Marines and Miguel Batista .Batista is not having a very productive season
by any stretch going (4-11) for the M's and giving up 113 Hits in 91 Innings .His ERA is climbing
as we speak and is currently at 6.43 .The team record is not much better with him as a starter going
(5-13) . For the Twins Perkins has been a pleasant surprise within (8-3) mark this season .He has been fairly
consistent all year with his Home and Away ERA in the low 4's .The Twins beat Seattle about a week
(8-4) behind Carlos Silva .They also hold a series edge this season of (7-3) .As a matter of fact they are (13-7)
vs the M's over the last 3 seasons .The Twins have won 6 of their last 10 and 22of their last 29 when favored .
They also hold a (7-3) mark the last 10 times these to have played .The Mariners are (4-10) their last 14 overall
and (3-8) their last 11 on Grass .I think the price is more than fair on the Twins and I expect an easy victory
Nats / Rockies
Play : 2 * Rockies -1.5 -105
I am not a huge proponent of laying Runs but in this one I think it is justified .In 11 of their 14 victories
over the Nationals the last 2 seasons , the Rockies have won 10 by 2 Runs or more .Now you see what my
lack of hesitation on laying the 1.5 here is all about .The Rockies send Aaron Cook to the mound who
is (14-6) on the season with a 3.53 ERA .In his last 3 starts he has pitched even better with 3 victories
and 2 of those coming on the Road .The Rockies return to Coors tonight and that should be a plus as they have gone (31-22) their this season .Cook has also pitched very well at Coors going (6-3) in those friendly confines .As for the Nationals
they are currently riding a 3 game sweep of the Reds into this one .Before that they had dropped 8 of their last 10
decisions with Tim Redding , todays starter being responsible for 2 of them .On the road he has allowed 5 runs
per game this season .His last 3 have all been horrible as he dropped all 3 with an ERA in that period of 7.88 .
The Rockies have a slight (4-3) edge in the series this year . Washington has dropped 12 of their last 15 meetings
against the Rockies and are (16-37) their last 53 Road Games .The Rockies are my play in this one -1.5 .
Indians / D'Rays
Play : 2 * Indians +113
The Indians send Cliff Lee to the Mound today to battle the all of a sudden red hot
D'Rays and starter Matt Garza .The Rays are coming into this on winners of 5 in a
row .Well that little streak ends today against an Indian starter in Cliff Lee who has
pretty much dominated the league this season .He is an amazing (14-2 ) on the year
with a 2.58 ERA. As terrific as that is his ERA would be half of that but for a bad start last time out .
The Indians have not done very well in the Underdog role but they are (6-2) the last 8
played against the Rays .Matt Garza has also pitched well this season with a (9-6)
record .Cliff Lee though has owned this team going (3-0) against them dating back to 2006 '.
This is quite simply value play here and anytime I can get Cliff Lee at + money
I will gladly take it .
Four Kings Sports
Play : 2 * Twins -130
Today I am laying the Road wood on the Minnesota Twins as they send Glen Perkins to
the mound to face the Marines and Miguel Batista .Batista is not having a very productive season
by any stretch going (4-11) for the M's and giving up 113 Hits in 91 Innings .His ERA is climbing
as we speak and is currently at 6.43 .The team record is not much better with him as a starter going
(5-13) . For the Twins Perkins has been a pleasant surprise within (8-3) mark this season .He has been fairly
consistent all year with his Home and Away ERA in the low 4's .The Twins beat Seattle about a week
(8-4) behind Carlos Silva .They also hold a series edge this season of (7-3) .As a matter of fact they are (13-7)
vs the M's over the last 3 seasons .The Twins have won 6 of their last 10 and 22of their last 29 when favored .
They also hold a (7-3) mark the last 10 times these to have played .The Mariners are (4-10) their last 14 overall
and (3-8) their last 11 on Grass .I think the price is more than fair on the Twins and I expect an easy victory
Nats / Rockies
Play : 2 * Rockies -1.5 -105
I am not a huge proponent of laying Runs but in this one I think it is justified .In 11 of their 14 victories
over the Nationals the last 2 seasons , the Rockies have won 10 by 2 Runs or more .Now you see what my
lack of hesitation on laying the 1.5 here is all about .The Rockies send Aaron Cook to the mound who
is (14-6) on the season with a 3.53 ERA .In his last 3 starts he has pitched even better with 3 victories
and 2 of those coming on the Road .The Rockies return to Coors tonight and that should be a plus as they have gone (31-22) their this season .Cook has also pitched very well at Coors going (6-3) in those friendly confines .As for the Nationals
they are currently riding a 3 game sweep of the Reds into this one .Before that they had dropped 8 of their last 10
decisions with Tim Redding , todays starter being responsible for 2 of them .On the road he has allowed 5 runs
per game this season .His last 3 have all been horrible as he dropped all 3 with an ERA in that period of 7.88 .
