Mon, 07/28/08 - 8:05 Matty O'Shea | MLB RunLine
triple-dime bet910 HOU -1.5 (+135) BetUS vs 909 CIN
Taking everything into consideration, look for Oswalt to get plenty of run support here in his return and bet Houston on the runline as my Triple Dime NL Value Play O' the Year.
__________________
THE LEGEND KILLER
triple-dime bet910 HOU -1.5 (+135) BetUS vs 909 CIN
Taking everything into consideration, look for Oswalt to get plenty of run support here in his return and bet Houston on the runline as my Triple Dime NL Value Play O' the Year.
__________________
THE LEGEND KILLER
Last edited by a moderator:
O.C. Dooley Guaranteed Selections
Date: Monday, July 28, 2008
TONIGHT'S "3 UNIT" BEST BET (Reds +125 at Astros in a 8:05 eastern start--------Cueto versus Oswalt): This is one of those wagers where I feel the posted line actually helps make the pick. Since Cincinnati comes in having lost 5 of the past 7 games and got swept at home over the weekend where they were outscored by a whopping 23-3 combined margin, one would think they would be a much larger underdog especially since the Reds are a disastrous 1-18 when going up against tonight's starting pitcher. Even though Houston ace Roy Oswalt owns the Reds, he checks into this start with a personal below .500 overall record which in part is due to injury problems he has suffered all season. That latest injury (hip) just landed Oswalt on the disabled list, so I have to question just how healthy he really is. Cincinnati's ace all season has been Edinson Volquez who was leading the entire National League in ERA going into the All Star Break. But the grind of a long campaign has caught up with the Reds most effective hurler as Volquez threw way too many pitches for a second consecutive start on Saturday where he was bombed. I bring up Volquez because in my opinion Johnny Cueto's overall repotoire of pitches are just as good. While Volquez got off to a tremendous start, Cueto has only been average at best in his rookie campaign. But I have noticed that Cueto is starting to fool opposing batters by racking up 22 STRIKEOUT victims in the past 18 innings of work. I have found out that Cincinnati has done a very wise thing with one of their talented young hurlers by giving Cueto an extra day of REST. Speaking of rest, the Reds benched outfielder Jay Bruce yesterday as arguably the majors #1 prospect has been struggling along with the rest of the team lately. What excites me about Bruce is that he grew up right near Houston in the state of Texas so tonight is a "homecoming" of sorts where he will have plenty of family and friends in the stands cheering him on. Ken Griffey Jr. enters tonight riding a TEN game hitting streak and his batting average when playing AT Houston (.391) is rather large in his past six visits. Another reason why I like the visting Reds is that they have a "marginal" losing record just like the Astros. Houston this season just happens to be a horrible 5-16 when facing a "marginal" losing opponent who has won between 46-and-49% of their contests. Even though Cincinnati has been struggling at the plate, they are an excellent 11-4 this season following a 3-game stretch where the on-base percentage (.260 or worse) has been poor. Here is a near 70-PERCENT SYSTEM (32-15 past decade) which goes AGAINST home favorites like Houston who are off an upset DIVISIONAL win as an underdog of +130 or more. This system helps explain why Houston is in a classic "letdown" spot after winning 2 of 3 at contending Milwaukee during the weekend. Houston has won a pair of series since the All Star Break and both (Brewers and Cubs) have been against teams with winning records.<!-- / message -->
Date: Monday, July 28, 2008
TONIGHT'S "3 UNIT" BEST BET (Reds +125 at Astros in a 8:05 eastern start--------Cueto versus Oswalt): This is one of those wagers where I feel the posted line actually helps make the pick. Since Cincinnati comes in having lost 5 of the past 7 games and got swept at home over the weekend where they were outscored by a whopping 23-3 combined margin, one would think they would be a much larger underdog especially since the Reds are a disastrous 1-18 when going up against tonight's starting pitcher. Even though Houston ace Roy Oswalt owns the Reds, he checks into this start with a personal below .500 overall record which in part is due to injury problems he has suffered all season. That latest injury (hip) just landed Oswalt on the disabled list, so I have to question just how healthy he really is. Cincinnati's ace all season has been Edinson Volquez who was leading the entire National League in ERA going into the All Star Break. But the grind of