Service Plays Monday 5/17/10

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DUNKEL

Today's MLB Picks
Cleveland at Tampa Bay

The Indians look to build on their 5-1 record in Fausto Carmona's last 6 road starts versus a team with a winning record. Cleveland is the pick (+170) according to Dunkel, which has the Indians favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+170). Here are all of today's picks.
MONDAY, MAY 17

Game 901-902: Pittsburgh at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Morton) 14.055; Philadelphia (Kendrick) 17.556
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 3 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-220); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-220); Under

Game 903-904: NY Mets at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Pelfrey) 14.350; Atlanta (Lowe) 16.842
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 2 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-140); Over

Game 905-906: Milwaukee at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Gallardo) 13.711; Cincinnati (Cueto) 15.772
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 2; 8
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 907-908: Arizona at Florida (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Jackson) 13.491; Florida (Volstad) 16.764
Dunkel Line: Florida by 3; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida (-155); 9
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-155); Under

Game 909-910: Colorado at Chicago Cubs (3:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Cook) 15.779; Cubs (Wells) 14.761
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-150); No Total
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+130); N/A

Game 911-912: Washington at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Stammen) 14.264; St. Louis (Lohse) 14.959
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-160); 9
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-160); Under

Game 913-914: San Francisco at San Diego (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Cain) 15.613; San Diego (Richard) 15.151
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: San Diego (-130); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+110); Over

Game 915-916: Houston at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Rodriguez) 15.443; LA Dodgers (Ely) 15.082
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-170); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+150); Over

Game 917-918: Chicago White Sox at Detroit (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Garcia) 15.040; Detroit (Porcello) 17.216
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-140); Under

Game 919-920: Minnesota at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Slowey) 16.979; Toronto (Eveland) 15.651
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-125); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-125); Over

Game 921-922: Kansas City at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Davies) 14.237; Baltimore (Bergesen) 15.068
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-135); 9
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-135); Over

Game 923-924: Boston at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Matsuzaka) 15.564; NY Yankees (Hughes) 17.159
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-210); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-210); Under

Game 925-926: Cleveland at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Carmona) 15.585; Tampa Bay (Niemann) 15.452
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-200); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+170); Under

Game 927-928: LA Angels at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Kazmir) 15.451; Texas (Holland) 14.976
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+120); Over

Game 929-930: Seattle at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Rowland-Smith) 14.556; Oakland (Gonzalez) 13.910
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Oakland (-145); 8
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+125); Over
 
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Fantasy Sports Gametime

Monday Baseball

100* Play NY Yankees (-190) over Boston
Game starts at 7:10 PM EST

New York pitcher, Phil Hughes has won 7 of the last 8 games as a home favorite of -110 or higher and he is 5-0 this season with an ERA of 1.38. Boston has lost 8 of the last 9 games as an underdog of +150 or higher.

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50* Play Florida (-140) over Arizona
Game starts at 7:00 PM EST

Arizona has lost 8 of the last 9 games and they have also lost 56 of the last 84 road games when the total posted is between 8.5 and 10 runs. Edwin Jackson is 0-3 vs. Florida over his career with an ERA of 10.94 and he is 1-5 this season with an ERA of 7.43.


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50* Play Philadelphia (-210) over Pittsburgh
Game starts at 7:00 PM EST

Pittsburgh has lost 3 of the last 4 games when playing on a Monday and they have also lost 5 of the last 6 games vs. Philadelphia on the road. Charlie Morton has lost 9 of the last 12 road games as an underdog of +150 or higher and he is 0-4 in road games this season with an ERA of 10.80.
 
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Foxsheets 5/17
Super Situations

MLB/ PIT at PHI
Play Against - Road teams (PITTSBURGH) with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse on the season against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.70 or worse on the season (NL)
81-45 over the last 5 seasons. ( 64.3% | 35.9 units )
4-5 this year. ( 44.4% | -0.6 units )

Super Situations

SUNS at LAKERS
Play Against - Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PHOENIX) after having covered 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record
105-56 over the last 5 seasons. ( 65.2% | 43.4 units )
15-9 this year. ( 62.5% | 5.1 units )

Play Against - Underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (PHOENIX) after having covered 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record
133-31 over the last 5 seasons. ( 81.1% | 58.3 units )
19-7 this year. ( 73.1% | 1.1 units )

SUNS at LAKERS
Play Under - Any team vs. the 1rst half line in the conference finals
184-108 since 1997. ( 63.0% | 65.2 units )
 

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LinexGroup

3* on Houston (W.Rodriguez) / LA Dodgers (J.Ely) UNDER 8
 
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Hammer The Book

MONDAY, MAY 17, 2010



ROTATION 501/502: 3-UNITS: PHOENIX SUNS @ LOS ANGELES LAKERS (SUNS +6 1/2)

ROTATION 501/502: 3-UNITS: PHOENIX SUNS @ LOS ANGELES LAKERS (OVER 210 1/2)

ROTATION 901/902: 4-UNITS: PITTSBURGH PIRATES @ PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES (OVER 10 1/2 RUNS)

ROTATION 917/918: 4-UNITS: CHICAGO WHITE SOX @ DETROIT TIGERS (OVER 9-RUNS)

ROTATION 919/920: 5-UNITS: MINNESOTA TWINS @ TORONTO BLUE JAYS (UNDER 9 1/2 RUNS)

ROTATION 919/920: 4-UNITS: MINNESOTA TWINS @ TORONTO BLUE JAYS (BLUE JAYS +105)

ROTATION 903/904: 4-UNITS: NEW YORK METS @ ATLANTA BRAVES (UNDER 8 1/2 RUNS)

