STAN THE MAN'S STAT/SYSTEMS REPORT 10/25
MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
INFO WORTH BETTING ON ONE PAGE EACH DAY
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***** STAT/SYSTEMS SPORTS POWER SEARCH -- MNF *****
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_______________________________
*** BAD LUCK OR JUST BAD! COWBOYS MAY LEARN VS GIANTS ***
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A three-game winning streak has the New York Giants in first place in their division and brimming with optimism, while the Dallas Cowboys' confidence is clearly shaken after stumbling badly out of the blocks in what's supposed to be a special 2010 campaign. The desperate Cowboys will try to regain their swagger -- as well as save a season teetering on the brink of disaster -- when the reigning NFC East champions host the red-hot Giants in a colossal Monday night showdown between longtime rivals.
Expected to be on the short list of contenders to represent the NFC in Super Bowl XLV, which will be held in Cowboys Stadium, Dallas has instead gotten off to a startling 1-4 start that's put the franchise's grandiose plans in obvious peril. It's the first time the Cowboys have dropped four of their first five tests since 2001, and a loss this week would give the club its worst mark after six games since it began the 1989 season with eight straight setbacks en route to a 1-15 ledger.
Dallas' wounds have been largely self-inflicted, as a deluge of penalties, turnovers and special-teams breakdowns have all contributed to its present poor record. Mistakes doomed the Cowboys once again in last Sunday's 24-21 loss at Minnesota, with the Vikings scoring 10 points off a pair of interceptions of quarterback Tony Romo and getting another touchdown via a 95- yard kick return from wide receiver Percy Harvin to start the second half. The Cowboys also committed a troubling 11 penalties that totaled 91 yards, with one of those flags negating a would-be long touchdown catch by Miles Austin when the standout receiver was called for offensive pass interference.
While the Cowboys have been reeling, the Giants come into Arlington flying high off three October victories that has given Big Blue a share of the NFC East lead with Philadelphia at 4-2. A rejuvenated defense has been at the forefront of the surge, with New York having surrendered the second fewest total yards (264.8 ypg) and passing yards (172.0 ypg) in the league and racking up 21 sacks through the first six weeks. The much-improved unit could face its sternest test to date this week, however, as Dallas ranks third in the NFL in total offense (400.0 ypg) and is averaging 305 yards per game through the air (fourth overall).
New York did permit 302 net passing yards in last weekend's tussle with Detroit, but forced three turnovers and got a big effort from its running game to hand the spirited Lions a 28-20 defeat. Top running back Ahmad Bradshaw put up a season-best 133 yards on only 19 carries, with bruising understudy Brandon Jacobs adding a pair of short touchdown runs on the afternoon.
The Giants have averaged 157.8 rushing yards over the course of their three- game tear, which began with a 17-3 home verdict over Chicago in Week 4 and was extended with a 34-10 road rout of Houston the following Sunday.
• SERIES HISTORY
----------------------
The Cowboys lead the all-time regular season series with the Giants by a 55-38-2 count, but were swept by New York in last year's home-and-home. The G- Men were 33-31 road winners when the clubs met in Arlington in Week 2 of last season, and completed the sweep with a 31-24 win at Giants Stadium in Week 13. The sweep was the Giants' first of the Cowboys since 2004. Dallas' most recent win over the Giants came in 20-8 fashion at Texas Stadium in 2008. With a win on Sunday, New York will own its first three-game winning streak against Dallas since 2000-01.
New York was a 21-17 road winner over Dallas in a 2007 NFC Divisional Playoff, a game that ranks as the only postseason meeting between the franchises to date.
Giants head coach Tom Coughlin has a 9-7 record against Dallas as a head coach, including 8-5 since arriving in New York in 2004. Cowboys head coach Wade Phillips is 3-5 against the Giants in his career as a head coach, with one of the defeats coming for his Bills team in 1999. Phillips is 4-4 against Coughlin head-to-head, including a victory for Buffalo over Coughlin's Jaguars during the 1998 season.
