Service Plays Monday 7/5/10

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GREG SHAKER

MLB Money Line Mon, 07/05/10 - 7:10 PM

triple-dime bet 958 NYM (-127) BetUS vs 957 CIN
Analysis: MLB: Cincinnati Reds at New York Mets - Mets (Harang/Pelfrey) -127 | Unit Value: 3
Game Date: 7/5/2010
 
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JOHN RYAN

Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Play: Boston Red Sox

5* graded play on Boston as they take on the Rays set to start at 7:10 EST. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that the Red Sox will win this game. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 58-17 making 33.2 units sine 2004. Play against all dogs with a money line of +125 to +175 with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start and is a poor defensive catchers allowing 0.85 + SB's/game on the season. Boston is 7-1 (+7.5 Units) against the money line in road games versus poor fielding teams turning 0.8 or less DP's/game this season. Rays starter Garza is just 1-7 (-9.2 Units) against the money line versus poor baserunning teams averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Boston is 42-11 (+28.4 Units) against the money line after 5 or more consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons. Matsuzaka is pitching very well and had a near no hitter in Philadelphia on 5/22. Since that start he has not allowed more than 3 ER. With Rays offense struggling more and more of late and we strongly believe Matsuzaka will dominate them from start to finish. Take the Red Sox.
 
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JSM SPORTS
HRC PREMIUM MLB ACTION-July 5th
Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)
Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
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5* [958] New York |-125|B+0|Network N/A|7:10 pm EST
5* [966] Tampa Bay |-140|B+0|Network N/A|7:10 pm EST
 
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SUPER SPORTS GROUP

Baltimore v. Detroit 1:05pm
8* PICK: Tiger8 RL (-1.5) +105 Game
7* PICK: O7ER 9.5 Game ev

Chicago v. Arizona 4:10pm
6* PICK: Cu6s ML ev Game

Atlanta v. Philadelphia 7:05pm
7* PICK: B7aves ML +150 Game

Boston v. Tampa Bay 7:10pm
8* PICK: Red 8ox ML +120 Game
9* PICK: OVER 9 Game -105 Best bet of the day #1

Cleveland v. Texas 8:05pm
9* PICK: OVER 10.5 Game Best bet of the day #2
 
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HENTAI SPORTS

Game : Kansas City Royals at Seattle Mariners (MLB) 10:10pm EST

Prediction : Seattle Mariners -1.5 / Felix Hernandez must start.

Analysis : Without a doubt Hernandez is back to his last season domination. Shutting out the NYY in a complete game shutout shows how good he is running. In fact his last four starts he is 3-0 with 3 complete games, 5 ER’s and 37 K’s! KC turns to Bannister after being shut out on Sunday. Not good news as Banniester is 1-3 in last four starts. Even worse night starts he is 3-6 with a 7.76 ERA. When Hernandez wins he has covered the R/L in all of his last 5 winning starts.
 
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KELSO

25 UNIT Atlanta Braves/Philadelphia Phillies UNDER 7.5
15 UNIT Tampa Bay Rays -155 v. Boston
10 UNIT Cincinnati Reds +115 @ Mets
3 UNIT Milwaukee Brewers -115 v SF (early game of course)
 
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SPORTSLOTTERY

*** Top Play *** NY Mets ML
I'll take the Mets at home with the better starter on the hill tonight.
 
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Stephen Nover 100 dime play

Monday's Pick
100 Dime Release on the Arizona Diamondbacks and Kennedy over the Chicago Cubs and Gorzelanny. Note that both schedulad pitchers must start this game or else this selectiaon is null and void. As this play is releastd at 5:30 AM Eastern, the D'Backs are -120 both in Las Vegas and offshore. Be aware of the early starting time for this contest as it goes at 4:10 P.M. Eastern Monday.
DEAD. That word accurately depicts the Chicago Cubs right now.
The Cubs aren't hitting, morale is terrible and they are in a horrible travel spot for this game, traveling to the West Coast for a day game following a disappointing 2-5 homestand.
Getting away from the now unfriendly confines of Wrigley Field isn't going to help the Cubs either. They have lost nine of their last 14 on the road.
Chicago' offense has been just brutal. The Cubs have scored three runs or fewer in their last seven games. They are battang .205 during this span. Making this even worse, is that the wind was blowing out at Wrigley Field twice during the past three days. The Reds took advantage of that to score 26 runs against the Cubs in those two games.
The Cubs are hoping southpaw Tom Gorzelanny can turn things around in this matchup. I wouldn't count on that. The Diamondbacks have had an extremely disappointing season, too, but they are semi-respectaable at home at 19-20 compared to 13-30 on the road. The Diamondbacks are 7-1 the past eight times they have been home favorites.
Arizona's best hitters are right-handed. The Diamondbacks have hit the fifth-most home runs in the majors.
Expect Gorzelanny to struggle against this right-handed power stacked lineup. The Cubs have lost in nine of Gorzelanny's last 11 starts.
This will be Arizona's fourth game under interim manager Kirk Gibson. So the unrest in Arizona is settling down. The Diamondbacks have the advanttge of being rested, having been at home since the start of the month.
The Cubs traditionally have struggled in the desert. They are 9-29 in their last 38 games at Arizona.
Arizona is pitching right-hander Ian Kennedy, who has a 2.41 ERA in six starts at Chase Field. Kennedy has been the Diamondbacks' most consistent pitcher this season. The Cubs have lost in 19 of their last 26 games when facing a right-handed starter.
The Diamondbacks have a terrible bullpen, but Kennedy usually can be counted on to go deep into games. He'll also be pitching on extra rest, having last pitched on June 26.​
 

