STAN THE MAN'S STAT/SYSTEMS REPORT 12/27
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***** STAT/SYSTEMS SPORTS POWER SEARCH – NBA *****
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Each day here in our Stat/Systems Report we will list the Top - Angles, Stats and Situational Trends for up-coming games, including all the Key - ATS, Over/Unders, Money-Line, First Half ATS Top Trends including Over/Unders, Coaches ATS & Over/Unders and Teaser Line Trends, along with all your high percentage Super Situation Systems.
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••• OK SHOOTOUT! •••
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Dallas Mavericks coach Rick Carlisle will not be on the bench when his club visits Oklahoma City following minor knee surgery. Dwane Casey will take care of practice and act as head coach for the game. The Mavs have won four straight after dropping a game to the Bucks earlier this month. Dallas beat the Thunder, 111-103, in this building a month ago so you can expect Kevin Durant to come in hungry like a wolf tonight.
Despite the earlier loss, the Thunder have owned the series of late, posting an 8-2 ATS log, including a perfect 6-0 ATS with same-season revenge. In fact, the Thunder have been money in the bank when playing with same-season revenge under second-year HC Scott Brooks, logging a brilliant 18-5-1 ATS mark since the middle of last season. With Dallas eyeing a revenger with Toronto the following night, and for some unknown reason a curious 3-15-1 ATS before meeting the Raptors expect a New Moon on Monday!
Make Sure you have the Advantage you need to win this Season! Did you know that the Stat/Systems Report is the #1 rated sports betting publication in the country today. Offering complete analysis and predictions for every game on the board including game logs, betting trends, key injuries, vital statistics, lines and odds, and more the daily publication is everything that you need to win each and every day!
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NOTE: All New Website Coming Soon!
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***** MONDAY, DECEMBER 27TH NBA INFORMATION *****
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(All results ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Content contained in this report remains exclusive private property of Stat/Systems Sports. Database information may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.
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• HOT TEAMS
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-- Nets covered six of last eight games as a home underdog.
-- Mavericks won last four games, covered five of last seven. Thunder won seven of their last nine games.
-- Grizzlies covered eight of their last ten games.
-- Rockets won/covered six of their last eight games.
-- Jazz won four of their last five games.
-- Clippers won four of their last five games.
-- Warriors won last two games, covered three of last four. 76ers are 6-1 vs spread in their last seven road games.
• COLD TEAMS
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-- Orlando is 2-6 as a road favorite.
-- Pistons are 1-4-1 vs spread in last six games as road dog. Bobcats lost six of their last seven games (2-5 vs spread).
-- Hawks covered one of their last five as a road underdog. Milwaukee is 3-6-1 vs spread in last ten games as home favorite.
-- Raptors lost four of their last five games.
-- Minnesota lost seven of last eight games, but covered five of last six. Hornets are 0-4 as a road favorite.
-- Wizards lost nine of their last ten games.
-- Portland lost last four road games (1-3 vs spread).
-- Kings lost their last seven games (0-4 vs spread last four).
• BACK-TO-BACK
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-- Pistons are 2-3 vs spread if they played the night before.
-- Hawks are 3-2 vs spread if they lost the day/night before.
-- Memphis is 5-2-1 vs spread if it played night before.
-- Minnesota is 5-3 vs spread if it played night before; Hornets are 3-3, 2-1 if they won the day before.
-- Wizards are 1-3 vs spread if they played the night before.
-- Clippers are 4-1 vs spread on road if they played the night before.
-- 76ers are 6-4 vs spread if they played night before, 2-3 on road.
• TOTALS
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-- Five of last seven New Jersey games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Charlotte games stayed under total. Five of Detroit's last seven games went over.
-- Eight of last nine Dallas games went over the total.
-- Last five Atlanta games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 7-2 in last nine Toronto games.
-- Under is 12-2 in last fourteen Hornet games. Over is 7-3 in last ten Minnesota home games.
-- Last seven Washington games stayed under the total.
-- Three of last four Houston games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Portland games went over the total. Four of last five Utah games stayed under.
-- Under is 8-3-2 in last thirteen Clipper games.
-- Six of last eight 76er games stayed under. Last three Golden State games went over the total.
• QUICK HITS
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--ORLANDO @ NEW JERSEY, 7:00 PM ET ORLANDO: 0-7 ATS after covering 2 of their last 3 games. NEW JERSEY: 18-8 Under at home off road game.
--DETROIT @ CHARLOTTE, 7:00 PM ET DETROIT: 9-20 ATS playing on back to back days. CHARLOTTE: 62-36 ATS after scoring 85 points or less.
--DALLAS @ OKLAHOMA CITY, 8:00 PM ET DALLAS: 9-0 ATS as road underdog. OKLAHOMA CITY: 12-4 Over as home favorite.
--ATLANTA @ MILWAUKEE, 8:00 PM ET ATLANTA: 4-16 ATS revenging loss as home favorite. MILWAUKEE: 12-4 Under as favorite.
--TORONTO @ MEMPHIS, 8:00 PM ET NBA TORONTO: 19-4 Over off SU loss as favorite. MEMPHIS: 7-0 ATS after having lost 3 of their last 4 games.
--NEW ORLEANS @ MINNESOTA, 8:00 PM ET NEW ORLEANS: 12-2 Under in road games. MINNESOTA: 16-32 ATS off road win by 3pts or less.
--WASHINGTON @ HOUSTON, 8:30 PM ET WASHINGTON: 28-14 Under if total is 200+. HOUSTON: 8-1 Under vs. Eastern Conference.
--PORTLAND @ UTAH, 9:00 PM ET PORTLAND: 0-4 ATS at Utah. UTAH: 17-2 ATS after a road game where both teams score 100+ points.
--LA CLIPPERS @ SACRAMENTO, 10:00 PM ET LA CLIPPERS: 8-2 Under vs. Sacramento. SACRAMENTO: 2-13 ATS off home game.
--PHILADELPHIA @ GOLDEN STATE, 10:30 PM ET PHILADELPHIA: 8-1 Under off 2 straight road games. GOLDEN STATE: 18-5 ATS vs. Atlantic Division.
• NOTES & TIPS
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--Brandon Roy (knee) Portland Trail Blazers – Brandon Roy’s knee issue is becoming a major problem. Roy won’t join the team on its upcoming road trip marking six consecutive games that he has sat out. While Roy watches on, the Blazers have dropped five of their last seven against the number.
--Changes may be on the way for the Memphis Grizzlies. The club’s coach Lionel Hollins isn’t happy with his team’s versatility and speculation is that the Grizzlies are looking to make some moves and then dip into the free agent market heavily in the offseason. The Grizzlies have lost three straight heading into Monday’s game against Indiana.
--Denver forward Al Harrington left the Nuggets' game Sunday night against Philadelphia because of a dislocated right thumb. Harrington was injured in the second quarter. He was bringing the ball upcourt early in the period when 76ers forward Thaddeus Young knocked the ball away. Harrington left the court holding his right thumb. Harrington is averaging 12.4 points and 5.3 rebounds in 28 games this season.
--Minnesota Timberwolves forward Kevin Love brushed off LeBron James' recent comments that the NBA would be better off if it eliminated teams so more stars could play together. James mentioned Love as an example of one player he wanted to see playing on a team other than the Timberwolves, who went into their game Sunday night against Cleveland with a 6-24 record. "Those are interesting comments," Love said. "I saw what he said and it is not like that he is the only one that thought of that before or thought of that lately. You hear rumblings of contraction."
