Nick parsons
NFL
Baltimore vs. Cleveland
8:35 EST
For a number of different reasons I feel the value in this matchup is on the large home dog as I look for Cleveland to do just enough to sneak away with an ATS victory:
The Ravens have struggled mightily since beating the Browns earlier in the year, and I'm expecting another small "let-down" this evening. After opening with three wins, Baltimore (4-4) hardly appears set to make a run at a second straight AFC championship game appearance. The Ravens lost three straight before defeating previously unbeaten Denver 30-7 on Nov. 1, only to lose 17-7 to Cincinnati last Sunday.
One of the biggest reasons for the Ravens recent decline has been the sub-par performance of its defense; Baltimore gave up a total of 369 yards versus the Bengals and has allowed more than 400 three times, something it hadn’t done since 2006.
Joe Flacco has also struggled of late; Flacco threw two INTs last Sunday after going two straight games without one and had a season-low 56.3 completion % (18 of 32).
Remember, Baltimore is just 1-4 SU its last five overall and 1-4 SU its last five on the road.
On the other side of the field: Coming out of their bye-week, Eric Mangini said he would like to stick with Brady Quinn for the rest of the season, and has been impressed with his work ethic since being demoted.
Quinn takes over an offense that ranks 30th in the league, but the young QB remains positive and seems focused coming out of the bye: “I’m excited to play,” Quinn said. “I’m excited to be a part of Monday night. Every team in the NFL is tough, them especially. We’ve got our hands full right now.”
Cleveland has history on its side though; the Browns always play the Ravens tough as they are 4-1 ATS their last five vs. Baltimore in front of the home town crowd.
Bottom line: The Browns have to be patient and rely on their special teams; but with the recent lapse in play on both sides of the ball the last few weeks by the Ravens, and coming off their bye-week, Cleveland will look to keep this one close down the stretch; look for the BROWNS to improve to 4-2 ATS against conference opponents while Baltimore falls to 1-3 ATS vs. division opponents!
*9* BROWNS.
NFL
Baltimore vs. Cleveland
8:35 EST
For a number of different reasons I feel the value in this matchup is on the large home dog as I look for Cleveland to do just enough to sneak away with an ATS victory:
The Ravens have struggled mightily since beating the Browns earlier in the year, and I'm expecting another small "let-down" this evening. After opening with three wins, Baltimore (4-4) hardly appears set to make a run at a second straight AFC championship game appearance. The Ravens lost three straight before defeating previously unbeaten Denver 30-7 on Nov. 1, only to lose 17-7 to Cincinnati last Sunday.
One of the biggest reasons for the Ravens recent decline has been the sub-par performance of its defense; Baltimore gave up a total of 369 yards versus the Bengals and has allowed more than 400 three times, something it hadn’t done since 2006.
Joe Flacco has also struggled of late; Flacco threw two INTs last Sunday after going two straight games without one and had a season-low 56.3 completion % (18 of 32).
Remember, Baltimore is just 1-4 SU its last five overall and 1-4 SU its last five on the road.
On the other side of the field: Coming out of their bye-week, Eric Mangini said he would like to stick with Brady Quinn for the rest of the season, and has been impressed with his work ethic since being demoted.
Quinn takes over an offense that ranks 30th in the league, but the young QB remains positive and seems focused coming out of the bye: “I’m excited to play,” Quinn said. “I’m excited to be a part of Monday night. Every team in the NFL is tough, them especially. We’ve got our hands full right now.”
Cleveland has history on its side though; the Browns always play the Ravens tough as they are 4-1 ATS their last five vs. Baltimore in front of the home town crowd.
Bottom line: The Browns have to be patient and rely on their special teams; but with the recent lapse in play on both sides of the ball the last few weeks by the Ravens, and coming off their bye-week, Cleveland will look to keep this one close down the stretch; look for the BROWNS to improve to 4-2 ATS against conference opponents while Baltimore falls to 1-3 ATS vs. division opponents!
*9* BROWNS.
