Service Plays Monday 11/15/10

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Pick 'n' Roll: Today's best NBA bets

New Orleans Hornets at Dallas Mavericks (-8.5, 200)

The New Orleans Hornets are earning their supporters a fortune early in the season. The Hornets are a perfect 8-0 straight up and against the spread as they head into Monday’s game with the Mavericks.

They aren’t doing it with smoke and mirrors either, instead leaning heavily on a suffocating defense that is allowing fewer than 90 points a night.
New Orleans is coming off a 107-87 blowout of the Portland Trailblazers as 4-point favorites.

"It's good to get a win and play our style of basketball," New Orleans forward Trevor Ariza told reporters after the win. "It's defense every night. It's been the key for us. We're all supposed to be one unit and that's what we try to display out there on the defensive end."

That’s exactly what under bettors like to hear. Saturday’s game played over the 188-point total, but it was just the second time New Orleans has topped a total this season. The Hornets have held all eight of their opponents to fewer than 100 points.

Pick: Under


Memphis Grizzlies at Orlando Magic (N/A)

Casual Orlando Magic fans probably can manage to be patient about the club’s 6-3 start out of the gate, but the club’s wagering supporters are singing a completely different tune.

The Magic have dropped six straight against the spread and have banked only a pair of paydays through their first eight games. Orlando lost outright to the Utah Jazz and the Toronto Raptors last week despite being favored by 10.5 points against Utah and 14.5 points against the Raptors.

"We're glad it's early in the season," Dwight Howard told reporters. "We're gonna make mistakes and we're gonna lose games here and there. But I think they just outplayed us and they played harder than us. It has nothing to do with defense or offense. They just outworked us."

The Magic rebounded to squeak by the New Jersey Nets 91-90 the last time they took the court, but dropped the cash as 7.5-point favorites. It comes down to the basics for Orlando. Over the last five games, the club is allowing more than 96 points a night while shooting only 63 percent from the free-throw line.

Pick: Grizzlies
 
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Ice picks: Today's best NHL bets

Los Angeles Kings at San Jose Sharks (-135, 5.5)

We knew good things were in store for the Kings after their surprising playoff appearance a year ago, but did anyone think they’d be this good this fast? Los Angeles improved to 8-0 on home ice following Saturday’s win over the Islanders.

"I'm just proud of the way we're performing right now," Kings forward Anze Kopitar told the Los Angeles Daily News. "Yeah, we can talk about numbers, but it's the team that's making it happen pretty consistently on a nightly basis. That's the thing we were all looking forward to coming into this season this is just the start that we wanted."

The part we’re most impressed about the Kings is their defense. They’ve killed 22 straight penalties and they’ve allowed just four goals in their last five games.

That’s bad news for a San Jose side that’s really been struggling to score at even strength.

Pick: Under


Ottawa Senators at Philadelphia Flyers (-175, 5.5)

It didn’t take long for the Sens to rebound from that beatdown Vancouver handed them on Thursday. Ottawa bounced back with a shutout win at Boston, improving the club’s record to 7-2 over its last nine games.

Ottawa dedicated the win to assistant coach Luke Richardson, whose daughter committed suicide earlier in the week.

“I don’t think anyone can imagine what it feels like unless you’ve experienced it, but you can imagine and it’s probably even worse than what you can imagine,” Senators captain Daniel Alfredsson told the Ottawa Citizen.

Expect an emotional letdown in this spot for Ottawa. The Flyers are one of the hottest teams in the league and have won six straight at home.

Pick: Flyers
 
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Pucking the trends: Weekly NHL betting notes

Every week we update you on who's hot, who's not and situational betting spots in the National Hockey League.

HOT TEAM: Buffalo Sabres

The words flowing out of the Buffalo Sabres locker room Saturday night were about as expected:

"We were overdue."

"It's about time."

"We felt like we owed our fans."

All true, of course. The Sabres were speaking about their season-long home woes fresh off a 3-2 overtime win over the Washington Capitals. It was their first home win of the season -- yep, only the first -- and they were the league's last team, going into the night, to not have a victory on home ice. Hard to believe.

But now that the skid is over -- and all of its subsequent talk -- perhaps now we can move onto more important things. Like the Sabres, who were flat-out awful to start the year, have turned a corner over the past seven days. And bettors should take notice.

