FantasySportsGametime
Monday Baseball
50* Play Atlanta (-140) over LA Dodgers
Game starts at 7:10 PM EST
Atlanta has won 7 of the last 8 home games when the total posted is 7 runs or less and they have also won 29 of the last 39 home games as a favorite of -125 to -175. Tommy Hanson has won consecutive games when pitching on a Monday and he has an ERA of 0.84 over the last 3 starts.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50* Play Florida (-130) over Pittsburgh
Game starts at 7:10 PM EST
Pittsburgh has lost 8 of the last 9 games and they have also lost 7 of the last 10 games when playing on a Monday. Pittsburgh has lost 75 of the last 110 games as an underdog of +100 or higher and they have also lost 57 of the last 85 games when the total posted is between 9 and 9.5 runs.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50* Play New York Yankees (-170) over Detroit
Game starts at 7:00 PM EST
Detroit pitcher, Max Scherzer has lost 17 of the last 20 road games when the total posted is between 8.5 and 10 runs and he has lost 6 consecutive games when pitching on a Monday. Max Scherzer has lost 7 of the last 8 games as an underdog of +100 or higher and he has also lost 15 of the last 19 games after giving up one or less run in his last outing.
<!-- / message --> <!-- controls -->
Monday Baseball
50* Play Atlanta (-140) over LA Dodgers
Game starts at 7:10 PM EST
Atlanta has won 7 of the last 8 home games when the total posted is 7 runs or less and they have also won 29 of the last 39 home games as a favorite of -125 to -175. Tommy Hanson has won consecutive games when pitching on a Monday and he has an ERA of 0.84 over the last 3 starts.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50* Play Florida (-130) over Pittsburgh
Game starts at 7:10 PM EST
Pittsburgh has lost 8 of the last 9 games and they have also lost 7 of the last 10 games when playing on a Monday. Pittsburgh has lost 75 of the last 110 games as an underdog of +100 or higher and they have also lost 57 of the last 85 games when the total posted is between 9 and 9.5 runs.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50* Play New York Yankees (-170) over Detroit
Game starts at 7:00 PM EST
Detroit pitcher, Max Scherzer has lost 17 of the last 20 road games when the total posted is between 8.5 and 10 runs and he has lost 6 consecutive games when pitching on a Monday. Max Scherzer has lost 7 of the last 8 games as an underdog of +100 or higher and he has also lost 15 of the last 19 games after giving up one or less run in his last outing.
<!-- / message --> <!-- controls -->
Today's NFL Picks
NY Giants at NY Jets
The Giants and Jets open the New Meadowlands Stadium tonight with the Giants being the pick (+2) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (+2). Here are all of this week's preseason picks.
MONDAY, AUGUST 16
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST (8/11)
Game 281-282: NY Giants at NY Jets (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 120.692; NY Jets 120.594
Dunkel Line: Even; 30
Vegas Line: NY Jets by 2; 33
Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (+2); Under
NY Giants at NY Jets
The Giants and Jets open the New Meadowlands Stadium tonight with the Giants being the pick (+2) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (+2). Here are all of this week's preseason picks.
MONDAY, AUGUST 16
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST (8/11)
Game 281-282: NY Giants at NY Jets (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 120.692; NY Jets 120.594
Dunkel Line: Even; 30
Vegas Line: NY Jets by 2; 33
Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (+2); Under
Today's MLB Picks
San Diego at Chicago Cubs
The Padres look to build on their 12-3 record in Kevin Correia's last 15 road starts. San Diego is the pick (-110) according to Dunkel, which has the Padres favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-110). Here are all of today's picks.
MONDAY, AUGUST 16
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST
Game 901-902: Florida at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Volstad) 13.872; Pittsburgh (McDonald) 13.934
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Florida (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+105); Over
Game 903-904: LA Dodgers at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Billingsley) 14.899; Atlanta (Hanson) 15.863
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-145); 7
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-145); Under
Game 905-906: NY Mets at Houston (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Niese) 14.367; Houston (Rodriguez) 15.191
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Houston (-110); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-110); Over
Game 907-908: San Diego at Chicago Cubs (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Correia) 16.280; Cubs (Gorzelanny) 15.054
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-110); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-110); N/A
Game 909-910: Seattle at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Fister) 14.621; Baltimore (Bergesen) 15.512
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-125); Under
Game 911-912: Detroit at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Scherzer) 15.387; NY Yankees (Vazquez) 16.197
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-175); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-175); Over
Game 913-914: Texas at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Lee) 16.036; Tampa Bay (Price) 16.976
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas (-115); 7
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-105); Under
Game 915-916: Toronto at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Marcum) 15.688; Oakland (Anderson) 16.493
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Oakland (-130); 7
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-130); Under
San Diego at Chicago Cubs
The Padres look to build on their 12-3 record in Kevin Correia's last 15 road starts. San Diego is the pick (-110) according to Dunkel, which has the Padres favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-110). Here are all of today's picks.