Love leads the league in rebounding with a 15.6 average and is averaging 20.9 points. The third-year player also leads the NBA with 25 double-doubles."That was just something he said," Love said. "I didn't really pay too much attention to it. I just figure that when the time comes with the CBA [collective bargaining agreement], the owners and players and everybody involved will make their decision. I didn't really think much of it." Love admitted it's exciting to watch teams that have more than one star player.
"I don't see it happening, but it was fun when you used to watch certain teams that had certain guys, three or four superstar guys on a team," he said "That kind of stuff was cool. I understand what he is saying, but you never know until all the negotiations." James, who left Cleveland to join Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh in Miami, said last week that the league is watered down and would be more popular if there were more teams with multiple All-Stars.
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Stan 'The Man has Turned-Up the Heat on the Gridiron with his RED~HOT 69-25-4, (73.4%) ATS Run, along with his impressive 132-56-2 (70.2%) mark for the season, in MLB action! But most Importantly, Yours Truly has delivered the cash in Forty-Two of the last Forty-Six, and in Seventy-Six of the last Eighty-One Weeks, Dating back to Last Season!
After taking most of the week off, “The Man Continued to Roll with his 'ROCK~SOLID' Record (40-13-2, 75.5%) in CFB Action on Friday, dishing out yet another Huge Top *5-Star Winner (Tulsa +10.5) that was back by this ‘Incredible Super Situational System' - PLAY ON: A Conference Championship/Bowl team (not a favorite of 4+ points or underdog of more than 14 points) off allowing 22+ points in each of its last 5 games vs. a non-Independent opponent.
This Stat/Systems Sports Super Situational System has a record of 17-0 ATS, 100% (with the Tulsa Golden Hurricane forcing six turnovers to upend #24 Hawaii, 62-35, in the Hawaii Bowl) covering the spread by an average of 27.4 points per game since 1999. The straight up record for this system is a solid 14-3 winning by an average of 17.3 points per game.
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*** ORLANDO (-6, O/U 189.5) @ NEW JERSEY ***
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After cooling off two of the NBA's hottest teams in consecutive games, the Orlando Magic will face one of the league's worst. The Magic look to win their sixth straight and third in as many tries this season over the New Jersey Nets on Monday night when the teams meet at the Prudential Center. After losing eight of nine, Orlando has picked up consecutive victories in impressive fashion. The Magic snapped San Antonio's 10-game winning streak Thursday with a 123-101 victory and beat Boston 86-78 on Christmas Day to end Boston's 14-game run.
"Hopefully we don't get full of ourselves," coach Stan Van Gundy said. "But I think it's good we can establish confidence early on." Brandon Bass scored 21 points and Hedo Turkoglu added 16 against the Celtics. Battling foul trouble, Dwight Howard was held to a season-low six points and 11 rebounds. It was only the second time in 28 games he was held to fewer than 10 points. Turkoglu's solid game, including going 4 of 8 from 3-point range, came after Gilbert Arenas helped spark the victory over the Spurs with 14 points and nine assists off the bench. Turkoglu and Jason Richardson were acquired from Phoenix on Dec. 18, while Arenas was picked up from Washington in a separate deal the same day.
Orlando had lost its first two games since the trades. "You see what the possibilities are," Van Gundy said. "You see that you have a chance to be a really good team. We're not there yet by any means, but you have a chance to be a very good team. And I think that right there, that belief and that confidence that if we will stay with it, we can be very good. "That's a great thing for our team to get that belief that, yeah, this can work. We can do this." While Orlando was looking to revamp its offense with the deals, it shot 39.4 percent in the win and was held below 90 points for the third time in five games.
Similarly, it's been the defense that has been key to its success against New Jersey. The Nets have lost five straight and nine of 10 against the Magic, averaging 88.9 points over those 10 games. After winning three of four, New Jersey (9-21) stumbled in a 105-91 loss at New Orleans on Wednesday. The Nets were within four points early in the third quarter, but the Hornets went on a 13-2 run to take control. "They jumped on top of us and got us back on our heels," Kris Humphries said. "We were able to respond a little bit, but then ultimately they just kept at us and we just folded up."
Devin Harris had 21 points and eight assists and Brook Lopez scored 16. New Jersey was outrebounded 48-30 and allowed New Orleans to shoot 53.9 percent. It was the first time in seven games it gave up more than 100 points. Orlando won the first meeting this season by 15 points and escaped with a 91-90 road victory Nov. 13 after Jameer Nelson made the go-ahead basket with 4.1 seconds left. Howard has averaged 23 points and 13 rebounds in the last two games against the Nets.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Orlando by 3.5; O/U 187
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Orlando -3
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Orlando -5.23
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
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--ORLANDO is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) after playing a game as favorite this season.
The average score was ORLANDO 95.2, OPPONENT 94.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--ORLANDO is 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts this season.
The average score was ORLANDO 96.2, OPPONENT 98.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--ORLANDO is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread this season.
The average score was ORLANDO 91.6, OPPONENT 90.9 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--NEW JERSEY is 23-7 UNDER (+15.2 Units) in home games versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 90.2, OPPONENT 99.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--ORLANDO is 65-46 UNDER (+14.4 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ORLANDO 100.6, OPPONENT 96.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
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--NEW JERSEY is 57-34 against the 1rst half line (+19.6 Units) after a game being outrebounded by opponent by 15 or more since 1996.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 47.6, OPPONENT 46.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW JERSEY is 76-52 against the 1rst half line (+18.8 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots since 1996.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 48.0, OPPONENT 47.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--ORLANDO is 65-98 against the 1rst half line (-42.8 Units) in road games after playing 2 consecutive home games since 1996.
The average score was ORLANDO 46.4, OPPONENT 49.3 - (Rating = 5*)
--ORLANDO is 8-20 against the 1rst half line (-14.0 Units) when the first half total is 90.5 to 95.5 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ORLANDO 46.2, OPPONENT 46.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--ORLANDO is 3-11 against the 1rst half line (-9.1 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game this season.
The average score was ORLANDO 48.6, OPPONENT 47.3 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--NEW JERSEY is 65-40 UNDER (+21.0 Units) the 1rst half total revenging a close loss vs opponent of 3 points or less since 1996.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 47.3, OPPONENT 46.6 - (Rating = 4*)
--ORLANDO is 94-63 UNDER (+24.7 Units) the 1rst half total in road games after playing 2 consecutive home games since 1996.
The average score was ORLANDO 46.4, OPPONENT 49.3 - (Rating = 4*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
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--PLAY AGAINST - Road favorites vs. the 1rst half line (ORLANDO) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against an average defensive team (43.5-45.5%), after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 35% or less.
(24-4 since 1996.) (85.7%, +19.6 units. Rating = 5*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 2.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 50.9, Opponent 47.4 (Average first half point differential = +3.5)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (6-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (10-1).
--PLAY ON - Home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (NEW JERSEY) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (43.5-45.5%), good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's) against a poor pressure defensive team (<=14.5 TO's).