Granted, most of it was on the road, but the Sabres won three of the last four games heading into Monday night's clash with the Canucks in Buffalo. And in the past four games before the Vancouver meeting, they had registered at least one point. Not bad. Thomas Vanek is starting to score again, potting two Saturday vs. Washington, and goaltender Ryan Miller has returned to full health.

We bring all this up, because while there is still a talent differential between the Sabres and many of the league's elite teams, you may be able to get some real good prices this week on a team that is fighting and scrapping to get back in the Northeast Division race.

Again, though, the competition is fierce. This week alone, they play the aforementioned Canucks, Capitals, Kings and Lightning. That's a tough slate. But, understand that the Sabres are now playing their best hockey of the season, and that alone, might be enough to make them a "go on" team this week.

COLD TEAM: Dallas Stars

The long, winding, Western Conference road simply wore down the Stars last week. An up-and-down team to begin with, Dallas took it on the chin on a three-game swing, losing to Avalanche, Kings and Ducks. The scores were ugly, too. They were outscored 12-4 in that span.

If you're looking for a silver lining, however, the Stars return home for three games this week, where they are 5-3. They welcome Anaheim, San Jose and Colorado. It would be wise for Dallas to make some hay on this homestand, despite the degree of difficulty, considering their opponents.

After all, the Stars are in the ultra-competitive Pacific Division, and this little funk has them in last place. Until they prove they can score three goals a game on a consistent basis, consider Dallas -- even with Brad Richards on the rebound this season -- a "go against" for awhile.

OVER PLAY: Phoenix Coyotes

OK, so next to nobody is in the stands to watch them at home. And even when they're on the road, no one -- in a national sense -- is tuning in to watch them. But the Coyotes have been lighting the lamp these days, and their defensive deficiencies have been returning the favor, as well. For totals players, that's all that really matters, right?

It all adds up to a solid "over play" for the foreseeable future, as the Coyotes have been involved in games of seven or more goals, for and against, in five of their last seven contests. In a league short on offense, that's a pretty consistent clip.

In their last two games alone, there have been 17 goals scored. Wow. Over, anyone?

Continue to monitor this Coyotes run. They play at Calgary on Wednesday.

UNDER PLAY: Boston Bruins

The Bruins, perhaps eager to erase the memories of blowing a 3-0 series lead to Philadelphia in last year's second round, opened up with some fire to start the year, but have surprisingly cooled off in a hurry.

Leading into Monday's game against the Devils, Boston had dropped four of five. And more importantly for totals players, the Bruins had scored one goal or less in their four games leading into the New Jersey tilt.

Listen, there's too much talent up front on this team -- Nathan Horton, Milan Lucic, David Krejci -- to believe this funk will last forever. But let's face it, they are squeezing the sticks a little tightly right now, and with goaltender Tim Thomas playing the way he's playing -- he took a 1.45 goals against average into Monday's action -- it's tough not to consider this team a quality "under play" for a good bit here.

Surveying the schedule:

-The Edmonton Oilers on Sunday finished a grueling five-game road trip, but there isn't much time for this young club to recharge itself. On Wednesday, they have to play host to the Stanley Cup champions, and two days after the Blackhawks leave town, the Coyotes come knocking. Again, this is an inexperienced team in Edmonton that is not prepared for the long grind. And that Phoenix contest will conclude an eight-game stretch in which Edmonton did not have more than two days off in between any of those tilts.

-No one's been able to slow the Flyers these days, but maybe the schedule will get to them this week. They have four games this week and a total of five in eight days. Keep in mind, the defending Eastern Conference champions have played more than three games in a week just once this season, and the year is almost two months old. You may be able to get some good prices going against this team this week, as the public always loves a winner.

-Speaking of four-game weeks, the Blues are about to enter their second straight such stretch. What's more, they will carry a three-game losing streak into the run. Keep an eye on this young St. Louis team, especially when the weekend hits. They have a dreaded back-to-back stretch, two games in 24 hours: vs. Ottawa Friday, and vs. New Jersey Saturday
 
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Bettors' best friend: Monday's wagering tips

Lines to watch

Eagles at Redskins – Over/under opened at 41.5, but has moved up to 42.5 or 43.