a long campaign has caught up with the Reds most effective hurler as Volquez threw way too many pitches for a second consecutive start on Saturday where he was bombed. I bring up Volquez because in my opinion Johnny Cueto's overall repotoire of pitches are just as good. While Volquez got off to a tremendous start, Cueto has only been average at best in his rookie campaign. But I have noticed that Cueto is starting to fool opposing batters by racking up 22 STRIKEOUT victims in the past 18 innings of work. I have found out that Cincinnati has done a very wise thing with one of their talented young hurlers by giving Cueto an extra day of REST. Speaking of rest, the Reds benched outfielder Jay Bruce yesterday as arguably the majors #1 prospect has been struggling along with the rest of the team lately. What excites me about Bruce is that he grew up right near Houston in the state of Texas so tonight is a "homecoming" of sorts where he will have plenty of family and friends in the stands cheering him on. Ken Griffey Jr. enters tonight riding a TEN game hitting streak and his batting average when playing AT Houston (.391) is rather large in his past six visits. Another reason why I like the visting Reds is that they have a "marginal" losing record just like the Astros. Houston this season just happens to be a horrible 5-16 when facing a "marginal" losing opponent who has won between 46-and-49% of their contests. Even though Cincinnati has been struggling at the plate, they are an excellent 11-4 this season following a 3-game stretch where the on-base percentage (.260 or worse) has been poor. Here is a near 70-PERCENT SYSTEM (32-15 past decade) which goes AGAINST home favorites like Houston who are off an upset DIVISIONAL win as an underdog of +130 or more. This system helps explain why Houston is in a classic "letdown" spot after winning 2 of 3 at contending Milwaukee during the weekend. Houston has won a pair of series since the All Star Break and both (Brewers and Cubs) have been against teams with winning records.<!-- / message -->
Last edited by a moderator:
Brian Graves Guaranteed Selections
Date: Monday, July 28, 2008
$30.00 Guaranteed: You very rarely get an opportunity like the one I have tonight. Last night I had my AL Game of the Year gong and it was over after the first inning when the Red Sox put 3 up against Ponson. Now I turn on the computer this morning and the NL gives me this game. I have the chance to hit 2 of my BIGGEST PLAYS of the entire season and they come to you on back-to-back nights!!!!! 7/28/2008
San Diego/Arizona over 7.5 runs 10:05
I realize this game is in San Diego, but the fact that this total is only 7.5 is like handing money over. You have 2 struggling pitchers who between them have won only 1 game in last since the middle of May. Owings is a mess right now. Everything he throws over gets hammered and he has had problems throwing it over. Maddux will do his usual stuff and try to keep the ball away and hope the D-Backs try to pull everything. Unfortunately this team actually has fared very well against the future hall of famer and there offense has found it's groove again in the 2nd half so far. This is a rare NL game where you could see 2 or 3 hits from the pitchers as neither one of these guys has overpowering stuff and both pitchers can handle the bat. This number is a JOKE and needs to be HAMMERED!!!
<!-- / message -->
Date: Monday, July 28, 2008
$30.00 Guaranteed: You very rarely get an opportunity like the one I have tonight. Last night I had my AL Game of the Year gong and it was over after the first inning when the Red Sox put 3 up against Ponson. Now I turn on the computer this morning and the NL gives me this game. I have the chance to hit 2 of my BIGGEST PLAYS of the entire season and they come to you on back-to-back nights!!!!! 7/28/2008
San Diego/Arizona over 7.5 runs 10:05
I realize this game is in San Diego, but the fact that this total is only 7.5 is like handing money over. You have 2 struggling pitchers who between them have won only 1 game in last since the middle of May. Owings is a mess right now. Everything he throws over gets hammered and he has had problems throwing it over. Maddux will do his usual stuff and try to keep the ball away and hope the D-Backs try to pull everything. Unfortunately this team actually has fared very well against the future hall of famer and there offense has found it's groove again in the 2nd half so far. This is a rare NL game where you could see 2 or 3 hits from the pitchers as neither one of these guys has overpowering stuff and both pitchers can handle the bat. This number is a JOKE and needs to be HAMMERED!!!