(63-27 since 1996.) (70.0%, +33.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (45-45)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 5.3
The average score in these games was: Team 95.8, Opponent 96.2 (Average point differential = -0.3)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 42 (47.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (24-13).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (37-20).
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Saturday, Stan 'The Man released (to all that called and signed-up for his 2010 College Bowl Bonanza) his Hugh *4-Star Selection with Arizona (+7.5). Stan said - "While Christmas Day finds a couple of interesting NBA scuffles, Christmas night finds a meaningless NFL contest. Thankfully, there’s a silver lining to every cloud as this stocking is stuffed with our 'INCREDIBLE STAT OF THE WEEK!"
"Though the ‘Boys are a solid 15-4 SU and ATS in this series off an ATS loss, we want no part of their ugly 1-16-1 ATS stat as non-division favorites from Game Thirteen out"... "We’re also not thrilled with their money-burning 1-6 ATS mark when they line up as favorites this season or their 1-4 ATS log on Saturdays during the regular season when they arrive off a SU win."
The Man went on to say - "We just asked you to go with the Panthers two days ago and now we’re suggesting a play on the Cardinals... "It may be a case of too much eggnog but it just may be that the Redbirds are a perfect 6-0 ATS at home on Saturdays during the regular season off a SU loss... “It also may be a case of ‘Zona owning a 4-2 SU and 6-0 ATS mark in Last Home Games off a loss since 2000... “Whatever the case, we’ll have another as Cardinals’ HC Ken Whisenhunt improves to 10-3 SU and ATS at home as pick or a dog!"
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*** DETROIT @ CHARLOTTE (-5, O/U 191.5) ***
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The Charlotte Bobcats used a long layoff to make a coaching change. They didn't need to go far for the hire. Paul Silas returns to the bench for the first time in over five years Monday night when the struggling Bobcats host the Detroit Pistons. Charlotte saw its season-worst losing streak stretch to four with Tuesday's 99-81 loss to Oklahoma City, getting outscored 31-12 in the fourth quarter. The skid is part of a 1-6 stretch that includes three losses by more than 30 points. With five days off between games, changes were made Wednesday as coach Larry Brown stepped down and was replaced by Silas on an interim basis.
"This was a difficult decision for both of us, but one that needed to be made," owner Michael Jordan said. "I want to thank Larry for everything he has done for our team. He has played a key role in this organization's development including coaching us to our first-ever playoff appearance last season." Silas, 67, is known for coaching the Hornets for five seasons, with the final one coming in 2002-03 after their relocation from Charlotte to New Orleans. He last coached in the NBA with Cleveland in 2005. Silas has made Charlotte his permanent home and said that he would not have come out of retirement for any other job, calling it "a dream come true."
He's attempting to turn the Bobcats into an up-tempo, offensive-minded team in an effort to help improve upon their 91.8 points per game, ranking 29th in the NBA. They've averaged 80.2 points over the last four games. "I want to bring some energy to this ball club," Silas said. "I want us to get up and down and let it all hang out. If they don't want to get up and down, they can come sit down by me. "The guys just have to get out and play and believe in themselves and believe that I believe in them. I've found that if you have a confident player, it's unbelievable what he can do."
Stephen Jackson, the team leader with 17.3 points per game, is confident in Silas' system -- a departure from the scheme under Brown. He averaged over 20 points playing a similar system with Golden State from 2007-09. "It's rejuvenating," Jackson said. "The styles are like night and day. Hopefully this will bring some life to us and give us some confidence and get us playing well again. Up-tempo, we've got a great group of young guys and this fits their style. Hopefully we can do a good job at it and enjoy it because it's definitely fun."
The Bobcats have won their last two home games over the Pistons, but lost 97-90 in Detroit on Nov. 5 despite getting 28 points from Jackson. The Pistons are among the worst road teams in the league at 3-12. However, they won 115-93 at Toronto in their most recent away contest Wednesday, ending an eight-game slide as the visitor. Detroit failed to build on that Sunday, falling 95-92 in overtime at home to Chicago. A glaring weakness against the Bulls was in the paint, where the Pistons were outscored 46-34 while being outrebounded 55-39. Ben Gordon is averaging 25.5 points in his last four meetings with Charlotte, scoring 20 on Nov. 5. The guard hasn't been effective over his last two games overall, though, totaling 11 points while making 4 of 13 shots.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Charlotte by 4.5; O/U 187.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Charlotte -4
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Charlotte -2.13
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
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--CHARLOTTE is 52-30 ATS (+18.8 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 94.3, OPPONENT 94.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--CHARLOTTE is 36-17 ATS (+17.1 Units) versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 97.8, OPPONENT 92.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--DETROIT is 44-63 ATS (-25.3 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 93.0, OPPONENT 97.5 - (Rating = 4*)
--DETROIT is 37-54 ATS (-22.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 96.8, OPPONENT 97.8 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--CHARLOTTE is 30-12 UNDER (+16.6 Units) after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 92.5, OPPONENT 91.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--DETROIT is 85-59 UNDER (+20.1 Units) in road games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread since 1996.
The average score was DETROIT 92.2, OPPONENT 91.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--DETROIT is 7-0 UNDER (+7.0 Units) after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games this season.
The average score was DETROIT 90.6, OPPONENT 100.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--DETROIT is 8-1 UNDER (+6.9 Units) in a road game where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points this season.
The average score was DETROIT 87.3, OPPONENT 97.3 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
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--CHARLOTTE is 57-35 against the 1rst half line (+18.3 Units) versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 48.1, OPPONENT 47.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--DETROIT is 13-30 against the 1rst half line (-20.0 Units) after a loss by 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 45.9, OPPONENT 50.9 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--CHARLOTTE is 24-6 UNDER (+17.3 Units) the 1rst half total in home games versus poor passing teams, averaging <=20 assists/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 46.3, OPPONENT 45.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--DETROIT is 87-60 UNDER (+21.0 Units) the 1rst half total as a road underdog of 2 to 3 points vs. the 1rst half line since 1996.
The average score was DETROIT 45.1, OPPONENT 47.0 - (Rating = 4*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
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--PLAY UNDER - Road teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points (DETROIT) - off a loss against a division rival, playing on back-to-back days.
(27-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (75%, +17.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 98.6
The average first half score in these games was: Team 46.1, Opponent 47.6 (Total first half points scored = 93.7)
The situation's record this season is: (0-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (19-2).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (72-64).
--PLAY ON - Home teams (CHARLOTTE) - off a home loss, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days.
(50-17 over the last 5 seasons.) (74.6%, +31.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (48-20 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 2.2
The average score in these games was: Team 105, Opponent 98.5 (Average point differential = +6.5)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 26 (39.4% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (28-13).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (105-67).
--PLAY ON - Favorites of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line (CHARLOTTE) - after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games.
(47-17 since 1996.) (73.4%, +28.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 3.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 51.2, Opponent 44.4 (Average first half point differential = +6.8)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (11-4).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (16-10).
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Stan 'The Man Continued to Sizzle with his 'RED~HOT' Roll in NBA Action on Sunday! Fresh off cashing his Top *4-Star winner on Saturday with the Knicks/Bulls Under (205.5), Stan dished out his *5-Star 'Totally Amazing Super Situational System' with Washington/San Antonio (Under 101.5, 1rst Half) - PLAY UNDER: All teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 101.5 points - after allowing 90 points or less 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 100 points or more 5 straight games. W-L Record, 30-6 (83.3%, +23.4 units) since 1996. With the win, it extended 'The Man's season record on the NBA hardwood to 22-5, (81.5%) with his last twenty-seven top rated selections.