Who’s hot

Memphis Grizzlies have covered in 12 of their last 16 meetings with the Orlando Magic.

New Orleans Hornets have covered in 11 of their last 12 games overall.

Detroit Pistons have covered in eight of their last 10 road games.

Philadelphia Flyers have won eight of their last nine games.

Vancouver Canucks have also won eight of nine.

Who’s not

Philadelphia Eagles are 3-8 against the spread in their last 11 overall.

Minnesota Timberwolves have covered in just two of their last eight road games.

Denver Nuggets have covered in just one of their last eight trips to Phoenix.

New York Rangers have won just one of their last nine meetings with the Pittsburgh Penguins.

Key stat

25 – number of rushing yards Mike Vick needs against Washington to move past Steve Young (4239 rushing yards) into second place on the all-time list. Vick ran for 74 yards and a touchdown last week against the Colts and has 261 rushing yards this season.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Clinton Portis (groin), Washington Redskins - Portis is still considered questionable for Monday’s game against Philadelphia, but it seems more likely that he’ll have to take another week off. The running back was limited in Saturday’s workouts. Meanwhile, Ryan Torain, who has filled in for Portis since the veteran went down, seems to be ready to go after he picked up a hamstring injury before the club’s bye week.

Game of the day

Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Redskins (+3, 43.5)

Notable quotable

“It’s been quite entertaining, I should say, from the talks to the reactions, to things of that nature. I’ve been getting some pretty good support from some of the ex-players and commentators, and I thank them for that. But for me at this point, it’s really just an opportunity for me to move on.” – Eagles quarterback Donovan McNabb on the aftermath of his benching two weeks ago.

Notes and tips

Dallas Mavericks forward Caron Butler is questionable for Monday’s game. Butler did take part in the team’s practice on Sunday, but in a limited capacity. Coach John Carlisle says that he isn’t sure if Butler will be ready to play against the Hornets and that the club would see how Butler looked during Monday’s shootaround.

Boston Bruins head coach is shaking up his lines to see if some shuffling will get Boston’s offense going. Michael Ryder will likely be demoted to the fourth line against the New Jersey Devils and Shawn Thornton is in line to take his spot playing with Tyler Seguin and Daniel Paille. Boston has just one win in its last five games and only managed a single goal in back-to-back losses to Montreal and Ottawa.

Minnesota Timberwolves forward Kevin Love is riding a crazy hot streak right now. He followed up a 31-point, 31-rebound performance against the New York Knicks by scoring 22 points and grabbing 17 rebounds against the Atlanta Hawks on Sunday. He’s now averaging 20 points and 19.4 rebounds per game over his last five outings.
 
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Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Panthers (+7) Sunday.

Monday it's the Eagles. The correct profit is 25 sirignanos.
 
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DCI NCAA CBB

Season
Straight Up: 149-30 (.832)
ATS: 44-49 (.473)
ATS Vary Units: 171-213 (.445)
Over/Under: 27-21 (.563)
Over/Under Vary Units: 54-65 (.454)

Dick's Sporting Goods NIT Season Tip-Off
East Regional 1st Round at Winston-Salem, NC
Vcu 74, Winthrop 58
WAKE FOREST 78, Hampton 60
West Regional 1st Round at Westwood, CA
Nevada 72, Pacific 71
UCLA 81, Pepperdine 58
Global Sports Challenge
Round Robin at campus sites
TENNESSEE-MARTIN 74, Centenary 72
Global Sports Main Event
CINCINNATI 69, Mount St. Mary's 57
IBN Sports Las Vegas Invitational
at campus sites
KANSAS 94, Valparaiso 65
Outrigger Hotels Rainbow Classic
Round Robin at Honolulu, HI
HAWAI'I 68, Central Michigan 65
Montana State 75, Cal State Fullerton 73
Philly Hoop Group Classic
at campus sites
RUTGERS 71, Fairfield 70
Non-Conference
ALABAMA 76, Troy 63
American vs. ALBANY: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
ARMY 57, Central Connecticut State 54
Campbell 68, EAST CAROLINA 67
CHATTANOOGA 77, Austin Peay 75
CLEMSON 70, Wofford 60
COLUMBIA 62, Umes 54
GEORGETOWN 79, Tulane 55
Georgia Tech 76, KENNESAW STATE 54
LEHIGH 79, Wagner 57
MEMPHIS 74, Miami (Fla.) 72
MINNESOTA 74, Siena 62
MURRAY STATE 75, East Tennessee State 60
NEBRASKA 68, Arkansas-Pine Bluff 54
NORTHWESTERN STATE 89, Houston Baptist 86
OHIO 84, Oakland 76
OKLAHOMA 81, North Carolina Central 57
OLD DOMINION 80, High Point 53
PROVIDENCE 92, Yale 72
RICHMOND 70, William & Mary 55
Sacred Heart vs. FORDHAM: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
SAINT FRANCIS (PA.) 67, Colgate 64
SAINT MARY'S 73, St. John's 64
SOUTH FLORIDA 73, St. Francis (N.Y.) 47
STANFORD 71, San Diego 56
STEPHEN F. AUSTIN 81, Longwood 66
Texas A&M 74, TEXAS A&M-CORPUS CHRISTI 58
UCF 72, Jackson State 60
USC 66, Santa Clara 49
VIRGINIA 72, USC Upstate 46
WESTERN KENTUCKY 83, Alabama A&M 57
 