Today's Picks by Natural Born Thriller
<table border="0" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="1" width="100%"><tbody><tr> <th class="bl" colspan="5" align="left">CB</th> </tr> <tr bgcolor="#999999" height="1"> <td colspan="5" height="1">
</td> </tr> <tr bgcolor="#000066"> <th>Game Time</th> <th>Game</th> <th>Pick</th> <th>Bet</th> <th>Analysis</th> </tr> <tr bgcolor="#eeeeee"> <td align="center">Monday, 11/16/2009</td> <td align="center">Pennsylvania</td> <td rowspan="2" align="center"> Villanova (S: -23.5) </td> <td rowspan="2" align="center">5</td> <td rowspan="2" align="center">
</td> </tr> <tr bgcolor="#eeeeee"> <td align="center">7:00pm EST</td> <td align="center">Villanova</td></tr></tbody></table>
<table border="0" cellpadding="1" cellspacing="1" width="100%"><tbody><tr> <th class="bl" colspan="5" align="left">CB</th> </tr> <tr bgcolor="#999999" height="1"> <td colspan="5" height="1">
</td> </tr> <tr bgcolor="#000066"> <th>Game Time</th> <th>Game</th> <th>Pick</th> <th>Bet</th> <th>Analysis</th> </tr> <tr bgcolor="#eeeeee"> <td align="center">Monday, 11/16/2009</td> <td align="center">Pennsylvania</td> <td rowspan="2" align="center"> Villanova (S: -23.5) </td> <td rowspan="2" align="center">5</td> <td rowspan="2" align="center">
</td> </tr> <tr bgcolor="#eeeeee"> <td align="center">7:00pm EST</td> <td align="center">Villanova</td></tr></tbody></table>
Al DeMarco & Budin - Monday NFL
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N2TsXk7VQtw&feature=player_embedded
in short... stay away from the game but if you really want:
- play UNDER
- 6 point teaser for Baltimore
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N2TsXk7VQtw&feature=player_embedded
in short... stay away from the game but if you really want:
- play UNDER
- 6 point teaser for Baltimore
stbernadine sports advisors
WOW!! What a load of BS crap here today.
hno:
Here is the play from lefty if the others come up before I get out of work I will post if not, have a good one.
lillefty - 1* Auburn -5 over Mizzou St
Mizzou st only returns 2 starters from a team that went 11-20 last year. They are a 1 man team. Kyle Weems and a bunch of players doing dirty work. The basic principle here is I don't care how good a player is, if an athletic team from a big conference can't shut down 1 player, then something is wrong. With a game under their belt, look for Auburn to lay down the wood tonight to a team they handled easily last year and should do the same this year.
Let's cash!!
ZAGS
WOW!! What a load of BS crap here today.
hno:Here is the play from lefty if the others come up before I get out of work I will post if not, have a good one.
lillefty - 1* Auburn -5 over Mizzou St
Mizzou st only returns 2 starters from a team that went 11-20 last year. They are a 1 man team. Kyle Weems and a bunch of players doing dirty work. The basic principle here is I don't care how good a player is, if an athletic team from a big conference can't shut down 1 player, then something is wrong. With a game under their belt, look for Auburn to lay down the wood tonight to a team they handled easily last year and should do the same this year.
Let's cash!!
ZAGS
Bob Balfe
Ravens/Browns UNDER 39
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Cleveland was crushed earlier in the season by the Ravens and I just don’t see how they will be able to score as their offense has been horrible. The Ravens Defense has struggled this season, but on MNF will rise to the occasion. The Browns will have to do a better job stopping the run if they have any shot to win tonight. Cleveland will want to turn this into a low scoring affair. This total set at 39 has a good Under Value. Take the Under.[/FONT]
Ravens/Browns UNDER 39
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Cleveland was crushed earlier in the season by the Ravens and I just don’t see how they will be able to score as their offense has been horrible. The Ravens Defense has struggled this season, but on MNF will rise to the occasion. The Browns will have to do a better job stopping the run if they have any shot to win tonight. Cleveland will want to turn this into a low scoring affair. This total set at 39 has a good Under Value. Take the Under.[/FONT]
Evan Altemus
BALTIMORE RAVENS -10.5
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Cleveland is a complete mess right now. There is so much turmoil within the organization that the NFL is sending officials to investigate the team this up-coming week. Several players, including Jamal Lewis, are complaining about practices being too tough and exhausting. They might be right as a few players have been getting hurt in practice. The Browns are coming off of a bye week and at home in a big primetime game, so the spot absolutely screams Cleveland. However, I feel that the extra week off just gave them more time to think about their problems, not fix them. This spread is very high, but the Browns home field advantage is virtually non-existent. Baltimore absolutely dominated Cleveland earlier this season, severely out gaining them in a 34-3 blowout win. Joe Flacco threw for 342 yards and the Ravens rushed for 142 yards in a dominating performance. Baltimore will have plenty of motivation for this game as well, losing four out of their last five games. They simply cannot afford to overlook this game. Cleveland has been blown out by both Minnesota and Green Bay at home, and Baltimore is relatively similar in talent to those two teams. Look for Baltimore to blowout Cleveland by double digits and get a point spread cover.