MONDAY, AUGUST 16
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST
Game 901-902: Florida at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Volstad) 13.872; Pittsburgh (McDonald) 13.934
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Florida (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+105); Over
Game 903-904: LA Dodgers at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Billingsley) 14.899; Atlanta (Hanson) 15.863
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-145); 7
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-145); Under
Game 905-906: NY Mets at Houston (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Niese) 14.367; Houston (Rodriguez) 15.191
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Houston (-110); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-110); Over
Game 907-908: San Diego at Chicago Cubs (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Correia) 16.280; Cubs (Gorzelanny) 15.054
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-110); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-110); N/A
Game 909-910: Seattle at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Fister) 14.621; Baltimore (Bergesen) 15.512
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-125); Under
Game 911-912: Detroit at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Scherzer) 15.387; NY Yankees (Vazquez) 16.197
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-175); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-175); Over
Game 913-914: Texas at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Lee) 16.036; Tampa Bay (Price) 16.976
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas (-115); 7
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-105); Under
Game 915-916: Toronto at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Marcum) 15.688; Oakland (Anderson) 16.493
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Oakland (-130); 7
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-130); Under
SPORTS WAGERS
HOUSTON –1.07 over NY Mets
This is a cheap line against the fragile Mets. The Mets are coming off an important series against the Phillies in which they lost two of three and scored a total of two runs. If not for a couple of 1-0 victories over its last six games the Mets would be in a real skid. Offensively, they’re in a seriously troubling skid and in fact during its just concluded six-game home stand, the Mets scored a measly nine runs. Overall, they went 3-34 (.088) with RISP. It gets worse. The Mets have fallen 10 games back in the East after trailing by four at the All-Star break. They are 10-19 since the break and are hitting .212 over that period and there are distractions in the locker room over the incidents involving Francisco Rodriguez and Johan Santana. Jonathan Niese is a good young pitcher that’s going to be around for a long time. However, when your offense isn’t scoring, pitchers feel like they have to be perfect to win and those are tough conditions to pitch under. Niese has also struggled somewhat on the road with a BAA of .282 compared to .229 at home. Furthermore, Houston's offense, which has languished near the bottom of NL rankings throughout the season, has come alive in August, averaging six runs-per-game this month and averaging five runs per game since early July. Very few starting pitchers have been better than Wandy Rodriguez since June 24. Since then, W-Rod has allowed one run or less in seven of nine starts. Over his last 34 frames he’s walked five and struck out 34 to go along with an ERA of 1.83. His ERA has dropped an incredible two full runs since June 18 and everything lines up right for another victory against this feeble offense. Play: Houston –1.07 (Risking 2.14 units to win 2).
Detroit +1.56 over NY YANKEES (1st 5 innings)
The Tigers can’t be trusted to hold a lead especially with its closer, Jose Valverde’s status uncertain. Thus, we’ll eliminate the pen and will count on Max Scherzer to go at least five strong innings. Scherzer is wickedly good and the best part about him going here is that the Yanks have yet to face him. Scherzer has all the goods to become an impact starter and while consistency is a bit of an issue, that will correct itself because this guys stuff is too good for him to not be consistently good. His 55% to 14% ratio in favor of dominant performances to disasters is a clear reason for optimism and he’s had a couple of months this season with an off-the charts **BPV (143 in June and 108 in April). Javier Vasquez is a huge risk at a big price. He’s losing steam and a close look at his numbers reveal a guy with a 32% groundball rate over the last month. That’s a number that should concern you if you’re laying the lumber because it suggests that Vazquez is laboring big time and that’s he’s likely to give up some jacks, especially at Yankee Stadium. Vazquez has allowed 36 hits over his last 27 frames and he appears to be getting weaker with each passing start. All the signs are there to suggest that Vazquez is a pitcher in trouble. These Tigers are coming off a 13-run outburst yesterday and that’s a huge boost for a team that was laboring offensively. No reason whatsoever they can’t pound Vazquez too. Play: Detroit in the first five innings +1.56 (Risking 2 units).