--Result: Tony Parker had a stellar all-around game, finishing with 20 points, 14 assists and six rebounds, as San Antonio dropped the road-weary Wizards, 94-80, at AT&T Center. The Wizards, the only team in the NBA without a road victory (0-14), played without forwards Andray Blatche and JaVale McGee, who were both suspended for actions detrimental to the team. Rashard Lewis stepped up with 21 points and 12 rebounds in defeat. Washington was within striking distance in the first half, staying within 27-23 at the end of one quarter while trailing, 48-42, at the break.
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*** DALLAS @ OKLAHOMA CITY (-2, O/U 203.5) ***
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The Dallas Mavericks haven't had much trouble winning lately, no matter the location. With another victory away from home, they'll accomplish a feat they haven't duplicated in more than eight years. Dallas ends a three-game road trip and brings an NBA-best 10-1 road record to Oklahoma City on Monday night searching for its 17th victory in 18 games. The Mavericks have won seven straight on the road after beating Orlando 105-99 on Tuesday and have won four straight overall since a loss to Milwaukee on Dec. 13 which snapped their 12-game winning streak.
Dallas will try to win eight straight on the road for the first time since Jan. 15-Feb. 12, 2002, but will have to do it without coach Rick Carlisle, who was told not to travel after minor knee surgery. Assistant coach Dwane Casey will lead the team against the Thunder. Dirk Nowitzki passed Larry Bird for 25th on the NBA's all-time scoring list by scoring 17 points against the Magic, and Caron Butler added 20. The Mavericks haven't lost a road game since a 99-97 loss Nov. 17 in New Orleans.
"We feel like we're one of the best teams in the league, if not the best right now," Butler said. "We're playing great basketball, so we want to capitalize on every opportunity." Dallas has scored 100 or more points in 14 of its last 17 after hitting that mark only three times in its first 13. Nowitzki ranks sixth in the league averaging 24.5 points, but he's well behind the 28.1 of the Thunder's Kevin Durant, the NBA leader. Durant scored a season-high 44 points Christmas night, eclipsing his previous high of 34, in a 114-106 win against Denver.
James Harden scored 21 points for his first 20-point game since Dec. 3, and Russell Westbrook added 19. Starting center Nenad Krstic returned to the lineup after missing seven games with a lower-back sprain, but scored only four points in just less than 24 minutes. The win brought Oklahoma City to within one-half game of first-place Utah in the Northwest Division. "Kevin was a special player tonight," coach Scott Brooks said. "He was on fire. "He wasn't even hitting the rim."
Durant scored 21 points in the third quarter and shot 14 for 20 in arguably his best performance of the season for Oklahoma City which has won seven of nine and six of seven at home. He was held scoreless for the first 10-plus minutes of the fourth quarter, keeping him just shy of his career-high of 47 points. "I just didn't want to force anything or mess up the flow of the game," Durant said. Durant scored 32 points against Dallas on Nov. 24, but the Mavericks outscored the Thunder 36-22 in the fourth quarter and got 34 from Nowitzki in a 111-103 victory.
Nowitzki has averaged 33.8 points in his last eight against the Thunder, while Durant hasn't been as productive against Dallas. He's scored 18.7 points on 37.4 percent shooting in 11 career games against the Mavericks.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Dallas by 1.5; O/U 196.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Dallas -2.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Dallas -1.72
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 42-21 ATS (+18.7 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 101.7, OPPONENT 96.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--DALLAS is 23-40 ATS (-21.0 Units) after 2 straight games with 10 or less offensive rebounds over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DALLAS 100.8, OPPONENT 100.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--DALLAS is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) as a road underdog this season.
The average score was DALLAS 101.4, OPPONENT 95.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--DALLAS is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season.
The average score was DALLAS 102.6, OPPONENT 96.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--DALLAS is 76-44 UNDER (+27.6 Units) against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
The average score was DALLAS 99.2, OPPONENT 95.3 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 64-40 against the 1rst half line (+19.8 Units) after one or more consecutive overs over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 51.8, OPPONENT 51.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--DALLAS is 55-76 against the 1rst half line (-28.6 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DALLAS 50.2, OPPONENT 50.4 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 29-12 UNDER (+15.6 Units) the 1rst half total in home games revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 49.9, OPPONENT 49.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--DALLAS is 71-45 UNDER (+21.5 Units) the 1rst half total against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
The average score was DALLAS 49.3, OPPONENT 47.7 - (Rating = 4*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY AGAINST - Favorites (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after 2 straight wins by 6 points or less.
(30-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.9%, +20.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (23-17 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 4.5
The average score in these games was: Team 102.5, Opponent 102.1 (Average point differential = +0.4)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 21 (52.5% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (20-6).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (45-25).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season.
(63-25 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.6%, +35.5 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 204.8
The average score in these games was: Team 99.9, Opponent 98.8 (Total points scored = 198.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 48 (53.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (43-17).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (112-71).
--PLAY UNDER - Road teams where the first half total is greater than 100 (DALLAS) - excellent shooting team (>=47.5%) against an average shooting team (43.5-45.5%), in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game).
(52-22 since 1996.) (70.3%, +27.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 105.5
The average first half score in these games was: Team 51.6, Opponent 50.2 (Total first half points scored = 101.8)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (28-12).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (29-14).
____________________________________________
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__________________________________________________ __________________
*** ATLANTA @ MILWAUKEE (-2, O/U 179) ***
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Earl Boykins may be a journeyman guard, but he is more than keeping the Milwaukee Bucks afloat during the extended absence of Brandon Jennings. Boykins looks for another big effort as the Bucks seek a third consecutive win Monday night at home against the Atlanta Hawks. Milwaukee appeared to be in serious trouble when Jennings was ruled out for up to six weeks after undergoing foot surgery last Monday. The injury left the Bucks without their point guard and team leader with averages of 17.9 points and 5.5 assists.
A 12-year veteran who has played for nine teams, the 5-foot-5 Boykins has softened the blow of Jennings' absence with a sudden increase in scoring and playing time. He's helped Milwaukee in position for its third three-game winning streak of the season. Boykins scored 19 points while playing a season-high 29:03 in an 84-79 victory at Sacramento on Thursday night. That performance came two nights after he had a season-best 22 points in a stunning 98-79 upset of the two-time reigning NBA champion Los Angeles Lakers.
He totaled 53 points over his first 16 games of 2010-11, while never taking more than eight shots. "My teammates have confidence in me. They were willing to give me the ball," Boykins said after going 9 for 17 from the field Thursday. "They were setting great screens for me and that's how I was getting open. Coach is going to play guys who are playing well. I just happened to be playing well, but the difference was defense."
The Bucks, allowing 92.6 points per game, rank among the NBA's top best defensive teams. However, that success has been undermined by scoring a league-low 91.2 points per contest. Milwaukee is 1-6 when opponents top 100 points. With Jennings out for an extended period, the Bucks are hoping Corey Maggette (concussion-like symptoms) and Drew Gooden (plantar faciitis) can return from injuries after missing three and two games, respectively. Maggette made 7 of 8 shots for 20 points while Boykins had seven in a 108-91 win at Atlanta on Nov. 10.
