STAN THE MAN'S STAT/SYSTEMS REPORT 11/15
MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
INFO WORTH BETTING ON ONE PAGE EACH DAY
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***** STAT/SYSTEMS SPORTS POWER SEARCH - NFL *****
*** EAGLES TRY TO PULL AWAY FROM MCNABB, AND THE REDSKINS ***
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Donovan McNabb experienced his share of contentious moments during an eventful 11-year tenure as quarterback of the Philadelphia Eagles, and the accomplished veteran has found himself at the center of another brewing firestorm during his brief run with the Washington Redskins. McNabb will be once again be seeking a chance for redemption when he leads his new team into battle with his old one for the second time this season, though the circumstances of this Monday night encounter between the Redskins and Eagles will be of a different variety than the first meeting between the longtime NFC East rivals.
Washington will play its first game since being dealt a potentially-costly 37-25 loss at Detroit on Oct. 31 in which McNabb was pulled from the game in favor of backup Rex Grossman with less than two minutes remaining and his team trailing by six points. Head coach Mike Shanahan explained the decision afterward, stating he was more comfortable with Grossman's ability to run the hurry-up offense, then added another log to the fire later in the week by questioning McNabb's fitness level due to having missed some practice time with soreness in his hamstrings.
McNabb has struggled grasping Shanahan's variation of the West Coast offense during his first season with the Redskins, who acquired the six-time Pro Bowler in a shocking trade with the Eagles back in April. The soon-to-be 34- year-old's 76.0 passer rating is his lowest since his rookie season in 1999, and he's thrown eight interceptions against only seven touchdown passes.
Philadelphia, which will be heading to FedEx Field holding a one-game lead on the Redskins in the NFC East race and sits one game back of the New York Giants for first place in the division, hasn't had as much of a problem finding a capable replacement for McNabb. The Eagles' standing as a serious postseason threat has been due in large part to the remarkable resurgence of Michael Vick, with the once-disgraced quarterback having raised his play to a previously-unseen level in one of the season's surprising success stories.
Vick has emerged as a dark-horse MVP candidate in his first go-around as a full-time starter since 2006. The former Atlanta Falcons' franchise face leads the NFL with a 105.3 passer rating and has yet to commit a turnover this season, while his 60.8 completion percentage is by far the best of his checkered eight-year career. The 30-year-old hasn't lost his trademark scrambling ability either, despite his prolonged period of inactivity. Back from a three-game absence due to a ribcage injury, Vick rushed for 74 yards and a touchdown in addition to throwing for 218 yards and a score in leading the Eagles to a hard-earned 26-24 decision over defending AFC champion Indianapolis this past Sunday.
Vick had been sidelined since hurting his ribs in the Eagles' 17-12 setback to the Redskins back in Week 4, McNabb's first visit to Philadelphia since the blockbuster trade. The latter wasn't particularly sharp in that contest as well, hitting on just 8-of-19 passes for 125 yards with one touchdown and an interception. The Eagles have prevailed in all three games in which Vick's started and finished this year and bring a 3-1 season road record into Monday's tilt. Washington has lost two of its last three outings at home, but Shanahan amassed a glossy 10-4 mark after a bye week during his 14-year reign as the Denver Broncos head coach from 1995-2008.
• SERIES HISTORY
----------------------
The Redskins hold a 78-67-5 lead in their all-time series with the Eagles after their narrow win at Lincoln Financial Field back in October, but Philadelphia has prevailed in three of its last four stops to FedEx Field and dealt Washington a 27-17 home defeat -- which also took place on a Monday night -- last season. The Eagles swept the 2009 season series between the clubs, with the Redskins taking both meetings the previous year.
In addition to their regular-season advantage, the Redskins won the only postseason meeting between the clubs, a 20-6 road triumph in a 1990 NFC First- Round Playoff. Eagles head coach Andy Reid is 14-9 versus the Redskins since taking over in 1999. Shanahan is 3-1 lifetime against Philadelphia, with the first two wins and the lone loss coming during his time with the Broncos. Shanahan is 2-0 versus Reid head-to-head, having also bested the Eagles by a 49-21 count in Denver back in 2005.
• WHEN THE EAGLES HAVE THE BALL
----------------------------------------------
Philadelphia has the reputation of being a pass-first operation under Reid, but this year's edition has been very effective running the ball as well. The Eagles come in fifth in the NFL in rushing offense (137.5 ypg) and racked up a season-best 195 yards on the ground against the Colts last week, and their 5.1 yards per carry average is tied for tops in the league. Vick (1017 passing yards, 7 TD, 0 INT) has had something to do with that impressive total, as his 261 rushing yards leads all quarterbacks, but running back LeSean McCoy (572 rushing yards, 5 TD, 41 receptions) is turning in a terrific sophomore season as well.
The 22-year-old gained 95 yards on just 16 attempts against Indianapolis and doubles as an excellent receiver, as evidenced by a 12-catch, 110-yard performance in the Week 4 meeting with the Redskins. The NFL's fourth-ranked offense (376.3 ypg) has plenty of other playmakers as well. Speedy wide receiver DeSean Jackson (26 receptions, 504 yards, 4 TD) is averaging 19.4 yards per catch and has surpassed 100 receiving yards in all of Vick's three full games under center, while counterpart Jeremy Maclin (34 receptions, 506 yards, 6 TD) and tight end Brent Celek (21 receptions, 2 TD) are two others Washington will have to account for on Sunday in addition to McCoy.
The Redskins defense has been the definition of a bend-but-don't-break group, having surrendered the second-highest amount of total yards (393.3 ypg) and passing yards (280.9 ypg) in the league but holding the opposition to 14 points or less in all four of the team's wins. The unit's strength has been it's ability to force turnovers, as Washington has produced 19 takeaways in eight games and had six in a three-point victory at Chicago back in Week 7, with ball-hawking cornerback DeAngelo Hall (63 tackles, 9 PD) tying an NFL single-game record with four interceptions.
Hall leads the league with six picks thus far, while outside linebacker Brian Orakpo (25 tackles) has made a big impact as well by posting seven sacks as the catalyst of a pass rush that can be devastating at times, especially when moody lineman Albert Haynesworth (13 tackles, 2 sacks) is motivated to play. Durable veteran London Fletcher (72 tackles, 1.5 sacks, 5 PD), who registered 12 tackles in these teams' earlier meeting, and fellow inside linebacker Rocky McIntosh (63 tackles, 2 sacks) are the anchors of a run defense that's allowed an average of just 84 rushing yards over the Redskins' past two tests.
