Service Plays Monday 5/3/10

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

PREDICTION MACHINE No Normal plays today
11-14 in playoffs Had LA yest 0-1

Against the Spread Picks (based on game played 50,000 times):
Conference ATS Pick Opponent Line Margin Win% ATS
East Cleveland Cavaliers Boston Celtics (6.5) 8.2 55.5% Calc -->
West San Antonio Spurs Phoenix Suns 4.5 (2.9) 55.0% Calc -->


Straight-Up Picks (based on game played 50,000 times):
Conference Favorite Underdog Points For Points Against Win% SU
East Cleveland Cavaliers Boston Celtics 98.3 90.1 62.7%
West Phoenix Suns San Antonio Spurs 104.2 101.3 50.5%


Over/Under Picks (based on game played 50,000 times):
Conference Better Seed Worse Seed Line Total Points Pick Pick%
East Cleveland Cavaliers Boston Celtics 191.5 188.4 UNDER 54.6% Calc -->
West Phoenix Suns San Antonio Spurs 203.5 205.5 OVER 53.4% Calc -->

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DENVER MONEY

NHL Money Line Mon, 05/03/10 - 7:05 PM ƒŠ

dime bet 64 BOS (-145) Bodog vs 63 PHI
Analysis: ‚1* Boston Bruins -145

 

[Tazspiel]

Jimmy Boyd...1*colorado
3* Oakland
3* Cards
5* Celtics +6.5

Wunderdog parlay club...Cleveland over Boston plus Yankee's over Balt
Free pick is colorado and SD under 6.5...Bol today, everyone!

 

[baseballgod]

<TABLE border=0 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%"><TBODY><TR bgColor=#dddddd><TD vAlign=top>Andrew Powers</TD><TD vAlign=top align=right>Guaranteed Selections</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE border=0 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top>Date: Monday, May 03, 2010
$25.00 Guaranteed: Last year we were 167-92 for PLUS 50.9 UNITS in BASEBALL playing just ONE UNIT PER GAME! Today we are featuring a POWER PLAY BASEBALL TOTALS WINNER that you can take advanatge of for just $25 and you will be a WINNER or there will be no charge! We are currently on a 182-109 run with all of our GUARANTEED SELECTIONS!</TD><TD vAlign=top noWrap align=right>5/3/2010</TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2> </TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2>POWER PLAY BASEBALL TOTALS WINNER
OVER 10 LA ANGELS and BOSTON 7:10 EST</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

 

[patriots12]

Eddie Roman

15,000 dime Suns -4

5000 dime NY Yanks -1.5rl(-150)

5000 dime Rangers ML(+120)

 

[patriots12]

Chuck O'Brien

15 dimes Philadelphia Phillies

 

[patriots12]

Teddy Covers

Celtics/Cavs over
Diamond Backs

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

C-Star Sports

5000 Units San Antonio at Phoenix Over the total
5000 Units NY Mets at Cincinnati Over the total
1000 Units Boston plus the points over Cleveland
50 units Spurs plus the points over Suns

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

ASA MLB PICK - Monday, May 3 - Texas Rangers

ASA's MLB PICK - 3* Texas Rangers (Harden) +125 over Oakland (Braden), Monday at 9:00 PM CST

ONE MLB pick on Monday evening. Check back Tuesday at 11:00 AM CST.


ASA's 3* play on: Over 204.5 San Antonio Spurs vs. Phoenix Suns, 9:30 pm May 3
(1 NBA pick on Monday - next update Tues after 4pm CST)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Point Train NBA 5-Unit - Phoenix (-3.5) over San Antonio - 050310

5-Unit
Phoenix (-3.5) over San Antonio
Monday, May 03 – 9:30 PM CST



This isn’t the same Phoenix team that has lost to the Spurs two of the last three seasons. The 2007 & 2008 Suns relied heavily on just being able to out-score their opponents, and it always worked out fine in the regular season, and killed them in the playoffs. But this team has a completely different approach to the game and now has a defensive mind-set that will allow them to steal game one against San Antonio tonight.



The Suns haven't stopped scoring in bunches. Their league-leading scoring average of 110.2 points per game was forged not through pace, but with some of the best long-range shooting the league ever has seen. Their league-leading 41.2 percent 3-point shooting was the second-highest in NBA history. In the first round against Portland, the Blazers collapsed on Amare Stoudemire in the paint, and that allowed the Suns to fire away from the beyond the arc. The Suns responded by making 40% of their 3-point attempts. Stoudemire still scored 20.5 PPG in the series, making 54% of his shots. He averaged 39 points against the spurs in the 2005 Western Conference finals, but he is a couple of years older and is more focused on the defensive end of the floor.