<!-- / message -->
After the terrible Saturday I bounced back yesterday nicely going 4-0 for a profit of 10.855 units. Here are Monday's selections:
Florida +1.01 (3 Unit Play) - A big series starts tonight in Florida as the Marlins take on the Mets. The Marlins will have Ricky Nolasco on the mound and he has pitched very well this year going 10-6 with a 3.99 ERA in 128 2/3 innings of work and compiling a nice 1.23 WHIP. Nolasco has pitched poorly in his last two outings however but has the confidence going in when taking on the Mets as he is 2-0 with a 2.77 ERA in his last three starts against them. The Mets meanwhile will have John Maine on the hill off of a big win against the Phillies but Maine before that game was really struggling as he was 0-2 with a 6.63 ERA in four starts of which three of them were on the road. The Marlins have a 29-23 record at home this year while the Mets are only 25-28 on the road and I will look for the small underdog Marlins to get this game tonight.
Chicago Cubs +1.58 (3 Unit Play) - In a game where you have two evenly matched teams the obvious reason for such a discrepancy in the line is the pitching matchup and I although I would agree that Milwaukee has the advantage here I will take a shot on the Cubs. The Cubbies have Ted Lilly on the hill tonight in what should be a fun series to watch and Lilly has been pitching quite well on the mound this year especially on the road where he has sported a 3.84 ERA in 72 2/3 innings and a 1.35 WHIP. The Cubs are not a great road team by any stretch as they are only 22-30 but they do have Alfonso Soriano back and they could win this game easily tonight. That task will depend on them getting to C.C. Sabathia who has been awesome since his acquisition from the Indians but although he has pitched great lately he does have in the back of his mind the debacle that he had when he took on the Cubs for the only time in his career where he lost the game 9-2 but was really beat up in the loss. I will take a shot with the Cubbies to show up here tonight and win.
Cincinnati +1.29 (3 Unit Play) - The Reds and Astros start a series that doesn't mean much and there may be players getting traded from both teams here but I like the Reds as the underdog here tonight. Johnny Cueto will take the mound for the Reds and lately he has been struggling but before the last couple of games he had found his groove again and he is still striking out batters. Cueto will be opposed by Roy Oswalt who has been battling injury issues pretty much all season and he will be held to 90 pitches in this game tonight and although his career numbers are completely lights out against the Reds he will not be able to stay longer than 5-6 innings in this one tonight. The Astros have been having trouble scoring runs at home and although Cincinnati comes in scuffling to I would rather have my money on Cincinnati in a close game than the Astros.
GAME OF THE MONTH
Boston -1 1/2 Runs +1.29 (5 Unit Play) - I very rarely use a 5* play and I hate to use it on a run line especially on a home team but I really like the Red Sox in this spot tonight and will look for them to win by 4-5 runs here tonight. The Red Sox are off of the ESPN Sunday Night game and were battling losing to the Yankees twice in a row as well as the Manny Ramirez rumors but they came through in flying colors last night. Today they will take on a team that just embarassed them last week in Los Angeles and very well may be meeting them in the playoffs and they have lost five straight games against them since dominating the Angels for years. The Red Sox have their best pitcher on the mound in Daisuke Matsuzaka and he has only faced the Angels once in his career which was last year's playoff game. Matsuzaka has been unbelievable this year posting a 2.63 ERA, 11-1 record and a 1.36 WHIP in 95 2/3 innings of work and I look for him to rise up to the occasion tonight on ESPN. The Angels are responding with perhaps their most disappointing starting pitcher in Jered Weaver who had to leave his last start due to some shoulder issues. I look for the Red Sox to win big this evening.
Those are my Monday selections and I will return on Tuesday with more
winning selections. Best of luck to everyone and enjoy the games.
