Wunderdog
<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Game: Green Bay at New Orleans (Monday 11/24 8:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total UNDER 51 -110
This is a must-win for both teams as each sit at 5-5. With the tight wild-card races this year, a loss will likely deal the death blow to the playoff hopes of the loser. The New Orleans offense has been the best in the NFL, led by Drew Brees. But the Packers' vulnerability has been to the run, not the pass. Green Bay is in fact great vs. the pass, allowing just 176 passing yards per game. And, they have intercepted 16 passes already on the season. These teams know what's on the line here and I expect the intensity to be very high - almost playoff like (as this is essentially an elimination game). Those types of games are usually lower scoring than expected. What do you think these head coaches focused on this week? With each offense averaging 27 ppg, it was not there. With a very important must-win game coming up, they were very likely focusing on their area of perceived weakness - defense. But are these defenses really that bad? New Orleans has been decent defensively at home this season, holding foes to 17.5 points per game. The Packers have quietly built a very sold defense, holding their last five opponents to an average of just 16.2 points per game. Last game they held Chicago to 234 total yards and 3 points. This total is set too lofty thanks to the sexy offenses and high-profile quarterbacks. But that's only part of the story. This situation calls for the UNDER.
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<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Game: Green Bay at New Orleans (Monday 11/24 8:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total UNDER 51 -110
This is a must-win for both teams as each sit at 5-5. With the tight wild-card races this year, a loss will likely deal the death blow to the playoff hopes of the loser. The New Orleans offense has been the best in the NFL, led by Drew Brees. But the Packers' vulnerability has been to the run, not the pass. Green Bay is in fact great vs. the pass, allowing just 176 passing yards per game. And, they have intercepted 16 passes already on the season. These teams know what's on the line here and I expect the intensity to be very high - almost playoff like (as this is essentially an elimination game). Those types of games are usually lower scoring than expected. What do you think these head coaches focused on this week? With each offense averaging 27 ppg, it was not there. With a very important must-win game coming up, they were very likely focusing on their area of perceived weakness - defense. But are these defenses really that bad? New Orleans has been decent defensively at home this season, holding foes to 17.5 points per game. The Packers have quietly built a very sold defense, holding their last five opponents to an average of just 16.2 points per game. Last game they held Chicago to 234 total yards and 3 points. This total is set too lofty thanks to the sexy offenses and high-profile quarterbacks. But that's only part of the story. This situation calls for the UNDER.
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