Service Plays Monday 11/8/10

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Falcons (-9) Sunday.

Monday it's the Magic. The deficit is 10 sirignanos.
 
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DCI

NHL
Season: 58-44 (.569)
DETROIT 3, Phoenix 2

NFL
Monday, November 8, 2010
Pittsburgh 23, CINCINNATI 14

NBA
Season
Straight Up: 56-30 (.651)
ATS: 49-43 (.533)
ATS Vary Units: 154-156 (.497)
Over/Under: 45-47 (.489)
Over/Under Vary Units: 68-59 (.535)

San Antonio 94, CHARLOTTE 92
ORLANDO 100, Atlanta 89
TORONTO 116, Golden State 112
Denver vs. CHICAGO: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Phoenix 112, MEMPHIS 108
DALLAS 96, Boston 94

NCAA
2K Sports Classic
College Park Regional at College Park, MD
MARYLAND 93, Seattle 72
Austin Regional at Austin, TX
TEXAS 95, Navy 66
Pittsburgh Regional at Pittsburgh, PA
PITTSBURGH 76, Rhode Island 65
Champaign Regional at Champaign, IL
ILLINOIS 80, UC Irvine 56
 

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NBA
Write-Up


Monday, November 8

Hot Teams
-- Spurs won last three games, by 9-2-3 points.
-- Hawks won all four road games (1-0 as road dog). Orlando won last three games, by 42-15-3 points.
-- Nuggets won three of their last four games.
-- Suns won last two games, scoring 123-118 points, but they're 2-3 as an underdog this season.
-- Celtics won their last five games (1-0 as road dog).

Cold Teams
-- Bobcats lost five of their first six games.
-- Warriors lost first two road games by 24-5 points. Raptors lost their last four games, by 3-17-5-13 points.
-- Bulls are 2-3 in their first five games (2-1 as favorite).
-- Grizzlies lost three of their last four games.
-- Mavericks lost their last two home games, by 1-11 points.

Back-to-Back
-- Hawks are 2-0 if they played night before, winning 99-95/94-85.

Totals
-- Four of first six Charlotte games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Golden State games stayed under the total.
-- Three of four Atlanta road games went over the total.
-- Four of first five Chicago games went over the total. Five of first six Denver games stayed under the total.
-- Last four Phoenix games went over the total.
-- Last four Dallas games stayed under total. Four of last five Boston games went over the total.
 

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Football Crusher

Play of the Day:

Pittsburgh + Cincy UNDER 41 Points


Basketball Crusher

Play of the Day:

San Antonio -2.5 over Charlotte


Hockey Crusher

Play of the Day:

Detroit + Phoenix UNDER 5.5
 

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Today's NBA Picks

Denver at Chicago

The Nuggets look to build on their 10-4 ATS record in the last 14 meetings between the two teams. Denver is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the Bulls favored by only 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Denver (+3). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, NOVEMBER 8
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST

Game 701-702: San Antonio at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 120.105; Charlotte 118.885
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 1; 190
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 4; 187
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+4); Over

Game 703-704: Golden State at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 115.956; Toronto 119.768
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 4; 211
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 1 1/2; 214 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-1 1/2); Under

Game 705-706: Atlanta at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 118.536; Orlando 132.969
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 14 1/2; 210
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 707-708: Denver at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 119.152; Chicago 120.423
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1 1/2; 202
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 3; 205 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+3); Under

Game 709-710: Phoenix at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 116.009; Memphis 121.926
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 6; 208
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 4 1/2; 212 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-4 1/2); Under

Game 711-712: Boston at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 122.910; Dallas 125.487
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 2 1/2; 194
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 4; 189 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+4); Over


Today's NHL Picks

Phoenix at Detroit

The Red Wings look to take advantage of a Phoenix team that is 1-4 in its last 5 road games. Detroit is the pick (-175) according to Dunkel, which has the Red Wings favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-175). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, NOVEMBER 8
Time Posted 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 51-52: Phoenix at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 10.781; Detroit 11.659
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-175); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-175); Over
 

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NCAA Basketball Picks

Seattle at Maryland

The Terps look to open the season and build on their 8-3 ATS record in their last 11 home games. Maryland is the pick (-21) according to Dunkel, which has the Terps favored by 24. Dunkel Pick: Maryland (-21). Here are all of today's games.