Oscarxena Sports
<!-- / message -->
Florida +1.01 (3 Unit Play) - A big series starts tonight in Florida as the Marlins take on the Mets. The Marlins will have Ricky Nolasco on the mound and he has pitched very well this year going 10-6 with a 3.99 ERA in 128 2/3 innings of work and compiling a nice 1.23 WHIP. Nolasco has pitched poorly in his last two outings however but has the confidence going in when taking on the Mets as he is 2-0 with a 2.77 ERA in his last three starts against them. The Mets meanwhile will have John Maine on the hill off of a big win against the Phillies but Maine before that game was really struggling as he was 0-2 with a 6.63 ERA in four starts of which three of them were on the road. The Marlins have a 29-23 record at home this year while the Mets are only 25-28 on the road and I will look for the small underdog Marlins to get this game tonight.
Chicago Cubs +1.58 (3 Unit Play) - In a game where you have two evenly matched teams the obvious reason for such a discrepancy in the line is the pitching matchup and I although I would agree that Milwaukee has the advantage here I will take a shot on the Cubs. The Cubbies have Ted Lilly on the hill tonight in what should be a fun series to watch and Lilly has been pitching quite well on the mound this year especially on the road where he has sported a 3.84 ERA in 72 2/3 innings and a 1.35 WHIP. The Cubs are not a great road team by any stretch as they are only 22-30 but they do have Alfonso Soriano back and they could win this game easily tonight. That task will depend on them getting to C.C. Sabathia who has been awesome since his acquisition from the Indians but although he has pitched great lately he does have in the back of his mind the debacle that he had when he took on the Cubs for the only time in his career where he lost the game 9-2 but was really beat up in the loss. I will take a shot with the Cubbies to show up here tonight and win.
Cincinnati +1.29 (3 Unit Play) - The Reds and Astros start a series that doesn't mean much and there may be players getting traded from both teams here but I like the Reds as the underdog here tonight. Johnny Cueto will take the mound for the Reds and lately he has been struggling but before the last couple of games he had found his groove again and he is still striking out batters. Cueto will be opposed by Roy Oswalt who has been battling injury issues pretty much all season and he will be held to 90 pitches in this game tonight and although his career numbers are completely lights out against the Reds he will not be able to stay longer than 5-6 innings in this one tonight. The Astros have been having trouble scoring runs at home and although Cincinnati comes in scuffling to I would rather have my money on Cincinnati in a close game than the Astros.
GAME OF THE MONTH
Boston -1 1/2 Runs +1.29 (5 Unit Play) - I very rarely use a 5* play and I hate to use it on a run line especially on a home team but I really like the Red Sox in this spot tonight and will look for them to win by 4-5 runs here tonight. The Red Sox are off of the ESPN Sunday Night game and were battling losing to the Yankees twice in a row as well as the Manny Ramirez rumors but they came through in flying colors last night. Today they will take on a team that just embarassed them last week in Los Angeles and very well may be meeting them in the playoffs and they have lost five straight games against them since dominating the Angels for years. The Red Sox have their best pitcher on the mound in Daisuke Matsuzaka and he has only faced the Angels once in his career which was last year's playoff game. Matsuzaka has been unbelievable this year posting a 2.63 ERA, 11-1 record and a 1.36 WHIP in 95 2/3 innings of work and I look for him to rise up to the occasion tonight on ESPN. The Angels are responding with perhaps their most disappointing starting pitcher in Jered Weaver who had to leave his last start due to some shoulder issues. I look for the Red Sox to win big this evening.
Those are my Monday selections and I will return on Tuesday with more
winning selections. Best of luck to everyone and enjoy the games.
Oscarxena Sports
<!-- / message -->
asawins
7/28/2008
6:10:00 PM FLORIDA MARLINS (Nolasco)+105
over New York Mets (Maine)
ASA 3* Florida (Nolasco) +105 over New York (Maine) 6:10 PM Look for Florida to take game one of this critical NL East series
7/28/2008
6:05:00 PM OVER 9.5 RUNS,PITTSBURGH PIRATES (Snell)
-vs- Colorado Rockies (Hirsh)
Nelly's 1-Star ‘OVER’ Colorado (Hirsh) at Pittsburgh (Snell) 7:05 PM ET
Nelly’s rates picks 1-3 units, this selection is rated 1-unit.
