Service Plays Monday 8/16/10

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ATS LOCK CLUB

3 UNIT* NFL* New York Jets -2.5
4 UNIT* MLB* Baltimore Orioles -130 ML
4 UNIT* MLB* Texas Rangers Under
 

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The New York Giants vs. New York Jets Monday Night Football betting line is up.

Free MLB picks from top sports handicappers are also up at OffshoreInsiders.com, but the big story is on ESPN. Look for thunderstorms in the second half of this game. Wind will not be a factor.
Here is the official betting preview. The Giants have a new defensive coordinator in Perry Fewell. He has installed a much more aggressive defense than they played last year.

Emotions will likely be much higher than for most preseason openers. There has been significant trash talk about the opening of New Meadowlands Stadium and who “owns this town” now that the Jets no longer play at “Giants Stadium.”

Jets starters will play one quarter, plus a series, though minus their best defensive player Darrelle Revis, a holdout. Rookie Kyle Wilson starts at left corner. WR Santonio Holmes will likely play longer than the rest of the starters. 

It’s the first game for Jets QB Mark Sanchez following arthroscopic surgery on his left knee.

Top expert pick on this game: It’s another fantastic preseason for the top NFL handicapping service of all-time. After going 4-1 the last two days in the NFL, the Center of the Handicapping Universe has a Wise Guy on the Giants/Jets side. Get an MLB Wise Guy, plus three MLB Majors as well.

According to ESPN.com, out are: “WR Tim Brown (groin), OG Chris Snee (knee), S Michael Johnson (back), WR Steve Smith (groin), S Kenny Phillips (knee), LB Keith Bulluck (knee), OG Rich Seubert (hand), TE Kevin Boss (hamstring) and WR Sinorice Moss (groin).”

The report continues, “There are a few maybes, including TE Jake Ballard (hamstring), TE Travis Beckum (hamstring), CB Terrell Thomas (knee), CB Corey Webster (glute) and TE Scott Chandler (hip).”
Their starters will play 15-18 snaps. 

With a total of four TEs sidelined, the Giants have been limited in practice.
 

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OffshoreInsiders anchor service GodsTips says bet on the Atlanta Braves

ATLANTA (HANSON -145) LA Dodgers (Billingsley)

Atlanta is 41-16 at home. The Dodgers are 24-34 on the road. Los Angeles has lost 13 of 16 on the road and averaged 3.1 runs in 30 games since the All-Star break, 3-13 in their last 16 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game, 2-8 in their last 10 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Braves are 21-7 in their last 28 home games vs. a team with a winning record.

Go with home teams hitting .240 or less in their last 10 games, but with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.50 or better in his last three starts is 533-472, +89.4 units.

Tommy Hanson has remarkable numbers in his last three with an ERA of 0.84 and a WHIP of 0.703. In his last five starts it’s 1.34 ERA with a WHIP of 0.86.His home WHIP is 1.188. His last seven starts his numbers are 2.03 ERA and holding opponents to a .213 batting.

Atlanta is 7-3 in the series.

GodsTips pick: Atlanta Braves

For more information: After going 4-1 the last two days in the NFL, the Center of the Handicapping Universe has a Wise Guy on the Giants/Jets side. Get an MLB Wise Guy, plus three MLB Majors as well. Click now to purchase

Matt Rivers has a free pick in MLB Monday is on the NY Mets getting 117 at Houston according to BetUs.

I have been riding Jonathon Niese for awhile now and will continue to do so here in Houston. Even though the Mets are far from being great they do have the superior team on the field today.

The Astros are playing more competitive ball than most would have thought after trading away their two stars in Lance Berkman and Roy Oswalt, just ask the Pirates about that as the Bucos leave Houston limping badly. Plus Wandy Rodriguez is a very competent lefthander that should be alright today against a struggling New York club but I really really like Niese as all he continues to do is hurl quality start after quality start.

The New York lefty layed an egg three starts ago at home against the Diamondbacks but take that out and this kid is pitching like Cy Young. It’s now two earned runs in his last 14 innings, three in 20 and 11 in the last 52.2 innings. Now a few solid starts could be a fluke but let’s face it, this kid is good right now, really good.

Rodriguez has been much better over the fast few months than in the rough first half of the season and is a tough southpaw to hit, I admit that. But Reyes, Wright, Beltran and the Mets are all in all a better and more talented team with the higher upside in the end.