The Hawks have dropped their last five road games, including an 93-86 loss to New Orleans on Sunday to open a stretch of six games out of seven away from home. Atlanta last lost six consecutive road games March 17-April 7, which included a 98-95 defeat at Milwaukee on March 22. The Hawks won 104-96 in their last visit to the Bradley Center on April 12. A better performance from Al Horford would help Atlanta's cause. Horford, who leads the Hawks with averages of 16.6 points and 9.6 rebounds, struggled to finish with eight points and six boards Sunday against the Hornets. Horford had 14 points and six rebounds versus Milwaukee last month.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Milwaukee by 2; O/U 185.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Milwaukee -5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Milwaukee -1.74
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--MILWAUKEE is 44-25 ATS (+16.3 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 98.2, OPPONENT 95.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--ATLANTA is 37-58 ATS (-26.8 Units) in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) since 1996.
The average score was ATLANTA 93.5, OPPONENT 101.8 - (Rating = 4*)
--ATLANTA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game this season.
The average score was ATLANTA 86.9, OPPONENT 98.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--MILWAUKEE is 83-53 OVER (+24.7 Units) in home games versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game since 1996.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 99.2, OPPONENT 98.3 - (Rating = 4*)
--MILWAUKEE is 38-18 OVER (+18.2 Units) in home games after a game with 15 or less assists since 1996.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 100.9, OPPONENT 98.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--MILWAUKEE is 31-12 against the 1rst half line (+16.5 Units) in home games versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 50.1, OPPONENT 48.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--ATLANTA is 40-57 against the 1rst half line (-22.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 51.6, OPPONENT 48.9 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--MILWAUKEE is 69-44 UNDER (+20.6 Units) the 1rst half total versus the first half line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 47.6, OPPONENT 47.5 - (Rating = 4*)
--ATLANTA is 84-53 UNDER (+25.7 Units) the 1rst half total in road games after 2 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
The average score was ATLANTA 44.1, OPPONENT 48.0 - (Rating = 4*)
--ATLANTA is 31-13 UNDER (+16.7 Units) the 1rst half total revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 45.0, OPPONENT 46.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
---------------------------------------------
--PLAY OVER - All teams where the total is between 170 and 179.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (92-98 PPG), after allowing 85 points or less.
(46-11 since 1996.) (80.7%, +33.9 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 177
The average score in these games was: Team 93.6, Opponent 92.8 (Total points scored = 186.4)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 32 (51.6% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (7-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (19-4).
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*** TORONTO @ MEMPHIS (-5, O/U 208.5) ***
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The Memphis Grizzlies emerged from their holiday break by snapping a three-game losing streak. The Toronto Raptors hope to come back from their Christmas layoff by avoiding one. That may be a difficult task Monday night in Memphis, where the Raptors have lost in six of their last seven visits. The Grizzlies had plenty of time to think about Tuesday's surprising 101-94 home loss to New Jersey, their third consecutive defeat before four days off. They responded Sunday night with a 104-90 win at Indiana.
After allowing opponents to shoot 50.6 percent during the skid, Memphis held the Pacers to 35.6 percent. A resurgence from Rudy Gay also helped. The forward had gone 4 of 16 from the field against the Nets after he was suspended for the previous game following a flagrant foul, but he scored 30 points Sunday for the first time since doing it three times in the season's first seven games. "We have to have something to build on, and (Sunday) was something we could build on," Gay said. "We got good shots and got our big men involved. It was one of those games where we can look back on it and say this is the blueprint."
Zach Randolph had 18 points and 16 rebounds for his third straight double-double and 18th this season -- fifth-most in the NBA and more than Toronto's entire team. Randolph averaged 27.0 points during Memphis' two-game sweep of the Raptors last season. The Grizzlies have won three straight and 11 of 15 versus Toronto, which is 2-7 in Memphis since the Grizzlies moved from Vancouver. The Raptors hope some time off will help them avoid a third consecutive loss.
They've been dealing with injuries to two of their most important players, with Andrea Bargnani and Jose Calderon both missing time this month. Bargnani returned to the lineup Wednesday against Detroit after missing two of the previous three games due to a sore right ankle, but was 6 of 17 from the field with two rebounds in a 115-93 home loss. He's averaging 10.5 points while shooting 26.0 percent in four career visits to Memphis. Calderon has averaged 13.0 assists in three games since returning from a foot problem, but despite notching 13 against the Pistons, he was held to five points, shot 1 of 6 and posted a career high with eight turnovers.
"Our best players have been banged up a little bit, Jose and Andrea, and they both had horrible games," coach Jay Triano said. Leandro Barbosa was a bright spot Wednesday, scoring a team-high 21 points off the bench. The guard has topped 20 four times in his last seven games after doing so once in his first 16 contests with Toronto. Linas Kleiza, who has battled a sore Achilles' tendon lately, contributed 19 points against Detroit and is averaging 21.0 while starting the Raptors' last three games.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Memphis by 6, O/U 208.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Memphis -9
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Memphis -6.44
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--MEMPHIS is 81-56 ATS (+19.4 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
The average score was MEMPHIS 96.4, OPPONENT 95.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--MEMPHIS is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after having lost 3 of their last 4 games this season.
The average score was MEMPHIS 99.1, OPPONENT 93.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--TORONTO is 20-39 ATS (-22.9 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 99.0, OPPONENT 108.8 - (Rating = 4*)
--TORONTO is 16-33 ATS (-20.3 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 99.8, OPPONENT 108.5 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--MEMPHIS is 11-1 OVER (+9.9 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MEMPHIS 108.1, OPPONENT 105.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--TORONTO is 39-22 OVER (+14.8 Units) when the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 103.5, OPPONENT 105.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--TORONTO is 19-4 OVER (+14.6 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 104.3, OPPONENT 109.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--MEMPHIS is 38-16 against the 1rst half line (+20.4 Units) in home games when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
The average score was MEMPHIS 50.6, OPPONENT 48.1 - (Rating = 4*)
--MEMPHIS is 33-16 against the 1rst half line (+15.2 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MEMPHIS 52.6, OPPONENT 52.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--TORONTO is 1-8 against the 1rst half line (-7.8 Units) after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread this season.
The average score was TORONTO 49.3, OPPONENT 60.1 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--MEMPHIS is 74-49 UNDER (+20.1 Units) the 1rst half total after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers since 1996.
The average score was MEMPHIS 48.3, OPPONENT 50.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--MEMPHIS is 18-4 UNDER (+13.6 Units) the 1rst half total after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MEMPHIS 45.6, OPPONENT 47.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY AGAINST - Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TORONTO) - after a game committing 13+ more turnovers than opponents.
(45-15 since 1996.) (75.0%, +28.5 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (55-9)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 6.6
The average score in these games was: Team 99.9, Opponent 88.7 (Average point differential = +11.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 26 (42.6% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (7-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (14-2).
--PLAY UNDER - Home teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105.5 (MEMPHIS) - after going over the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games.
(68-30 over the last 5 seasons.) (69.4%, +35 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 103
The average first half score in these games was: Team 51.5, Opponent 48.7 (Total first half points scored = 100.2)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (34-15).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (131-96).
