Service Plays Monday 5/17/10

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JSM SPORTS
MLB
HRC PREMIUM MLB ACTION-May 17th
Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)
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2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
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[903] New York Mets |5*|-170|+1.5 RL|Network N/A|7:10 pm EST
[904] NYM/Atl Under 8.5 |5*|-105|B+0|Network N/A|7:10 pm EST
[911] Washington |5*|-150|+1.5 RL|Network N/A|8:15 pm EST
[930] Oakland |5*|-140|B+0|Network N/A|10:05 pm EST

NBA
HRC PREMIUM NBA ACTION-May 17th
Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)
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[501] Phoenix |8*|+6.5|B+0|TNT|9:00 pm EST
 

ugk

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GREG SHAKER

MLB Money Line Mon, 05/17/10 - 8:05 PM ƒŠ

triple-dime bet 928 TEX (-138) BetUS vs 927 ANA
Analysis: MLB: Anaheim Angels at Texas Rangers - Rangers (Kazmir/Holland)(Best Bet) -138 | Unit Value: 3
Game Date: 5/17/2010
Note: Not to beat a Dead Horse but I know that many of you have heard me state many times that Texas is the 2nd Best Money Team at home in the Big League's over the last 12 years. Number 1 is Colorado. Why is that? Because they are Taylormade for this hitter's venue and that is one reason why they are already 13-7 here this year. After dropping 3 straight at Toronto they return here and they are certainly happy about that. LAA showed some promise in their recent homestand but the road has not been good for this team, losing their last 8 of 10 and both offensive skills and pitching skills on the highway have not been good. They certainly have not been for Kazmi€r with an ERA near 9 in 3 starts and current form is not as well. His success verses Texas has been very good but he is just not the thrower as in recent years with low K Numbers and High BB Numbers. Scot is simply not putting the ball where he wants it. Holland if off a 7k 1BB scoreless performance and this kid has found his control and is now living to his Star Status that was heaved upon him when he signed. His AAA Numbers were simply amazing this year and almost unhittable with an ERA Under 1 Run. Texas does have the better Pen and they are back in Arlington where they can score a lot of runs. It's that Taylormade thing I was saying earlier. I would expect this line to rise so I would not wait to play it, although I could be wrong about that. My MLB Model has a Ranger win 65.2% of the time and that is well beyond this betting number.
 

ugk

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DAVE COKIN

Matchup: Seattle at Oakland
Time: 10:05 PM EDT (Mon)
Listed pitchers must go: (R) ROWLAND-SMITH, R vs. (L) GONZALEZ, G

Play: Oakland (ML -135)

The Mariners and A's open a series in Oakland tonight, with both teams struggling to find the winner's circle right now. The A's would appear to have the edge tonight to get back some positive momentum. Neither of these teams is hitting much, so this contest boils down to the pitching, and in a battle of southpaws, I like Oakland. Gio Gonzalez can still get very wild at times, but there's not much question about his stuff. If he's on, it's a long night for the feeble Mariners attack. On the flip side, it has been a gigantic struggle for Ryan Rowland-Smith. He has just one quality start all season, and more alarming is his woeful 17/13 BB/K ratio in 36 innings of work. Rowland-Smith looks like the right antidote to the Oakland offensive ailments, so I'll hope that Gonzalez is throwing strikes tonight. If he is, this is a good opportunity for the A's to coast to a victory.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Matchup: San Francisco at San Diego
Time: 10:05 PM EDT (Mon)
Listed pitchers must go: (R) CAIN, M vs. (L) RICHARD, C

Play: San Diego (ML +115)

The Padres were completely shut down over the weekend by the Dodgers, and now they have to contend with another tough trio of pitchers as the Giants come to town. But it's not as though there's much to complain about on the San Diego side as far as their pitching is concerned, as one starter after another keeps turning in solid starts. Clayton Richard sure likes to pitch at Petco as the lefty has moved his numbers at this locale to 5-1, 2.30. Richard's opposite number tonight is Matt Cain, who is pitching good ball but isn't getting much support. Cain has had his difficulties with the Padres, especially in this park where he's won only one of five career decisions. Remarkably, when Cain starts against the Friars, San Diego almost always wins. The Giants are a miserable 3-12 against this opponent when Cain takes the mound. The negative here is that the Giants have won three in a row while the Padres just got swept. But with San Diego having won 10 of 12 at this site in the series, I believe trying to beat the streaks is worth a play tonight, and I'm backing the Padres.
 