“The difference for us is we're a much better defensive team. That makes us different from the previous Phoenix Suns teams that played the Spurs.” Stoudemire continued

“That's what I've been working on the past few years — getting better defensively. I feel I have gotten better, and we have as a team. It's about being smart and getting stops. We'll see how it goes.”



Phoenix won both matchups with the Spurs at home this season. The Suns shot 51% (47.5% beyond the arc) and had 14 more shot attempts in the two games. San Antonio averaged 16 TO’s per game and shot just 31.6% from beyond the arc.



Phoenix is 34-10 at home this season, outscoring their opponents at home this season by 9.7 PPG. San Antonio is rather pedestrian on the road, with a 22-22 record, outscoring opponents by a measly 1.4 PPG.



A lot of the experts are jumping on the San Antonio bandwagon right now. They baffled the Mavericks in the first round and, because of that, everyone thinks that they are one of the front runners for the NBA title. Don’t look too much into it, the Spurs defeated an overrated Dallas squad that was filled aging veterans and a sub-par coach. Phoenix will



San Antonio is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 playoff games as an underdog and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 3 or more days rest.



Phoenix is 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 games as a favorite and 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games as a home favorite. They are also on an amazing 29-11-1 ATS overall run and we expect that to continue tonight with a big win over the Spurs

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Players MLB *10* Monday OVER in Boston on 3 May
Scott Rickenbach’s MLB 10* (TOP PLAY) OVER the total in Boston vs Los Angeles Angels – Buchholz vs Saunders @ 7:05 PM ET – RATING SYSTEM: Plays range from 6* on up to 10* so this includes 7* and 8* picks as well. 6*, 7*, 8*: most common play ratings with a 9* being a Top Play! 10* plays are a step above a 9* Top Play. The *10* is Scott's highest rated selection!

Play OVER the total in Boston as a *10* Top Play selection.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Nelly's MONDAY NBA TOTALS 2-0 GUARANTEE - May 3 (Ov SA/PHX, Ov BOS/CLE)
Nelly's 1* Pick 'OVER 203.5' #703/704 San Antonio Spurs at Phoenix Suns 10:30 PM ET Game 1
The Spurs and Suns played very high scoring regular season games with final scores resulting in 220, 223, and 213 points. The lowest regular season total between these teams was 206 so this price is discounted despite all three regular season meetings playing 'over'. The dip in scoring for the Suns in the first round of the playoffs is the culprit for the lower number as the 'under' cashed in each of the final four games of the opening round series with Portland. Three of those four games came in Portland however and the Blazers are a very effective defensive team particularly at home. The 'under' also had some success in that series as Portland’s leading scorer Brandon Roy missed time and was extremely limited in the games he did play. The 'under' went 5-0-1 in the opening round series for the Spurs which helps to keep this figure in check for game 1. San Antonio did a great job defensively against Dallas but the pace in this series should be in great contrast with that series. In home games this season the Suns averaged over 112 points per game and San Antonio is not the great defensive team that they were in the title runs years earlier this decade. Counting the playoffs and the regular season Phoenix has scored at least 100 points in ten of the last eleven home games and only four times all season did the Suns fail to reach triple-digits. While the series with Dallas was lower scoring, the Spurs were not nearly as strong defensively on the road as Dallas topped 100 points in two of the three home games. For the season the Spurs allowed nearly 96 points per game while scoring nearly 97 points per game and this Spurs lineup does not fit many of the past perceptions of this team. While both teams were strong 'under' teams in the regular season and so far in the playoffs, this price is very favorable to the 'over' and the regular season meetings between these teams should be telling about how this game plays out.
Nelly's 1* Pick 'OVER 192.5' #705/706 Boston Celtics at Cleveland Cavaliers 8:00 PM ET Game 2
Boston and Cleveland are considered strong defensive teams but neither was that dominant this season. Both teams averaged allowing over 95 points per game, which would nearly hit this total should those numbers hold up. Those averages of course include many games against weak offensive teams while Boston and Cleveland have both proven to be among the best teams in the Eastern Conference. Cleveland scored nearly 103 points per game in the regular season and through six playoff games the Cavaliers have not been held below 96 points. Game 1 of this series barely cleared the total, going over by just two points, but the fourth quarter was extremely low-scoring. Boston and Cleveland were on pace to go well 'over' the total until just 37 points were scored in the final frame. Only eight 3-point shots were made in the game and there were not a great amount of free throws. Boston also struggled with turnovers which took away several scoring opportunities. While the game was extremely close for most of the fourth quarter the Cavaliers took over with a couple of big shots and the Celtics were never in a position where fouling late in the game would have been advantageous. In a playoff setting that is somewhat rare in a competitive game and usually can account for a bump in the fourth quarter numbers. Boston is no where close to the defensive team that led to the title run in 2008 and in eight of the last nine road games the Celtics have allowed at least 98 points. All signs point to another 'over' in game 2 of this series and with the close call in game 1 this total has been minimally adjusted.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Duke's Sports