• WHEN THE GIANTS HAVE THE BALL
----------------------------------------------
The defense isn't the only area that's been performing at an elite level during the Giants' successful stretch. New York has been running the ball with authority over the past few weeks, with Bradshaw (582 rushing yards, 3 TD, 14 receptions) registering a pair of 100-yard outings and averaging a healthy 5.7 yards per carry during the win streak. The fourth-year pro has flourished in his first go-around as the feature back for an offense that now stands fifth in the NFL in rushing yards (136.3 ypg). The Giants can throw it a little bit as well, with quarterback Eli Manning (1479 passing yards, 10 TD, 8 INT) having completed nearly 65 percent of his attempts while working with a young and talented cast of pass-catchers. Steady wideout Steve Smith (34 receptions, 1 TD) eclipsed the century mark in receiving yards in both meetings with the Cowboys last year, 2009 first-round pick Hakeem Nicks (36 receptions, 417 yards) is a physical force whose six touchdown catches rank near the top of the league, and Mario Manningham (18 receptions, 2 TD) has flashed big-play potential as the third option. Turnovers have been an issue on occasion, as Manning's been picked off eight times so far and Bradshaw had some fumble problems early on, but the team had just one giveaway against the Lions.
The Giants may not have to worry about turning the ball over on Monday, considering the Dallas defense has produced only four takeaways this season and three of them came in the team's lone win at Houston back in Week 3. That lack of momentum-changing plays has been a sore spot for an unit that's otherwise held its own, as the Cowboys have allowed the fourth-fewest yards in the league (281.4 ypg) and limited Minnesota to a mere 188 total yards during last week's frustrating setback. After being gashed for 153 rushing yards by Tennessee two weeks ago, Dallas tightened up its run defense and held Vikings All-Pro Adrian Peterson to a modest 73 yards on 24 carries last Sunday, with inside linebacker and top tackler Bradie James (37 tackles) heading the charge with 10 stops (nine solo). New York must also account for outside linebacker DeMarcus Ware (24 tackles, 7 sacks), one of the game's most feared pass rushers who's compiled six sacks over his past three tilts. The Cowboys will need to get Ware going once again with the secondary, and cornerback Mike Jenkins (14 tackles, 1 INT, 5 PD) in particular, having struggled as of late.
• WHEN THE COWBOYS HAVE THE BALL
--------------------------------------------------
Moving the football hasn't been too tough a task for the Cowboys, but the multitude of penalties and miscues have stymied an offense that doesn't lack for weapons. Romo (1566 passing yards, 10 TD, 7 INT) is a three-time Pro Bowl quarterback who's hit on nearly 70 percent of his passes for the year, while there's depth abound for a receiving corps headlined by Austin (33 receptions, 486 yards, 2 TD), a true game-breaker who excels at gaining yards after the catch. Counterpart Roy Williams (21 receptions, 5 TD) is finally starting to shake his underachiever tag, with the well-paid wideout having garnered five touchdown catches over his past three games, and tight end Jason Witten (23 receptions, 1 TD) is as reliable as you'll find at his position. Romo's been intercepted five times during Dallas' current two-game slide, however, and the team hasn't always run the ball consistently. The dangerous Felix Jones (229 rushing yards, 18 receptions) and short-yardage specialist Marion Barber (175 rushing yards, 1 TD, 6 receptions) do form a capable two-back tandem, with Jones having received the bulk of the work as of late. The former first- round pick had a career-high 24 touches, including 10 receptions for 61 yards, against the Vikings.
The Cowboys have done an excellent job protecting Romo, who's been sacked one time or less in all but one of this year's games, but the line will have its work cut for it against a New York defense that's made life miserable for enemy quarterbacks lately. Ends Osi Umenyiora (16 tackles, 8 sacks) and Justin Tuck (36 tackles, 4 sacks) spearhead a fierce pass rush that's produced 14 sacks during the team's three-game surge, with the former having amassed an eye-popping seven sacks and forcing six fumbles as a one-man wrecking crew over that time span. The Giants have also been very good against the run this month, having yielded a scant 49 rushing yards per game over the past three weeks, with Tuck and tackle Barry Cofield (28 tackles, 2 sacks) holding their own up front and linebackers Michael Boley (39 tackles) and Jonathan Goff (31 tackles, 0.5 sacks) doing a good job in containment. New York's seventh-ranked rush defense (92.8 ypg) has been complemented well by a sound secondary that's gotten good play out of rugged corner Terrell Thomas (33 tackles, 2 INT, 8 PD) and safeties Antrel Rolle (37 tackles, 1 INT) and Kenny Phillips (32 tackles, 1 INT).