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JAMES PATRICK
Matchup: Phoenix at L.A. Lakers
Time: 9:00 PM EDT (Mon)

Play: Phoenix (+6.5 -110)

Suns vs. Lakers 9:00 p.m. est. (Western Conference Finals Game #1)
Phoenix is (4-1) ATS in Monday action and a solid underdog with a (5-1) ATS mark. The "Lake Show" is just (2-8-1) ATS to start the week and (5-11) ATS their past (16) home contests. The Suns are (44-16) ATS when they score (105) points or more points in a contest and we expect them to get that here in the series opener.

5* Pot of Gold #501 Phoenix Suns
 
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Mike Hook | MLB Money Line Mon, 05/17/10 - 10:10 PM“
dime bet ml 915 HOU (+150) Bookmaker.com vs 916 LOS Analysis: 1 Unit Buried Treasure for Monday, May 17.

Mike Hook | MLB Money Line Mon, 05/17/10 - 10:05 PM“
double-dime bet ml 913 SFG (-111) SportBet vs 914 SDP Analysis: The San Francisco‚ Giants -111 is the Double Star Play of the Day for Monday, May 17th.
 
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JR ODonnell | NBA Total Mon, 05/17/10 - 9:00 PM ƒŠ

double-dime bet 501 PHO / 502 LAL Under 210.5 Sportbet
Analysis:
UNDER 210.5 GETS OUR CALL SUNS/LAKERS
We are going to play 2 fisted the Under 210.5 here tonight as the rest and preparation is a huge~ key in this NBA battle of the Big boys, We note that the sharps pounded the 212 opener down to 210.5 last week and we also know it wasn't public action, the public will not move on games one week away. The Lakers will slow down the pace against Phoenix. The Lakers have been an Under machine except for the non typical Utah Jazz series and Phil's boys have had a week to prepare for these high flying Suns. We note that the Lake show is 18-7 to the Under vs. a winning team of .600% and the extensive JR O power ratings have this game at a 202 to 203.6 range.
PLAY THE UNDER LAKERS/SUNS AS STRONG 2* WINNER
 
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The Shark
Baseball




Almost a clean sweep again yesterday
Lee pitched a beauty but his offense just could not get him any runs.

We made a profit and that's our bottom line.

So today I love so many games it's "scary".

But I will only Tell you a few

Cincinnati their pitcher was supposed to go in last night's game but instead,
he'll win today lay the -110



Phila -even without 1/2 dozen players they'll crush Pittsburgh (with kendrick) but the line is nuts so lay the 1 1/2 and - 105



Detroit is as I have been telling you is on fire so why stop now lay the -143



(other games if you are inclined to bet lots of games nyy, oak, tampa, florida) all look good to me



Now if they only had baseball pools like in football we'd be in business
 
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Joyce Sterling
10 STAR Play

LA Lakers -6 vs Phoenix

Two streaking teams meet in the Western Conference finals.
The Lakers are looking to repeat as NBA champions while the Suns haven’t been in the Finals since 1993. Both teams swept their last playoff series.

The series will be greatly impacted from long range.
The Suns are the best 3-point shooting team in the NBA.
The Lakers are the best at defending the 3-pointer.

These teams met four times in the regular season with the Lakers winning three of them.
The game they lost, Phoenix hit a dozen 3-pointers.

By the numbers, Phoenix finished 28-4 when they shoot at least 45 percent from 3-point range, while the Lakers went 12-0 when they limited opponents to under 40 percent shooting.

The Lakers have covered the spread five of their last six games.

In head-to-head matchups: the Lakers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games.
 
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Tony George




NBA Totals Play of the Week


UNDER 210.5 LA / Phoenix

Lots of reasons for the under here. LA off a long layoff and Kobe not practicing. Look for Grant Hill to play some tough defense on Kobe and contain him somewhat. The Suns have went 7-1-1 ATS their last 9 road games, and are 6-1-1 as an underdog. While the Suns were lights out in scoring against Utah, that is why they are here, the Jazz played no defense, that is not the case with LA, and 2 out of the last 3 in this series have went under. I like a lower scoring game here with both teams tight, much like Sundays game. The rim will contested on bioth ends and easy short shots will not come easy.

Play 1 Unit on the Under..thanks and good luck.
 