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*** NEW ORLEANS (-3.5, 201) @ MINNESOTA ***
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Chris Paul isn't having a dream season for the New Orleans Hornets by any means. He's scoring the least amount of points since his rookie season and is below his career average in assists. When facing the Minnesota Timberwolves, however, Paul seems to take his game to another level. New Orleans goes for its third straight victory for the first time since mid-November on Monday night when it visits the Timberwolves, who will try to avoid a seventh straight loss to the Hornets.
New Orleans is coming off a come-from-behind 93-86 victory over Atlanta on Sunday, led by Paul's 22 points and eight assists. Paul scored 13 in the third quarter, helping the Hornets overcome a nine-point halftime deficit. The star point guard shot 10 of 17 against the Hawks after attempting only eight shots and scoring 12 points with 14 assists in Wednesday's 105-91 win against New Jersey. Coach Monty Williams said Sunday's performance was more reminiscent of how important Paul is to his squad.
"That was just Chris Paul being Chris Paul," the first-year coach said. Paul had only four points at the half before breaking out in the third, when the Hornets outscored the Hawks 28-16. He's averaging 16.3 points -- his fewest since posting 16.1 as a rookie in 2005-06, and his 9.8 assists are the lowest since posting 8.9 in an injury-shortened 2006-07 campaign. "I told him, 'Hey, you have to be a scorer for us. Our offense is kind of stagnant there. You've got to be aggressive and be ready to score," teammate Jarrett Jack said.
Paul seems to heed that advice against the Timberwolves, as he's averaging 21.6 points and 10.4 assists in 14 career meetings. Reaching those numbers again may be likely given that Minnesota ranks last in the NBA allowing 110.1 points per game. The Timberwolves gave up fewer than 100 for only the fourth time in 13 games Sunday with a 98-97 victory over Cleveland to snap a season-high seven-game slide. Michael Beasley scored with 5.9 seconds remaining and finished with 28 points -- the third straight game in which he's surpassed 20. "Everybody just kind of rallied around each other," Minnesota coach Kurt Rambis said.
"It wasn't a good ballgame for us. I don't think we played particularly well, but we played well in spots to get a win." Beasley also helped Minnesota overcome a slow night from Kevin Love. The NBA's leading rebounder with 15.6 per game, Love didn't score until there was 9:10 remaining, and finished with 16 points and 18 boards. "It was a slow game for me," Love said. "I don't know if it was Christmas or if it was the food I had yesterday. I was sucking wind out there. I was a little slow those first three quarters." Minnesota has lost six straight to New Orleans by an average of only 7.5 points since a 116-108 home victory on Jan. 23, 2009.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - New Orleans by 4; O/U 202.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - New Orleans -6
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - New Orleans -7.34
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--MINNESOTA is 13-34 ATS (-24.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 95.5, OPPONENT 105.9 - (Rating = 4*)
--MINNESOTA is 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 99.5, OPPONENT 103.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--MINNESOTA is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 98.0, OPPONENT 105.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--NEW ORLEANS is 50-30 UNDER (+17.8 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 94.5, OPPONENT 99.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 63-40 UNDER (+17.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 97.5, OPPONENT 101.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--MINNESOTA is 18-41 against the 1rst half line (-27.1 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points vs. the first half line over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 48.2, OPPONENT 55.7 - (Rating = 5*)
--MINNESOTA is 20-38 against the 1rst half line (-21.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 48.7, OPPONENT 56.5 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--NEW ORLEANS is 52-28 UNDER (+21.2 Units) the 1rst half total versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 47.0, OPPONENT 50.1 - (Rating = 4*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 50-28 UNDER (+18.9 Units) the 1rst half total versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 48.0, OPPONENT 50.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY AGAINST - Home teams (MINNESOTA) - terrible team - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game, after a close win by 3 points or less.
(60-20 since 1996.) (75.0%, +38 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (61-21)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 2.6
The average score in these games was: Team 101.5, Opponent 95 (Average point differential = +6.5)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 34 (42% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (17-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (23-5).
--PLAY AGAINST - Home underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (MINNESOTA) - terrible team - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game, after a close win by 3 points or less.
(40-15 since 1996.) (72.7%, +23.5 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 53.3, Opponent 46.2 (Average first half point differential = +7.1)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (11-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (13-5).
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*** WASHINGTON @ HOUSTON (-10, O/U 204) ***
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The last time the Washington Wizards and Houston Rockets faced each other, John Wall's first career triple-double lifted Washington to victory. The Rockets are playing much better these days, while Wall has just started playing again following a significant absence. Houston seeks to extend its season-best winning streak to five Monday when it hosts Wall and a Wizards team still seeking its first road win. The Rockets dug a big hole early this season, dropping their first five games and falling to 3-10 before beginning to turn things around. In the middle of that slump was a 98-91 loss at Washington on Nov. 10.
Now, Houston has won 14 of 24 and needs only to reverse last-month's result against the Eastern Conference-worst Wizards to improve to .500 for the first time in 2010-11. "We're playing better," said forward Shane Battier, who had 13 points, 10 rebounds and seven assists in Wednesday's 97-92 victory at the Los Angeles Clippers. "It took us a little while to find out who we were. We're playing with more confidence, and sometimes that goes a long way in this league."
Kevin Martin had a game-high 28 points and Luis Scola added 22 as the Rockets held on to beat the Clippers. They nearly blew an 18-point lead but managed to record their third wire-to-wire victory of the season. The Rockets' four-game winning streak matches their longest from 2009-10. They haven't won five in a row since April 5-13, 2009. Wall had 19 points, 13 assists and 10 rebounds in last month's meeting, earning plenty of respect from Houston.
"He seems like he loves the game," said Martin, who led all scorers with 31 points in the loss. "He gets his teammates involved. You can't call him a true leader right now, but you can see the leadership qualities in him." At the time, Wall appeared poised for instant NBA stardom. However, the top overall draft pick has had trouble staying on the court in recent weeks. He's missed 12 of the last 20 games, the majority due to a bothersome right knee. That knee had sidelined him for five straight contests before Sunday, when he came off the bench to play more than 19 minutes but finished with a career-low four points on 2-of-9 shooting in a 94-80 loss at San Antonio.
"I wasn't used to it. I haven't played in two weeks and a half," Wall said. "But running on a bike is different than running on the court." Rashard Lewis, acquired Dec. 18 from Orlando, had 21 points and 12 rebounds to lead a Wizards team playing without forwards Andray Blatche and JaVale McGee, who were suspended one game for conduct detrimental to the team. Blatche and McGee are eligible to return Monday. Washington has lost two straight, scoring 80 points each time and nine of 10 overall. At 0-14, they are the NBA's last remaining winless road team.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Houston by 11; O/U 210
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Houston -11.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Houston -9.54
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--WASHINGTON is 35-59 ATS (-29.9 Units) versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 94.9, OPPONENT 101.9 - (Rating = 4*)
--WASHINGTON is 33-52 ATS (-24.2 Units) versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 95.8, OPPONENT 103.5 - (Rating = 4*)
--WASHINGTON is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% this season.
The average score was WASHINGTON 97.7, OPPONENT 115.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--WASHINGTON is 69-38 OVER (+28.9 Units) in road games versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game since 1996.