HOUSTON –1.07 over NY Mets
This is a cheap line against the fragile Mets. The Mets are coming off an important series against the Phillies in which they lost two of three and scored a total of two runs. If not for a couple of 1-0 victories over its last six games the Mets would be in a real skid. Offensively, they’re in a seriously troubling skid and in fact during its just concluded six-game home stand, the Mets scored a measly nine runs. Overall, they went 3-34 (.088) with RISP. It gets worse. The Mets have fallen 10 games back in the East after trailing by four at the All-Star break. They are 10-19 since the break and are hitting .212 over that period and there are distractions in the locker room over the incidents involving Francisco Rodriguez and Johan Santana. Jonathan Niese is a good young pitcher that’s going to be around for a long time. However, when your offense isn’t scoring, pitchers feel like they have to be perfect to win and those are tough conditions to pitch under. Niese has also struggled somewhat on the road with a BAA of .282 compared to .229 at home. Furthermore, Houston's offense, which has languished near the bottom of NL rankings throughout the season, has come alive in August, averaging six runs-per-game this month and averaging five runs per game since early July. Very few starting pitchers have been better than Wandy Rodriguez since June 24. Since then, W-Rod has allowed one run or less in seven of nine starts. Over his last 34 frames he’s walked five and struck out 34 to go along with an ERA of 1.83. His ERA has dropped an incredible two full runs since June 18 and everything lines up right for another victory against this feeble offense. Play: Houston –1.07 (Risking 2.14 units to win 2).
Detroit +1.56 over NY YANKEES (1st 5 innings)
The Tigers can’t be trusted to hold a lead especially with its closer, Jose Valverde’s status uncertain. Thus, we’ll eliminate the pen and will count on Max Scherzer to go at least five strong innings. Scherzer is wickedly good and the best part about him going here is that the Yanks have yet to face him. Scherzer has all the goods to become an impact starter and while consistency is a bit of an issue, that will correct itself because this guys stuff is too good for him to not be consistently good. His 55% to 14% ratio in favor of dominant performances to disasters is a clear reason for optimism and he’s had a couple of months this season with an off-the charts **BPV (143 in June and 108 in April). Javier Vasquez is a huge risk at a big price. He’s losing steam and a close look at his numbers reveal a guy with a 32% groundball rate over the last month. That’s a number that should concern you if you’re laying the lumber because it suggests that Vazquez is laboring big time and that’s he’s likely to give up some jacks, especially at Yankee Stadium. Vazquez has allowed 36 hits over his last 27 frames and he appears to be getting weaker with each passing start. All the signs are there to suggest that Vazquez is a pitcher in trouble. These Tigers are coming off a 13-run outburst yesterday and that’s a huge boost for a team that was laboring offensively. No reason whatsoever they can’t pound Vazquez too. Play: Detroit in the first five innings +1.56 (Risking 2 units).
Scott Rickenbach’s MLB 8* (Regular Play) OVER in New York-AL vs Detroit @ 7:05 ET: Vazquez vs Scherzer – RATING SYSTEM: Plays range from 6* on up to 10* so this includes 7* and 8* picks as well. 6*, 7*, 8*: most common play ratings with a 9* being a Top Play! 10* plays are a step above a 9* Top Play. The *10* is Scott's highest rated selection!
The Tigers rolled the White Sox 13-8 yesterday and there is no reason their bats shouldn’t remain hot against a very hittable Javier Vazquez of the Yankees. As for the Yanks sticks, they are happy to be back home and also hungry to bounce back after losing 1-0 at Kansas City yesterday. Note that the Yankees will take advantage of facing Max Scherzer who is 1-6 on the road this season with a 5.12 ERA. Scherzer is coming off of a solid start against Tampa Bay in his most recent outing. However, prior to that, the Tigers right-hander had given up 17 hits in his last 13.1 innings of work. This is why, even though Scherzer has a very low ERA over this last three starts, we’re certainly not “sold” on him being able to go into the Bronx and dominate the Yankees. The Yanks had averaged 10 hits per game in their last 10 games before they struggled in yesterday’s shutout loss at the hands of the Royals. Scherzer has not only struggled on the road this season, he’s also compiled a 5.05 ERA in his night starts.