3 UNIT SELECTION RAVENS.[/FONT]
BALTIMORE RAVENS -10.5
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Cleveland is a complete mess right now. There is so much turmoil within the organization that the NFL is sending officials to investigate the team this up-coming week. Several players, including Jamal Lewis, are complaining about practices being too tough and exhausting. They might be right as a few players have been getting hurt in practice. The Browns are coming off of a bye week and at home in a big primetime game, so the spot absolutely screams Cleveland. However, I feel that the extra week off just gave them more time to think about their problems, not fix them. This spread is very high, but the Browns home field advantage is virtually non-existent. Baltimore absolutely dominated Cleveland earlier this season, severely out gaining them in a 34-3 blowout win. Joe Flacco threw for 342 yards and the Ravens rushed for 142 yards in a dominating performance. Baltimore will have plenty of motivation for this game as well, losing four out of their last five games. They simply cannot afford to overlook this game. Cleveland has been blown out by both Minnesota and Green Bay at home, and Baltimore is relatively similar in talent to those two teams. Look for Baltimore to blowout Cleveland by double digits and get a point spread cover.
3 UNIT SELECTION RAVENS.[/FONT]
Spartan
BALTIMORE RAVENS -10.5
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]I realize the dogs were barking like hell on sunday and we had a small dog winner ourselves last night with the Patriots getting the cover but I just cannot for the life of me support a Browns play here. I have looked for any valid reason to side with the big home dog here, fact is that reason eludes me. Other than Joshua Cribbs having a monster night with returns I just do not see the Browns coming in within the number. I personally look for the Ravens to use a similar game plan as before when they throttled the Browns 34-3. They will control the clock and grind down the Cleveland defense with a lot of long drives. This won't be a thing of beauty tonight but we should be in a position to enjoy the results. Hell, I enjoy sausage but don't particularly care to watch it being made. I'd love to take the contrarian view and back the dog, particularly with the type of weekend we have just witnessed but that offense is just bad. Prudent decision here is the Ravens laying the 10.5.[/FONT]
BALTIMORE RAVENS -10.5
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]I realize the dogs were barking like hell on sunday and we had a small dog winner ourselves last night with the Patriots getting the cover but I just cannot for the life of me support a Browns play here. I have looked for any valid reason to side with the big home dog here, fact is that reason eludes me. Other than Joshua Cribbs having a monster night with returns I just do not see the Browns coming in within the number. I personally look for the Ravens to use a similar game plan as before when they throttled the Browns 34-3. They will control the clock and grind down the Cleveland defense with a lot of long drives. This won't be a thing of beauty tonight but we should be in a position to enjoy the results. Hell, I enjoy sausage but don't particularly care to watch it being made. I'd love to take the contrarian view and back the dog, particularly with the type of weekend we have just witnessed but that offense is just bad. Prudent decision here is the Ravens laying the 10.5.[/FONT]
Rob Homyak
BALTIMORE RAVENS -10.5
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]The Ravens have won 3 in a row SU and ATS in this series. The Ravens are on ATS runs of 20-8 overall, 12-5 against AFC teams, 9-4 on the road, 5-1 after a straight-up loss and 10-3 as a favorite, 8-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Cleveland ATS streaks, 3-10-1 overall, 1-6-1 at home, 1-4-1 in November and 2-9-1 after a straight-up loss. Monday Night Football
The Baltimore Ravens head coach John Harbaugh is 3-0 against the Browns as head coach. Mangini is 0-2 against the Ravens as a head coach, including a loss during his tenure with the Jets (2006-08), and is 0-1 against Harbaugh head-to-head. Take Baltimore.[/FONT]
BALTIMORE RAVENS -10.5