The average score was WASHINGTON 99.3, OPPONENT 103.5 - (Rating = 4*)
--WASHINGTON is 24-8 OVER (+15.2 Units) after a combined score of 175 points or less 2 straight games since 1996.
The average score was WASHINGTON 96.2, OPPONENT 98.9 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--HOUSTON is 31-10 against the 1rst half line (+18.9 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 53.5, OPPONENT 50.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--HOUSTON is 11-1 against the 1rst half line (+8.9 Units) in home games revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a road favorite over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 57.3, OPPONENT 46.3 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--HOUSTON is 82-48 UNDER (+29.2 Units) the 1rst half total vs. teams who are called for 2+ more fouls/game than their opponents since 1996.
The average score was HOUSTON 47.1, OPPONENT 44.5 - (Rating = 5*)
--WASHINGTON is 61-34 UNDER (+23.6 Units) the 1rst half total versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 46.5, OPPONENT 50.5 - (Rating = 4*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
---------------------------------------------
--PLAY OVER - All teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (HOUSTON) - extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season.
(22-4 over the last 5 seasons.) (84.6%, +17.6 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 204.4
The average score in these games was: Team 105.9, Opponent 107.1 (Total points scored = 213)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 17 (65.4% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (14-2).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (36-14).
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*** PORTLAND @ UTAH (-8, O/U 191.5) ***
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The Utah Jazz were in a slump offensively before they embarked on a four-game road trip more than a week ago, but they return home winners of three straight. The Jazz look to build on that momentum when they try for their sixth consecutive win over the Portland Trail Blazers on Monday night. Utah is coming off a 3-1 road trip in which it averaged 102.7 points over the final three games after opening the trek with a 100-71 loss to New Orleans on Dec. 17. The Jazz closed the trip by rallying for a 112-107 win at Minnesota on Wednesday.
Deron Williams had 25 points and seven assists while Al Jefferson added 23 points, nine rebounds and a career-high seven blocked shots. Jefferson scored 12 of his team's 41 fourth-quarter points to help Utah overcome a 12-point deficit. The victory moved coach Jerry Sloan past Pat Riley on the career wins list with 1,211. Only Don Nelson (1,335) and Lenny Wilkens (1,332) have more victories in league history. Sloan and the Jazz now return home looking to continue their recent improvement on offense.
Prior to the winning streak, the Jazz averaged 95.1 points during a 3-4 stretch. Jefferson has been a big factor in the last three wins, averaging 19 points and 10.3 rebounds. He averaged 10.3 points and 6.7 rebounds in the previous three games. "You've got to stay consistent and continue to work on it every day and try to continue to win games," he said. Jefferson had one of his best game of the season against Portland last month, tallying 20 points and 14 rebounds in the 103-94 victory Nov. 20. The win was Utah's fifth straight in the series. The Jazz have also won five in a row at home over the Trail Blazers.
Portland is looking to bounce back after a 109-102 loss at Golden State on Saturday, which snapped a three-game winning streak. The loss was the Blazers' fourth straight on the road, however. They've dropped 11 of their last 13 away from home. Portland was in position to end the road skid Saturday, but squandered a 97-91 lead with five minutes remaining after going scoreless over a 3 1/2-minute span. "We got to take care of the ball better," said LaMarcus Aldridge, who scored 15 points. "We weren't scoring but we were turning it over and they were running out getting easy shots on us."
It was the third time in the last five games the Blazers gave up more than 100 points after they went the previous 11 games without allowing an opponent to reach the century mark. Those defensive struggles aren't a positive sign as Portland visits Salt Lake City, where the Blazers have only two wins in the last decade. In the last nine home games in the series, the Jazz have averaged 106.9 points and shot better than 60 percent from the field in the last two. Williams has averaged 17 points and 13 assists in his last three home games against Portland. The teams will meet again at the Rose Garden on Thursday.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Utah by 8.5, O/U 191.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Utah -8
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Utah -6.76
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--UTAH is 78-54 ATS (+18.6 Units) in home games versus poor 3 point shooting teams - making <=33% of their attempts since 1996.
The average score was UTAH 101.0, OPPONENT 90.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--UTAH is 45-24 ATS (+18.5 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 102.4, OPPONENT 98.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--UTAH is 89-57 OVER (+26.3 Units) in home games after playing 2 consecutive road games since 1996.
The average score was UTAH 107.7, OPPONENT 104.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--UTAH is 22-5 OVER (+16.5 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 108.0, OPPONENT 106.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--UTAH is 29-11 against the 1rst half line (+16.9 Units) in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 54.4, OPPONENT 46.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--UTAH is 38-19 against the 1rst half line (+16.9 Units) in home games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 53.9, OPPONENT 49.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--PORTLAND is 33-12 UNDER (+19.5 Units) the 1rst half total in road games after one or more consecutive overs over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 45.3, OPPONENT 46.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--PORTLAND is 31-12 UNDER (+17.6 Units) the 1rst half total after a combined score of 205 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 48.0, OPPONENT 45.6 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
---------------------------------------------
--PLAY ON - Favorites of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line (UTAH) - off an road win scoring 110 or more points, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days.
(35-10 over the last 5 seasons.) (77.8%, +24 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 3.4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 55.8, Opponent 47.8 (Average first half point differential = +8)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (20-5).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (65-41).
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*** LA CLIPPERS @ SACRAMENTO (-1.5, O/U 194) ***
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While Blake Griffin continues to excel for the Los Angeles Clippers, things seem to be getting worse for Sacramento Kings center DeMarcus Cousins. Two rookie big men headed in opposite directions meet Monday night when the Clippers try to hand the Kings an eighth straight loss. Griffin is averaging 21.1 points and 12.4 rebounds to lead all rookies, and enters with 18 straight double-doubles. He finished with 28 points and 12 boards before fouling out for the second time this season in a 108-103 win over Phoenix on Sunday, the Clippers' fourth victory in five games.
Despite ranking second behind Griffin among rookies with 11.4 points and 7.4 rebounds per game, Cousins is enduring a trying first season. He was kicked out of a practice last month, and was removed from the starting lineup for Thursday's 84-79 loss to Milwaukee. Coach Paul Westphal made the move after fining Cousins an undisclosed amount for making a choking gesture at Golden State guard Reggie Williams during Tuesday's 117-109 overtime loss.
"Everything we're trying to do with DeMarcus is looking through the lens to what's best for DeMarcus and what's best for the team, both long-term and for these games," Westphal said. "It all factors in. I think it's important that he learns how to be a professional. That goes from his concentration at meetings to his effort in practice. It's all a part of professionalism." Cousins finished with two points, four fouls and five rebounds in 13 minutes Thursday.
