Service Plays Monday 5/3/10

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SPORTS WAGERS

NY Mets +1.19 over CINCINNATI

Oliver Perez is a pitcher that’s not worth getting excited over and there are plenty of concerns with him that include a lack of command but he has kept the damage to a minimum for the most part. Perez will face a line-up here that is not intimidating in the least and it’s worth noting that even though he’s having trouble finding the strike zone consistently, his BAA is just .244. What’s also worth noting is that the Reds offense is batting a collective .239, which is rather embarrassing when you consider they play half their games at a venue that inflates hits by 17% and homers by 26%. The Reds are 12-13 thus far but have three wins over Houston, two over the Cubs and two over the Marlins in which they allowed 14 runs but scored 16 and got very lucky in both of them. Rookie Mike Leake has very decent numbers but don’t be fooled. He’s faced the Cubbies, Astros and Pirates and when he faced the Dodgers he was rocked. Leake also has brutal command, as evidenced by his 15 walks and 18 K’s in 27 frames. At Great American Ballpark, a rookie pitcher with not so great stuff that is behind in the count too often is a disaster waiting to happen. Leake is really not that good at all and will very likely be exposed in a big way here. Play: NY Mets +1.19 (Risking 2 units).


Toronto +1.06 over CLEVELAND

Brett Cecil is one of the most promising young pitchers in the game. He’s made two starts thus far and while he showed flashes of brilliance last year, he looks so much more poised, confident and downright nasty this year. Cecil has also faced two tough lineups in Boston and Tampa Bay. In 12.2 frames he’s walked just two and struck out 11. He has both an impressive BAA of .234 and a WHIP of 1.03. Cecil will most certainly enjoy facing the Indians a whole lot more. In fact, in two starts against the Tribe last year Cecil posted an ERA of 0.69 in 13 innings. The Jays took three out of four from the A’s and it’s also worth noting that they’re 6-3 on the road. Mitch Talbot also has decent numbers but a correction could be forthcoming. You see, Talbot has just seven K’s in 26.1 innings and that tells us that the ball has been put in play almost every batter. He’s also walked 11 batters, which has led to an unsustainable 86% strand rate. Mitch Talbot was dealt to the Indians from Tampa Bay and he was “the player to be named later” in the deal. The Rays office is pretty sharp in terms of assessing young pitching talent and it’s unlikely they made that big an error with Talbot. Jays offense is more dangerous, its pen is superior to the Indians and they have a big edge on the mound. Play: Toronto +1.06 (Risking 2 units).


Vancouver +1.47 over CHICAGO

Well, we all saw what happened to the Pens in game two after they dominated game one. They looked too easy and they lost outright. A similar situation presents itself here in that the Canucks won in very impressive fashion but the difference is that Vancouver has proven to be a huge threat to win it all and they’ve been on a serious roll since game three of the Kings series. Furthermore, Roberto Luongo was extremely sharp last game and if this guy has his groove back, and it appears like he does, than the Canucks are even more of a threat. Antti Niemi is definitely back in goal after allowing five goals in game one and who knows if he’s fragile or not. What we do know is that the Canucks are a very determined club that has a great offense and a great goalie. In fact, the Canucks scored more goals than the Blackhawks during the regular season and were second only to the Caps. They allowed more goals but Luongo was not sharp for a good portion of the year but again, he looks very sharp right now. So, the Canucks can take a stranglehold on this series and they’re not satisfied with winning just one game. They know how dangerous the Blackhawks are and they might even play better tonight. The Canucks carry a ton of momentum and confidence into this contest and you really have to like their chances of winning. At this price, they’re even more appealing. Play: Vancouver +1.47 (Risking 2 units).
 

Even DONKS win sometimes... Right?
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DUNKEL INDEX

The Suns look to build on their 8-2 ATS record in their last 10 home games as a favorite from 1 to 4 1/2 points. Phoenix is the pick (-4) according to Dunkel, which has the Suns favored by 11. Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-4). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, MAY 3
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 705-706: Boston at Cleveland (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 119.362; Cleveland 128.319
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 9; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 6; 192 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-6); Under

Game 703-704: San Antonio at Phoenix (10:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 120.780; Phoenix 131.911
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 11; 201
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 4; 203 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-4); Under
 

Even DONKS win sometimes... Right?
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The Phillies look to build on their 11-1 record in their last 12 games as a home underdog of +110 to +150. Philadelphia is the pick (+115) according to Dunkel, which has the Phillies favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+115). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, MAY 3
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 901-902: St. Louis at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Garcia) 15.499; Philadelphia (Blanton) 16.650
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-135); 9
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+115); Under