MONDAY, NOVEMBER 8
Time Posted: 10:00 p.m. EST (11/7)

Game 713-714: Rhode Island at Pittsburgh (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rhode Island 62.492; Pittsburgh 72.714
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 10
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 12
Dunkel Pick: Rhode Island (+12)

Game 715-716: Seattle at Maryland (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 51.646; Maryland 75.464
Dunkel Line: Maryland by 24
Vegas Line: Maryland by 21
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (-21)

Game 717-718: UC-Irvine at Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Irvine 47.322; Illinois 70.969
Dunkel Line: Illinois by 23 1/2
Vegas Line: Illinois by 21 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Illinois (-21 1/2)

Game 719-720: Navy at Texas (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Navy 48.014; Texas 70.935
Dunkel Line: Texas by 23
Vegas Line: Texas by 26
Dunkel Pick: Navy (+26)
 
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NBA RoundUp For Monday

San Antonio Spurs (-3.5) @ Charlotte Bobcats with a total of 190.5

I have to say, I'm wildly surprised by the Spurs getting off to such a strong start in their 2010-11 season. This team is notorious for having those old legs that need a few weeks to get warmed up, but not so much this year. San Antonio is 4-1, with the loss coming to the undefeated Hornets. This is just a 1-game road "trip" for San Antonio, so not much in the way of scheduling notes, and their next game is at home against the Clippers, a team the Spurs have owned for a decade. Not a ton of reasons to like, or dislike, the Spurs. As far as the Bobcats are concerned, they're stinking up a storm. It's tough to argue they're getting any better, though they have covered in 2 of their last 3 games, despite being just 1-5 on the season thus far, straight up. I'd love to try to tell you guys that the "sharp" side is taking the home dog in this match-up, but the way these teams are playing, I simply can't trust the Bobcats until they look like they're putting something, anything, together. Lean to SAN ANTONIO and the UNDER.

Golden State Warriors @ Toronto Raptors (-2) with a total of 217.5
I suppose it's time to try to get a little more organized with these writeups, so we'll try to cover the three main aspects of each game: situational angles, the line, and any interesting motivation/matchup notes. From a situational spot, the Warriors are in a potential fatigue game, playing in Detroit yesterday in the early evening, but then, let's dig a little deeper. Detroit played a slow tempo, and while the Warriors took the loss, it wasn't like it was a heartbreaker, or an especially tiring game. In addition, we're still seeing the 2-point line swing for a back-to-back, even though Golden State finished their game about 2-3 hours earlier than usual, thanks to it being Sunday. On the Raptors side, this is their first game back home off a rough west coast road trip. They lost all 4, though they did cover 2. Still, that first game back is a rough one, especially on an opposite-Ocean, 4 game trip. Situationally, I think this favors Golden State. From a line perspective, it probably looks a little like a strong number for Toronto, but a lot of that is because of the back-to-back adjustment. And in terms of how the teams match up, I'd be surprised to see much in the way of defense. The first team to miss, loses. Lean to GOLDEN STATE and the UNDER, because of potential sluggishness on Toronto's side.

Atlanta Hawks @ Orlando Magic with a total of N/A
How far do we take the playoff revenge angle? Does the fact that Atlanta dropped one at home to Phoenix yesterday impact how we play this one, today? Well, if nothing else, the back-to-back will give the Hawks a couple more points when the line comes out. I must say, Atlanta losing to Phoenix sort of confirms the idea that this team was anxiously awaiting this game with Orlando. They turned it on too late against the Suns, and lost a winnable game, while perhaps waiting to try to get a little revenge on the Magic. But let's not count Orlando out so fast. The Magic just got done playing one team with playoff revenge on their minds, while failing to cover, and they must know they're going to get Atlanta's best shot. Let's see where this line comes out, but my sneaking suspicion is that folks are going to be on Orlando almost regardless of the line. And as bad as Atlanta's defense looked yesterday, and as bad as Atlanta's offense looked against the Magic in the postseason, I think this one has the potential to be a good game. Lean to ATLANTA and to the UNDER.

Denver Nuggets @ Chicago Bulls (-2.5) with a total of 207
This game is a classic no-play, and let me explain using largely schedule analysis. Chicago is coming off their brutal OT loss to the Boston Celtics, which was preceded by something of a look-ahead loss, at home, at the hands of the Knicks. Which Bulls team is going to show up here? A team suffering a letdown from the loss in Boston? A team ready to rumble, pissed about said loss in Boston? Very tough to say. The Denver side is equally screwball. Denver is coming off a revenge win in Dallas on Saturday, a game that they clearly just wanted more than Dallas, and I would guess, largely, because Dallas stole one in Denver a couple days earlier. So, does Denver have a letdown game, here? Tough to say. The offense is clicking the last couple nights, Carmelo doing a ton of the damage, and they're smack in the middle of a 3-game road trip, so there's no real key situational note there. I will mention, though, that Denver plays in Indiana tomorrow as a 4th game in 5 nights, then plays host to the Lakers in their first home game after 1 day of rest. I would argue the game tomorrow in Indiana is a bad spot for Denver, but this one is a pretty neutral spot. This line is spot on. PASS on the side, and tiny lean to OVER on the total.