Philadelphia (+105) for 2 Units

Cardinals are rolling along pretty well but should find trouble here; after all, St. Louis has won 6 of the last 7 in this series and 4 of the last 5 in Philadelphia. Sure, Jaime Garcia has been a pleasant surprise to the Cardinals' rotation; however, Philly has feasted on Cardinals' pitching and Garcia will be tested at this strong venue. The Phillies are batting a healthy .317 at home and should give Joe Blanton (Phillies' starter) good run support. Blanton, who is making his season debut after an oblique injury in spring training, should do well in this sport. Blanton is 15-7 in his last 22 team home starts. Pujols and the Cardinals have struggled against Blanton. The big right hander controls a 1.71 ERA in 3 starts vs St. Louis. Phillies the call.

 

[Heelville]

Burns
MLB
Indians 9* AL Best Bet
Reds 10* Situational Mismatch
Royals under free

NBA
Cleveland 10* Personal Fav
Cleveland Under 9* Main Event

 

[Heelville]

Ness
MLB
Athletics 10* Bailout Blowout

NBA
Spurs 8* Vegas Insider
Cavs 10* Playoff Punisher

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Power Play Wins

Power Play of the Day
Phoenix Suns -4

 

[1drmain]

jeff benton monday

0-2 yesterday for MINUS 20 dimes...overall, 28-36-3 for MINUS 80 dimes...he continues to be 0(fer)...doesnt have a winner in the past four days.

today 15 dime on Boston.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapper: Wunderdog Sports
Sport: MLB Baseball
Game: St. Louis Cardinals @ Philadelphia Phillies - Monday May 3, 2010 7:05 pm
Pick: 5 unit(s) TOTAL: Under 9.5 (100) (Normal)

The St. Louis Cardinals have been getting superb pitching from not only their starters, but the bullpen as well. The Cards have amazingly not allowed any team to score more than 4 runs in a game over their last 11, and just three teams in their last 21 have. That certainly puts a lot of pressure in a game with a high NL total to score enough to top the number here. The Cards’ pitching has staked the UNDER to a decisive 41-17-6 mark in their last 64 with a high total of 9-10.5. The Phillies have played UNDER to an 11-5-1 mark in their last 17 as a dog from +110 to +150. I'll go with the UNDER here

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapper: John Ryan Sports
Sport: MLB Baseball
Game: Colorado Rockies @ San Diego Padres - Monday May 3, 2010 10:05 pm
Pick: 5 unit(s) TOTAL: Over 6.5 (100) (Play of the Day)

10* graded play OVER Colorado/SD set to start at 10:05 EST. This has starters Jimenez facing Correia. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that 7 o more runs will be scored in this game. 63% of these games have gone over the posted total by at least 1 run. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 44-16 for 73.3% winners since 2004. Play over with road teams that have an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game and with a hot starting pitcher posting a WHIP <= 0.800 over his last 3 starts. SD is also in an offensive situation noting they are 2-10 OVER (+11.4 Units) versus a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better over the last 3 seasons. Jimenez has been unreal throwing a no hitter and allowing just 7 hits and ZERO ER in the subsequent starts. Control has been his problem and we expect SD to take pitches and make him work. He has allowed 10 BB in his last 3 starts. he has made 5 starts and has thrown 558 in 34.1 innings. That is averaging 112 pitches per start and even though it is early May fatigue is an issue with this start. Many times we have also seen starters throw a no hitter and then that positive even carries over for a few starts, but then and for no apparent reason the starts become less than average. This is the spot we feel Jimenez is in right now. Take the OVER.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapper: Jim Feist
Sport: MLB Baseball
Game: Colorado Rockies @ San Diego Padres - Monday May 3, 2010 10:05 pm
Pick: 3 unit(s) TOTAL: Under 6.5 (-110) (Normal)

Take: UNDER

Reason: NL Total of the Month: Rockies/Padres Under the total. Petco Park is a great pitcher's park and the Padres have a weak offense anyway, ranked 10th in the NL in runs scored. Colorado comes to town with 26-year old ace Ubaldo Jimenez (5-0, 0.79 ERA) throwing smoke. Jimenez threw six scoreless innings against the Diamondbacks Tuesday to move to 5-0 on the season. You couldn't really write a better April for Jimenez. His ERA sits a notch below 1.00 (0.79) and his WHIP a notch above (1.05). He struck out 31 in 34.1 innings while only walking 14, and he did not allow a home run despite making two starts at Coors Field. He is on a 4-0 run under the total. San Diego counters with a good arm in Kevin Correia (4-1, 3.86 ERA), who has won 4 in a row. His control is excellent with a strong 26-10 K/BB ratio. Look for a pitcher's duel in the best pitcher's park in the big leagues. Play the Rockies/Padres Under the total.