As for Vazquez, he’s allowed 23 runs (20 earned) on 36 hits (including 7 homers) in his last 28 innings of work! Yes, that’s an average of nearly 1 homer ever 4 innings and yes, that equates to an ERA that is up in the 6.00 range. The point is that Vazquez is showing signs of wearing down as he now prepares for his 22nd start of this season. The Yankees right-hander has solid career numbers against the Tigers but he did not face them in 2009 and he only went 2-3 against them in 2008. Now, in their second look at him in 2010 (and coming off of an outburst at the plate yesterday) look for the Tigers to pummel Vazquez. Detroit is 8-4 to the over on Mondays this season. While we normally don’t put a lot of “stock” in to “day of the week” trends, note that a Monday trend does hold some significance because teams often play afternoon games on a Sunday. What this trend tells us is that the Tigers have a tendency to get involved in high-scoring games when afforded the extra rest that comes with having an afternoon game the prior day! As for the Yankees, they are 21-9 to the over when at home this season with a posted total of 9 or 9.5 runs on their game. Play OVER the total in the New York Yankees game as an *8* Regular Play selection Monday.
Scott Rickenbach’s MLB 7* (Regular Play) OVER in Oakland vs Toronto @ 10:05 ET: Anderson vs Marcum – RATING SYSTEM: Plays range from 6* on up to 10* so this includes 7* and 8* picks as well. 6*, 7*, 8*: most common play ratings with a 9* being a Top Play! 10* plays are a step above a 9* Top Play. The *10* is Scott's highest rated selection!
The Blue Jays have treated as very well dating all the way back to September of last year. However, they hurt us yesterday as both Toronto and the Angels combined to waste a ton of solid opportunities in their Sunday afternoon match-up. That cost us a big play yesterday but, after seeing 17 runners stranded in that game, we won’t hesitate to come right back with an over involving the Blue Jays on Monday. Yes, Toronto is now in Oakland rather than Anaheim but that may not be such a bad thing. The A’s are coming back home after a road trip where they struggled to score runs. Look for some “home cooking” to do the Athletics some good. Oakland is 10-4 in their last 14 home games and they’ve averaged 5 runs per game in their last 15 home games. We’re dealing with a very low total here (7 runs) posted on this game and that is certainly worth noting as the Blue Jays are 4-0 to the over this season when the posted total on their game is a 7 or less. Also, that record is 9-1 to the over the last three seasons and 12-5 to the over dating all the way back to 1997. Additionally, in night games this season, the Jays are 41-27 to the over.
Shaun Marcum gets the start for the Blue Jays tonight and Toronto is 5-1 to the over this season when he starts and is opposed by a left-handed starter. The A’s have southpaw Brett Anderson making the start. Before diving into some numbers on Anderson, let’s go back to Marcum again, the Jays are 7-3 to the over in his night starts this season. Toronto is 11-6 to the over in his last 17 starts. Since July 1st, Marcum has struggled in many of his outings. He allowed five earned runs in just four innings in his start on July 1st. Then Marcum allowed 17 hits in just 10.2 innings in his next two starts combined. Then, after a rare solid outing, the Blue Jays right-hander has been rocked for 13 earned runs in just 10 innings in his last two starts. Marcum allowed four homers in his most recent start.
As for the A’s Anderson, he’s certainly been producing some very impressive numbers this season. However, in his three starts since coming off the disabled list, Anderson has faced the last-place Royals, the last-place Mariners, and the White Sox. Of course he dominated the two lesser teams but, against the ChiSox, Anderson was rocked for five earned runs on ten hits in 5.1 innings of work. Now he’s facing a tough Blue Jays lineup that is fully capable of a power display…even in a spacious, pitcher-friendly park and, again, the value of the low posted total here is tremendous. One final note on Anderson here is his day/night dichotomy. In day games in his career he’s 7-4 with a 3.33 ERA and a .246 BAA. In night games in his career he’s 7-10 with a 4.12 ERA and a .270 BAA. While unders have been common in Anderson’s starts this season, note that both of his starts against AL East opponents have resulted in overs and we expect the same end result tonight! Play OVER the total in Oakland as a *7* Regular Play selection.