ROTATION 907/908: 3-UNITS: ARIZONA DIAMOND BACKS @ FLORIDA MARLINS (OVER 9-RUNS)

ROTATION 925/926: 5-UNITS: CLEVELAND INDIANS @ TAMPA BAY RAYS (UNDER 9-RUNS @ BookMaker & CRIS)

ROTATION 927/928: 4-UNITS: LOS ANGELES ANGELS @ TEXAS RANGERS (ANGLES +142 @ PINNANCE & 5DIMES)

ROTATION 911/912: 4-UNITS: WASHINGTON NATIONALS @ ST. LOUIS CARDINALS (OVER 9-RUNS)

ROTATION 913/914: 3-UNITS: SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS @ SAN DIEGO PADRES (OVER 6 1/2 RUNS)

ROTATION 913/914: 4-UNITS: SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS @ SAN DIEGO PADRE (+115 @ Gold Nuggett; +110 @ CANBET; +107 @ CRIS, 5-DIMES & BOOKMAKER)
 
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Fantasy Sports Gametime NHL/MLB/NBA

NBA

1000* Phoenix + 6 1/2

MLB

100* Yankees -190
50* Florida -140
50* Phillies -210
 
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SUPER SPORTS GROUP

Pittsburgh v. Philadelphia 7:05pm
PICK: OVER 10.5 Game ev (8*)

Chicago v. Detroit 7:05pm
PICK: Sox ML +132 Game (7*)

Minnesota v. Toronto 7:05pm
PICK: Jays ML +105 Game (8*)

Boston v. NY 7:10pm
PICK: OVER 9.5 Game +105 (8*)

Washington v. St Louis 8:15pm
PICK: OVER 9 Game ev (10**) Game of the week

3 team parlay for 1*
UNDER 9 Florida Game +110
UNDER 9 Royals Game +105
OVER 8 Seattle Game ev
 
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SPORTS WAGERS

Washington +1.45 over ST. LOUIS

Kyle Lohse (15 BPV, 0-2-5-0-1 PQS) has seen his strikeouts and walks regress and with batters getting better wood against him this year, the results haven’t been pretty. He’s needed 197 pitches to get through his last nine innings, so he clearly hasn’t found it yet. Not that he ever had “it”. Furthermore, the Cardinals are sinking faster than LeBron James’ chances of staying in Cleveland and if things don’t change soon something is going to give in St. Louis. As talked about in one of our earlier blogs, the Cards made a huge error in hiring Mark McGwire as its hitting coach. One can only imagine what the players are thinking when getting instructions from a guy that had a career batting average before steroids of .243. It’s like getting Shakespeare lessons from a high school dropout. It’s ludicrous and don’t think it doesn’t have a negative effect because it clearly has. The Cards have scored three runs or less in eight of its last 12 games. They just lost five of six games to Houston and Cincinnati and were swept by the Astros. Over its last dozen games the Cards are batting .231. Tony LaRussa is the most overrated manager ever. He’s had success only because of his pitching coach, Dave Duncan, who has taken pitchers off the scrap heap for years and made them effective. The players are being instructed by a liar and a cheat, (McGwire) or a guy with zero credibility. He was hired because he was going broke and needed a job so his pal LaRussa stepped up for him. The Cards are a go against team right now and you can be sure that the front office is putting pressure on LaRussa about McGwire. In other words, LaRussa is having a Jack Daniels right now. Kyle Lohse and the Cardinals laying significant juice is a huge risk that is not worth taking. Play: Washington +1.45 (Risking 2 units).


Pittsburgh +1.80 over PHILADELPHIA (1st 5 innings)

It sure is tough to pull the trigger on the Pirates over the Phillies but this one is all about taking back a big price on Charlie Morton over Kyle Kendrick. Morton (83 BPV, 0-0-4-4-4 PQS) is due a break. His 9.19 ERA is downright unfair. He’s thrown three rock solid games in a row has lasted at least six innings in all of them. Morton has 27 K’s in 31 frames. He throws strikes and when you throw strikes you always have a chance to win. So, while the line-up he’ll face tonight needs no introduction, there’s a great chance the Pirates will score some runs against Kendrick (5 BPV, 3-1-3-3-2 PQS). Kendrick hasn’t been very impressive this season nor has he ever been. He has yet to show any skills over an extended period of time. He can implode at any time and is likely to even more at home. In fact, in three home starts, Kendrick has a BAA of .311 and an ERA of 6.59. Furthermore, the Phillies might get caught napping here after a five game trip to Colorado and Milwaukee in which they won four times including a three-game sweep this past weekend. This is a vulnerable spot against a vulnerable pitcher and the price seals the deal. Because this choice is largely based on going against Kendrick, we’re going to play this one in the first half. Play: Pittsburgh +1.80 in the first five innings).
 
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Win or Lose Sports Betting


MLB
ATL ML -141 $11
CUBS ML -130 $16
SF ML -117 $10
MINN ML -115 $11
BAL ML -131 $10
NYY -1.5 +108 $18
CLE ML +190 $6
LAA ML +136 $10
OAK ML -145 $16

NBA
LA -6 -105 $35
 

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Vegas Runners Record since 4/14:

22 Wins 25 Losses 2 Ties in NBA since 4/14 -$2530
30 Wins 31 Losses 1 Tie in MLB since 4/14 -1875.
0 Wins 1 Loss in NHL Since 4/14 -500
Total Paid plays since 4/14, 52 Wins 57 Losses 3 Ties Down $-4905 on 112 Plays
 

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