Rocketman
Carolina @ Pittsburgh
Play: 3* Carolina +220
Sidney Crosby is questionable for this game tonight. If he doesn't play that give us a little added edge but I like the Hurricanes here tonight anyway. Hurricanes are 5-2 in their last 7 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game. Manny Legace should be in goal for Carolina tonight. Legace had winning seasons in the past 2 years when he was with St Louis but is only 3-5 so far this year with Carolina. Legace, however, has had huge success against Pittsburgh with a perfect 3-0 record allowing only 4 goals in those 3 career games. We'll play Carolina for 3 units tonight!
Carolina @ Pittsburgh
Play: 3* Carolina +220
Sidney Crosby is questionable for this game tonight. If he doesn't play that give us a little added edge but I like the Hurricanes here tonight anyway. Hurricanes are 5-2 in their last 7 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game. Manny Legace should be in goal for Carolina tonight. Legace had winning seasons in the past 2 years when he was with St Louis but is only 3-5 so far this year with Carolina. Legace, however, has had huge success against Pittsburgh with a perfect 3-0 record allowing only 4 goals in those 3 career games. We'll play Carolina for 3 units tonight!
Tom Freese
Virginia at Auburn
Auburn is 13-6 ATS their last 19 home games and they are 19-8-1 ATS their last 28 games following an ATS loss. The Tigers are 6-2 ATS their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road win percentage of less than 40% and they are 4-1 ATS their last 5 games vs. Atlantic Coast Conference teams. Virginia is 4-11 ATS their 15 Non-Conference games and they are 11-28-1 ATS their last 40 games as road dogs of 0.5 to 6.5 points. The Cavaliers are 1-8 ATS on Monday and they are 0-4 ATS their last 4 road games. 10* LINESMAKER ERROR PLAY ON AUBURN -
New Jersey at Buffalo
New Jersey is 37-17-5 UNDER their last 59 games overall and they are 20-8-2 UNDER their last 30 road games. The Devils are 7-2-1 UNDER their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning record and they are 18-7-4 UNDER vs. an opponent who scored 2 goals or less in their last game. Buffalo is 6-0-1 UNDER their last 7 games vs. a win percentage of over 60% and they are 17-8-1 UNDER after scoring 2 goals or less in their last game. The Sabres are 20-8-2 UNDER their last 30 games vs. the Devils including going 10-3-1 UNDER their last 14 games in Buffalo. 10* PLAY 'UNDER'
Virginia at Auburn
Auburn is 13-6 ATS their last 19 home games and they are 19-8-1 ATS their last 28 games following an ATS loss. The Tigers are 6-2 ATS their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road win percentage of less than 40% and they are 4-1 ATS their last 5 games vs. Atlantic Coast Conference teams. Virginia is 4-11 ATS their 15 Non-Conference games and they are 11-28-1 ATS their last 40 games as road dogs of 0.5 to 6.5 points. The Cavaliers are 1-8 ATS on Monday and they are 0-4 ATS their last 4 road games. 10* LINESMAKER ERROR PLAY ON AUBURN -
New Jersey at Buffalo
New Jersey is 37-17-5 UNDER their last 59 games overall and they are 20-8-2 UNDER their last 30 road games. The Devils are 7-2-1 UNDER their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning record and they are 18-7-4 UNDER vs. an opponent who scored 2 goals or less in their last game. Buffalo is 6-0-1 UNDER their last 7 games vs. a win percentage of over 60% and they are 17-8-1 UNDER after scoring 2 goals or less in their last game. The Sabres are 20-8-2 UNDER their last 30 games vs. the Devils including going 10-3-1 UNDER their last 14 games in Buffalo. 10* PLAY 'UNDER'
Great Lakes Sports
4* Philadelphia 76ers
The Philadelphia 76ers are heating up going 6-2 ATS in their last eight games, and they are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up loss. The Philadelphia 76ers is also 5-2 ATS after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game while the Denver Nuggets is only 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games. We look for the Philadelphia 76ers to grab the home ATS Win & cover tonight.
4* Philadelphia 76ers
The Philadelphia 76ers are heating up going 6-2 ATS in their last eight games, and they are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up loss. The Philadelphia 76ers is also 5-2 ATS after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game while the Denver Nuggets is only 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games. We look for the Philadelphia 76ers to grab the home ATS Win & cover tonight.