The Tigers rolled the White Sox 13-8 yesterday and there is no reason their bats shouldn’t remain hot against a very hittable Javier Vazquez of the Yankees. As for the Yanks sticks, they are happy to be back home and also hungry to bounce back after losing 1-0 at Kansas City yesterday. Note that the Yankees will take advantage of facing Max Scherzer who is 1-6 on the road this season with a 5.12 ERA. Scherzer is coming off of a solid start against Tampa Bay in his most recent outing. However, prior to that, the Tigers right-hander had given up 17 hits in his last 13.1 innings of work. This is why, even though Scherzer has a very low ERA over this last three starts, we’re certainly not “sold” on him being able to go into the Bronx and dominate the Yankees. The Yanks had averaged 10 hits per game in their last 10 games before they struggled in yesterday’s shutout loss at the hands of the Royals. Scherzer has not only struggled on the road this season, he’s also compiled a 5.05 ERA in his night starts.
As for Vazquez, he’s allowed 23 runs (20 earned) on 36 hits (including 7 homers) in his last 28 innings of work! Yes, that’s an average of nearly 1 homer ever 4 innings and yes, that equates to an ERA that is up in the 6.00 range. The point is that Vazquez is showing signs of wearing down as he now prepares for his 22nd start of this season. The Yankees right-hander has solid career numbers against the Tigers but he did not face them in 2009 and he only went 2-3 against them in 2008. Now, in their second look at him in 2010 (and coming off of an outburst at the plate yesterday) look for the Tigers to pummel Vazquez. Detroit is 8-4 to the over on Mondays this season. While we normally don’t put a lot of “stock” in to “day of the week” trends, note that a Monday trend does hold some significance because teams often play afternoon games on a Sunday. What this trend tells us is that the Tigers have a tendency to get involved in high-scoring games when afforded the extra rest that comes with having an afternoon game the prior day! As for the Yankees, they are 21-9 to the over when at home this season with a posted total of 9 or 9.5 runs on their game. Play OVER the total in the New York Yankees game as an *8* Regular Play selection Monday.
Scott Rickenbach’s MLB 7* (Regular Play) OVER in Oakland vs Toronto @ 10:05 ET: Anderson vs Marcum – RATING SYSTEM: Plays range from 6* on up to 10* so this includes 7* and 8* picks as well. 6*, 7*, 8*: most common play ratings with a 9* being a Top Play! 10* plays are a step above a 9* Top Play. The *10* is Scott's highest rated selection!
The Blue Jays have treated as very well dating all the way back to September of last year. However, they hurt us yesterday as both Toronto and the Angels combined to waste a ton of solid opportunities in their Sunday afternoon match-up. That cost us a big play yesterday but, after seeing 17 runners stranded in that game, we won’t hesitate to come right back with an over involving the Blue Jays on Monday. Yes, Toronto is now in Oakland rather than Anaheim but that may not be such a bad thing. The A’s are coming back home after a road trip where they struggled to score runs. Look for some “home cooking” to do the Athletics some good. Oakland is 10-4 in their last 14 home games and they’ve averaged 5 runs per game in their last 15 home games. We’re dealing with a very low total here (7 runs) posted on this game and that is certainly worth noting as the Blue Jays are 4-0 to the over this season when the posted total on their game is a 7 or less. Also, that record is 9-1 to the over the last three seasons and 12-5 to the over dating all the way back to 1997. Additionally, in night games this season, the Jays are 41-27 to the over.
Shaun Marcum gets the start for the Blue Jays tonight and Toronto is 5-1 to the over this season when he starts and is opposed by a left-handed starter. The A’s have southpaw Brett Anderson making the start. Before diving into some numbers on Anderson, let’s go back to Marcum again, the Jays are 7-3 to the over in his night starts this season. Toronto is 11-6 to the over in his last 17 starts. Since July 1st, Marcum has struggled in many of his outings. He allowed five earned runs in just four innings in his start on July 1st. Then Marcum allowed 17 hits in just 10.2 innings in his next two starts combined. Then, after a rare solid outing, the Blue Jays right-hander has been rocked for 13 earned runs in just 10 innings in his last two starts. Marcum allowed four homers in his most recent start.
As for the A’s Anderson, he’s certainly been producing some very impressive numbers this season. However, in his three starts since coming off the disabled list, Anderson has faced the last-place Royals, the last-place Mariners, and the White Sox. Of course he dominated the two lesser teams but, against the ChiSox, Anderson was rocked for five earned runs on ten hits in 5.1 innings of work. Now he’s facing a tough Blue Jays lineup that is fully capable of a power display…even in a spacious, pitcher-friendly park and, again, the value of the low posted total here is tremendous. One final note on Anderson here is his day/night dichotomy. In day games in his career he’s 7-4 with a 3.33 ERA and a .246 BAA. In night games in his career he’s 7-10 with a 4.12 ERA and a .270 BAA. While unders have been common in Anderson’s starts this season, note that both of his starts against AL East opponents have resulted in overs and we expect the same end result tonight! Play OVER the total in Oakland as a *7* Regular Play selection.
