Jeff Scott Sports
3 UNIT PLAYS
Memphis/ San Antonio Over 185: Memphis has had some problems scoring of late and they did put up just 73 points in their last home encounter with this team, but this is still a team that has averaged 102.1 ppg at home, while the Spurs have allowed 99.6 ppg on the road this year. San Antonio has also allowed teams to hit 48.3% of their shots on the road, while Memphis has hit 47.2% of their shots at home. Memphis has played good defense at home, where the have allowed 93 ppg, while the Spurs come in having scored just 93.7 ppg on the road. San Antonio has averaged 96.4 ppg in their last 5 games overall, so their offense has increased a bit and I fully expect them to hit at least 93 in this one. The Spurs defense is tough, but they do struggle with it on the road, while the Grizzlies score a lot at home, so I don't see why they can,t get 93 of their own in this one. I see these teams combining for 190+ points. KEY TRENDS--- SAN ANTONIO is 21-9 OVER in road games after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons, while 13-3 OVER in home games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.
New Orleans/ Sacramento Under 182.5: The Kings have got their offense in gear a bit of late, they have average 97 ppg in their last 5 games, but this is still a team that really struggles to score on the road. the Kings have averaged just 87 ppg on 39.5% shooting, which includes a mere 29.1% from long range when they have taken to the road this year. Overall the Kings are last in shooting (40.4%) and 2nd to last in 3 point Shooting (29.3%). The Hornets have played good defense this year as they have allowed just 93.2 ppg (11th) and they are 9th in defending the three ball (32.5%), while at home they have allowed just 91 ppg. Those numbers should not allow the Kings to improve their offensive numbers. The Kings have been sorry on defense as they have allowed 101.6 ppg (30th), including allowing 102.5 ppg on the road, but fear not as this Hornets team has been very bad on offense. The Hornets are 27th in scoring (87.8 ppg) and they don't shoot the three ball well either (29.7 %). The Hornets don't score well, but they do shoot well (44.45) and that would indicate that they play a slower pace and that indication is correct as they have averaged just 78 shots per game, which is 26th in the league (74.3 spg in their last 3). Hornet home games have averaged just 179.3 ppg and with two struggling offenses, in a slow pace game here i hjust don't expect more than 175 in this one.
PHILADELPHIA -4 over Lakers: The Lakers have really dominated the Sixers in the past as they have taken the last 4 in the series and 7 of the last 8, but this is a new NBA this year and this is just not a good spot for the Lakers to be in.LA is in the midst of a long trip and they are off road games vs Utah and Denver with just 1 days rest in between. That is not good for an older team like the Lakers, especially when taking on a youthful Sixers squad that is playing with a ton of confidence right now. LA is just 3-8 on the road this year and have been outscored by 6.2 ppg in those games, while the Sixers are an impressive 12-3 at home and have outscored those teams by an average of 13.3 ppg, while in that home record they have a recent win of 16 points over the Bulls. The Lakers have averaged just 91.2 ppg on the road, while the Sixers have allowed just 82.5 ppg at home.The Sixers are playing with confidence right now and on this floor I just don't see the Lakers putting up enough points to keep this one close. Not often will I make a Sixers side play as a top play for me, but this is just one of those instances where i just can't pass it up. The Lakers may have owned them in the pay, but Philly gets some payback tonight.
2 UNIT PLAYS
NEW YORK -3 over Utah: The pressure is on the Knicks and i feel they will respond with a big home win over a Utah squad that is mired in distractions and has lost 4 of their last 7 games. It's time for all the knicks talent to come together in this one and get an easy home win.
Oklahoma City -1 over PORTLAND: OKLAHOMA CITY is 19-8 ATS in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game over the last 2 seasons and 16-3 ATS in road games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
1 UNIT PLAY
Toronto/ Washington Over 186: The OVER is 15-6-1 in the last 22 meetings, while the OVER is 8-3 in Wizards last 11 games following a S.U. loss.
3 UNIT PLAYS
Memphis/ San Antonio Over 185: Memphis has had some problems scoring of late and they did put up just 73 points in their last home encounter with this team, but this is still a team that has averaged 102.1 ppg at home, while the Spurs have allowed 99.6 ppg on the road this year. San Antonio has also allowed teams to hit 48.3% of their shots on the road, while Memphis has hit 47.2% of their shots at home. Memphis has played good defense at home, where the have allowed 93 ppg, while the Spurs come in having scored just 93.7 ppg on the road. San Antonio has averaged 96.4 ppg in their last 5 games overall, so their offense has increased a bit and I fully expect them to hit at least 93 in this one. The Spurs defense is tough, but they do struggle with it on the road, while the Grizzlies score a lot at home, so I don't see why they can,t get 93 of their own in this one. I see these teams combining for 190+ points. KEY TRENDS--- SAN ANTONIO is 21-9 OVER in road games after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons, while 13-3 OVER in home games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.