Triple Threat Sports
3* The Citadel (+) over Michigan State
To start with, our Power Ratings on this game show MSU as no better than a 12' point favorite in this game, and in fact one of the numbers we use shows that the game should be in single digits. The provides the base for the play, and nice line value. As for the rest of the reasoning, to start off, this is the best Citadel team in ages, as they have some size, a great deal of quickness, play sound defense and make their free throws. We rate them slightly better (and we mean slightly, it is .21) better here at home than Wofford - MSU's previous foe - and the Spartans only beat Wofford by 12, and that was at the Breslin Center. Michigan State is 0-3 ATS away this season and has not been away chalk of this range in quite some time. On the other hand, the Bulldogs are 29-15 ATS in their last 44 dog roles and thrive on the style of play of MSU, as The Citadel is 11-0 ATS against offensive teams of this class. Sticking with the numbers, note that Spartans hitting just 64% of their free throws this season as opposed to a 72% success rate for The Citadel. Note also that when these two teams played last season Michigan State won by 14 at home against a Citadel team playing nowhere near the level they are now, and MSU had a huge edge at the line in that game, shooting 24 more and making 14 more (the exact margin of victory) free throws than the visitor. Now that The Citadel is at home expect the zebra edge to be lessened. Finally, emotionally the Bulldogs are MUCH more up for this game than is MSU, as this is the first ranked foe to visit in 20 years, AND since the game is on ESPNU it is a rare national TV appearance for The Citadel. We expect them to make a good showing and to cover this number.
NHL Eastern Conference Game of the Month!
4* Atlanta over Toronto
Bad spot for the Leafs here as they are still without #1 Goalie Gustavsson and his replacements - Toskalo and MacDonald - have allowed ten goals in the last five periods of play. That is not a good sign against Ilya Kovalchuck and Maxim Afinogenov af Atlanta, who have combined for 29 points in the last 11 games. Meanwhile, Thrasher netminder Johan Hedberg is 3-0 with a 1.30 GAA in his last three times between the pipes. Numbers show that Atlanta has won five of six, that Leafs are 1-9 this year against winning teams, and that the Thrashers totally dominated the last meeting, outshooting Toronto 38-17. Atlanta gets the call here.
3* The Citadel (+) over Michigan State
To start with, our Power Ratings on this game show MSU as no better than a 12' point favorite in this game, and in fact one of the numbers we use shows that the game should be in single digits. The provides the base for the play, and nice line value. As for the rest of the reasoning, to start off, this is the best Citadel team in ages, as they have some size, a great deal of quickness, play sound defense and make their free throws. We rate them slightly better (and we mean slightly, it is .21) better here at home than Wofford - MSU's previous foe - and the Spartans only beat Wofford by 12, and that was at the Breslin Center. Michigan State is 0-3 ATS away this season and has not been away chalk of this range in quite some time. On the other hand, the Bulldogs are 29-15 ATS in their last 44 dog roles and thrive on the style of play of MSU, as The Citadel is 11-0 ATS against offensive teams of this class. Sticking with the numbers, note that Spartans hitting just 64% of their free throws this season as opposed to a 72% success rate for The Citadel. Note also that when these two teams played last season Michigan State won by 14 at home against a Citadel team playing nowhere near the level they are now, and MSU had a huge edge at the line in that game, shooting 24 more and making 14 more (the exact margin of victory) free throws than the visitor. Now that The Citadel is at home expect the zebra edge to be lessened. Finally, emotionally the Bulldogs are MUCH more up for this game than is MSU, as this is the first ranked foe to visit in 20 years, AND since the game is on ESPNU it is a rare national TV appearance for The Citadel. We expect them to make a good showing and to cover this number.
NHL Eastern Conference Game of the Month!
4* Atlanta over Toronto
Bad spot for the Leafs here as they are still without #1 Goalie Gustavsson and his replacements - Toskalo and MacDonald - have allowed ten goals in the last five periods of play. That is not a good sign against Ilya Kovalchuck and Maxim Afinogenov af Atlanta, who have combined for 29 points in the last 11 games. Meanwhile, Thrasher netminder Johan Hedberg is 3-0 with a 1.30 GAA in his last three times between the pipes. Numbers show that Atlanta has won five of six, that Leafs are 1-9 this year against winning teams, and that the Thrashers totally dominated the last meeting, outshooting Toronto 38-17. Atlanta gets the call here.