Scott Rickenbach’s MLB 8* (Regular Play) OVER in New York-AL vs Detroit @ 7:05 ET: Vazquez vs Scherzer – RATING SYSTEM: Plays range from 6* on up to 10* so this includes 7* and 8* picks as well. 6*, 7*, 8*: most common play ratings with a 9* being a Top Play! 10* plays are a step above a 9* Top Play. The *10* is Scott's highest rated selection!
The Tigers rolled the White Sox 13-8 yesterday and there is no reason their bats shouldn’t remain hot against a very hittable Javier Vazquez of the Yankees. As for the Yanks sticks, they are happy to be back home and also hungry to bounce back after losing 1-0 at Kansas City yesterday. Note that the Yankees will take advantage of facing Max Scherzer who is 1-6 on the road this season with a 5.12 ERA. Scherzer is coming off of a solid start against Tampa Bay in his most recent outing. However, prior to that, the Tigers right-hander had given up 17 hits in his last 13.1 innings of work. This is why, even though Scherzer has a very low ERA over this last three starts, we’re certainly not “sold” on him being able to go into the Bronx and dominate the Yankees. The Yanks had averaged 10 hits per game in their last 10 games before they struggled in yesterday’s shutout loss at the hands of the Royals. Scherzer has not only struggled on the road this season, he’s also compiled a 5.05 ERA in his night starts.
As for Vazquez, he’s allowed 23 runs (20 earned) on 36 hits (including 7 homers) in his last 28 innings of work! Yes, that’s an average of nearly 1 homer ever 4 innings and yes, that equates to an ERA that is up in the 6.00 range. The point is that Vazquez is showing signs of wearing down as he now prepares for his 22nd start of this season. The Yankees right-hander has solid career numbers against the Tigers but he did not face them in 2009 and he only went 2-3 against them in 2008. Now, in their second look at him in 2010 (and coming off of an outburst at the plate yesterday) look for the Tigers to pummel Vazquez. Detroit is 8-4 to the over on Mondays this season. While we normally don’t put a lot of “stock” in to “day of the week” trends, note that a Monday trend does hold some significance because teams often play afternoon games on a Sunday. What this trend tells us is that the Tigers have a tendency to get involved in high-scoring games when afforded the extra rest that comes with having an afternoon game the prior day! As for the Yankees, they are 21-9 to the over when at home this season with a posted total of 9 or 9.5 runs on their game. Play OVER the total in the New York Yankees game as an *8* Regular Play selection Monday.
Scott Rickenbach’s MLB 7* (Regular Play) OVER in Oakland vs Toronto @ 10:05 ET: Anderson vs Marcum – RATING SYSTEM: Plays range from 6* on up to 10* so this includes 7* and 8* picks as well. 6*, 7*, 8*: most common play ratings with a 9* being a Top Play! 10* plays are a step above a 9* Top Play. The *10* is Scott's highest rated selection!
The Blue Jays have treated as very well dating all the way back to September of last year. However, they hurt us yesterday as both Toronto and the Angels combined to waste a ton of solid opportunities in their Sunday afternoon match-up. That cost us a big play yesterday but, after seeing 17 runners stranded in that game, we won’t hesitate to come right back with an over involving the Blue Jays on Monday. Yes, Toronto is now in Oakland rather than Anaheim but that may not be such a bad thing. The A’s are coming back home after a road trip where they struggled to score runs. Look for some “home cooking” to do the Athletics some good. Oakland is 10-4 in their last 14 home games and they’ve averaged 5 runs per game in their last 15 home games. We’re dealing with a very low total here (7 runs) posted on this game and that is certainly worth noting as the Blue Jays are 4-0 to the over this season when the posted total on their game is a 7 or less. Also, that record is 9-1 to the over the last three seasons and 12-5 to the over dating all the way back to 1997. Additionally, in night games this season, the Jays are 41-27 to the over.