• INCREDIBLE STATS OF THE WEEK
-------------------------------------------
--DALLAS: Is 10-0-1 ATS as a favorite after a straight up loss as a dog... 6-0 ATS at home off back-to-back SU and ATS losses and 9-1 ATS at home in October off a SU loss versus an opponent off a SU win.
--MONDAY NIGHT home teams that won 12 or more games the previous season are 13-1 SU and ATS (92.9%), their last 14 appearances.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Dallas by 1; O/U 44.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Dallas -0.76
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - NY Giants -1.43
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--DALLAS is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) vs. good passing defenses - allowing 5.7 or less passing yards/att. since 1992.
The average score was DALLAS 18.3, OPPONENT 19.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--DALLAS is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) in home games after having lost 3 out of their last 4 games since 1992.
The average score was DALLAS 21.7, OPPONENT 14.7 - (Rating = 2*)
--DALLAS is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread since 1992.
The average score was DALLAS 25.6, OPPONENT 15.3 - (Rating = 2*)
--NY GIANTS are 47-24 ATS (+20.6 Units) after outrushing opponent by 75 or more yards last game since 1992.
The average score was NY GIANTS 20.8, OPPONENT 18.9 - (Rating = 4*)
--NY GIANTS are 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. since 1992.
The average score was NY GIANTS 22.0, OPPONENT 21.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--NY GIANTS are 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in road games vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing <= 7.5 yards per return since 1992.
The average score was NY GIANTS 21.5, OPPONENT 19.7 - (Rating = 2*)
--NY GIANTS are 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in road games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better since 1992.
The average score was NY GIANTS 21.8, OPPONENT 21.2 - (Rating = 1*)
--NY GIANTS are 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - averaging >=350 yards/game since 1992.
The average score was NY GIANTS 20.1, OPPONENT 22.1 - (Rating = 1*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--DALLAS is 27-10 OVER (+16.0 Units) in home games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better since 1992.
The average score was DALLAS 25.7, OPPONENT 23.5 - (Rating = 2*)
--NY GIANTS are 51-26 UNDER (+22.4 Units) after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game since 1992.
The average score was NY GIANTS 20.1, OPPONENT 18.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--NY GIANTS are 7-0 OVER (+7.0 Units) vs. poor kickoff coverage teams, allowing >= 24 yards per return over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NY GIANTS 30.7, OPPONENT 31.1 - (Rating = 2*)
--NY GIANTS are 12-3 OVER (+8.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NY GIANTS 25.4, OPPONENT 26.5 - (Rating = 2*)
--NY GIANTS are 6-0 OVER (+6.0 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NY GIANTS 31.2, OPPONENT 28.2 - (Rating = 2*)
• HIGHEST RATED ATS SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------------
--PLAY ON - Home teams (DALLAS) - after failing to cover the spread in 4 out of their last 5 games, a terrible team (<=25%) playing a team with a winning record.
(24-4 over the last 10 seasons.) (85.7%, +19.6 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (17-12 over the last 10 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 5.2
The average score in these games was: Team 23.9, Opponent 20 (Average point differential = +3.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 14 (48.3% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (4-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (12-2).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (51-37).
--PLAY ON - Home teams (DALLAS) - after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread, a terrible team (<=25%) playing a team with a winning record.
(37-13 over the last 10 seasons.) (74%, +22.7 units. Rating = 2*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (26-28 over the last 10 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 5.6
The average score in these games was: Team 20.3, Opponent 21.5 (Average point differential = -1.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 18 (34.6% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (10-7).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (13-7).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (88-60).