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TheProSource




Phoenix + 6 ** TOP Play **
Not seeing why the Suns can't put a scare in the Lakers
in Gm 1. First, home playoff teams in the Conf Finals that
are coming off back-to-back SU wins are a soft 25-38 ATS.
Next, The Suns stud low post man Stoudamire has wised
up when playing the Lakers. Amare's first look will still be
to get to the rim rolling off the screens etc. Amare has also
adapted to pulling up and taking those short jumpers when
thats what LA is offering. If he hits a few of those, that will
force the Laker big men to come out from the paint, which
opens things up for savvy PG Nash to drive and dish off to
the right option. Also, Phx has a lot of depth this season.
& get their 7 footer Lopez back for this series, just in time
to battle the Lakers big inside guys. The Suns have many
solid scoring options, and a nice mix of veterans like Nash
Richardson & Grant Hill, infused with the youthful enthuSIAm
of guys like Dragic, Amundson, Frye - and a guy we like
and feel is underrated, 6-7 F Jared Dudley. HC Alvin Gentry
did something this season that the Suns have not done in
the past 5 yrs. Gentry used and developed his bench players,
and we think Phx hangs tough im Gm 1.
and
Conference Final Game 1 Host
Versus a foe off back-to-back straight up wins
= 8-13-1 ATS since 1995.
If host was a dog or a favorite of -3.5 or less last
= 7-11-1 ATS.
Priced as an underdog or a favorite of -7 or less
= 9-18-1 ATS
Also, hosts in division play are a soft 33-49 ATS, and
Play Against any team with the Lakers WL% that won on
the road as an away dog and scored 110 or more points
29-12-1 ATS, 70% L10Ys
The linemaker is predicting that Phx will score 100 pts, and
Since 1998, away teams scoring 100 or more in a Playoff
game are 175- 55-2 .
PHX 11-3 after a win by 6 or less
 

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Wonderdog Sports
Pick: Atlanta -150 (moneyline)

I'm not sure if there is a place to fade the Mets that would lead to better results, or any team for that matter. It has been an absolute chamber of horrors for this Mets team coming to Atlanta, as Murphy's Law has prevailed - if something can go wrong, it does. The Mets have won just 22 times here in their last 71 games, and recent meetings holding are form as they are 3-8 in the last 11. Derek Lowe adds to the confidence level here as he is 10-2 in his last 12 starts as a home chalk. The Mets are just 16-42 in their last 58 on the road overall, and have dropped their last six vs. right-hand pitching. Not a spot to get healthy for the Mets, so I'll run with the Braves in this one.
 
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The Shark
NBA


Here we go again.
New day-new series.
WE give you a two for one special.
The game and series for the same low price!

Bryant has been cagey about his interest in revenge on the Suns for ending the Lakers' season in the 2006 and 2007 playoffs, alternately embracing and downplaying it.
Three years can be an eternity in the here-today, gone-later-today world of pro sports, but Bryant, Lamar Odom and a few other Lakers from those teams have mentioned a passing interest in payback.

I believe the Lakers will start this one out strong and take a 1-0 lead lay the 6 1/2

and Take the Lakers in the series
 
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Tony George

MLB Monday Best Bet


Baltimore -130



Neither team good, but Davies on the road as a starter for KC is not good. 18 Earned runs on the road, a 7.15 ERA on the road, opponents batting nearly .400 against him as a starter. More of a play with KC than a play for Baltimore who has struggled in their last 10 games as well, but not near as bad as KC, who is in transition with a new manager making some bad pitching decisions late in games right now, there is some dissention on the Royals team and management as well. Bergesen, the Os starter, has went 3-0 in his last 3 starts with an ERA of 2.33.



Play 1 Unit on Baltimore
 
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Players MLB *10* Monday OVER in Texas on 17 May
Scott Rickenbach’s MLB 10* (TOP PLAY) OVER the total in Texas vs Los Angeles Angels @ 8:05 PM ET – Holland vs Kazmir – RATING SYSTEM: Plays range from 6* on up to 10* so this includes 7* and 8* picks as well. 6*, 7*, 8*: most common play ratings with a 9* being a Top Play! 10* plays are a step above a 9* Top Play. The *10* is Scott's highest rated selection!

Play OVER the total in Texas as a *10* Top Play selection Monday!



Players NBA *10* Top Play MONDAY on 17 May
Scott Rickenbach’s NBA 10* (TOP PLAY) Los Angeles Lakers (-) vs Phoenix @ 9:05 PM ET – RATING SYSTEM: Plays range from 6* on up to 10* so this includes 7* and 8* picks as well. 6*, 7*, 8*: most common play ratings with a 9* being a Top Play! 10* plays are a step above a 9* Top Play. The *10* is Scott's highest rated selection!