• WHEN THE REDSKINS HAVE THE BALL
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While McNabb (1971 passing yards, 7 TD, 8 INT) isn't in danger of losing his starting status, it wouldn't be surprising if the Redskins rely more on the run this week with the slumping signal-caller still trying to find a groove. Washington was successful in doing so in its early-October win over the Eagles, putting up a season-best 169 rushing yards on the day. Brittle back Clinton Portis (195 rushing yards, 2 TD) had 55 yards on only 11 attempts in that game before exiting with a groin tear that kept him sidelined since, but there's a chance he may be able to return on Monday and complement youngster Ryan Torain (391 rushing yards, 8 receptions, 4 total TD), who's fared well in Portis' absence with a pair of 100-yard efforts over his last three games.
McNabb's primary targets have been reliable wide receiver Santana Moss (48 receptions, 604 yards, 2 TD) and tight end Chris Cooley (39 receptions, 2 TD), with the well-traveled Anthony Armstrong (17 receptions, 1 TD) serving as the main deep threat for the NFL's 13th-ranked passing offense (230.9 ypg). The former Arena League player is averaging over 21 yards per catch and had a career-best 92 yards on three grabs in the loss at Detroit. Pass protection has been a problem at times, with McNabb and Grossman sacked a combined seven times by the Lions right before the bye.
McNabb figures to have a challenge against a Philadelphia stop unit that's fourth in the NFL in pass efficiency defense and has come up with 13 interceptions, while holding the opposition to a 56 percent completion rate. The Eagles made it difficult for Colts superstar Peyton Manning a week ago, with Pro Bowl cornerback Asante Samuel (20 tackles, 5 INT, 10 PD) picking off the four-time league MVP twice and a fierce pass rush headed by high-motor end Trent Cole (39 tackles, 7 sacks) sacking him three times. Cole has compiled four sacks over the past three games, while Samuel owns four interceptions over that same frame.
Philadelphia does have some injury issues to deal with in the secondary, however, as promising rookie free safety Nate Allen (34 tackles, 1 sack, 3 INT) is expected to miss Monday's matchup after injuring his neck last week and cornerback
• PREGAME NOTES
-----------------------
Eagles’ HC Andy Reid is 31-15 ATS away with revenge, including 14-5 ATS versus division foes. He is also 13-7 SU and 14-6 ATS on Mondays, including a perfect 6-0 ATS on the division highway. Meanwhile, Washington checks in 0-9 SU and ATS in their last nine Monday home encounters. Let’s also not forget that the Redskins are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine as division home dogs. Last, but certainly not least, Washington is the only outfit in the league to lose the stats in every game they played this season.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Philadelphia by 2; O/U 43
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Philadelphia -3.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Philadelphia -2.79
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
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--PHILADELPHIA is 30-11 ATS (+17.8 Units) revenging a close loss by 7 points or less to opponent since 1992.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 22.4, OPPONENT 19.0 - (Rating = 4*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 30-13 ATS (+15.6 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse in the second half of the season since 1992.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 26.3, OPPONENT 19.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--WASHINGTON is 45-25 UNDER (+17.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
The average score was WASHINGTON 16.1, OPPONENT 20.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--WASHINGTON is 26-10 UNDER (+15.2 Units) vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game in the second half of the season since 1992.
The average score was WASHINGTON 16.7, OPPONENT 20.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--WASHINGTON is 25-10 UNDER (+14.0 Units) vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game in the second half of the season since 1992.
The average score was WASHINGTON 16.7, OPPONENT 20.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 34-17 UNDER (+15.2 Units) after gaining 6.5 or more yards/play in their previous game since 1992.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 23.8, OPPONENT 17.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 14-2 UNDER (+11.8 Units) after 2 straight games where 50 total points or more were scored since 1992.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 17.3, OPPONENT 14.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
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--WASHINGTON is 25-8 against the 1rst half line (+16.3 Units) in home games vs. mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game since 1992.
The average score was WASHINGTON 12.6, OPPONENT 8.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 6-24 against the 1rst half line (-20.3 Units) off a no-cover where the team won as a favorite since 1992.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 7.9, OPPONENT 11.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 29-13 against the 1rst half line (+14.5 Units) revenging a close loss by 7 points or less to opponent since 1992.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 13.2, OPPONENT 9.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--WASHINGTON is 26-10 UNDER (+14.9 Units) the 1rst half total vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game in the second half of the season since 1992.
The average score was WASHINGTON 7.9, OPPONENT 11.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 14-2 UNDER (+11.8 Units) the 1rst half total after 2 straight games where 50 total points or more were scored since 1992.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 6.8, OPPONENT 7.8 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
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--PLAY ON - Underdogs or pick (WASHINGTON) - after a road game where both teams scored 24 or more points, in the second half of the season.
(24-5 over the last 5 seasons.) (82.8%, +18.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (18-11 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 5.1
The average score in these games was: Team 24.8, Opponent 21.1 (Average point differential = +3.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 16 (57.1% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (15-1).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (47-36).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (90-62).
--PLAY UNDER - Any team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (WASHINGTON) - after allowing 35 points or more last game against opponent after 2 straight games where 50 total points or more were scored.
(38-13 since 1983.) (74.5%, +23.7 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 45.2
The average score in these games was: Team 19.6, Opponent 20 (Total points scored = 39.6)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 24 (46.2% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (7-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (8-5).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (12-8).
--PLAY OVER - Any team where the first half total is between 21.5 and 24.5 (WASHINGTON) - poor rushing team (70-95 RY/G) against an average rushing defense (95-125 RY/G) after 8+ games.
(47-17 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.4%, +28.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 22.9
The average first half score in these games was: Team 12.2, Opponent 13.8 (Total first half points scored = 26)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (26-8).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (60-43).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (123-97).
MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
INFO WORTH BETTING ON ONE PAGE EACH DAY
______________________________________________
***** STAT/SYSTEMS SPORTS POWER SEARCH - NFL *****
*** EAGLES TRY TO PULL AWAY FROM MCNABB, AND THE REDSKINS ***
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Donovan McNabb experienced his share of contentious moments during an eventful 11-year tenure as quarterback of the Philadelphia Eagles, and the accomplished veteran has found himself at the center of another brewing firestorm during his brief run with the Washington Redskins. McNabb will be once again be seeking a chance for redemption when he leads his new team into battle with his old one for the second time this season, though the circumstances of this Monday night encounter between the Redskins and Eagles will be of a different variety than the first meeting between the longtime NFC East rivals.
Washington will play its first game since being dealt a potentially-costly 37-25 loss at Detroit on Oct. 31 in which McNabb was pulled from the game in favor of backup Rex Grossman with less than two minutes remaining and his team trailing by six points. Head coach Mike Shanahan explained the decision afterward, stating he was more comfortable with Grossman's ability to run the hurry-up offense, then added another log to the fire later in the week by questioning McNabb's fitness level due to having missed some practice time with soreness in his hamstrings.
McNabb has struggled grasping Shanahan's variation of the West Coast offense during his first season with the Redskins, who acquired the six-time Pro Bowler in a shocking trade with the Eagles back in April. The soon-to-be 34- year-old's 76.0 passer rating is his lowest since his rookie season in 1999, and he's thrown eight interceptions against only seven touchdown passes.