• HIGHEST RATED OVER/UNDER SUPER SITUATIONS
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--PLAY UNDER - Home teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (DALLAS) - off 2 or more consecutive overs, in a game involving two average offensive teams (18-23 PPG).
(46-15 since 1983.) (75.4%, +28.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 44.5
The average score in these games was: Team 21, Opponent 17.7 (Total points scored = 38.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 28 (46.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (3-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (5-2).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (17-4).
• HIGHEST RATED FIRST HALF TOTAL SUPER SITUATIONS
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--PLAY OVER - Home teams against the 1rst half total (DALLAS) - outgaining opponent by 70 or more passing yards/game on the season, after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game.
(45-16 over the last 10 seasons.) (73.8%, +27.4 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 22.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 15.4, Opponent 10 (Total first half points scored = 25.4)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (18-5).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (28-13).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (77-62).
MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
INFO WORTH BETTING ON ONE PAGE EACH DAY
________________________________________________
***** STAT/SYSTEMS SPORTS POWER SEARCH -- MNF *****
============================================
_______________________________
*** BAD LUCK OR JUST BAD! COWBOYS MAY LEARN VS GIANTS ***
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A three-game winning streak has the New York Giants in first place in their division and brimming with optimism, while the Dallas Cowboys' confidence is clearly shaken after stumbling badly out of the blocks in what's supposed to be a special 2010 campaign. The desperate Cowboys will try to regain their swagger -- as well as save a season teetering on the brink of disaster -- when the reigning NFC East champions host the red-hot Giants in a colossal Monday night showdown between longtime rivals.
Expected to be on the short list of contenders to represent the NFC in Super Bowl XLV, which will be held in Cowboys Stadium, Dallas has instead gotten off to a startling 1-4 start that's put the franchise's grandiose plans in obvious peril. It's the first time the Cowboys have dropped four of their first five tests since 2001, and a loss this week would give the club its worst mark after six games since it began the 1989 season with eight straight setbacks en route to a 1-15 ledger.
Dallas' wounds have been largely self-inflicted, as a deluge of penalties, turnovers and special-teams breakdowns have all contributed to its present poor record. Mistakes doomed the Cowboys once again in last Sunday's 24-21 loss at Minnesota, with the Vikings scoring 10 points off a pair of interceptions of quarterback Tony Romo and getting another touchdown via a 95- yard kick return from wide receiver Percy Harvin to start the second half. The Cowboys also committed a troubling 11 penalties that totaled 91 yards, with one of those flags negating a would-be long touchdown catch by Miles Austin when the standout receiver was called for offensive pass interference.
While the Cowboys have been reeling, the Giants come into Arlington flying high off three October victories that has given Big Blue a share of the NFC East lead with Philadelphia at 4-2. A rejuvenated defense has been at the forefront of the surge, with New York having surrendered the second fewest total yards (264.8 ypg) and passing yards (172.0 ypg) in the league and racking up 21 sacks through the first six weeks. The much-improved unit could face its sternest test to date this week, however, as Dallas ranks third in the NFL in total offense (400.0 ypg) and is averaging 305 yards per game through the air (fourth overall).
New York did permit 302 net passing yards in last weekend's tussle with Detroit, but forced three turnovers and got a big effort from its running game to hand the spirited Lions a 28-20 defeat. Top running back Ahmad Bradshaw put up a season-best 133 yards on only 19 carries, with bruising understudy Brandon Jacobs adding a pair of short touchdown runs on the afternoon.
The Giants have averaged 157.8 rushing yards over the course of their three- game tear, which began with a 17-3 home verdict over Chicago in Week 4 and was extended with a 34-10 road rout of Houston the following Sunday.
• SERIES HISTORY
----------------------
The Cowboys lead the all-time regular season series with the Giants by a 55-38-2 count, but were swept by New York in last year's home-and-home. The G- Men were 33-31 road winners when the clubs met in Arlington in Week 2 of last season, and completed the sweep with a 31-24 win at Giants Stadium in Week 13. The sweep was the Giants' first of the Cowboys since 2004. Dallas' most recent win over the Giants came in 20-8 fashion at Texas Stadium in 2008. With a win on Sunday, New York will own its first three-game winning streak against Dallas since 2000-01.
