Canadian Prophet spacer
2008-12-22
BET THE FARM 4*: Edmonton Oilers -135
Phoenix has won once in 5 tries here. Edmonton is desperate for this win. Phoenix is just the road team the Oilers need to get back in the win column- the Yotes are 2-7 L9 road games and 3-12 on the road against a losing record home team.
2008-12-22
BET THE FARM 4*: Edmonton Oilers -135
Phoenix has won once in 5 tries here. Edmonton is desperate for this win. Phoenix is just the road team the Oilers need to get back in the win column- the Yotes are 2-7 L9 road games and 3-12 on the road against a losing record home team.
The Banker spacer
2008-12-22
STRONG PK 1-2*: Pittsburgh Penguins EVEN
The Pens will rebound from that beating they took the other night, where they are 12-2 following a blowout loss, and 5-0 when they gave up 6+ goals. Buffalo is 1-6 playing their 3rd game in 4 days. The Pens outlast them tonight!
2008-12-22
STRONG PK 1-2*: Pittsburgh Penguins EVEN
The Pens will rebound from that beating they took the other night, where they are 12-2 following a blowout loss, and 5-0 when they gave up 6+ goals. Buffalo is 1-6 playing their 3rd game in 4 days. The Pens outlast them tonight!
vegas-runner | NFL Total Triple-Dime Bet
132 CHI / 131 GBP Under 41.0 Sportsbetting.com
Analysis:
*** NFL MNF 3* BEST BET of the DAY ***
Mon, 12/22/08 - 8:35 PMvegas-runner | NFL Side Double-Dime Bet
131 GBP 4.5 (-110) Bodog vs 132 CHI
Analysis: ** NFL MNF 2* WAGER
(BUY the 1/2 to UNDER 41...If we have to...see below)
Although it's still extremely early, I didn't want to wait to get the Bet out, because the only question that remained, is what is the Best Number that we will be able to go UNDER...
At the moment, the majority of shops are using 40 and 40.5...and with 41 being such a KEY TOTAL in the NFL...we will have no problem laying the 10 cents more if we have to in order to get it...
Although because ALL of the Books that I spoke to when I made my rounds through the Sportsbooks here in town...along with EVERY local that I work with...have ALL been getting a lot of work on the OVER...In fact, it is by far the most 1 sided wager that they are booking this evening...And that is just fine by us, because we feel that there is a lot of Value in the UNDER Tonight, and the better the number, the better the chance of Cashing...
So we are going to wait it out and see if maybe we can even DO BETTER because when the books made this significant of a move on the SNF Total...they ended up getting Burned as the Betting Public, again took the Over and got a much better number than they should have...Since the Outfits were sitting it out and instead taking a position on the Side...
That tells me that we just may see them go ahead and adjust the Total more to represent the actual Money Being Bet....Rather than where they feel it should be, to avoid getting hit by the "sharps"...who are obviously always looking for reasons to go Under...knowing you are already getting a few points of an edge based on the shading towards the Over....which has to be done since the Betting Public prefers it greatly, when compared to the Under...
At 41, it has reached what I had set for my "Fair Line"...Thinking that since this is a MNF Match-Up, and the Trend has supported the Over this Year...then it's justified for the Oddsmakers to send it out to the Books slightly higher than what it should be...And I made my "True Line" 38...So you can see why I feel that we are really getting our money in, while getting the best of it...by going UNDER...I just wished that the weather this past weekend hadn't forced the adjustment from the Opening Line of as high as 44...
So let's go ahead and see if we can make it #6 in a Row for 3* BEST BET Winners...and improve on our current "13-2" run on 3*s....By making the UNDER ??? (the best possible number prior to kick-off) our NFL MNF 3* BEST BET...VR
132 CHI / 131 GBP Under 41.0 Sportsbetting.com
Analysis:
*** NFL MNF 3* BEST BET of the DAY ***
Mon, 12/22/08 - 8:35 PMvegas-runner | NFL Side Double-Dime Bet
131 GBP 4.5 (-110) Bodog vs 132 CHI
Analysis: ** NFL MNF 2* WAGER
(BUY the 1/2 to UNDER 41...If we have to...see below)
Although it's still extremely early, I didn't want to wait to get the Bet out, because the only question that remained, is what is the Best Number that we will be able to go UNDER...