Philadelphia, which will be heading to FedEx Field holding a one-game lead on the Redskins in the NFC East race and sits one game back of the New York Giants for first place in the division, hasn't had as much of a problem finding a capable replacement for McNabb. The Eagles' standing as a serious postseason threat has been due in large part to the remarkable resurgence of Michael Vick, with the once-disgraced quarterback having raised his play to a previously-unseen level in one of the season's surprising success stories.
Vick has emerged as a dark-horse MVP candidate in his first go-around as a full-time starter since 2006. The former Atlanta Falcons' franchise face leads the NFL with a 105.3 passer rating and has yet to commit a turnover this season, while his 60.8 completion percentage is by far the best of his checkered eight-year career. The 30-year-old hasn't lost his trademark scrambling ability either, despite his prolonged period of inactivity. Back from a three-game absence due to a ribcage injury, Vick rushed for 74 yards and a touchdown in addition to throwing for 218 yards and a score in leading the Eagles to a hard-earned 26-24 decision over defending AFC champion Indianapolis this past Sunday.
Vick had been sidelined since hurting his ribs in the Eagles' 17-12 setback to the Redskins back in Week 4, McNabb's first visit to Philadelphia since the blockbuster trade. The latter wasn't particularly sharp in that contest as well, hitting on just 8-of-19 passes for 125 yards with one touchdown and an interception. The Eagles have prevailed in all three games in which Vick's started and finished this year and bring a 3-1 season road record into Monday's tilt. Washington has lost two of its last three outings at home, but Shanahan amassed a glossy 10-4 mark after a bye week during his 14-year reign as the Denver Broncos head coach from 1995-2008.
• SERIES HISTORY
----------------------
The Redskins hold a 78-67-5 lead in their all-time series with the Eagles after their narrow win at Lincoln Financial Field back in October, but Philadelphia has prevailed in three of its last four stops to FedEx Field and dealt Washington a 27-17 home defeat -- which also took place on a Monday night -- last season. The Eagles swept the 2009 season series between the clubs, with the Redskins taking both meetings the previous year.
In addition to their regular-season advantage, the Redskins won the only postseason meeting between the clubs, a 20-6 road triumph in a 1990 NFC First- Round Playoff. Eagles head coach Andy Reid is 14-9 versus the Redskins since taking over in 1999. Shanahan is 3-1 lifetime against Philadelphia, with the first two wins and the lone loss coming during his time with the Broncos. Shanahan is 2-0 versus Reid head-to-head, having also bested the Eagles by a 49-21 count in Denver back in 2005.
• WHEN THE EAGLES HAVE THE BALL
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Philadelphia has the reputation of being a pass-first operation under Reid, but this year's edition has been very effective running the ball as well. The Eagles come in fifth in the NFL in rushing offense (137.5 ypg) and racked up a season-best 195 yards on the ground against the Colts last week, and their 5.1 yards per carry average is tied for tops in the league. Vick (1017 passing yards, 7 TD, 0 INT) has had something to do with that impressive total, as his 261 rushing yards leads all quarterbacks, but running back LeSean McCoy (572 rushing yards, 5 TD, 41 receptions) is turning in a terrific sophomore season as well.
The 22-year-old gained 95 yards on just 16 attempts against Indianapolis and doubles as an excellent receiver, as evidenced by a 12-catch, 110-yard performance in the Week 4 meeting with the Redskins. The NFL's fourth-ranked offense (376.3 ypg) has plenty of other playmakers as well. Speedy wide receiver DeSean Jackson (26 receptions, 504 yards, 4 TD) is averaging 19.4 yards per catch and has surpassed 100 receiving yards in all of Vick's three full games under center, while counterpart Jeremy Maclin (34 receptions, 506 yards, 6 TD) and tight end Brent Celek (21 receptions, 2 TD) are two others Washington will have to account for on Sunday in addition to McCoy.
The Redskins defense has been the definition of a bend-but-don't-break group, having surrendered the second-highest amount of total yards (393.3 ypg) and passing yards (280.9 ypg) in the league but holding the opposition to 14 points or less in all four of the team's wins. The unit's strength has been it's ability to force turnovers, as Washington has produced 19 takeaways in eight games and had six in a three-point victory at Chicago back in Week 7, with ball-hawking cornerback DeAngelo Hall (63 tackles, 9 PD) tying an NFL single-game record with four interceptions.
Hall leads the league with six picks thus far, while outside linebacker Brian Orakpo (25 tackles) has made a big impact as well by posting seven sacks as the catalyst of a pass rush that can be devastating at times, especially when moody lineman Albert Haynesworth (13 tackles, 2 sacks) is motivated to play. Durable veteran London Fletcher (72 tackles, 1.5 sacks, 5 PD), who registered 12 tackles in these teams' earlier meeting, and fellow inside linebacker Rocky McIntosh (63 tackles, 2 sacks) are the anchors of a run defense that's allowed an average of just 84 rushing yards over the Redskins' past two tests.
• WHEN THE REDSKINS HAVE THE BALL
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While McNabb (1971 passing yards, 7 TD, 8 INT) isn't in danger of losing his starting status, it wouldn't be surprising if the Redskins rely more on the run this week with the slumping signal-caller still trying to find a groove. Washington was successful in doing so in its early-October win over the Eagles, putting up a season-best 169 rushing yards on the day. Brittle back Clinton Portis (195 rushing yards, 2 TD) had 55 yards on only 11 attempts in that game before exiting with a groin tear that kept him sidelined since, but there's a chance he may be able to return on Monday and complement youngster Ryan Torain (391 rushing yards, 8 receptions, 4 total TD), who's fared well in Portis' absence with a pair of 100-yard efforts over his last three games.
McNabb's primary targets have been reliable wide receiver Santana Moss (48 receptions, 604 yards, 2 TD) and tight end Chris Cooley (39 receptions, 2 TD), with the well-traveled Anthony Armstrong (17 receptions, 1 TD) serving as the main deep threat for the NFL's 13th-ranked passing offense (230.9 ypg). The former Arena League player is averaging over 21 yards per catch and had a career-best 92 yards on three grabs in the loss at Detroit. Pass protection has been a problem at times, with McNabb and Grossman sacked a combined seven times by the Lions right before the bye.
McNabb figures to have a challenge against a Philadelphia stop unit that's fourth in the NFL in pass efficiency defense and has come up with 13 interceptions, while holding the opposition to a 56 percent completion rate. The Eagles made it difficult for Colts superstar Peyton Manning a week ago, with Pro Bowl cornerback Asante Samuel (20 tackles, 5 INT, 10 PD) picking off the four-time league MVP twice and a fierce pass rush headed by high-motor end Trent Cole (39 tackles, 7 sacks) sacking him three times. Cole has compiled four sacks over the past three games, while Samuel owns four interceptions over that same frame.