Shaun Marcum gets the start for the Blue Jays tonight and Toronto is 5-1 to the over this season when he starts and is opposed by a left-handed starter. The A’s have southpaw Brett Anderson making the start. Before diving into some numbers on Anderson, let’s go back to Marcum again, the Jays are 7-3 to the over in his night starts this season. Toronto is 11-6 to the over in his last 17 starts. Since July 1st, Marcum has struggled in many of his outings. He allowed five earned runs in just four innings in his start on July 1st. Then Marcum allowed 17 hits in just 10.2 innings in his next two starts combined. Then, after a rare solid outing, the Blue Jays right-hander has been rocked for 13 earned runs in just 10 innings in his last two starts. Marcum allowed four homers in his most recent start.
As for the A’s Anderson, he’s certainly been producing some very impressive numbers this season. However, in his three starts since coming off the disabled list, Anderson has faced the last-place Royals, the last-place Mariners, and the White Sox. Of course he dominated the two lesser teams but, against the ChiSox, Anderson was rocked for five earned runs on ten hits in 5.1 innings of work. Now he’s facing a tough Blue Jays lineup that is fully capable of a power display…even in a spacious, pitcher-friendly park and, again, the value of the low posted total here is tremendous. One final note on Anderson here is his day/night dichotomy. In day games in his career he’s 7-4 with a 3.33 ERA and a .246 BAA. In night games in his career he’s 7-10 with a 4.12 ERA and a .270 BAA. While unders have been common in Anderson’s starts this season, note that both of his starts against AL East opponents have resulted in overs and we expect the same end result tonight! Play OVER the total in Oakland as a *7* Regular Play selection.
The Tigers rolled the White Sox 13-8 yesterday and there is no reason their bats shouldn’t remain hot against a very hittable Javier Vazquez of the Yankees. As for the Yanks sticks, they are happy to be back home and also hungry to bounce back after losing 1-0 at Kansas City yesterday. Note that the Yankees will take advantage of facing Max Scherzer who is 1-6 on the road this season with a 5.12 ERA. Scherzer is coming off of a solid start against Tampa Bay in his most recent outing. However, prior to that, the Tigers right-hander had given up 17 hits in his last 13.1 innings of work. This is why, even though Scherzer has a very low ERA over this last three starts, we’re certainly not “sold” on him being able to go into the Bronx and dominate the Yankees. The Yanks had averaged 10 hits per game in their last 10 games before they struggled in yesterday’s shutout loss at the hands of the Royals. Scherzer has not only struggled on the road this season, he’s also compiled a 5.05 ERA in his night starts.
As for Vazquez, he’s allowed 23 runs (20 earned) on 36 hits (including 7 homers) in his last 28 innings of work! Yes, that’s an average of nearly 1 homer ever 4 innings and yes, that equates to an ERA that is up in the 6.00 range. The point is that Vazquez is showing signs of wearing down as he now prepares for his 22nd start of this season. The Yankees right-hander has solid career numbers against the Tigers but he did not face them in 2009 and he only went 2-3 against them in 2008. Now, in their second look at him in 2010 (and coming off of an outburst at the plate yesterday) look for the Tigers to pummel Vazquez. Detroit is 8-4 to the over on Mondays this season. While we normally don’t put a lot of “stock” in to “day of the week” trends, note that a Monday trend does hold some significance because teams often play afternoon games on a Sunday. What this trend tells us is that the Tigers have a tendency to get involved in high-scoring games when afforded the extra rest that comes with having an afternoon game the prior day! As for the Yankees, they are 21-9 to the over when at home this season with a posted total of 9 or 9.5 runs on their game. Play OVER the total in the New York Yankees game as an *8* Regular Play selection Monday.
Scott Rickenbach’s MLB 7* (Regular Play) OVER in Oakland vs Toronto @ 10:05 ET: Anderson vs Marcum – RATING SYSTEM: Plays range from 6* on up to 10* so this includes 7* and 8* picks as well. 6*, 7*, 8*: most common play ratings with a 9* being a Top Play! 10* plays are a step above a 9* Top Play. The *10* is Scott's highest rated selection!
The Blue Jays have treated as very well dating all the way back to September of last year. However, they hurt us yesterday as both Toronto and the Angels combined to waste a ton of solid opportunities in their Sunday afternoon match-up. That cost us a big play yesterday but, after seeing 17 runners stranded in that game, we won’t hesitate to come right back with an over involving the Blue Jays on Monday. Yes, Toronto is now in Oakland rather than Anaheim but that may not be such a bad thing. The A’s are coming back home after a road trip where they struggled to score runs. Look for some “home cooking” to do the Athletics some good. Oakland is 10-4 in their last 14 home games and they’ve averaged 5 runs per game in their last 15 home games. We’re dealing with a very low total here (7 runs) posted on this game and that is certainly worth noting as the Blue Jays are 4-0 to the over this season when the posted total on their game is a 7 or less. Also, that record is 9-1 to the over the last three seasons and 12-5 to the over dating all the way back to 1997. Additionally, in night games this season, the Jays are 41-27 to the over.