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]The Ravens have won 3 in a row SU and ATS in this series. The Ravens are on ATS runs of 20-8 overall, 12-5 against AFC teams, 9-4 on the road, 5-1 after a straight-up loss and 10-3 as a favorite, 8-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Cleveland ATS streaks, 3-10-1 overall, 1-6-1 at home, 1-4-1 in November and 2-9-1 after a straight-up loss. Monday Night Football
The Baltimore Ravens head coach John Harbaugh is 3-0 against the Browns as head coach. Mangini is 0-2 against the Ravens as a head coach, including a loss during his tenure with the Jets (2006-08), and is 0-1 against Harbaugh head-to-head. Take Baltimore.[/FONT]
Tony George
BALTIMORE RAVENS -11
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]You think Ray Lewis and company, who are ticked off, are going to let an offense who has managed hardly any points all season, with Brady Quinn beat them on national TV after the slide they have been on. ? REALLY? This is JUST what the docotor ordered for Baltimore. A winnable road game with the better coach, better QB, better RB, better everything!!! I realize Sunday was the day of the dog...this is one Monday Night Home Dog I will avoid like the swine flu...Cleveland is deplorable even with a week off, and I hate taking teams off a bye week to add fuel to the fire. The chemistry of Clevelands offense will take awhile and against this defense, good luck scoring more than 7 tonight. Ravens 8-0 ATS against a team with a losing record their last 8.
Play 1 Unit on Baltimore.[/FONT]
BALTIMORE RAVENS -11
[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]You think Ray Lewis and company, who are ticked off, are going to let an offense who has managed hardly any points all season, with Brady Quinn beat them on national TV after the slide they have been on. ? REALLY? This is JUST what the docotor ordered for Baltimore. A winnable road game with the better coach, better QB, better RB, better everything!!! I realize Sunday was the day of the dog...this is one Monday Night Home Dog I will avoid like the swine flu...Cleveland is deplorable even with a week off, and I hate taking teams off a bye week to add fuel to the fire. The chemistry of Clevelands offense will take awhile and against this defense, good luck scoring more than 7 tonight. Ravens 8-0 ATS against a team with a losing record their last 8.
Play 1 Unit on Baltimore.[/FONT]
John Ryan sports
Handicapper: John Ryan Sports
Sport: College Basketball
Game: Virginia Cavaliers @ South Florida Bulls - Monday November 16, 2009 7:30 pm
Pick: 3 units ATS: South Florida Bulls -3.5 (-110)
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on South Florida as they host Virginia set to start at 7:30 EST. AIS shows a 70% probability that SF will win this game by 5 or more points. AIS shows a 92% probability that UVA will score 61 to 66 points. Note that SF is a solid
41-18 ATS (+21.2 Units) when they allow 61 to 66 points in a game since 1997. Supporting this graded play further is a series of game dependent angles working against UVA. Note that UVA is just 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) as a road underdog of 6 points or less or pick since 1997; 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997; 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) after a game outrebounding opponent by 15 or more since 1997.
Handicapper: John Ryan Sports
Sport: College Basketball
Game: Virginia Cavaliers @ South Florida Bulls - Monday November 16, 2009 7:30 pm
Pick: 3 units ATS: South Florida Bulls -3.5 (-110)
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on South Florida as they host Virginia set to start at 7:30 EST. AIS shows a 70% probability that SF will win this game by 5 or more points. AIS shows a 92% probability that UVA will score 61 to 66 points. Note that SF is a solid
41-18 ATS (+21.2 Units) when they allow 61 to 66 points in a game since 1997. Supporting this graded play further is a series of game dependent angles working against UVA. Note that UVA is just 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) as a road underdog of 6 points or less or pick since 1997; 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997; 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) after a game outrebounding opponent by 15 or more since 1997.
