Service Plays Monday 12/15/14

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James Jones

NCAAB-Duke University(-32.5)-106...(2*)
NFL-New Orleans Saints(-3)-123...(2*)
NBA-Detroit Pistons(+12.5)-102...(1*)
 
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SPORTS LOCKSMITH

NCAAB
Southern Alabama +10.5 -110 2* (10:00 Eastern)
Cal Poly +8 -110 2* (10:00 Eastern)

NBA
Charlotte +10 -110 3* (7:00 Eastern)
Atlanta -2.5 -110 3* (7:30 Eastern)
Orlando +7 -110 4* (7:30 Eastern)

NFL
Chicago +3 -110 3* (8:30 Eastern)
 

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Sportswagers
New Orleans @ CHICAGO
New Orleans -3 -109 over CHICAGO

We are not customarily in favor of spotting road points, especially in prime time games but this one has a different feel to it. Those small road-chalk teams of the past usually have a distinct advantage (like Pitt at Tenn or Miami at the Jets recently) but in this case the Saints are a team that people are not anxious to back. After all, the Saints have lost four of five and were blown out at home by both Cincinnati and Carolina. As a 10-point favorite last week at the Superdome, the Saints lost to the Panthers, 41-10. Coach Sean Peyton was livid after that loss and being on the road this week is probably the best thing for New Orleans. The Saints have played just two road games over the past seven weeks and they are 2-0 in those games with a 28-10 win over Carolina and a 35-32 victory in Pittsburgh. The Saints can still score points with Drew Brees at the controls, as they've faced a sneaky schedule of capable defenses since their bye in Week 6.

The Bears' defense is hardly capable at this point, as injuries and attrition have cost them dearly for the second year in a row. The Bears were able to keep the Buccaneers and Vikings in check, but those two teams are well below average at the quarterback position. However, against better offensive competition in four of their past six games -- against the Detroit Lions, Dallas Cowboys, Green Bay Packers and New England Patriots -- they've allowed a whopping 45 points per game. It also doesn’t help that Chicago has buyer’s remorse in terms of Jay Cutler’s long term deal. Cutler has always been turnover-prone and this season he is personally responsible for 21 turnovers. Meanwhile, Brees (who has not been the problem in New Orleans) remains a top-five quarterback this season and should feast against a Bears defense that has allowed a league-worst 30 points per game. During the past three seasons, Chicago is 3-12 against the spread versus teams that average 7 or more yards per pass attempt. That applies here to the Saints. Lastly, the Bears are not focused. They have been lifeless and inefficient in every possible way and it may have something to do with Marc Trestman abandoning the run in favor of the pass. When Trestman falls behind, he reverts back to his CFL roots and throws every down. Jay Cutler does not have the mental makeup or fire in his belly like the other greats in this league and that’s why he`ll never thrive for extended periods. The Saints can win this division and make the playoffs and they are at their absolute best in prime time. A response from last week’s debacle is forthcoming.


Our Pick
New Orleans -3 -109 (Risking 2.18 units - To Win: 2.00)


Sportswagers

Ottawa @ BUFFALO
Ottawa -½ +118 over BUFFALO

Regulation only. One has to give the Sabres credit for not only squeezing out some victories but also for showing some heart, guts and determination. The Sabres could’ve allowed all those early losses to get to them mentally like Edmonton and Carolina for instance, but they took the other route. The Sabres still have a long way to go but they have several promising young players and for the next year or two these games will serve them well for the future. The Sabres are at least mentally tough but mentally tough doesn’t win enough hockey games when the opposition is mentally tough as well. When the Sabres defeated L.A. and Calgary recently, they were outshot by a combined 79-35. When they recently defeated the Canadiens in back-to-back games, they were outshot 75-51. In a recent game against the Bolts, Buffalo was outshot 35-13. Over its last eight games, Buffalo’s combined time of possession in the offensive zone has been in the opposition’s favor by a remarkable count of 62% to 20%. In other words, the Sabres are spending 80% of almost every game chasing the puck. There is no chance of the Sabres maintaining their current run of good fortune.

We like the coaching change in Ottawa. The players are more relaxed and they’ve had two very solid games since Dave Cameron took over for Paul MacLean. Ottawa has won two of three over Vancouver and Boston with a loss to the Kings in between. Ottawa has just five wins over their past 17 games but of those 12 losses, eight of them were by one goal suggesting they’ve been in them all with a chance to win it. We’ll put that into a little more perspective with this little tidbit as well: Ottawa is 12-17 this season. 11 of those 17 losses were by one goal and according to Sagarin ratings, the Sens have played the NHL’s toughest schedule to date and now play the least talented team in the NHL. The Sens have plenty going for them, which includes perhaps the most stable goaltending in the league, not to mention one of the NHL’s most feared d-man and a solid group of hard-working forwards. A team hungry for wins that is playing well under a coach that believes in them is certainly worthy of a wager here to win in regulation against a club they figure to dominate.


Our Pick
Ottawa -½ +118 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.36)
 

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Sports Network

OVERALL ANALYSIS (not full write-up)
Both of these teams look like their off the rails but the Saints have one thing they can lean on and that's Brees, who has continued to perform at a pretty high level despite his team's struggles.


Conversely, the Bears have a head coach who looks overmatched, an offensive coordinator leaking things like a shady politician, a defensive chief on his way out the door and a quarterback whose body language ties all of that nonsense up into a bow.


Sports Network predicted outcome: Saints 23, Bears 20
 

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DAVID GLISAN SPORTS

NHL:

(2) NY Islanders -200 over New Jersey
(4) Pittsburgh -120 over Tampa Bay
(6) Buffalo +125 over Ottawa

NBA:

(712) Phoenix -5' over Milwaukee

CBB:

(732) Oral Roberts -4' over Missouri State

NFL:

pass

how has he been doing with ball?
 

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Oxking nit. Saints for 1st Half -2.5 for 1 Unit.
Saints for 1st Quarter -.5 (+120) for
 

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Hi Folks,




Below are our plays for today.

Monday, December 15, 2014
Empoli vs. Torino (Soccer)
1:00 PM EST
OverPremium PickPinnacle
Play Title:
Play Selected: Total: 2.3/106
Click to View Analysis
Analysis: 2 Units
New Jersey Devils vs. New York Islanders(NHL)
7:05 PM EST
New Jersey DevilsPremium PickSIA
Play Title:
Play Selected: Money Line: 170
Click to View Analysis
Analysis: 5 Units
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Pittsburgh Penguins (NHL)
7:05 PM EST
Tampa Bay LightningPremium PickBetOnline
Play Title:
Play Selected: Money Line: 109
Click to View Analysis
Analysis: 4 Units
Chicago Bulls vs. Atlanta Hawks (NBA)
7:35 PM EST
Atlanta HawksPremium PickPinnacle
Play Title:
Play Selected: Money Line: -113
Click to View Analysis
Analysis: 2 Units
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Phoenix Suns (NBA)
9:05 PM EST
Phoenix SunsPremium PickBetOnline
Play Title:
Play Selected: Point Spread: -5.0/-110
Click to View Analysis
Analysis: 7 Units
Detroit Pistons vs. Los Angeles Clippers(NBA)
10:35 PM EST
Detroit PistonsPremium PickPinnacle
Play Title:
Play Selected: Point Spread: 12.5/-103
Click to View Analysis
Analysis: 2 Units






Thanks again for you Patronage and Loyalty to our company. Without You we would not exist.



Thanks,

Chas
CSR

The Handicappers' Stable

@Handicappersstable.Com

 

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