Philadelphia does have some injury issues to deal with in the secondary, however, as promising rookie free safety Nate Allen (34 tackles, 1 sack, 3 INT) is expected to miss Monday's matchup after injuring his neck last week and cornerback
• PREGAME NOTES
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Eagles’ HC Andy Reid is 31-15 ATS away with revenge, including 14-5 ATS versus division foes. He is also 13-7 SU and 14-6 ATS on Mondays, including a perfect 6-0 ATS on the division highway. Meanwhile, Washington checks in 0-9 SU and ATS in their last nine Monday home encounters. Let’s also not forget that the Redskins are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine as division home dogs. Last, but certainly not least, Washington is the only outfit in the league to lose the stats in every game they played this season.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Philadelphia by 2; O/U 43
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Philadelphia -3.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Philadelphia -2.79
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
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--PHILADELPHIA is 30-11 ATS (+17.8 Units) revenging a close loss by 7 points or less to opponent since 1992.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 22.4, OPPONENT 19.0 - (Rating = 4*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 30-13 ATS (+15.6 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse in the second half of the season since 1992.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 26.3, OPPONENT 19.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--WASHINGTON is 45-25 UNDER (+17.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
The average score was WASHINGTON 16.1, OPPONENT 20.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--WASHINGTON is 26-10 UNDER (+15.2 Units) vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game in the second half of the season since 1992.
The average score was WASHINGTON 16.7, OPPONENT 20.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--WASHINGTON is 25-10 UNDER (+14.0 Units) vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game in the second half of the season since 1992.
The average score was WASHINGTON 16.7, OPPONENT 20.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 34-17 UNDER (+15.2 Units) after gaining 6.5 or more yards/play in their previous game since 1992.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 23.8, OPPONENT 17.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 14-2 UNDER (+11.8 Units) after 2 straight games where 50 total points or more were scored since 1992.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 17.3, OPPONENT 14.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
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--WASHINGTON is 25-8 against the 1rst half line (+16.3 Units) in home games vs. mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game since 1992.
The average score was WASHINGTON 12.6, OPPONENT 8.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 6-24 against the 1rst half line (-20.3 Units) off a no-cover where the team won as a favorite since 1992.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 7.9, OPPONENT 11.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 29-13 against the 1rst half line (+14.5 Units) revenging a close loss by 7 points or less to opponent since 1992.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 13.2, OPPONENT 9.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--WASHINGTON is 26-10 UNDER (+14.9 Units) the 1rst half total vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game in the second half of the season since 1992.
The average score was WASHINGTON 7.9, OPPONENT 11.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 14-2 UNDER (+11.8 Units) the 1rst half total after 2 straight games where 50 total points or more were scored since 1992.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 6.8, OPPONENT 7.8 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------
--PLAY ON - Underdogs or pick (WASHINGTON) - after a road game where both teams scored 24 or more points, in the second half of the season.
(24-5 over the last 5 seasons.) (82.8%, +18.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (18-11 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 5.1
The average score in these games was: Team 24.8, Opponent 21.1 (Average point differential = +3.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 16 (57.1% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (15-1).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (47-36).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (90-62).
--PLAY UNDER - Any team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (WASHINGTON) - after allowing 35 points or more last game against opponent after 2 straight games where 50 total points or more were scored.
(38-13 since 1983.) (74.5%, +23.7 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 45.2
The average score in these games was: Team 19.6, Opponent 20 (Total points scored = 39.6)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 24 (46.2% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (7-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (8-5).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (12-8).
--PLAY OVER - Any team where the first half total is between 21.5 and 24.5 (WASHINGTON) - poor rushing team (70-95 RY/G) against an average rushing defense (95-125 RY/G) after 8+ games.
(47-17 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.4%, +28.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 22.9
The average first half score in these games was: Team 12.2, Opponent 13.8 (Total first half points scored = 26)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (26-8).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (60-43).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (123-97).
NBA DUNKEL
Detroit at Golden State
The Warriors look to take advantage of a Detroit team that is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 trips to Golden State. Golden State is the pick (-6) according to Dunkel, which has the Warriors favored by 8 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Golden State (-6). Here are all of today's picks.
MONDAY, NOVEMBER 15
Game 501-502: Minnesota at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 107.917; Charlotte 119.283
Dunkel Line & Total: Charlotte by 11 1/2; 199
Vegas Line & Total: Charlotte by 9; 196 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (-9); Over
Game 503-504: Memphis at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 117.366; Orlando 123.976
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 6 1/2; 195
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 8 1/2; 200
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+8 1/2); Under
Game 505-506: New Orleans at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 120.967; Dallas 126.370
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 5 1/2; 197
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 4; 187
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-4); Over
Game 507-508: Denver at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 123.245; Phoenix 122.598
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 1; 212
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 1 1/2; 217 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+1 1/2); Under
Game 509-510: Oklahoma City at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 113.577; Utah 117.979
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 4 1/2; 209
Vegas Line & Total: Utah by 6; 205
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (+6); Over
Game 511-512: Detroit at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 111.204; Golden State 119.930
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 8 1/2; 202
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 6; 206
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (-6); Under
Game 513-514: New Jersey at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 114.428; LA Clippers 114.541
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 193
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 2; 189
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (+2); Over
Detroit at Golden State
The Warriors look to take advantage of a Detroit team that is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 trips to Golden State. Golden State is the pick (-6) according to Dunkel, which has the Warriors favored by 8 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Golden State (-6). Here are all of today's picks.
MONDAY, NOVEMBER 15
Game 501-502: Minnesota at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 107.917; Charlotte 119.283
Dunkel Line & Total: Charlotte by 11 1/2; 199
Vegas Line & Total: Charlotte by 9; 196 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (-9); Over
Game 503-504: Memphis at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 117.366; Orlando 123.976
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 6 1/2; 195
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 8 1/2; 200
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+8 1/2); Under
Game 505-506: New Orleans at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 120.967; Dallas 126.370
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 5 1/2; 197
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 4; 187
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-4); Over
Game 507-508: Denver at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 123.245; Phoenix 122.598
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 1; 212
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 1 1/2; 217 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+1 1/2); Under
Game 509-510: Oklahoma City at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 113.577; Utah 117.979
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 4 1/2; 209
Vegas Line & Total: Utah by 6; 205
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (+6); Over
Game 511-512: Detroit at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 111.204; Golden State 119.930
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 8 1/2; 202
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 6; 206
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (-6); Under
Game 513-514: New Jersey at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 114.428; LA Clippers 114.541
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 193
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 2; 189
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (+2); Over
NBA WRITE-UP
Monday, November 15
Hot Teams
-- Minnesota covered its last four games, with losses by 5-6 points.
-- Hornets won, covered all eight games this season. Mavericks won five of their last six games (0-3-1 last four as HF).