New York was a 21-17 road winner over Dallas in a 2007 NFC Divisional Playoff, a game that ranks as the only postseason meeting between the franchises to date.
Giants head coach Tom Coughlin has a 9-7 record against Dallas as a head coach, including 8-5 since arriving in New York in 2004. Cowboys head coach Wade Phillips is 3-5 against the Giants in his career as a head coach, with one of the defeats coming for his Bills team in 1999. Phillips is 4-4 against Coughlin head-to-head, including a victory for Buffalo over Coughlin's Jaguars during the 1998 season.
• WHEN THE GIANTS HAVE THE BALL
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The defense isn't the only area that's been performing at an elite level during the Giants' successful stretch. New York has been running the ball with authority over the past few weeks, with Bradshaw (582 rushing yards, 3 TD, 14 receptions) registering a pair of 100-yard outings and averaging a healthy 5.7 yards per carry during the win streak. The fourth-year pro has flourished in his first go-around as the feature back for an offense that now stands fifth in the NFL in rushing yards (136.3 ypg). The Giants can throw it a little bit as well, with quarterback Eli Manning (1479 passing yards, 10 TD, 8 INT) having completed nearly 65 percent of his attempts while working with a young and talented cast of pass-catchers. Steady wideout Steve Smith (34 receptions, 1 TD) eclipsed the century mark in receiving yards in both meetings with the Cowboys last year, 2009 first-round pick Hakeem Nicks (36 receptions, 417 yards) is a physical force whose six touchdown catches rank near the top of the league, and Mario Manningham (18 receptions, 2 TD) has flashed big-play potential as the third option. Turnovers have been an issue on occasion, as Manning's been picked off eight times so far and Bradshaw had some fumble problems early on, but the team had just one giveaway against the Lions.
The Giants may not have to worry about turning the ball over on Monday, considering the Dallas defense has produced only four takeaways this season and three of them came in the team's lone win at Houston back in Week 3. That lack of momentum-changing plays has been a sore spot for an unit that's otherwise held its own, as the Cowboys have allowed the fourth-fewest yards in the league (281.4 ypg) and limited Minnesota to a mere 188 total yards during last week's frustrating setback. After being gashed for 153 rushing yards by Tennessee two weeks ago, Dallas tightened up its run defense and held Vikings All-Pro Adrian Peterson to a modest 73 yards on 24 carries last Sunday, with inside linebacker and top tackler Bradie James (37 tackles) heading the charge with 10 stops (nine solo). New York must also account for outside linebacker DeMarcus Ware (24 tackles, 7 sacks), one of the game's most feared pass rushers who's compiled six sacks over his past three tilts. The Cowboys will need to get Ware going once again with the secondary, and cornerback Mike Jenkins (14 tackles, 1 INT, 5 PD) in particular, having struggled as of late.
• WHEN THE COWBOYS HAVE THE BALL
--------------------------------------------------
Moving the football hasn't been too tough a task for the Cowboys, but the multitude of penalties and miscues have stymied an offense that doesn't lack for weapons. Romo (1566 passing yards, 10 TD, 7 INT) is a three-time Pro Bowl quarterback who's hit on nearly 70 percent of his passes for the year, while there's depth abound for a receiving corps headlined by Austin (33 receptions, 486 yards, 2 TD), a true game-breaker who excels at gaining yards after the catch. Counterpart Roy Williams (21 receptions, 5 TD) is finally starting to shake his underachiever tag, with the well-paid wideout having garnered five touchdown catches over his past three games, and tight end Jason Witten (23 receptions, 1 TD) is as reliable as you'll find at his position. Romo's been intercepted five times during Dallas' current two-game slide, however, and the team hasn't always run the ball consistently. The dangerous Felix Jones (229 rushing yards, 18 receptions) and short-yardage specialist Marion Barber (175 rushing yards, 1 TD, 6 receptions) do form a capable two-back tandem, with Jones having received the bulk of the work as of late. The former first- round pick had a career-high 24 touches, including 10 receptions for 61 yards, against the Vikings.