Play the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points as a *10* Top Play selection on Monday.



Players MLB *8* Monday OVER in Toronto on 17 May
Scott Rickenbach’s MLB 8* (Regular Play) OVER the total in Toronto vs Minnesota @ 7:05 PM ET – Eveland vs Slowey – RATING SYSTEM: Plays range from 6* on up to 10* so this includes 7* and 8* picks as well. 6*, 7*, 8*: most common play ratings with a 9* being a Top Play! 10* plays are a step above a 9* Top Play. The *10* is Scott's highest rated selection!

Play OVER the total in Toronto as an *8* Regular Play
 
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Nelly's MONDAY MLB TOTAL DOMINATION - May 17 (Under CLE/TB)
Nelly's 1* Pick 'UNDER 8.5' #925/926 Cleveland Indians (Carmona) at Tampa Bay Rays (Niemann) 6:10 PM CT
Tampa Bay has the best record in baseball but the run production for the Rays has dropped off in recent weeks. The Rays have topped four runs scored just once in the last nine games and Tampa Bay has split the last eight games overall. For the year Tampa Bay is averaging 5.3 runs scored per game but the success of the team has come from allowing an MLB low 3.0 runs per game. The strong pitching numbers have stayed stable for the Rays as only once in the last 17 games has a team scored as many as five runs and that game included extra-innings. Jeff Niemann has been a big part of that success with a great 2nd year going so far for the Rays. Niemann left his first start of the season early but since he has compiled six straight quality outings, featuring a 2.27 season ERA and a 1.01 WHIP. Niemann is a great groundball pitcher and an imposing presence on the mound. The Rays also own an impressive bullpen with a 3.14 season ERA. Tropicana Field is surrendering just over eight runs per game this season as it has not been a high scoring park. Cleveland starter Fausto Carmona has been very successful this season, allowing three or fewer runs in six of hi seven starts this year and while his strikeout numbers are down he is allowing very few extra-base hits. He has also been especially sharp away from home with a 1.96 road ERA. Carmona is 4-1 on the season despite playing for a losing Indians team that is averaging just 3.9 runs scored per game. The Cleveland bullpen has been very solid and while the Indians have shown a slight increase in scoring in the last week, that may have been due to facing weak pitching staffs from Kansas City and Baltimore. The 'under' is 10-1-2 in the last 13 games Tampa Bay has played as a favorite and this should be a low-scoring game with two starters that are pitching well going against offenses that has been mediocre for the most part.
 
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JAMIE TURSINI

Matchup: Phoenix at L.A. Lakers
Time: 9:00 PM EDT (Mon)

Play: Over (210.5 -110)

At first glance at this number, I thought it may have been a tad high. But it's not.

8 of the last 11 meetings at L.A. have gone over. And the last 5 meetings at L.A. had closing totals of 220, 200.5, 232.5, 216, and 226.

We are getting great value, despite Phoenix playing better defense now. I still like my chances for this to be an exciting up and down match up. With plenty of opportunities for kick out wide open perimeter shots.

105 each isn't a lot to ask with these well rested clubs.
 
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ROBERT FERRINGO
1.5-Unit Play. Take #904 Atlanta (-145) over N.Y. Mets
1.5-Unit Play.Take #902 Philadelphia (-1.5, -110) over Pittsburgh
1-Unit Play.Take #909 Colorado (+120) over Chicago
1-Unit Play. Take #908 Florida (-140) over Arizona
1-Unit Play. Take #922 Baltimore (-130) over Kansas City
0.5-Unit Play. Take #918 Detroit (-145) over Chicago White Sox
0.5-Unit Play.Take #926 Tampa Bay (-1.5, +110) over Cleveland
0.5-Unit Play. Take #956 L.A. Dodgers (-155) over Houston
0.5-Unit Play. Take #912 St. Louis (-160) over Washington
0.5-Unit Play. Take #906 Cincinnati (-105) over Milwaukee

TOTALS
0.5-Unit Play. Take Under 8.5 N.Y. Mets at Atlanta
0.5-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 9.0 Chicago White Sox at Detroit
0.5-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 8.5 Washington at St. Louis
 
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LT Profits

Pirates/Phillies UNDER 10.5 -115
Mets/Braves OVER 8.5 -110
Astros/Dodgers UNDER 4 -125 (5 innings)
 

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