-- Suns won four of last five games, covered three of last four. Nuggets covered four of five as an underdog this year.
-- Utah won its last five games, but is 1-4 as a favorite this year.
-- Pistons won four of their last five games. Warriors are 7-3 vs spread this season, 3-1 when favored.
Cold Teams
-- Bobcats are 0-4 at home, losing by 3-3-1-4 points; they covered four of last five games overall.
-- Orlando is 0-6 vs spread in last six games (2-4 as HF). Grizzlies lost five of last seven games; they're 3-2 as a road dog.
-- Thunder is 1-6-1 vs spread in its last eight games.
-- Clippers are off to 1-9 start, but covered four of last six games. Nets lost six of last seven games, but covered four of last five.
Back-to-Back
-- Minnesota is 1-2 if it played night before, losing by 20-42 points.
-- Suns are 0-2 if they played night before, losing by 8-10 points.
Totals
-- Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Minnesota games.
-- Over is 5-2 in last seven Memphis games.
-- Six of last seven Dallas games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 5-2 in Suns' last seven games. Under is 6-3 in Denver games this season.
-- Eight of nine Thunder games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Golden State games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Clipper games went over the total. Under is 5-1-1 in last seven New Jersey games.
Monday, November 15
Hot Teams
-- Minnesota covered its last four games, with losses by 5-6 points.
-- Hornets won, covered all eight games this season. Mavericks won five of their last six games (0-3-1 last four as HF).
-- Suns won four of last five games, covered three of last four. Nuggets covered four of five as an underdog this year.
-- Utah won its last five games, but is 1-4 as a favorite this year.
-- Pistons won four of their last five games. Warriors are 7-3 vs spread this season, 3-1 when favored.
Cold Teams
-- Bobcats are 0-4 at home, losing by 3-3-1-4 points; they covered four of last five games overall.
-- Orlando is 0-6 vs spread in last six games (2-4 as HF). Grizzlies lost five of last seven games; they're 3-2 as a road dog.
-- Thunder is 1-6-1 vs spread in its last eight games.
-- Clippers are off to 1-9 start, but covered four of last six games. Nets lost six of last seven games, but covered four of last five.
Back-to-Back
-- Minnesota is 1-2 if it played night before, losing by 20-42 points.
-- Suns are 0-2 if they played night before, losing by 8-10 points.
Totals
-- Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Minnesota games.
-- Over is 5-2 in last seven Memphis games.
-- Six of last seven Dallas games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 5-2 in Suns' last seven games. Under is 6-3 in Denver games this season.
-- Eight of nine Thunder games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Golden State games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Clipper games went over the total. Under is 5-1-1 in last seven New Jersey games.
NCAAB DUNKEL
Miami (FL) at Memphis
The Tigers come off a 104-40 win over Centenary and look to build on their 21-10-1 ATS record in their last 32 games after scoring 100 points or more in the previous game. Memphis is the pick (-5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Tigers favored by 8. Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-5 1/2). Here are all of today's games.
MONDAY, NOVEMBER 15
Game 515-516: William & Mary at Richmond (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: William & Mary 55.194; Richmond 68.981
Dunkel Line: Richmond by 14
Vegas Line: Richmond by 17
Dunkel Pick: William & Mary (+17)
Game 517-518: Yale at Providence (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Yale 45.034; Providence 65.344
Dunkel Line: Providence by 20 1/2
Vegas Line: Providence by 17 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Providence (-17 1/2)
Game 519-520: Tulane at Georgetown (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulane 50.055; Georgetown 74.601
Dunkel Line: Georgetown by 24 1/2
Vegas Line: Georgetown by 22 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgetown (-22 1/2)
Game 521-522: Valparaiso at Kansas (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Valparaiso 56.915; Kansas 77.163
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 20
Vegas Line: Kansas by 22 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Valparaiso (+22 1/2)
Game 523-524: Troy at Alabama (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 52.163; Alabama 69.486
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 17 1/2
Vegas Line: Alabama by 19 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Troy (+19 1/2)
Game 525-526: San Diego at Stanford (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 49.424; Stanford 66.651
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 17
Vegas Line: Stanford by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Stanford (-13 1/2)
Game 527-528: Santa Clara at USC (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Santa Clara 52.977; USC 60.842
Dunkel Line: USC by 8
Vegas Line: USC by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Santa Clara (+11 1/2)
Game 529-530: Miami (FL) at Memphis (12:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (FL) 63.186; Memphis 71.250
Dunkel Line: Memphis by 8
Vegas Line: Memphis by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-5 1/2)
Game 531-532: St. John's at St. Mary's (CA) (2:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. John's 63.082; St. Mary's (CA) 70.843
Dunkel Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Mary's (CA) (-4 1/2)
Game 533-534: Hampton at Wake Forest (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hampton 50.373; Wake Forest 60.585
Dunkel Line: Wake Forest by 10
Vegas Line: Wake Forest by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Hampton (+13 1/2)
Game 535-536: Winthrop vs. VCU (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winthrop 48.260; VCU 64.139
Dunkel Line: VCU by 16
Vegas Line: VCU by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: VCU (-10 1/2)
Game 537-538: Pacific vs. Nevada (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pacific 59.143; Nevada 60.673
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Pacific by 4
Dunkel Pick: Nevada (+4)
Game 539-540: Pepperdine at UCLA (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pepperdine 46.942; UCLA 65.042
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 18
Vegas Line: UCLA by 20
Dunkel Pick: Pepperdine (+20)
Game 541-542: Montana State vs. CS-Fullerton (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montana State 49.983; CS-Fullerton 47.313
Dunkel Line: Montana State by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Montana State by 1
Dunkel Pick: Montana State (-1)
Game 543-544: Wofford at Clemson (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wofford 60.495; Clemson 74.230
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: Clemson by 10
Dunkel Pick: Clemson (-10)
Game 545-546: Austin Peay at Chattanooga (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Austin Peay 50.795; Chattanooga 49.686
Dunkel Line: Austin Peay by 1
Vegas Line: Chattanooga by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Austin Peay (+2 1/2)
Game 547-548: Fairfield at Rutgers (7:30 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fairfield 57.018; Rutgers 57.579
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Rutgers by 3
Dunkel Pick: Fairfield (+3)
Game 549-550: Siena at Minnesota (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Siena 59.791; Minnesota 74.227
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-12 1/2)
Game 561-562: Oakland at Ohio (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 56.515; Ohio 61.563
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 5
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Miami (FL) at Memphis
The Tigers come off a 104-40 win over Centenary and look to build on their 21-10-1 ATS record in their last 32 games after scoring 100 points or more in the previous game. Memphis is the pick (-5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Tigers favored by 8. Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-5 1/2). Here are all of today's games.