<DT class=dtPgTop>Marco D'Angelo | NFL Side Mon, 12/07/09 - 8:35 PM <SUP>�‚ </SUP>
<DT> triple-dime bet 365 BAL 4.0 (-110) SportBet vs 366 GBP <DD>Analysis:
PLAY: BALTIMORE
RATING: TRIPLE DIME PLAY
First and foremost tonight's play won't be popular but I have made a living being on the unpopular side. Part of handicapping is understanding streaks and momentum both good and bad. Knowing how to pick the spot for a big game and knowing when a team is ripe to be upset. This game is a classic example of that. Baltimore just won a ugly game last Sunday night against Pittsburgh with a 3rd string QB. They should of lost that game but they didn't the•y found a way to win it. Those kind of wins spark teams on runs and Baltimore is going into Green Bay tonight and I see them winning this game Outright. Everyone will point out Green Bay has won 3 in a row and has had 3 extra days to prepare since they played on Thanksgiving Day while Baltimore played on Sunday Night. Look at Green Bay's wins they beat Dallas the week after Dallas got their huge revenge win at Philadelphia. Then they beat San Fran a average ball club at best. And finally they beat Detroit do I even need to say anything about how bad Detroit is. Green Bay still has problems protecting Rodgers and Baltimore will be bringing the heat all night long. Expect Baltimore to be able to score on this Green Bay defense as I have Baltimore winning this game 27-20. TAKE BALTIMORE as MARCO'S MONDAY NIGHT GAME OF THE YEAR
If you are not getting +4 on this game wait till right before game time as this line will climb it's at 4 at Sport Bet and at 4 here in Vegas.
Marco Rated this Play a 10* PLAY on his Executive Late Phone Service
BONUS PLAY:
PLAY: AUBURN
RATING: SINGLE DIME PLAY
We are getting great line value with Auburn after they lost to Troy Friday Night. Abuurn got caught looking ahead that doesn't happen here. I have Auburn winning by 7-10 points. Take AUBURN.
Marco Rated this Play a 3* on his Executive Late Phone Service
</DD>
Bryan Leonard
NBA Game of the Week
Portland at New York
Cheap line in our opinion on the visitor who will be playing their first of many without Greg Oden. The Blazers have dropped 3 of their last 4 decisions with the lone victory coming by a single point. But without Oden clogging up the offensive system the Blazers will be a better scoring squad in his absence. Portland has played just once in the past five days so they are the better rested club here. And considering they've dropped their past three games on the road we will venture that they will be the more focused squad.
New York beat the Nets yesterday 106-97 despite being outshot 531-506 in effective field goal percentage. That means New York had to fight harder than the Nets in all other aspects of the game in order to gain the victory. The Knicks played their starters 40 minutes yesterday and 82 minutes the past three days as New York is playing their third game in a four day span. Defensively New York is always a liability in fact the 531 shooting they surrendered to New Jersey yesterday was a Net season high. New Jersey had not produced an effective field goal shooting game of 500 or better all season.
With the Knicks being a tired bunch and the Blazers looking to make a statement we take advantage of a cheap number with the far better defensive squad.
PLAY PORTLAND
NBA Game of the Week
Portland at New York
Cheap line in our opinion on the visitor who will be playing their first of many without Greg Oden. The Blazers have dropped 3 of their last 4 decisions with the lone victory coming by a single point. But without Oden clogging up the offensive system the Blazers will be a better scoring squad in his absence. Portland has played just once in the past five days so they are the better rested club here. And considering they've dropped their past three games on the road we will venture that they will be the more focused squad.
New York beat the Nets yesterday 106-97 despite being outshot 531-506 in effective field goal percentage. That means New York had to fight harder than the Nets in all other aspects of the game in order to gain the victory. The Knicks played their starters 40 minutes yesterday and 82 minutes the past three days as New York is playing their third game in a four day span. Defensively New York is always a liability in fact the 531 shooting they surrendered to New Jersey yesterday was a Net season high. New Jersey had not produced an effective field goal shooting game of 500 or better all season.
With the Knicks being a tired bunch and the Blazers looking to make a statement we take advantage of a cheap number with the far better defensive squad.
PLAY PORTLAND
