Service Plays Monday 12/15/08

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rza

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Re: Jefferson Sports

Sorry guys, I wrote down the wrong info

This is what I saw on Sunday's Thread:

"JEFFERSON-SPORTS 5-0 yest adding

NFL 42-21-1

NEW ENGLAND-6.5 (Cassel playing)

NCAA HOOPS 48-24

STANFORD-6 "

Apologize for sending the wrong info

that's OK. i'm sure he meant to go 7-0.
 

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vegas-runner | NFL Total Triple-Dime Bet
332 PHI / 331 CLE Over 39.0 SportBet
Analysis:
*** NFL MNF 3* "PRIME-TIME" TOTAL of the WEEK ***



The weather report says that there is a 70% chance of rain, but the temperature isn't low enough for it to turn to snow...And although when reports of rain become official, the Total usually drops, I wanted us to get down before it gets to 40 or even higher and surpasses some KEY totals...

Obviously I would have liked to have passed this along when it was 38...but I still see a lot of Value on the OVER, especially based on the fact that the Browns haven't scored a TD in 3 weeks...

I made my "Fair Number" 41 and my "True Number" 43...and really feel that as long as the winds don't pick up, and the weather report right now shows that they won't...then we should see more offense than many expect...

We all expect the Eagles to be able to score on the Browns, especially after seeing how they rank in all the defensive catagories...But for an OVER to come in without having to sweat it, you need both teams to score...

And tonight, the Browns definately have a lot of incentive and motivation to be able to get some points up on the board...That means we should see a lot more of a wide open offensive attack from them, which should include a lot of "Wildcat" Formations, which may keep the Eagles D a bit off-balance at times, and just enough for the Browns to get some Points on the Board...

Bottom Line here is that besides the stats, trends, and factors that we capp to try and reach a conclusion...Tonight's Total was opened much lower than it should have, and that became evident as the books were forced to adjust and raise it throughout the week, as the sharps continued to take a position on the OVER...

They will now look to entice bettors into coming in on the Under, and should be able to when reports of the weather begin to surface...And like I said above, although I would love to wait and see if they do adjust and drop this down...giving us an even better number...I just don't want to take the risk of more "Sharp" Money pushing it even higher...

We feel that anything 40 of better still justifies a 3* Wager...So let's go ahead and make Tonight's Bet...OVER 39 our NFL MNF 3* TOTAL of the WEEK...VR

pleeeeeeeeease...stop posting this tools picks...he is...how can i says this without any confusion: HE SUCKS BIG NUTZZZ!!!! enuf....:smoking:
 

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Youngstown has 2 NBA plays and an NHL play left. I'll grab NBA play #2 if anyone else wants to jump in.
 

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Youngstown had 2 NCAA plays now 2 NBA and a NHL play.

Thanks Puppet for getting 1 of 2 plays, looks like their other play is rolling, I hope the Orange gets rolling!


By the way ain't her tits just fn smoking !
 

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I take it the Under is the "pick of the night"?

that worries me...weather look okay...winds are slight (7-8 mph) and no rain in sight...i think we are in for a bloodbath...vegas set us up/ they were in collusion with the weatherman....:smoking:
 

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Watch Out all day you heard about the weather being a factor in the Eagles game tonite (possible wind and rain) and alot of touts goin UNDER. Well on ESPN the weather looks good for the offense's and monday nite overs are like 8-2-1.This 39 1/2 looks pretty low.
 

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Jefferson went 4-2 yest, 5-0 on sat, he bought atlanta to 2.5 sat night,

went 2-2 in nfl
2-0 in coll hoops hitting stanford and bowling green

9-2 for weekend
 

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Kelso's parlay is tempting. He's had pretty good luck hitting those even though his 50* in the NFL have been rough
 

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weather is overrated.
look at the Pats and Oakland yesterday. A down pour through out and the highest total on the board.

It means nothing unless there is a foot of snow on the ground
 

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play 2nd half over 92.5 and hit both

Agreed!!! We buy these cappers' plays for a reason. Leiner is hot on his totals - 1 miss in the last 6 or 7. He could miss again but should you take his play or your own - duh! Stick with the good cappers and win in the long hall - I hit the 2nd half over to go along with my game over play.

Shoot the Rock!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!:shootbb:
 

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Watch Out all day you heard about the weather being a factor in the Eagles game tonite (possible wind and rain) and alot of touts goin UNDER. Well on ESPN the weather looks good for the offense's and monday nite overs are like 8-2-1.This 39 1/2 looks pretty low.


A friend from another site said no rain shouldn't get much and it looks like a good night for football
 

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