<!-- / message -->
7/28/2008
6:10:00 PM FLORIDA MARLINS (Nolasco)+105
over New York Mets (Maine)
ASA 3* Florida (Nolasco) +105 over New York (Maine) 6:10 PM Look for Florida to take game one of this critical NL East series
7/28/2008
6:05:00 PM OVER 9.5 RUNS,PITTSBURGH PIRATES (Snell)
-vs- Colorado Rockies (Hirsh)
Nelly's 1-Star ‘OVER’ Colorado (Hirsh) at Pittsburgh (Snell) 7:05 PM ET
Nelly’s rates picks 1-3 units, this selection is rated 1-unit.
<!-- / message -->
<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR bgColor=#dddddd><TD vAlign=top>The Millionaires Club</TD><TD vAlign=top align=right>Guaranteed Selections</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top>Date: Monday, July 28, 2008
Today we have a 91% HIGH ROLLER BASEBALL WINNER that you can get for just $25!</TD><TD vAlign=top noWrap align=right>7/28/2008</TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2> </TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2>91% HIGH ROLLER BASEBALL WINNER
Milwaukee w/Sabathia -165 8:05 EST</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
Today we have a 91% HIGH ROLLER BASEBALL WINNER that you can get for just $25!</TD><TD vAlign=top noWrap align=right>7/28/2008</TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2> </TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2>91% HIGH ROLLER BASEBALL WINNER
Milwaukee w/Sabathia -165 8:05 EST</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
Last edited by a moderator:
Jack Clayton Guaranteed Selections
Date: Monday, July 28, 2008
3* Red Sox/Angels over (916): You need a rested bullpen when Dice-K Matzusaka pitches, but the Red Sox are off a 3-game series with the rival Yankees and their talented offense. The bullpen, as usual, got worn down in the series. Now Dice-K goes and he's not an innings-eater, a walking too many batters. Boston's offense got a boost this weekend with the return of Big Papi. LA starter Jared Weaver is 0-2 with a 5.46 ERA against the Red Sox. Fenway is a hitter's park, so look for plenty of runs. Play the Angels/Red Sox over the total!
<!-- / message -->
Date: Monday, July 28, 2008
3* Red Sox/Angels over (916): You need a rested bullpen when Dice-K Matzusaka pitches, but the Red Sox are off a 3-game series with the rival Yankees and their talented offense. The bullpen, as usual, got worn down in the series. Now Dice-K goes and he's not an innings-eater, a walking too many batters. Boston's offense got a boost this weekend with the return of Big Papi. LA starter Jared Weaver is 0-2 with a 5.46 ERA against the Red Sox. Fenway is a hitter's park, so look for plenty of runs. Play the Angels/Red Sox over the total!
<!-- / message -->
Last edited by a moderator:
Mon, 07/28/08 - 10:05 Tony George | MLB Total
dime bet912 SDP / 911 ARI Over 7.5 BetUS
Analysis:
OVER 7.5 Padres / D Backs
Both teams off weekend sweeps where both teams scored a ton of runs. Neither bullpen has performed well, SD's bullpen has an ERA of 6.75 their last 3 and Arizona's has a 5.87 in their last 3 games. Both starters ERA's their last 3 games are over 5 and Maddux has had a 6.06 ERA in his last 3 as mid season fatuige for the older Maddux is setting in like it did last year. He is lasting about 5 innings a game. The last 4 in this series has went under, I like the odds to change and both teams bats to stay alive uin this heated series.
Play 1 Unit on the Over..thanks and good luck..Tony George
dime bet912 SDP / 911 ARI Over 7.5 BetUS
Analysis:
OVER 7.5 Padres / D Backs
Both teams off weekend sweeps where both teams scored a ton of runs. Neither bullpen has performed well, SD's bullpen has an ERA of 6.75 their last 3 and Arizona's has a 5.87 in their last 3 games. Both starters ERA's their last 3 games are over 5 and Maddux has had a 6.06 ERA in his last 3 as mid season fatuige for the older Maddux is setting in like it did last year. He is lasting about 5 innings a game. The last 4 in this series has went under, I like the odds to change and both teams bats to stay alive uin this heated series.
Play 1 Unit on the Over..thanks and good luck..Tony George