Yes Houston is playing a little better of late after sweeping the Pirates and have now won three straight and four of six but guys like Jeff Keppinger and Angel Sanchez and Brett Wallace just do not scare me all that much. I guess Pence and Lee and Bourn are professional players but this Houston team is truly about a 65-70 win team if the season started today and therefore I’ll back a hot Niese and his mates in Houston.

Matt Rivers pick: NY Mets
 

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Akmens

Yankees and Orioles in MLB

Good luck to all.

Hey there CPAW.


Should have the big season total wins in NFL anyday from Uncle Caesar. It has always been a winner.

What's up B44 long time we haven't spoken. Hope all is well, GL! cpaw
 
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Win or lose PARLAY Package 8/16

Rot # 901 Florida MLB -113
Rot # 910 Baltimore MLB -128
Rot # 912 NY Yankees MLB -175



Going to be put in 2 team round Robins for $8 with a small three teamer for $5.
For every $1 wagered is should return:

Game 1 + 2 $2.36
Game 1 + 3 $1.96
Game 2 + 3 $1.80

Three teamer should pay : $4.28
 

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The Shadow 8/16

On a 21-11 free pick run (67%), and here is today's:

BAL -127 over sea. (Bergeson over Fister). Bergeson is hot, going 9 innings while only giving up 1 run vs the Indians last week. Seattle has one of the league's worst records on the road and I look for that to continue tonight.
 

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BK PROFESSIONAL SPORTS BETTING

Bernie's 8/16 TOP PLAYS OF THE DAY!!
2 UNIT Orioles -133 vs Seattle
2 UNIT A's -130 vs Blue Jays
1 UNIT Jets -3 vs Giants (NFLX)


BK'S TOP PLAYS MONDAY
1 UNIT Astro's ...
1 UNIT T.B.Rays..
1 UNIT U9 Cubs game..
 

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BONDI Bonus Play

Monday, August 16th

NFL

UNDER 33.5 POINTS
NY Giants at NY Jets
8 p.m. EST -- ESPN
 

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Big AL Bonus Play

Our complimentary selection for Monday, August 16 is:
Chicago Cubs (Gorzelanny) over San Diego Padres (Correia)
 

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jeff benton

he is back from his week long vacation.....what are the chances things have changed for the better ???

Monday's Plays ...

15 DIME selection on the <b>NEW YORK JETS</b> minus the points over the Giants as Week 1 of the presaason ends at the new Meadowlands Stadium. As I publeish this play, the Jets are a solid 2½-point favorite here in Vegas but I see 3s popping up offshore (and I expect the number to be -3 across the board by kickoff). Note that if the best you can get is the Jets at -3 – obviourly a key number in football – I want you to buy the half-point down to 2½.





5 DIME selection on the <b>SAN DIEGO PADRES</b> over the Cubs at Wrigley Field. This is a pick-em game across the board, and you must list Kevin Correia as San Diego’s starting pitcher. If Correia does not start, this play is VOID!








<b>Jets</b>





Well aware of all the distractions the Jets are dealing with as the Derrelle Revis contract standoff drags on. But I’m also well aware that the balance of power in this rivalry has shifted heavily in the Jets’ favor. After a 9-7 regular season and a stunning journey to the AFC championship game in 2009, the Jets made a lot of noise in the offseason with such acquisaitions as RB LaDainian Tomlinson and WR Santonio Holmes.





Meanwhile, the Giants are coming off a very disappointing 8-8 campaign. After jumping out to a 5-0 start, Tom Coughlin’s troops completely fell apart, and the main problem was defense. After holding four of their first five oppoenents to 17 points or fewer (and an average of 14.2 ppg), the Giants got torched for 40 or more points in five of their final 11 games, giving up an average of 32.4 ppg.





The Giants made wholesale changes on defense to plug the leaks, but I highly doubt we’ll see any major strides in this preseason opener. On the flip side, the Jets led the NFL in scoring defense (14.8 ppg), total defense (252.3 ypg) and passing defense (153.7 ypg) last year. Yes, Revis had a lot to do with that, but he wouldn’t have played much (if at all) in this game if he were in camp anyway.





Finally, before making any preseason wager, you must first look at the quarterback rotations. No question the Giants have the edge under center when it comes to the starters (Eli Manning is better and more experienced than Mark Sanchez). However, backing up Sanchez are two veterans in Mark Brunell and Kellen Clemens (Clemens has been in the Jets’ system his entire career). Behind Manning are career backup Jim Sorgi (who held the clipboard for Peyton Manning for several years and is the main reason the Colts had a terrible preseason record over the past half decade) and Rhett Bomar.





