LVTR
PATRIOTS -3
WRITE-UP
We are now 5-1 for Monday Night games and on course to break last year’s MNF record where we won them all but 3. For tonight, there seems to be an amazing amount of interest in this game. Basically it’s a coin toss when we bring it to paper. Good thing it’s played on the field and not on our computers as we may have found the angle on this one. As you know, if you have followed us for any length of time, we switch it up constantly. You need to. There is no one system that beats Vegas. If there was, we wouldn’t be doing this, and you wouldn’t be here as well and we’d all be in some remote island somewhere with a big drink in one hand and a cell phone in the other trying to figure out how to fly a new Bentley to our new tropical island. As we have said before, you can cap players, performances, trends, and many other options. The one we love best is when Vegas does the work for us and basically gives you the flags. Does it mean the right team wins? Hell no! But, if I’m picking a ship to stay on, I’ll take the one with the lights on and not the public boat that sinks week in and week out. Here’s the deal. The Patriots are struggling and we know that, you know that, ESPN knows it and so forth. Well, if we know it, you can guaran-damn-tee it Vegas knew long ago. Let’s get past all this service talk and fluff and get to the meat of it. You have a team who is no position to be the favorite tonight against a Denver team who is now 4-2. Patriots are playing with a young 2nd string qb, injuries out thee wazoo and players not stepping up. Public is all over Denver, yet this line just won’t budge and the Patriots remain the -3 favorite. What gives? Well, as we said, Vegas is doing the work for us here. Our public team is getting + points which is the old saying that Vegas is begging you to buy Denver. With a 3 line, they will gain more in juice if you buy hooks off or on to the key number 3. Looking closer, we see Denver has only covered one ATS line the whole season and that was in game 1. Patriots are doing what we call the checker board ATS wise which means win one, lose one, win one, lose one, win one, lose one….Let’s take a guess what happens the 7th time. Now you see it! Vegas has established a pattern with what normally is a public team but with all the doom and gloom, it’s actually become a public play to fade the Pats. Where does that get you? Exactly 3-3 ATS, minus the juice and Vegas made their take. So basically as we say, when in a coin toss game, we zone in on the small variables, but judging by Vegas ATS patterns with both teams, we may have found a huge variable. Let’s add in the Patriots defense was flat out embarrassed last week. Hey, no matter the quality of players, they are still a professional team and you don’t want to stick your hand out to a wounded dog backed in a corner. We fully expect an a1 effort tonight under the national lights. Funny thing about MNF, is no matter how bad your season, all eyes are on you so MNF can act as a redemption game. Denver pass defense is weak to say the least which should open up opportunities for the Pats, and you have to believe Moss is due to have a break out game and what better night to do it than on Monday Night. This is not a strong play, but we feel we have the right angle and we’ll back the small home fave with the Patriots.
PATRIOTS -3
WRITE-UP
We are now 5-1 for Monday Night games and on course to break last year’s MNF record where we won them all but 3. For tonight, there seems to be an amazing amount of interest in this game. Basically it’s a coin toss when we bring it to paper. Good thing it’s played on the field and not on our computers as we may have found the angle on this one. As you know, if you have followed us for any length of time, we switch it up constantly. You need to. There is no one system that beats Vegas. If there was, we wouldn’t be doing this, and you wouldn’t be here as well and we’d all be in some remote island somewhere with a big drink in one hand and a cell phone in the other trying to figure out how to fly a new Bentley to our new tropical island. As we have said before, you can cap players, performances, trends, and many other options. The one we love best is when Vegas does the work for us and basically gives you the flags. Does it mean the right team wins? Hell no! But, if I’m picking a ship to stay on, I’ll take the one with the lights on and not the public boat that sinks week in and week out. Here’s the deal. The Patriots are struggling and we know that, you know that, ESPN knows it and so forth. Well, if we know it, you can guaran-damn-tee it Vegas knew long ago. Let’s get past all this service talk and fluff and get to the meat of it. You have a team who is no position to be the favorite tonight against a Denver team who is now 4-2. Patriots are playing with a young 2nd string qb, injuries out thee wazoo and players not stepping up. Public is all over Denver, yet this line just won’t budge and the Patriots remain the -3 favorite. What gives? Well, as we said, Vegas is doing the work for us here. Our public team is getting + points which is the old saying that Vegas is begging you to buy Denver. With a 3 line, they will gain more in juice if you buy hooks off or on to the key number 3. Looking closer, we see Denver has only covered one ATS line the whole season and that was in game 1. Patriots are doing what we call the checker board ATS wise which means win one, lose one, win one, lose one, win one, lose one….Let’s take a guess what happens the 7th time. Now you see it! Vegas has established a pattern with what normally is a public team but with all the doom and gloom, it’s actually become a public play to fade the Pats. Where does that get you? Exactly 3-3 ATS, minus the juice and Vegas made their take. So basically as we say, when in a coin toss game, we zone in on the small variables, but judging by Vegas ATS patterns with both teams, we may have found a huge variable. Let’s add in the Patriots defense was flat out embarrassed last week. Hey, no matter the quality of players, they are still a professional team and you don’t want to stick your hand out to a wounded dog backed in a corner. We fully expect an a1 effort tonight under the national lights. Funny thing about MNF, is no matter how bad your season, all eyes are on you so MNF can act as a redemption game. Denver pass defense is weak to say the least which should open up opportunities for the Pats, and you have to believe Moss is due to have a break out game and what better night to do it than on Monday Night. This is not a strong play, but we feel we have the right angle and we’ll back the small home fave with the Patriots.
MARCO'S PICK TONIGHT: DENVER/NEW ENGLAND UNDER
Rating: Single dime play
Tonight Denver battles New England on Monday night football.I have bet the UNDER as I look for Belichick to once again confuse a young QB as he has done so many times before. Jay Culter will struggle against this defense as Belichick can bring the heat since Denver has no running game to speak of. When New England has the ball I expect long time consuming drives as Denver has had trouble stopping people this year. Interesting note on Belichick who as a home favorite of 3 or less has gone under in 15 of 20 games. I see another UNDER in this match-up. This is MARCO'S DENVER/NEW ENGLAND WINNER.
Marco rated this as a 3 star play on his LATE EXECUTIVE PHONE SERVICE.
Rating: Single dime play
Tonight Denver battles New England on Monday night football.I have bet the UNDER as I look for Belichick to once again confuse a young QB as he has done so many times before. Jay Culter will struggle against this defense as Belichick can bring the heat since Denver has no running game to speak of. When New England has the ball I expect long time consuming drives as Denver has had trouble stopping people this year. Interesting note on Belichick who as a home favorite of 3 or less has gone under in 15 of 20 games. I see another UNDER in this match-up. This is MARCO'S DENVER/NEW ENGLAND WINNER.
Marco rated this as a 3 star play on his LATE EXECUTIVE PHONE SERVICE.