At the moment, the majority of shops are using 40 and 40.5...and with 41 being such a KEY TOTAL in the NFL...we will have no problem laying the 10 cents more if we have to in order to get it...
Although because ALL of the Books that I spoke to when I made my rounds through the Sportsbooks here in town...along with EVERY local that I work with...have ALL been getting a lot of work on the OVER...In fact, it is by far the most 1 sided wager that they are booking this evening...And that is just fine by us, because we feel that there is a lot of Value in the UNDER Tonight, and the better the number, the better the chance of Cashing...
So we are going to wait it out and see if maybe we can even DO BETTER because when the books made this significant of a move on the SNF Total...they ended up getting Burned as the Betting Public, again took the Over and got a much better number than they should have...Since the Outfits were sitting it out and instead taking a position on the Side...
That tells me that we just may see them go ahead and adjust the Total more to represent the actual Money Being Bet....Rather than where they feel it should be, to avoid getting hit by the "sharps"...who are obviously always looking for reasons to go Under...knowing you are already getting a few points of an edge based on the shading towards the Over....which has to be done since the Betting Public prefers it greatly, when compared to the Under...
At 41, it has reached what I had set for my "Fair Line"...Thinking that since this is a MNF Match-Up, and the Trend has supported the Over this Year...then it's justified for the Oddsmakers to send it out to the Books slightly higher than what it should be...And I made my "True Line" 38...So you can see why I feel that we are really getting our money in, while getting the best of it...by going UNDER...I just wished that the weather this past weekend hadn't forced the adjustment from the Opening Line of as high as 44...
So let's go ahead and see if we can make it #6 in a Row for 3* BEST BET Winners...and improve on our current "13-2" run on 3*s....By making the UNDER ??? (the best possible number prior to kick-off) our NFL MNF 3* BEST BET...VR
RAS Totals (altogether in one post):
Marquette Over 143
Montana St Over 144.5
Wilmington Under 171.5
Towson St Over 135.5
All 1 Unit
ope:
I think RAS threw us a bone on some of those. For instance, he released Towson at O 135', but the 2 books I was looking at had that total at 131' and 132'.
Also, I can say from firsthand experience that Bookmaker dropped the line on UNC-Wilmington from 173 to 168 within less than 20 seconds of the release. About the only way to get his picks right around the release number is to use a small book that doesn't change lines all that quickly.
Dr Bob
Monday College Opinions/Possible Best Bets
NC STATE (+1) over Marquette
04:00 PM Pacific - Rotation 716
I’ll certainly lean with NC State based on the line value and I’d take NC State in a 2-Star Best Bet at +2 points or more.
SAN DIEGO (-9 ½) over Boise State
07:00 PM Pacific - Rotation 750
I’ll lean with San Diego at -10 or less based on the very strong situations and I’d take San Diego in a 2-Star Best Bet at -9 points or less.
Tennessee State (+23 ½) over KENTUCKY
04:00 PM Pacific - Rotation 769
I’ll just lean with Tennessee State plus the points. I’d take Tennessee State in a 2-Star Best Bet at +25 points or more
Monday College Opinions/Possible Best Bets
NC STATE (+1) over Marquette
04:00 PM Pacific - Rotation 716
I’ll certainly lean with NC State based on the line value and I’d take NC State in a 2-Star Best Bet at +2 points or more.
SAN DIEGO (-9 ½) over Boise State
07:00 PM Pacific - Rotation 750
I’ll lean with San Diego at -10 or less based on the very strong situations and I’d take San Diego in a 2-Star Best Bet at -9 points or less.
Tennessee State (+23 ½) over KENTUCKY
04:00 PM Pacific - Rotation 769
I’ll just lean with Tennessee State plus the points. I’d take Tennessee State in a 2-Star Best Bet at +25 points or more