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DCI NBA

Season
Straight Up: 80-52 (.606)
ATS: 78-60 (.565)
ATS Vary Units: 228-219 (.510)
Over/Under: 71-70 (.504)
Over/Under Vary Units: 100-94 (.515)

CHARLOTTE 104, Minnesota 91
ORLANDO 106, Memphis 93
DALLAS 103, New Orleans 95
PHOENIX 115, Denver 108
UTAH 108, Oklahoma City 100
GOLDEN STATE 110, Detroit 103
L.A. CLIPPERS 98, New Jersey 96
 
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DCI NHL

Season: 80-52 (.606)

BOSTON 3, New Jersey 2
Vancouver vs. BUFFALO: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
PHILADELPHIA 3, Ottawa 2
N.Y. Rangers vs. PITTSBURGH: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
St. Louis vs. COLORADO: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
SAN JOSE 3, Los Angeles 2
 
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COMPS:

1. NSA(The Legend) NBA - Bobcats under 196
2. Ray "The Playmaker" Bowden CBB - Siena +14
3. VegasSI.com CBB - Pepperdine +19
4. SportsAction365 CBB - Alabama -19.5
5. Gameday Network NBA - Clippers over 189
6. William E. Stockton NBA - Jazz over 205
7. Gerry "Big Cat" Andino NBA - Jazz over 205
8. Lou Panelli CBB - Kansas -22
9. Steve "Scoop" Kendall CBB - Miami Florida +6.5
10. Vincent Pioli NBA - Bobcats over 197
11. John Morrison CBB - Georgetown -22
12. Tony Campone NBA - Warriors under 205
13. Chicago Sports Group NBA - Bobcats -9
14. Hollywood Sportsline CBB - William & Mary +17
15. VIP Action NBA - Jazz over 205
16. South Beach Sports NBA - Clippers over 189
17. Michigan Sports NBA - Nuggets under 217.5
18. NY Players Club NBA - Magic over 200.5
19. Charlies Sports NBA - Bobcats -9
20. Fred Callahan NBA - Magic over 200.5
 

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Football Jesus Text for Monday: New Orleans Hornets + points, ( 6-1 in basketball so far, 3-0 football texts this weekend)
 

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HRC PREMIUM NHL ACTION-November 15th

Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)

Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
*****************

[02] Boston |10*|Bet C|-165|B+0|Network N/A|7:05 pm EST

[08] Pittsburgh |5*|Bet A|-175|B+0|Network N/A|7:05 pm EST

[10] Colorado |5*|Bet A|-115|B+0|Network N/A|8:05 pm EST


note*
This is the "NHL Spread System" (3 game chase)
 

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HRC PREMIUM NFL ACTION-November 14th/15th

Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)

Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Premium (Rated)
15* Diamond (Rated)
******************

[239] Philedelphia |8*|Bet B|OPEN -2.5|B+1/2|ESPN|8:35 pm EST

[230] Denver |5*|Bet A|OPEN +1|B+0|CBS|4:05 pm EST


note*
This is the "NFL SPREAD SYSTEM" buy 1/2 on only even spreads (4 game chase)
 

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