The Rockies have a slight (4-3) edge in the series this year . Washington has dropped 12 of their last 15 meetings
against the Rockies and are (16-37) their last 53 Road Games .The Rockies are my play in this one -1.5 .
Indians / D'Rays
Play : 2 * Indians +113
The Indians send Cliff Lee to the Mound today to battle the all of a sudden red hot
D'Rays and starter Matt Garza .The Rays are coming into this on winners of 5 in a
row .Well that little streak ends today against an Indian starter in Cliff Lee who has
pretty much dominated the league this season .He is an amazing (14-2 ) on the year
with a 2.58 ERA. As terrific as that is his ERA would be half of that but for a bad start last time out .
The Indians have not done very well in the Underdog role but they are (6-2) the last 8
played against the Rays .Matt Garza has also pitched well this season with a (9-6)
record .Cliff Lee though has owned this team going (3-0) against them dating back to 2006 '.
This is quite simply value play here and anytime I can get Cliff Lee at + money
I will gladly take it .
Joseph D'Amico
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs
Play: Under
Both teams are playing well winning 7 of each of their last 10 games. Both the Cub's and the Astro's have been doing it with pitching. Both teams combined have 99 OVER's this season with 113 UNDER"s. Chicago has right-handed ace Dempster on the mound today. He is 10-1 at home this season with a 2.72 ERA. He seems to be getting better with each outing as he is 2-0 with a 0.86 ERA in his last three starts. This season,Dempster is 1-1 in 14.0 innings pitched with an ERA of 2.57 against the Astro's. For Houston, right-hander Moehler is pitching today. He is very impressive this season. On the road this year he is 2-2 with a 4.63 ERA. Over his last three starts he is 1-0 with an ERA of 4.00. Moehler has pitched well against the Cub's this season at 0-1 with an ERA of 3.00 in 12.0 innnings pitched. Dempsters numbers speak for themselves but Moehler's are equally imprsseive. In his 15 overall starts this season,he has 2 OVER's and 12 UNDER's. As a team Houston on the road has 19 OVER's and 35 UNDER's this year. take the UNDER and make your money
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs
Play: Under
Both teams are playing well winning 7 of each of their last 10 games. Both the Cub's and the Astro's have been doing it with pitching. Both teams combined have 99 OVER's this season with 113 UNDER"s. Chicago has right-handed ace Dempster on the mound today. He is 10-1 at home this season with a 2.72 ERA. He seems to be getting better with each outing as he is 2-0 with a 0.86 ERA in his last three starts. This season,Dempster is 1-1 in 14.0 innings pitched with an ERA of 2.57 against the Astro's. For Houston, right-hander Moehler is pitching today. He is very impressive this season. On the road this year he is 2-2 with a 4.63 ERA. Over his last three starts he is 1-0 with an ERA of 4.00. Moehler has pitched well against the Cub's this season at 0-1 with an ERA of 3.00 in 12.0 innnings pitched. Dempsters numbers speak for themselves but Moehler's are equally imprsseive. In his 15 overall starts this season,he has 2 OVER's and 12 UNDER's. As a team Houston on the road has 19 OVER's and 35 UNDER's this year. take the UNDER and make your money
indiancowboy
Indians +113 (POD)
TB won 6-5 yesterday and Cleveland lost 2-6 at Minny, Cliff Lee had a 10.8 era last time out and that is his worst performance of the year, despite that performance his era is still 2.69 and he is 8-2 on the road and 14-2 with a 2.58 era for the season, he went 6 inns and didn't yield a run to TB last time at home, Garza had a great performance his last time out but struggles to put back to back quality starts together, Cle had roughed him up before 12.6 era on the road, so, Ginter looks to bounce-back here against the Indians, at the same time so does Lee, but Ginter has trouble with back to back starts, regardless, the point of taking Lee on a bounce-back is nice and one gets him at a dog price here. I might just close my eyes and do it simply because it is Lee and the Indians did hit Garza for 11 hits in 5 innings, not to mention, I don't think Garza has back to back quality performances in him and the Indians off a loss.
Garza is 1-8 when facing a team with a losing record meaning he struggles against the weaker teams in the league and Lee is 9-3 in his last 12 road starts, I'll take my chances with Lee on the bounce-back as well as the Indians on a bounce-back.