The Cowboys have done an excellent job protecting Romo, who's been sacked one time or less in all but one of this year's games, but the line will have its work cut for it against a New York defense that's made life miserable for enemy quarterbacks lately. Ends Osi Umenyiora (16 tackles, 8 sacks) and Justin Tuck (36 tackles, 4 sacks) spearhead a fierce pass rush that's produced 14 sacks during the team's three-game surge, with the former having amassed an eye-popping seven sacks and forcing six fumbles as a one-man wrecking crew over that time span. The Giants have also been very good against the run this month, having yielded a scant 49 rushing yards per game over the past three weeks, with Tuck and tackle Barry Cofield (28 tackles, 2 sacks) holding their own up front and linebackers Michael Boley (39 tackles) and Jonathan Goff (31 tackles, 0.5 sacks) doing a good job in containment. New York's seventh-ranked rush defense (92.8 ypg) has been complemented well by a sound secondary that's gotten good play out of rugged corner Terrell Thomas (33 tackles, 2 INT, 8 PD) and safeties Antrel Rolle (37 tackles, 1 INT) and Kenny Phillips (32 tackles, 1 INT).
• INCREDIBLE STATS OF THE WEEK
-------------------------------------------
--DALLAS: Is 10-0-1 ATS as a favorite after a straight up loss as a dog... 6-0 ATS at home off back-to-back SU and ATS losses and 9-1 ATS at home in October off a SU loss versus an opponent off a SU win.
--MONDAY NIGHT home teams that won 12 or more games the previous season are 13-1 SU and ATS (92.9%), their last 14 appearances.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Dallas by 1; O/U 44.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Dallas -0.76
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - NY Giants -1.43
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
----------------------------------------
--DALLAS is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) vs. good passing defenses - allowing 5.7 or less passing yards/att. since 1992.
The average score was DALLAS 18.3, OPPONENT 19.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--DALLAS is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) in home games after having lost 3 out of their last 4 games since 1992.
The average score was DALLAS 21.7, OPPONENT 14.7 - (Rating = 2*)
--DALLAS is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread since 1992.
The average score was DALLAS 25.6, OPPONENT 15.3 - (Rating = 2*)
--NY GIANTS are 47-24 ATS (+20.6 Units) after outrushing opponent by 75 or more yards last game since 1992.
The average score was NY GIANTS 20.8, OPPONENT 18.9 - (Rating = 4*)
--NY GIANTS are 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. since 1992.
The average score was NY GIANTS 22.0, OPPONENT 21.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--NY GIANTS are 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in road games vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing <= 7.5 yards per return since 1992.
The average score was NY GIANTS 21.5, OPPONENT 19.7 - (Rating = 2*)
--NY GIANTS are 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in road games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better since 1992.
The average score was NY GIANTS 21.8, OPPONENT 21.2 - (Rating = 1*)
--NY GIANTS are 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - averaging >=350 yards/game since 1992.
The average score was NY GIANTS 20.1, OPPONENT 22.1 - (Rating = 1*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------
--DALLAS is 27-10 OVER (+16.0 Units) in home games vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better since 1992.
The average score was DALLAS 25.7, OPPONENT 23.5 - (Rating = 2*)
--NY GIANTS are 51-26 UNDER (+22.4 Units) after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game since 1992.
The average score was NY GIANTS 20.1, OPPONENT 18.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--NY GIANTS are 7-0 OVER (+7.0 Units) vs. poor kickoff coverage teams, allowing >= 24 yards per return over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NY GIANTS 30.7, OPPONENT 31.1 - (Rating = 2*)
--NY GIANTS are 12-3 OVER (+8.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NY GIANTS 25.4, OPPONENT 26.5 - (Rating = 2*)
--NY GIANTS are 6-0 OVER (+6.0 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NY GIANTS 31.2, OPPONENT 28.2 - (Rating = 2*)
• HIGHEST RATED ATS SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------------
--PLAY ON - Home teams (DALLAS) - after failing to cover the spread in 4 out of their last 5 games, a terrible team (<=25%) playing a team with a winning record.
