Larry Ness | MLB Money Line Mon, 06/21/10 - 10:05 PM
double-dime bet 956 OAK (-120) BetUS vs 955 CIN
Analysis: My 8* Weekly Wipeout Winner is on the Oak A's at 10:05 ET.
Rookie Mike Leake didn't lose his first game this season until his 13th start. He allowed three ERs or less in 10 of his first 11 but then needed to get bailed out by his teammates in his 12th start, when he allowed 11 hits and five ERs in just 4.1 innings vs the Giants (Reds won 7-6, with a three-run 8th). In start No. 13, Leake was not as fortunate. He again allowed five ERs (nine hits in six innings) but got his first loss in the majors, as the Dodgers beat the Reds 6-2 last Wednesday. He takes the mound tonight in Oakland with his team struggling. The Red have lost SIX of their last seven, after getting swept in a three-game series this weekend in Seattle. Lee, Hernandez and Rowland-Smith (are you kidding me?) held the Reds to just one run and a measly 14 hits in the series. Cincinnati has now scored a total of just 13 runs over its last seven games (1.86 per game) while batting .204 as a team. The A's come in losers of SEVEN of their last nine games but all games in their current slide have come on the road, where they are just 13-24. The A's have been solid at home all season, going 21-13 while holding opponents to just 3.21 RPG. Tonight's starter, lefty Gio Gonzalez, has mirrored his team's performances this year, His road ERA is 5.44 bu€t he's 4-2 in six home starts, posting a 2.90 ERA. The A's are 13-7 as a home favorite this year and Gonzalez should be just fine against those struggling Cincinnati bats plus the A's should feast on Leake, who has allowed 20 hits and 10 ERs over just 10.1 innings of his last two starts.
Good luck...Larry
Fade the pick when ATS Lock and Larry Ness agree, particularly when they agree on a favorite. Although Ness almost always picks favorites.
Won with underdog Cincy tonight fading their favorite, Oakland.
Won last night with underdog Seattle fading their favorite, Cincy.
Those were the only two they agreed upon in the last few days but I'll be looking closely. Worked very well in basketball and seems to be working in bases as well. Good luck.
