Steve Merril
(3% play) DENVER +1.5 (vs. Memphis) - 9:05 pm ET #710
Memphis will play their third consecutive road game, and their fourth road game in six games since the All-Star break. That is not a good thing, especially for a team that will be playing in the thin air and altitude of Denver. The Grizzlies won 102-101 in Denver last month, but Memphis was playing with a much different roster back then. The Memphis front office cleaned house after that game when they got rid of Courtney Lee and Jeff Green and acquired nothing but baggage in return with Lance Stephenson, P.J. Hairston, and Chris Andersen. The Grizzlies are already without Marc Gasol for the rest of the season. The moves made by management were to accumulate draft picks as they rebuild their old and aging roster over the next couple of seasons. Since making the moves, Memphis has gone 3-2 SU with two wins over the hapless Lakers, and a lucky comeback win at home over Minnesota. The Grizzlies were not competitive against the Raptors, and they lost to a terrible Phoenix team. Memphis’ current roster simply has no business laying points on the road.
Denver returns home off back-to-back road games with their last being a 122-116 overtime loss in Dallas. The Nuggets also lost their last two home games, so we expect a peak performance in tonight’s game. Denver is 0-17 SU this season when getting out-rebounded, but the Nuggets should dominate the glass tonight. In the last two meetings against Memphis, the Nuggets had a 99-80 rebounding edge, including a 29-15 edge on the offensive glass. The Grizzlies have also historically struggled in Denver; Memphis is 4-26 SU their last 30 visits to the Mile High City. Denver’s offense has scored 100 points or more in nine consecutive home games, and in ten of their last eleven home games overall. Memphis has allowed 105.4 points per game in their last five games, so the Nuggets will have a lot of offensive success tonight. We’ll take the points with Denver in this game on Monday night.
Play NUGGETS (+) as a 3% play.