That’s a HUGE advanrage for the Jets, especially when you consider this: Manning (and most of the Giants’ other starters) never plays more than two or three series in the preseason opener, while Jets coach Rex Ryan has said Sanchez and his starters will play well into the second quarter. Lastly, the Jets went 3-1 ATS in Ryan’s first preseason last August, while the Giants are 4-6-2 ATS over the past three summers (1-3 ATS last year). The Jets have also taken the last three preseason meetings in this rivalry (2-0-1 ATS).








<b>Padres</b>





Hate to sound like a broken record, but here we go again with the Padres being disrespected by the oddsmakers. How in the world can a team with the best record in the National League (69-47) – a team that just took two of three at San Francisco, which had been red hot – barely be favored against an opponent that’s 18 games under .500 and has lost 14 of 18 overall?





Seriously, you know how big of a discrepancy there is between the Padres and Cubs this year? San Diego has been the best money team all season and is currently up nearly 27 units of profit. The Cubs are dead last on the money list, with bettors down nearly 28 units. That means if you bet $100 on every single Padres game this season, you’d be up nearly $2,700. If you bet $100 on every single Chicago game, you’d be down nearly $2,800.





Now, I know there are some who believe San Diego is in a bad letdown spot here coming off that huge series against the Giants (who were nipping at the Padres’ heels and could’ve taken over first place in the N.L. West with a sweep). Frankly, that letdown possibility is the only reason this is a 5 Dime selection. Because all other factors point squarely in favor of San Diego.





The Padres have won six of their last seven games, allowing just 14 runs during this stretch. They’re also on insane runs of 21-5 against the N.L. Central and 23-7 against losing teams. Meanwhile, Chicago stole the final two games of a weekend series at the Cardinals (their archrivals) after previously losing 14 of 16 contests, including five of six at home. And while the Padres’ pitching staff continues to kill it, the Cubs have surrendered five runs or more in 12 of their last 18 games, including five of their last six. San Diego’s team ERA in its last 10 games: 2.12. Chicago’s team ERA in its last 10 contests: 5.08.





The Padres have the edge on the mound tonight, too, with Kevin Correia (4-1, 3.60 ERA last five starts) going up against Tom Gorzelanny (0-1, 5.59 ERA last three starts, all Cubs losses). And while San Diego is 14-8 when Correia pitches this year (6-3 on the road), Chicago is 6-11 behind Gorzelanny (3-6 at home). Throw in the fact that San Diego has won 12 of Correia’s last 15 road starts dating back more than a year, and this is a no-brainer!
 
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SUPER SPORTS GROUP

Florida v. Pittsburgh 7:05pm
8* PICK: Ma8lins ML -112 Game

Seattle v. Baltimore 7:05pm
7* PICK: Sea7tle ML +121 Game

Detroit v. NY 7:05pm
8* PICK: Yank8es RL (-1.5) +105 Game

PICK: M8ts ML +108 Game
9* PICK: OVER 7.5 Game ev Best bet of the day #1

San Diego v. Chicago 8:05pm
9*PICK: Padres ML -111 Game best bet of the day #2
 
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Bob Balfe

New York Jets -3

The Giants seem very bitter that they are not the talked-about team in New York this year. The GMEN have been talking all kinds of trash and really have been intimating that they are looking forward to this game. The Jets, on the other hand, are not talking much trash and are acting like this is just another preseason game.

Regardless, the real key is the talent differential. Can the Giants run the ball? Can their defense stop anybody? Will the new punter force the defense into huge holes? The Jets almost made it to the Super Bowl and reloaded with new talent. This line went from Jets -1 to Jets -3. The Giants might indeed want to win this game more, but the truth is they don't have the talent or the depth. Take the Jets in an easy win tonight.


Baltimore Orioles -132

Bergesen pitched a gem in his last outing and you have to be impressed with the way Baltimore has been playing. This team could easily have given up after the All-Star break but instead chose to not quit and compete night in and night out. The Mariners are not good on the road and, without any offense, shouldn't pose a remote threat to the Orioles. Take Baltimore.
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Allen Watson
Second 30,000 Dime MLB Must Win Lock
Chicago Cubs (Even) W/ Gorzelanny over San Diego W/ Correia

Eddie Roman's 25,000 NFL Preseason Play
New York Jets -2.5 over New York Giants
 

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Valentino with a 30 dimer and Nover with a bomb 100 dimer? Thanks in advance.
 

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