Shaun Marcum gets the start for the Blue Jays tonight and Toronto is 5-1 to the over this season when he starts and is opposed by a left-handed starter. The A’s have southpaw Brett Anderson making the start. Before diving into some numbers on Anderson, let’s go back to Marcum again, the Jays are 7-3 to the over in his night starts this season. Toronto is 11-6 to the over in his last 17 starts. Since July 1st, Marcum has struggled in many of his outings. He allowed five earned runs in just four innings in his start on July 1st. Then Marcum allowed 17 hits in just 10.2 innings in his next two starts combined. Then, after a rare solid outing, the Blue Jays right-hander has been rocked for 13 earned runs in just 10 innings in his last two starts. Marcum allowed four homers in his most recent start.
As for the A’s Anderson, he’s certainly been producing some very impressive numbers this season. However, in his three starts since coming off the disabled list, Anderson has faced the last-place Royals, the last-place Mariners, and the White Sox. Of course he dominated the two lesser teams but, against the ChiSox, Anderson was rocked for five earned runs on ten hits in 5.1 innings of work. Now he’s facing a tough Blue Jays lineup that is fully capable of a power display…even in a spacious, pitcher-friendly park and, again, the value of the low posted total here is tremendous. One final note on Anderson here is his day/night dichotomy. In day games in his career he’s 7-4 with a 3.33 ERA and a .246 BAA. In night games in his career he’s 7-10 with a 4.12 ERA and a .270 BAA. While unders have been common in Anderson’s starts this season, note that both of his starts against AL East opponents have resulted in overs and we expect the same end result tonight! Play OVER the total in Oakland as a *7* Regular Play selection.
BeatYourBookie MLB 8/16
10* Play Tampa Bay (+105) over Texas (POD) 7:00 P.M. EST
Tampa Bay is 15-5 in home games when the total posted is 7.5 runs or less David Price is 7-1 in home games this season with an ERA of 2.04 Texas is 11-18 vs. AL East Division Opponents this season
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
5* Play Seattle (+110) over Baltimore
7:00 P.M. EST
Baltimore is 6-22 when playing on a Monday the last 2 seasons Baltimore is 10-29 when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs this season Bradley Bergesen is 4-9 in all starts this season with an ERA of 5.93
10* Play NY Jets (-2) over NY Giants (Top Play) (8:00 P.M. EST Kick-Off)
NY Jets are 26-11 ATS in pre-season games when the line is between +3 and -3 NY Jets are 24-10 ATS in pre-season vs. NFC East Division Opponents since 1993 NY Jets are 13-3 ATS in pre-season vs. NY Giants
10* Play Tampa Bay (+105) over Texas (POD) 7:00 P.M. EST
Tampa Bay is 15-5 in home games when the total posted is 7.5 runs or less David Price is 7-1 in home games this season with an ERA of 2.04 Texas is 11-18 vs. AL East Division Opponents this season
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
5* Play Seattle (+110) over Baltimore
7:00 P.M. EST
Baltimore is 6-22 when playing on a Monday the last 2 seasons Baltimore is 10-29 when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs this season Bradley Bergesen is 4-9 in all starts this season with an ERA of 5.93
10* Play NY Jets (-2) over NY Giants (Top Play) (8:00 P.M. EST Kick-Off)
NY Jets are 26-11 ATS in pre-season games when the line is between +3 and -3 NY Jets are 24-10 ATS in pre-season vs. NFC East Division Opponents since 1993 NY Jets are 13-3 ATS in pre-season vs. NY Giants
JSM Sports
HRC PREMIUM MLB ACTION-August 16th
Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)
Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
*****************
[916] Oakland |8*|-125|B+0|Network N/A|10:05 pm EST
note*
Major League Baseball Premiums
2010 (+24.07) Units| In season |
HRC PREMIUM MLB ACTION-August 16th
Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)
Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
*****************
[916] Oakland |8*|-125|B+0|Network N/A|10:05 pm EST
note*
Major League Baseball Premiums
2010 (+24.07) Units| In season |