MONDAY, NOVEMBER 15
Game 515-516: William & Mary at Richmond (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: William & Mary 55.194; Richmond 68.981
Dunkel Line: Richmond by 14
Vegas Line: Richmond by 17
Dunkel Pick: William & Mary (+17)
Game 517-518: Yale at Providence (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Yale 45.034; Providence 65.344
Dunkel Line: Providence by 20 1/2
Vegas Line: Providence by 17 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Providence (-17 1/2)
Game 519-520: Tulane at Georgetown (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulane 50.055; Georgetown 74.601
Dunkel Line: Georgetown by 24 1/2
Vegas Line: Georgetown by 22 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgetown (-22 1/2)
Game 521-522: Valparaiso at Kansas (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Valparaiso 56.915; Kansas 77.163
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 20
Vegas Line: Kansas by 22 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Valparaiso (+22 1/2)
Game 523-524: Troy at Alabama (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 52.163; Alabama 69.486
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 17 1/2
Vegas Line: Alabama by 19 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Troy (+19 1/2)
Game 525-526: San Diego at Stanford (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 49.424; Stanford 66.651
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 17
Vegas Line: Stanford by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Stanford (-13 1/2)
Game 527-528: Santa Clara at USC (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Santa Clara 52.977; USC 60.842
Dunkel Line: USC by 8
Vegas Line: USC by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Santa Clara (+11 1/2)
Game 529-530: Miami (FL) at Memphis (12:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (FL) 63.186; Memphis 71.250
Dunkel Line: Memphis by 8
Vegas Line: Memphis by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-5 1/2)
Game 531-532: St. John's at St. Mary's (CA) (2:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. John's 63.082; St. Mary's (CA) 70.843
Dunkel Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Mary's (CA) (-4 1/2)
Game 533-534: Hampton at Wake Forest (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hampton 50.373; Wake Forest 60.585
Dunkel Line: Wake Forest by 10
Vegas Line: Wake Forest by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Hampton (+13 1/2)
Game 535-536: Winthrop vs. VCU (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winthrop 48.260; VCU 64.139
Dunkel Line: VCU by 16
Vegas Line: VCU by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: VCU (-10 1/2)
Game 537-538: Pacific vs. Nevada (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pacific 59.143; Nevada 60.673
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Pacific by 4
Dunkel Pick: Nevada (+4)
Game 539-540: Pepperdine at UCLA (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pepperdine 46.942; UCLA 65.042
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 18
Vegas Line: UCLA by 20
Dunkel Pick: Pepperdine (+20)
Game 541-542: Montana State vs. CS-Fullerton (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montana State 49.983; CS-Fullerton 47.313
Dunkel Line: Montana State by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Montana State by 1
Dunkel Pick: Montana State (-1)
Game 543-544: Wofford at Clemson (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wofford 60.495; Clemson 74.230
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: Clemson by 10
Dunkel Pick: Clemson (-10)
Game 545-546: Austin Peay at Chattanooga (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Austin Peay 50.795; Chattanooga 49.686
Dunkel Line: Austin Peay by 1
Vegas Line: Chattanooga by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Austin Peay (+2 1/2)
Game 547-548: Fairfield at Rutgers (7:30 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fairfield 57.018; Rutgers 57.579
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Rutgers by 3
Dunkel Pick: Fairfield (+3)
Game 549-550: Siena at Minnesota (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Siena 59.791; Minnesota 74.227
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 14 1/2
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-12 1/2)
Game 561-562: Oakland at Ohio (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 56.515; Ohio 61.563
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 5
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
NCAAB WRITE-UP
Monday, November 15
College Basketball Knowledge
Home team won last four Wm Mary-Richmond games, with all four of them decided by 8 or less points; Tribe lost last two games here, 58-55/ 52-50. W&M lost three starters from 22-11/12-6 team- they lost by 24 at Virginia on their opener Friday, but trailed by only a point at the half. Spiders beat The Citadel by 42 in their opener.
Yale lost to Quinnipiac of NEC 84-75 in its opener; Bulldogs lost 87-78 to Providence in LY's meeting. Both teams lost three starters from LY's losing seasons. Yale was 12-19/6-8; Friars were 12-19/4-14, one of worst defensive teams I've seen. Providence crushed Dartmouth of Ivy 87-52 in its opener; they were up 25 at the half.
Georgetown survived tough 62-59 win at Old Dominion Friday, after it trailed by 6 at half; Hoyas have four starters back from 23-11/10-8 club that got upset by Ohio U in first round of NCAAs. Tulane lost couple of starters from LY's 8-22/3-13 team, which is why they've got a new coach. Tulane lost 74-58 in LY's game against the Hoyas.
Valparaiso has four starters back 15-17/10-6 club, is expected to contend for 2nd place behind Butler in Horizon; Coach Drew took his team all over LY, losing at Michigan State by 30, Purdue by 24, North Carolina by 11. Kansas still doesn't know status of freshman PG Selby, but they also are loaded with talent all over roster.
Troy State lost by 12 to Alabama in last meeting (three years ago); they graduated all five starters from LY. Trojans played two SEC teams LY, losing at Florida by 22, beating Auburn by 4. Alabama has three starters back from 17-15/6-10 team that was Anthony Grant's first in Alabama. Kids have better idea of how he wants defense played in Year 2.
San Diego needs JC point guard to blend with three freshman if Toreros of San Diego are going to be any good; losing four starters off 11-21 club isn't big deal. USD upset Stanford 77-64 in season opener LY. Cardinal has four starters back from 14-18/7011 team, but losing Fields to NBA is big blow. Stanford has seven freshmen, no seniors.
USC (-13.5) beat Cal-Irvine by 13 Saturday, after leading by six at half; Trojans lost three starters from 16-14/8-10 team, and don't get new PG until Dec 15. Santa Clara has all five starters back from 11-21/3-11 club that was last in WCC in turnovers and shot less than 30% from the arc. Broncos beat Bakersfield by 5 points in their opener Friday.
Pacific rallied from down 11 at half to beat UTEP 66-61 Friday; Tigers made 11-26 from arc, only 3-10 from foul line. Pacific has three starters back from 23-12/12-4 team- they beat Nevada last three years by 3-8-4 points. Wolf Pack beat Montana 81-66 in its opener- they lost four of starters from 21-13/11-5 team, but do have a strong recruiting class.
Pepperdine has all five starters back from 7-24/3-11 team- they lost at Portland State 83-81 Friday, going 11-24 from foul line, 8-14 from arc (PSU was 31-38 from line). UCLA had so many injuries LY (14-18), its coach even tore his Achilles; they've got four starters back from team that went 8-10 in Pac-10. Bruins beat Pepperdine 71-52 LY.
Cal State-Fullerton lost its first two games in Hawai'i, 70-67 to Central Michigan, 84-70 to Hawai'i, as two opponents shot 46% from arc in two games. Titans were -8/-7 in second half of those games. Montana State (+5) upset Chippewas 65-58 Saturday, after losing 77-59 in its opener at Hawai'i, a game they made 12-28 from arc, and still lost by 18.