Phoenix Suns @ Memphis Grizzlies (-3) with a total of 214.5
Oh, sweet revenge...maybe? I desperately want to back Memphis to get some revenge on the Suns, who somehow caught them in Phoenix, took that game to OT, and then beat the Grizzlies in bonus time. Both teams had a game in between the rematch, with Memphis playing the following night in Sacramento and winning 100-91, and Phoenix winning a tight one in Atlanta last night. Based on the revenge angle, you have to think Memphis comes out with a purpose, and given Phoenix played last night, folks might jump on the idea that the Suns are pooped out. But this is also a "first game home" spot for the Grizzlies, who just finished up a 4-game Pacific Division road trip with that win in Sacramento. They're certainly in a position to play a little sluggish, and I wouldn't be at all surprised to see a Suns team that suddenly looks a little less confused in the 4th quarter come into Memphis and steal the one that's supposed to be a revenge game, and supposed to be a home game to get Memphis back on track. I'm shirking revenge here, and leaning PHOENIX and the UNDER.

Boston Celtics @ Dallas Mavericks (-3.5) with a total of 191
Boston heads to Dallas off beating the pants off the Thunder last night, and looking like a well-oiled machine in the process. Dallas didn't play yesterday, but lost at home to the Nuggets on Saturday, and continues to be a bit of a risky proposition, ATS, at home, picking up right where they left off last year. They're 2-0 ATS on the road, 1-2 at home, and this line is a little bit on the high side because of Boston's "fatigue." I will say, though, that Boston has not looked like the same team when playing a back-to-back, losing outright on the road in Cleveland in their first b2b, and then needing overtime to beat the Bucks in their 2nd btb. This is the 3rd time Boston has had to play 2 games in 2 nights so far this year, and considering all the OT games they've logged, and going up against Durant last night, one has to think that perhaps the minutes are piling up a bit too quickly. Dallas is almost too scary to back at home, but the one final note is that Boston's next game is down in South Beach, and though they have a couple days off to think about it, there might be a tiny look-ahead going on, here. Slight lean to DALLAS, and tiny lean to the OVER.
 
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NHL
Write-Up


Monday, November 8

Hot Teams
-- Red Wings won six of their last eight games.

Cold Teams
-- Coyotes lost seven of their last nine games.

Totals
-- Five of last seven Detroit games went over the total.

Back-to-Back
-- None

Series Records
-- Coyotes won three of last four visits to Detroit.
 
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NCAAB WRITE-UP

Monday,November 8

College hoop season starts tonight-- log on every day for information and selections from now until the Final Four in April. Enjoy the ride.

Rhode Island is pretty good, but lost two of top three scorers from LY; they're more of a running team, while Pitt relies on sturdy defense. Pitt is picked to win Big East this year, with four starters back from LY and is fashionable choice to get to Final Four.

Maryland lost three starters from LY's team that was 13-3 in ACC, but they'll be more athletic, better on defense and lot less experienced. Hard to believe this is Gary Williams' 22nd year coaching the Terps. Seattle was 17-14 as a independent LY, beating Oregon State, Fresno State and Utah- they also lost to Oklahoma State by 22, Washington by 47- they played at 2nd-highest tempo in America LY, so this will be fast game.

Illinois has all five starters back from LY's 21-15/10-8 team; they're #4 pick in Big 11, #9 team in country. Big things are expected. Cal-Irvine is coached by former NBA assistant Turner, who inherits three starters from LY's 14-18/6-10 in weak Big West. Illini hasn't played as well at home in recent years.

Texas lost four starters from LY's chemistry-challenged 24-10/9-7 team that underachieved; they're picked #4 in Big 12, #19 in country. Navy is was 13-17/7-7 in Patriot League LY; they've got one really good scorer, a 6-3 wing who was 4th in Patriot in scoring LY. Middies are picked for 7th place in Patriot League this season.
 

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LPW Sports Forecast
NHL - Detroit Under (5.5) (-115)

American Sports
NFL - Pittsburgh (-280)


Winners only
NFL - Pittsburgh Over (41
 

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