New Orleans/ Sacramento Under 182.5: The Kings have got their offense in gear a bit of late, they have average 97 ppg in their last 5 games, but this is still a team that really struggles to score on the road. the Kings have averaged just 87 ppg on 39.5% shooting, which includes a mere 29.1% from long range when they have taken to the road this year. Overall the Kings are last in shooting (40.4%) and 2nd to last in 3 point Shooting (29.3%). The Hornets have played good defense this year as they have allowed just 93.2 ppg (11th) and they are 9th in defending the three ball (32.5%), while at home they have allowed just 91 ppg. Those numbers should not allow the Kings to improve their offensive numbers. The Kings have been sorry on defense as they have allowed 101.6 ppg (30th), including allowing 102.5 ppg on the road, but fear not as this Hornets team has been very bad on offense. The Hornets are 27th in scoring (87.8 ppg) and they don't shoot the three ball well either (29.7 %). The Hornets don't score well, but they do shoot well (44.45) and that would indicate that they play a slower pace and that indication is correct as they have averaged just 78 shots per game, which is 26th in the league (74.3 spg in their last 3). Hornet home games have averaged just 179.3 ppg and with two struggling offenses, in a slow pace game here i hjust don't expect more than 175 in this one.
PHILADELPHIA -4 over Lakers: The Lakers have really dominated the Sixers in the past as they have taken the last 4 in the series and 7 of the last 8, but this is a new NBA this year and this is just not a good spot for the Lakers to be in.LA is in the midst of a long trip and they are off road games vs Utah and Denver with just 1 days rest in between. That is not good for an older team like the Lakers, especially when taking on a youthful Sixers squad that is playing with a ton of confidence right now. LA is just 3-8 on the road this year and have been outscored by 6.2 ppg in those games, while the Sixers are an impressive 12-3 at home and have outscored those teams by an average of 13.3 ppg, while in that home record they have a recent win of 16 points over the Bulls. The Lakers have averaged just 91.2 ppg on the road, while the Sixers have allowed just 82.5 ppg at home.The Sixers are playing with confidence right now and on this floor I just don't see the Lakers putting up enough points to keep this one close. Not often will I make a Sixers side play as a top play for me, but this is just one of those instances where i just can't pass it up. The Lakers may have owned them in the pay, but Philly gets some payback tonight.
2 UNIT PLAYS
NEW YORK -3 over Utah: The pressure is on the Knicks and i feel they will respond with a big home win over a Utah squad that is mired in distractions and has lost 4 of their last 7 games. It's time for all the knicks talent to come together in this one and get an easy home win.
Oklahoma City -1 over PORTLAND: OKLAHOMA CITY is 19-8 ATS in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game over the last 2 seasons and 16-3 ATS in road games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
1 UNIT PLAY
Toronto/ Washington Over 186: The OVER is 15-6-1 in the last 22 meetings, while the OVER is 8-3 in Wizards last 11 games following a S.U. loss.
Beat your bookie 2/6
10* Play Louisville (-4) over Connecticut (NCAA HOOPS TOP PLAY) (7:00 P.M. EST)
Louisville is 4-0 ATS over the last four games Louisville is 4-1 ATS when playing on a Monday Night
10* Play Texas A&M (+2) over Texas (NCAA HOOPS TOP PLAY) (9:00 P.M. EST)
Texas A&M is 5-0 ATS over the last five games Texas A&M is 4-0 ATS in the last four home games
10* Play Memphis (-1.5) over San Antonio (NBA HOOPS TOP PLAY) (8:00 P.M. EST)
Memphis is 21-4 ATS when playing on back-to-back days Memphis is 15-3 ATS when playing as a home favorite of .05 to 4.5 points
They are on a 4-17-1 run. Has been great fade material.
10* Play Louisville (-4) over Connecticut (NCAA HOOPS TOP PLAY) (7:00 P.M. EST)
Louisville is 4-0 ATS over the last four games Louisville is 4-1 ATS when playing on a Monday Night
10* Play Texas A&M (+2) over Texas (NCAA HOOPS TOP PLAY) (9:00 P.M. EST)
Texas A&M is 5-0 ATS over the last five games Texas A&M is 4-0 ATS in the last four home games
10* Play Memphis (-1.5) over San Antonio (NBA HOOPS TOP PLAY) (8:00 P.M. EST)
Memphis is 21-4 ATS when playing on back-to-back days Memphis is 15-3 ATS when playing as a home favorite of .05 to 4.5 points
They are on a 4-17-1 run. Has been great fade material.