"I'm not going to speak out about that (not starting)," Cousins said. "I knew it would be up and down, but that's how it is in the NBA. Right now we have to look for some type of positive. The only thing right now is that we can grow from it and learn from it." The rookie is far from the only problem for Sacramento as rumors circulate that Westphal's job is in jeopardy. Leading scorer Tyreke Evans had a season-low four points on 2-of-13 shooting Thursday, and is shooting 30.5 percent in his last eight games. "I talked to Tyreke after the game and he has some things bothering him that I really don't think is anybody's business,"
Westphal said. "There's more going on in his life, it's kind of a difficult time right now." Griffin averaged 19.0 points and 13.0 rebounds in two home wins over Sacramento this season. Eric Gordon averaged 28.5 points in those games to lead the way for Los Angeles (9-22). Cousins totaled 22 points, 13 rebounds and nine fouls in the losses while Evans averaged 12.0 points and shot 21.9 percent. Evans was at his best in last season's two home wins over the Clippers, averaging 25.0 points on 52.5 percent shooting. The Kings have won five straight home meetings with the Pacific Division rival Clippers and 22 of the last 24 matchups at ARCO Arena. The Clippers have won consecutive road games after losing their first 11.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - LA clippers by 1; O/U 194
*STAN'S POWER LINE - LA clippers -2
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - LA clippers -1.5
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--SACRAMENTO is 1-15 ATS (-15.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 93.8, OPPONENT 103.6 - (Rating = 5*)
--SACRAMENTO is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 96.6, OPPONENT 107.8 - (Rating = 4*)
--SACRAMENTO is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) versus good foul drawing teams - attempting >=27 free throws/game this season.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 91.9, OPPONENT 103.9 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--LA CLIPPERS are 42-21 OVER (+18.7 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 96.3, OPPONENT 102.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--LA CLIPPERS are 34-15 OVER (+17.3 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 95.3, OPPONENT 105.9 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
-------------------------------------------------
--SACRAMENTO is 3-14 against the 1rst half line (-12.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 47.8, OPPONENT 51.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--SACRAMENTO is 0-7 against the 1rst half line (-7.7 Units) when the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 this season.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 48.4, OPPONENT 54.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--LA CLIPPERS are 29-11 against the 1rst half line (+16.7 Units) versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 51.8, OPPONENT 52.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--LA CLIPPERS are 53-34 against the 1rst half line (+15.6 Units) as an underdog vs. the 1rst half line over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 50.0, OPPONENT 52.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------
--SACRAMENTO is 35-14 OVER (+19.4 Units) the 1rst half total after a game with 65 or more rebounds since 1996.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 52.4, OPPONENT 51.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--LA CLIPPERS are 38-19 OVER (+16.9 Units) the 1rst half total when the first half total is 95.5 to 100.5 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 48.6, OPPONENT 51.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY AGAINST - Home favorites vs. the 1rst half line (SACRAMENTO) - cold team - failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, playing with 3 or more days rest.
(37-8 over the last 5 seasons.) (82.2%, +28.2 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.6
The average first half score in these games was: Team 51.1, Opponent 48.8 (Average first half point differential = +2.3)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (22-4).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (69-44).
--PLAY ON - Road underdogs (LA CLIPPERS) - after beating the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games.
(48-18 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.7%, +28.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (26-41 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 5.9
The average score in these games was: Team 96.3, Opponent 98.7 (Average point differential = -2.4)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 24 (36.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (25-12).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (81-61).
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*** PHILADELPHIA @ GOLDEN STATE (-3, O/U 205.5) ***
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The Golden State Warriors are finding ways to win games with fourth-quarter rallies, and Monta Ellis has been a major reason for that. Ellis looks to continue his torrid stretch by helping the Warriors to their longest winning streak in almost two years Monday night when they host the Philadelphia 76ers. After losing their first 17 games when trailing after three quarters, Golden State has overcome fourth-quarter deficits to win consecutive games for the first time since Nov. 8-10. The team hasn't won three in a row since April 1-5, 2009.
Ellis' recent play may be an indication that the Warriors are due to match that streak. The guard is third in the NBA with a career-high average of 26.0 points, but has been scoring at 35.8 per game while connecting on 52.1 percent of his shots over the last five games. "He's our MVP," first-year coach Keith Smart said. "He's doing the job that's necessary for a player like him who can do so many things for a team. He's our MVP and he's moving into that selective group of players in the NBA that play at a high level every single night and that's what he's done."
Ellis has lived up to that hype lately, scoring 39 points while helping erase a six-point deficit with 5:08 to play in a 109-102 win over Portland on Saturday. That came four nights after he had 36 points as Golden State rallied from 16 down in the fourth quarter to win 117-109 in overtime at Sacramento. "That's really the mark of a good team," said forward-center David Lee, who had 21 points and seven rebounds Saturday. "We have to find a way to win those games and grind a few of those out. If you can win those games, that's the difference of being a 35- or 40-win team or winning 50 games."
While Ellis is red hot, the Warriors may also get a boost from the return of fellow guard Stephen Curry. After missing six games with a sprained right ankle, Curry matched his season high with 11 assists against the Trail Blazers, but made only 2 of 15 shots for four points. Curry is second on the team with an average of 19.3 points and the leader with 5.9 assists. He totaled 31 points, 10 rebounds and nine assists while the Warriors dropped both meetings with Philadelphia (12-18) last season. Ellis is averaging 21.3 points over the last three home meetings with the 76ers, who are 2-2 on a season-high eight-game road trip.
The Sixers won't benefit from facing a short-handed opponent in Oakland after beating Denver 95-89 on Sunday as Carmelo Anthony was out for a third straight game due to the death of his sister. Down 12 with 8:11 to play, Philadelphia ended the game on a 25-7 run. "It happens in the NBA," said forward-center Elton Brand, who had 16 points and 17 rebounds for the 76ers. "Guys are out of the lineup and you have to take advantage of it." Jrue Holiday appears to have put a rough stretch behind him, totaling 37 points over the last two games. The guard averaged 6.7 points on 23.5 percent shooting in the previous three games. As a rookie last season, Holiday scored 15 points with six assists in each of the two meetings with Golden State.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Golden State by 1.5; O/U 205.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Golden State -2
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Philadelphia -0.71
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--GOLDEN STATE is 57-34 ATS (+19.3 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 200 over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 112.0, OPPONENT 111.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--GOLDEN STATE is 49-27 ATS (+18.9 Units) after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 108.2, OPPONENT 111.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--GOLDEN STATE is 32-13 UNDER (+17.5 Units) after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 104.5, OPPONENT 108.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 24-11 UNDER (+11.9 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 97.2, OPPONENT 97.4 - (Rating = 2*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 16-7 UNDER (+8.3 Units) as an underdog this season.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 93.6, OPPONENT 97.0 - (Rating = 2*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 8-1 UNDER (+6.9 Units) after playing 2 consecutive games as a road underdog this season.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 92.2, OPPONENT 93.7 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
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--GOLDEN STATE is 18-32 against the 1rst half line (-17.2 Units) as a favorite vs. the 1rst half line over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 56.9, OPPONENT 57.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--GOLDEN STATE is 0-9 against the 1rst half line (-8.8 Units) as a home favorite of 1.5 points or less vs. the 1rst half line over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 53.8, OPPONENT 60.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--GOLDEN STATE is 81-56 OVER (+19.4 Units) the 1rst half total in a home game where the first half total is 100.5 to 105.5 since 1996.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 52.8, OPPONENT 52.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 92-57 OVER (+29.3 Units) the 1rst half total in road games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days since 1996.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 47.8, OPPONENT 48.3 - (Rating = 5*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
---------------------------------------------
--PLAY OVER - All teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105 (PHILADELPHIA) - playing on back-to-back days, in a game involving two bad teams (25% to 40%).
(68-26 since 1996.) (72.3%, +39.4 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 103.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 53.5, Opponent 54.8 (Total first half points scored = 108.4)
The situation's record this season is: (3-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (25-13).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (37-16).
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