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does anyone have jimmy boyds top plays for today, hes been red hot the past 30 days? thanks
 

ugk

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TRACE ADAMS

1000 DIME RUN LINE ROUT NY Yankees
500 DIME UNDERDOG BONUS BEST BET Atlanta Braves

Monday's Selections

My 1000♦ Run Line Rout for Monday night is a RUN LINE play on the NY Yankees with Vazquez over the Oakland A's with Sheets.

500♦ Bonus Best Bet going out on the underdog Atlanta Braves with Lowe over Philadelphia with Halladay.

Note: Both listed pitchers must start, or NO action on the games!

The Yankees has already won 2 of the 3 season series meetings against the Athletics, and both of the wins have come by 2 runs or more. Overall New York stands at 13-3 the last 16 times they have faced Oakland, and 11 of their last 14 wins in the series have also come by 2 runs or better.

I say the Yanks hit the west coast running tonight, and get to Ben Sheets in a big way. New York was able to plate 18 runs in their last 2 games over the weekend against Toronto, and should be able to get a few more off of Oakland starter Ben Sheets who is just 3-7 with a 4.98 ERA this year.

Sheets has allowed 11 runs over his last 19 innings of work as well.

Javier Vazquez has not been sharp his last pair of times on the mound, but he does own a 2-1 mark against Oakland since 2008 with 7 runs allowed in 22 innings of work. I think Vazquez is good for 7 or 8 quality innings tonight, as the Yankees stretch the margtn in this one for the comfortable RUN LINE win.

My 500♦ bonus underdog is to take the Braves over the Phillies.

Big series for Philly, as they are staring up at Atlanta in the NL East standing, but I am just not convinced the Phillies are consistent enough at the plate these days to back them, even with Roy Halladay going.

Halladay just allowed 4 runs in a loss to Cincinnati, and the Phillies have dropped 4 of their last 5 overall entering tonight's play.

Derek Lowe's last road start saw the righty go 7 scoreless in a no decision at the White Sox, and Lowe's last start against Philly saw him work 8 innings of 1 run ball in the win on June 2nd.

It should be noted that Halladay did shut out the Braves in April, but he may need to do that again to win tonight, as the Philadelphia bats have been pretty quiet of late. I don't think Halladay is shutting the 1st place Braves out tonight, and I will go with Atlanta in the dog role tonight to stun the Phillies.
 

ugk

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FIVE STAR SPORTS
3 Star LA Angels + 134
3 Star Boston Red Sox + 134
 

ugk

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B&S PICKS
3 DIME SYNDICATE PLAY Seattle Mariners ML
1 DIME REGULAR PLAY Seattle Mariners -1.5 RL
1 DIME REGULAR PLAY Philadelphia Phillies ML
1 DIME REGULAR PLAY SF Giants ML
2 DIME DOUBLE DIME BOOKIE BASHER PLAY Arizona Diamondbacks ML
2 DIME BOLD SPORTS UPSET PLAY Cincinnati Reds ML
 
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WUNDERDOG

Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners
5 UNIT Play: Seattle Mariners -1½

The Seattle Mariners have a pair of aces and not much else within the starting rotations. One of those aces, Felix Hernandez takes the mound tonight to open the M's series with the Kansas City Royals. It is one thing to have an ace on the mound, but when that ace is "in the zone" as Hernandez is, opponents are going to struggle. Hernandez has pitched three straight complete games, and in his last four starts has gone at least 8.2 innings. He has been in the groove, allowing just 16 hits in the 35.2 innings, pitching to a 1.26 ERA. The Royals counter with a struggling Brian Bannister who has completed just 17 innings in his last four starts allowing 18 runs. The Royals are just 1-7 when Bannister gets the ball with a moneyline from +151 to +200. I like Seattle on the runline in this one.
 
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RYAN LAWRENCE

3* Texas Rangers RL.
1* Chicago White Sox ML.
1* San Francisco Giants ML.
1* Boston Red Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays under 9.
 

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