Wofford shot just 37% from floor, 3-16 from arc in 14-point loss Friday at Minnesota; Terriers have four starters back from 26-9/15-3 team that scared Wisconsin witless in NCAAs LY, losing tight game. Clemson got 87-64 win over Western Carolina in its debut for new coach Brownell; Tigers have three starters back from 21-11 team that went 9-7 in ACC.
Rutgers lost to Princeton in OT Friday, in Rice's debut as coach of the Scarlet Knights; they beat Rider by 10, St Peter's by 24 LY in games vs MAAC competition. Fairfield has four starters back from 23-11/13-5 team that lost MAAC final- they also have Needham, best player in the MAAC (5-11 PG). Stags beat Sacred Heart by 17 in their opener.
Siena's starting guards shot 5-21, its bench 5-19 in 80-76 home opening loss to Vermont Saturday; Saints lost three starters from 27-7/17-1 team that lost to Purdue of Big 11 in first round of NCAAs LY- they have aq quick turnaround here, vs Minnesota team that held Wofford to 37% from floor, 3-16 from arc in 69-55 win Friday.
Monday, November 15
College Basketball Knowledge
Home team won last four Wm Mary-Richmond games, with all four of them decided by 8 or less points; Tribe lost last two games here, 58-55/ 52-50. W&M lost three starters from 22-11/12-6 team- they lost by 24 at Virginia on their opener Friday, but trailed by only a point at the half. Spiders beat The Citadel by 42 in their opener.
Yale lost to Quinnipiac of NEC 84-75 in its opener; Bulldogs lost 87-78 to Providence in LY's meeting. Both teams lost three starters from LY's losing seasons. Yale was 12-19/6-8; Friars were 12-19/4-14, one of worst defensive teams I've seen. Providence crushed Dartmouth of Ivy 87-52 in its opener; they were up 25 at the half.
Georgetown survived tough 62-59 win at Old Dominion Friday, after it trailed by 6 at half; Hoyas have four starters back from 23-11/10-8 club that got upset by Ohio U in first round of NCAAs. Tulane lost couple of starters from LY's 8-22/3-13 team, which is why they've got a new coach. Tulane lost 74-58 in LY's game against the Hoyas.
Valparaiso has four starters back 15-17/10-6 club, is expected to contend for 2nd place behind Butler in Horizon; Coach Drew took his team all over LY, losing at Michigan State by 30, Purdue by 24, North Carolina by 11. Kansas still doesn't know status of freshman PG Selby, but they also are loaded with talent all over roster.
Troy State lost by 12 to Alabama in last meeting (three years ago); they graduated all five starters from LY. Trojans played two SEC teams LY, losing at Florida by 22, beating Auburn by 4. Alabama has three starters back from 17-15/6-10 team that was Anthony Grant's first in Alabama. Kids have better idea of how he wants defense played in Year 2.
San Diego needs JC point guard to blend with three freshman if Toreros of San Diego are going to be any good; losing four starters off 11-21 club isn't big deal. USD upset Stanford 77-64 in season opener LY. Cardinal has four starters back from 14-18/7011 team, but losing Fields to NBA is big blow. Stanford has seven freshmen, no seniors.
USC (-13.5) beat Cal-Irvine by 13 Saturday, after leading by six at half; Trojans lost three starters from 16-14/8-10 team, and don't get new PG until Dec 15. Santa Clara has all five starters back from 11-21/3-11 club that was last in WCC in turnovers and shot less than 30% from the arc. Broncos beat Bakersfield by 5 points in their opener Friday.
Pacific rallied from down 11 at half to beat UTEP 66-61 Friday; Tigers made 11-26 from arc, only 3-10 from foul line. Pacific has three starters back from 23-12/12-4 team- they beat Nevada last three years by 3-8-4 points. Wolf Pack beat Montana 81-66 in its opener- they lost four of starters from 21-13/11-5 team, but do have a strong recruiting class.
Pepperdine has all five starters back from 7-24/3-11 team- they lost at Portland State 83-81 Friday, going 11-24 from foul line, 8-14 from arc (PSU was 31-38 from line). UCLA had so many injuries LY (14-18), its coach even tore his Achilles; they've got four starters back from team that went 8-10 in Pac-10. Bruins beat Pepperdine 71-52 LY.
Cal State-Fullerton lost its first two games in Hawai'i, 70-67 to Central Michigan, 84-70 to Hawai'i, as two opponents shot 46% from arc in two games. Titans were -8/-7 in second half of those games. Montana State (+5) upset Chippewas 65-58 Saturday, after losing 77-59 in its opener at Hawai'i, a game they made 12-28 from arc, and still lost by 18.
Wofford shot just 37% from floor, 3-16 from arc in 14-point loss Friday at Minnesota; Terriers have four starters back from 26-9/15-3 team that scared Wisconsin witless in NCAAs LY, losing tight game. Clemson got 87-64 win over Western Carolina in its debut for new coach Brownell; Tigers have three starters back from 21-11 team that went 9-7 in ACC.
Rutgers lost to Princeton in OT Friday, in Rice's debut as coach of the Scarlet Knights; they beat Rider by 10, St Peter's by 24 LY in games vs MAAC competition. Fairfield has four starters back from 23-11/13-5 team that lost MAAC final- they also have Needham, best player in the MAAC (5-11 PG). Stags beat Sacred Heart by 17 in their opener.
Siena's starting guards shot 5-21, its bench 5-19 in 80-76 home opening loss to Vermont Saturday; Saints lost three starters from 27-7/17-1 team that lost to Purdue of Big 11 in first round of NCAAs LY- they have aq quick turnaround here, vs Minnesota team that held Wofford to 37% from floor, 3-16 from arc in 69-55 win Friday.
NHL DUNKEL
Los Angeles at San Jose
The Kings look to build on their 7-3 record in their last 10 games as a road underdog from from +110 to +150. Los Angeles is the pick (+115) according to Dunkel, which has the Kings favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+115). Here are all of today's picks.
MONDAY, NOVEMBER 15
Game 1-2: New Jersey at Boston (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 11.380; Boston 9.973
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-170); 5
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (+150); Under
Game 3-4: Vancouver at Buffalo (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 12.081; Buffalo 11.311
Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (-120); Over
Game 5-6: Ottawa at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 12.617; Philadelphia 12.168
Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-175); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (+155); Over
Game 7-8: NY Rangers at Pittsburgh (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 11.816; Pittsburgh 13.040
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-175); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-175); Under
Game 9-10: St. Louis at Colorado (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 11.100; Colorado 12.111
Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Colorado (-115); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-115); Over
Game 11-12: Los Angeles at San Jose (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 12.412; San Jose 11.556
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+115); Under
Los Angeles at San Jose
The Kings look to build on their 7-3 record in their last 10 games as a road underdog from from +110 to +150. Los Angeles is the pick (+115) according to Dunkel, which has the Kings favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+115). Here are all of today's picks.