Orioles/Angels Over 9
Dennis Sarfate had a 6.75 era in his first start on the road at New York lasting 4 inns, tough back to back games for the young kid facing the Yankees on the road followed by the Angels on the road, Saunders has pitched 7 straight quality starts, as he is 2-0 over his last 3 starts, and he has defeated Baltimore both times this year 6-5, I favor the run-line here, but remember it will be tough for any pitcher to beat a team 3 times in a row and Baltimore has gotten close twice now, I wouldn't be surprised to see this game go over though as Baltimore is likely to be an active dog.
Long story short here, Baltimore has gotten close twice now in defeating Saunders as they have lost 5-6 and 5-6, given that and the fact Sarfate is a young kid on the road at L.A. who is a solid contact hitting team, the over seems probable here, the over is 11-1 when the Orioles are dogs by this margin meaning they show up well at least on offense when they are such big dogs and the over is 4-0 in Saunders last 4 starts against the Orioles.
Royals -104
Boston is desperately hoping that Bucc bounces-back as he is 0-4 with a 7.98 era on the road, he has not won a game since May 2nd, he has had 6 straight non-quality starts, Meche is 3-0 over his last 5 starts, his team has won the last 6 of 7 of his starts, he had a 2.57 era against Boston last time losing 1-2 which was on the road and last year he had a 1.23 era as his team won 7-1 and that was at home. More than 60% favor Boston here and Meche has been pitching awfully well while Bucc continues to struggle, I'll take the better pitcher at home at this point, besides the KC offense put up 14 runs yesterday and began to show some life so it shows they can clearly hit lack of quality pitches when need be. It does seem that Bucc is getting more and more of his endurance back but I think he is 1 game away still from being back full strength.
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Indians +113 (POD)
TB won 6-5 yesterday and Cleveland lost 2-6 at Minny, Cliff Lee had a 10.8 era last time out and that is his worst performance of the year, despite that performance his era is still 2.69 and he is 8-2 on the road and 14-2 with a 2.58 era for the season, he went 6 inns and didn't yield a run to TB last time at home, Garza had a great performance his last time out but struggles to put back to back quality starts together, Cle had roughed him up before 12.6 era on the road, so, Ginter looks to bounce-back here against the Indians, at the same time so does Lee, but Ginter has trouble with back to back starts, regardless, the point of taking Lee on a bounce-back is nice and one gets him at a dog price here. I might just close my eyes and do it simply because it is Lee and the Indians did hit Garza for 11 hits in 5 innings, not to mention, I don't think Garza has back to back quality performances in him and the Indians off a loss.
Garza is 1-8 when facing a team with a losing record meaning he struggles against the weaker teams in the league and Lee is 9-3 in his last 12 road starts, I'll take my chances with Lee on the bounce-back as well as the Indians on a bounce-back.
Orioles/Angels Over 9
Dennis Sarfate had a 6.75 era in his first start on the road at New York lasting 4 inns, tough back to back games for the young kid facing the Yankees on the road followed by the Angels on the road, Saunders has pitched 7 straight quality starts, as he is 2-0 over his last 3 starts, and he has defeated Baltimore both times this year 6-5, I favor the run-line here, but remember it will be tough for any pitcher to beat a team 3 times in a row and Baltimore has gotten close twice now, I wouldn't be surprised to see this game go over though as Baltimore is likely to be an active dog.
Long story short here, Baltimore has gotten close twice now in defeating Saunders as they have lost 5-6 and 5-6, given that and the fact Sarfate is a young kid on the road at L.A. who is a solid contact hitting team, the over seems probable here, the over is 11-1 when the Orioles are dogs by this margin meaning they show up well at least on offense when they are such big dogs and the over is 4-0 in Saunders last 4 starts against the Orioles.
Royals -104
Boston is desperately hoping that Bucc bounces-back as he is 0-4 with a 7.98 era on the road, he has not won a game since May 2nd, he has had 6 straight non-quality starts, Meche is 3-0 over his last 5 starts, his team has won the last 6 of 7 of his starts, he had a 2.57 era against Boston last time losing 1-2 which was on the road and last year he had a 1.23 era as his team won 7-1 and that was at home. More than 60% favor Boston here and Meche has been pitching awfully well while Bucc continues to struggle, I'll take the better pitcher at home at this point, besides the KC offense put up 14 runs yesterday and began to show some life so it shows they can clearly hit lack of quality pitches when need be. It does seem that Bucc is getting more and more of his endurance back but I think he is 1 game away still from being back full strength.
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