(24-4 over the last 10 seasons.) (85.7%, +19.6 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (17-12 over the last 10 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 5.2
The average score in these games was: Team 23.9, Opponent 20 (Average point differential = +3.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 14 (48.3% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (4-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (12-2).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (51-37).
--PLAY ON - Home teams (DALLAS) - after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread, a terrible team (<=25%) playing a team with a winning record.
(37-13 over the last 10 seasons.) (74%, +22.7 units. Rating = 2*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (26-28 over the last 10 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 5.6
The average score in these games was: Team 20.3, Opponent 21.5 (Average point differential = -1.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 18 (34.6% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (10-7).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (13-7).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (88-60).
• HIGHEST RATED OVER/UNDER SUPER SITUATIONS
---------------------------------------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - Home teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (DALLAS) - off 2 or more consecutive overs, in a game involving two average offensive teams (18-23 PPG).
(46-15 since 1983.) (75.4%, +28.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 44.5
The average score in these games was: Team 21, Opponent 17.7 (Total points scored = 38.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 28 (46.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (3-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (5-2).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (17-4).
• HIGHEST RATED FIRST HALF TOTAL SUPER SITUATIONS
----------------------------------------------------------------------
--PLAY OVER - Home teams against the 1rst half total (DALLAS) - outgaining opponent by 70 or more passing yards/game on the season, after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game.
(45-16 over the last 10 seasons.) (73.8%, +27.4 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 22.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 15.4, Opponent 10 (Total first half points scored = 25.4)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (18-5).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (28-13).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (77-62).
THE DUKE SPORTS
NY Giants (+3') for 2 Units
As we've seen, the Cowboys have been killing themselves with turnovers and penalties. We know they're a dangerous team and a sleeping giant with immense talent at skill positions however, an area they lack is on the offensive line which hasn't opened holes for the Cowboys' backs nor have they protected Romo well. Tonight, that o-line faces a solid NYG front that gets after the QB yet maintains a level of discipline vs the run. And the NYG secondary has done a good job over the last three weeks and should be up for the challenge to contest the talented Cowboys' receiving corps. The Giants, which are 4-1 ATS in this series, have established a level of consistency the last three weeks and shouldn't get complacent. Eli Manning is the best October QB in terms of wins and losses at 19-4 SU as a starter and he is on the same page now with Steve Smith and company. Moreover, the NYG run game is fueled by Bradshaw behind another solid year by the NYG offensive line. Technically, the Giants are 7-0 ATS on the road off back-to-back SU wins vs a division opponent off a SU loss. The Cowboys, which have lost 4 of their last 5 ATS on MNF are a desperate team to turn around their season and we believe that desperation will be the reason for their loss again tonight.
NY Giants (+3') for 2 Units
As we've seen, the Cowboys have been killing themselves with turnovers and penalties. We know they're a dangerous team and a sleeping giant with immense talent at skill positions however, an area they lack is on the offensive line which hasn't opened holes for the Cowboys' backs nor have they protected Romo well. Tonight, that o-line faces a solid NYG front that gets after the QB yet maintains a level of discipline vs the run. And the NYG secondary has done a good job over the last three weeks and should be up for the challenge to contest the talented Cowboys' receiving corps. The Giants, which are 4-1 ATS in this series, have established a level of consistency the last three weeks and shouldn't get complacent. Eli Manning is the best October QB in terms of wins and losses at 19-4 SU as a starter and he is on the same page now with Steve Smith and company. Moreover, the NYG run game is fueled by Bradshaw behind another solid year by the NYG offensive line. Technically, the Giants are 7-0 ATS on the road off back-to-back SU wins vs a division opponent off a SU loss. The Cowboys, which have lost 4 of their last 5 ATS on MNF are a desperate team to turn around their season and we believe that desperation will be the reason for their loss again tonight.