MONDAY, NOVEMBER 15
Game 1-2: New Jersey at Boston (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 11.380; Boston 9.973
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-170); 5
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (+150); Under
Game 3-4: Vancouver at Buffalo (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 12.081; Buffalo 11.311
Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (-120); Over
Game 5-6: Ottawa at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 12.617; Philadelphia 12.168
Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-175); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (+155); Over
Game 7-8: NY Rangers at Pittsburgh (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 11.816; Pittsburgh 13.040
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-175); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-175); Under
Game 9-10: St. Louis at Colorado (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 11.100; Colorado 12.111
Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Colorado (-115); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-115); Over
Game 11-12: Los Angeles at San Jose (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 12.412; San Jose 11.556
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+115); Under
NHL WRITE-UP
Monday, November 15
Hot Teams
-- Vancouver won eight of its last nine games. Sabres won three of last four games, with all four games going OT.
-- Flyers won seven of their last nine games. Senators won seven of nine.
-- Rangers won four of their last five road games. Penguins won three of their last four games overall.
-- Kings won last six games, outscoring foes 21-6. San Jose won three of its last four games.
Cold Teams
-- Bruins lost four of their last five games. Devils lost seven of ten.
-- Blues lost last three games, outscored 16-6. Colorado lost four of its last six home games.
Totals
-- Under is 9-3-1 in last thirteen Boston games.
-- Four of last five Buffalo games stayed under total.
-- Under is 5-2 in last seven Ottawa games.
-- Under is 6-2 in Rangers' last eight games.
-- Over is 7-3 in last ten Colorado games.
-- Six of last eight Los Angeles games stayed under the total.
Back-to-Back
-- Rangers are 3-0 if they played night before, allowing one goal.
Series Records
-- Devils won three of last four visits to Boston.
-- Sabres lost 3-2 in Vancouver in LY's meeting.
-- Senators won five of last six games against Philadelphia.
-- Pittsburgh won eight of last nine games against the Rangers.
-- Colorado was 4-0 against the Blues LY, outscoring them 21-8.
-- Sharks won 11 of last 16 games against the Kings.
Monday, November 15
Hot Teams
-- Vancouver won eight of its last nine games. Sabres won three of last four games, with all four games going OT.
-- Flyers won seven of their last nine games. Senators won seven of nine.
-- Rangers won four of their last five road games. Penguins won three of their last four games overall.
-- Kings won last six games, outscoring foes 21-6. San Jose won three of its last four games.
Cold Teams
-- Bruins lost four of their last five games. Devils lost seven of ten.
-- Blues lost last three games, outscored 16-6. Colorado lost four of its last six home games.
Totals
-- Under is 9-3-1 in last thirteen Boston games.
-- Four of last five Buffalo games stayed under total.
-- Under is 5-2 in last seven Ottawa games.
-- Under is 6-2 in Rangers' last eight games.
-- Over is 7-3 in last ten Colorado games.
-- Six of last eight Los Angeles games stayed under the total.
Back-to-Back
-- Rangers are 3-0 if they played night before, allowing one goal.
Series Records
-- Devils won three of last four visits to Boston.
-- Sabres lost 3-2 in Vancouver in LY's meeting.
-- Senators won five of last six games against Philadelphia.
-- Pittsburgh won eight of last nine games against the Rangers.
-- Colorado was 4-0 against the Blues LY, outscoring them 21-8.
-- Sharks won 11 of last 16 games against the Kings.
Monday night NBA Play- GC
On Monday the Bonus Play is on the Dallas Mavericks. Game 506 at 8:35 eastern.The Mavericks have taken 18 of 21 here at home vs the Hornets. The Hornets come in undefeated both straight up and against the spread on the season. Dallas has played well this year and welcome the challenge of giving the Hornets their 1st loss this year. On Monday I have a 100% NFL Power system play with two 100% angles that also apply.. I will also have another solid play for a game later in the week on tonight's radio show at 7:45 eastern. Listen online at 88.9 wsia.fm. For the Bonus Play take Dallas. GC
On Monday the Bonus Play is on the Dallas Mavericks. Game 506 at 8:35 eastern.The Mavericks have taken 18 of 21 here at home vs the Hornets. The Hornets come in undefeated both straight up and against the spread on the season. Dallas has played well this year and welcome the challenge of giving the Hornets their 1st loss this year. On Monday I have a 100% NFL Power system play with two 100% angles that also apply.. I will also have another solid play for a game later in the week on tonight's radio show at 7:45 eastern. Listen online at 88.9 wsia.fm. For the Bonus Play take Dallas. GC
Please delete above post thanks
Just went through and graded some of the services final stats on NFL PLAYS for sunday. This might help with finding a play for tonight. I hope it helps.
Service win loss MNF play
Football prophet 3 2 * Phila OVER
Chris Berman 1 4 * Phila -3
Blezlow 0 1 * Phila -3
Schwartz * Phila -3
Quinn 0 1 * Phila -3
Redd 2 0 * Phila -3
Budin 1 0 * Phila -3
Bookie Assasin 1 3
Pointwise 1 4
National Spt Serv 1 2
Football Crusher 1 0
Game time 1 2
ATS lock club 3 1
Jeff Benton 2 2
Nick Bogdanovich 1 2
Vegas Sports Inf 1 3 * Washingon+3
Rob Veno 4 1 * Phila OVER
Lockline Sports 0 5
Carolina Sports 1 2
Ethan Law 0 2
Hank Goldberg 1 4
Alatex 0 1
Sixth Sense 0 3 * Phila -3
Chuck luck 1 3
Lt Profits 2 0
BS Picks 1 5
Crown City 0 1
Just went through and graded some of the services final stats on NFL PLAYS for sunday. This might help with finding a play for tonight. I hope it helps.
Service win loss MNF play
Football prophet 3 2 * Phila OVER
Chris Berman 1 4 * Phila -3
Blezlow 0 1 * Phila -3
Schwartz * Phila -3
Quinn 0 1 * Phila -3
Redd 2 0 * Phila -3
Budin 1 0 * Phila -3
Bookie Assasin 1 3
Pointwise 1 4
National Spt Serv 1 2
Football Crusher 1 0
Game time 1 2
ATS lock club 3 1
Jeff Benton 2 2
Nick Bogdanovich 1 2
Vegas Sports Inf 1 3 * Washingon+3
Rob Veno 4 1 * Phila OVER
Lockline Sports 0 5
Carolina Sports 1 2
Ethan Law 0 2
Hank Goldberg 1 4
Alatex 0 1
Sixth Sense 0 3 * Phila -3
Chuck luck 1 3
Lt Profits 2 0
BS Picks 1 5
Crown City 0 1