Game 903-904: NY Mets at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Perez) 15.168; Cincinnati (Leake) 14.875
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+105); Under

Game 905-906: Arizona at Houston (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Valdez) 13.672; Houston (Paulino) 13.720
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Arizona (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+100); Over

Game 907-908: Colorado at San Diego (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Jimenez) 16.612; San Diego (Correia) 15.125
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado (-165); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-165); Under

Game 909-910: Baltimore at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Guthrie) 14.610; NY Yankees (Sabathia) 16.347
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-310); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-310); Under

Game 911-912: Toronto at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Cecil) 14.467; Cleveland (Talbot) 15.444
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Toronto (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+105); Over

Game 913-914: LA Angels at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Saunders) 13.872; Boston (Buchholz) 15.095
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-160); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-160); Under

Game 915-916: Kansas City at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Meche) 14.963; White Sox (Peavy) 15.973
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-175); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-175); Over

Game 917-918: Detroit at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Scherzer) 16.743; Minnesota (Baker) 16.232
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-135); 9
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+115); Over

Game 919-920: Texas at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Harden) 14.581; Oakland (Braden) 15.131
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Oakland (-135); 8
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-135); Under
 

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JSM Sports

HRC PREMIUM MLB ACTION-May 3rd

Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)

Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
*****************

[904] Ari/Hou Under 9.5 |8*|+100|B+0|Network N/A|8:05 pm EST

[910] New York |5*|-300|B+0|Network N/A|7:05 pm EST

[904] Cincinnati |5*|-130|B+0|Network N/A|7:10 pm EST

[916] Kan/Chi Under 9.5 |5*|-105|B+0|Network N/A|8:10 pm EST

[920] Oakland |5*|-130|B+0|Network N/A|10:05 pm EST


note: SYSTEM PLAYS




HRC PREMIUM NBA ACTION-May 3rd

Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)

Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
*****************

[704] Phoenix |5*|-3.5|B+0|TNT|10:30 pm EST

Hmmm, they've been losing a good bit lately, at least in baseball, and I notice that they abruptly stopped giving their record...
 
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World's Greatest Sports Betting Systems"


Today's Selections



MLB Baseball Betting System A
Today's Selection(S)




Series in Progress!
Selection#1 (Game#4) L.A. Angels does not qualify for a Game #4 today.


Series in Progress!
Selection#2 (Game#3) New York Mets does not qualify for a Game #3 today.

Minnesota Series Wins!
New Series Starts Today!







Selection#3 (Game#1) St. Louis -120 7:05 PM

Series Idle


Selection#4 (Game#1) NONE



Please Note: If we place a question mark after the team (??) this simply means the line was not posted at the time of the email and we will be betting the opening line when it posts.

Please Note: We will be using our signature 4 game progression again this year in MLB. We will be betting the money line unless otherwise noted in the selection.


Please Note:We bet action on all MLB games unless otherwise noted.
 
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BEATTHEFIX

VINCENT MICHAEL
3* San Antonio Spurs

SONNY MESSINA
4* SL Cardinals
5* Boston Celtics
5* SA Spurs
3* SA Spurs Under

BOOTSIE FRATELLI
4* SD Padres
 
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JOHN MORRISON SPORTSBOOK BUFFET

ULTIMATE BET:
Phoenix Suns

BEST BETS:
Cincinnati Reds

Good Bets:
Oakland
Yanks
Blue Jays
Astros
 
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Moneylineking

Reds -122
Reds -1.5
Red Sox -158
Red Sox -1.5
Astros +101
White Sox -168
WhiteSox -1.5
Oakland-124
Oakland-1.5
 
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SBP Soccer 13-9 (0-1)

Norway

Alesund v Start IK**
B bet: Win bet Alesund


Finland

Inter Turku v Lahti**
A bet: Win bet Inter Turku
 
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Potsys Picks


CLEVELAND -6.5

PHILADELPHIA 134
ST LOUIS (J.Garcia) at PHILADELPHIA (J.Blanton) Over 9
CINCINNATI -1.5 (184)
LA ANGELS 1.5 (-142)
TEXAS 117

VANCOUVER at CHICAGO Over 6
 
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MJP Sports
Blue Jays B.Cecil (+104) for 2 units at Indians M.Talbot on May 3, 2010
Phillies J.Blanton (+113) for 2 units vs. Cardinals J.Garcia on May 3, 2010
Reds M.Leake (-123) for 2 units vs. Mets Ol.Perez on May 3, 2010
Rangers R.Harden (+117) for 2 units at Athletics D.Braden on May 3, 2010
 

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