From Brian to all of You - Thanks for your support
Here it is my play for Monday. If you are on the forum and paid for it PM me and I will work something out with you for some free picks. Thanks all for your support. By the way, Ediie Roman and Esposito worked with Stu just last year. As a matter of fact the Game Time Winners skin is the same as the one Stu had on his old site. They are in Farmingdale like Stu and just like the rest of them with the usual bullshit. I know I am keeping it real and that keeps my conscious clean when my head hits the pillow. I try my hardest to win and be consistent.
That said I was thinking of having a conference call where anyone interested could call in, ask questions about anything (I know a lot of stuff) or just call me an asshole and a sellout. Let me know.
Truth is though, Stu is a good guy and a lot of these clowns in this business have taken advantage of him because he is such a nice guy. Probably karma for Stu, I don't know, but the karma train runs round the clock if you know what I mean. Anyway I have a personal stake in this game so lets hope it delivers. I am sure Budin and Lang bought it from me since I put it up yesterday and they are on the same side :nohead:
My regards and well wishes to you all.
Brian King
Denver (48) at New England (-3) - 8:30 p.m. EST
New England had a rough go last Sunday night in San Diego, but do not count out this New England team just yet. A lot of people are jumping ship on New England but that might not be the smart move. Tonight they play in front of a rabid crowd out for blood after the Red Sox dropped the ALCS last night. New England fans are getting used to winners and the pressure is on the Pats to deliver.
Belichick knows how to get his team to respond and they will. Last month they were embarrassed at home by Miami, but the next time they hit the field, they got the job done at San Francisco. Now after being embarassed nationally by the Bolts, New England will take it out on this defensively-challenged Denver team that gives up almost 26 points and 395 yards per game.
Denver comes into this game on ATS slides of 7-22-1 overall, 1-5 on the road, 3-11 against teams with winning records and 1-4-1 in conference games. Look for Cassel to have a solid game against a Pony defense that yields more than 255 yards per game through the air. The more time Cassel spends in practice running the offense the more comfortable he is becoming. Expect him to take advantage of Denver's beaten and battered secondary that has just two interceptions on the season. The only one from a Denver defensive back came back in Week 2.
Denver's run defense ranks a pitiful 26<SUP>th</SUP> in the league. New England hasn’t exactly been cranking out big yards on the ground this season, but they will get things going against this porous Denver stop unit, especially after Cassel connects with Randy Moss on a long gainer to open things up. The Denver offense is still banged up and has struggled in recent weeks as they haven’t played all that well since a Week 3 home win over New Orleans. They’ve dropped two of their last three games including one to lowly KC. That was another example of a Denver team just not playing that well on the road.
I have a guy that I get a lot of information from who is an actuary and he absolutely loves this game tonight. In case you don't know what an actuary is here you go.
Actuaries are experts in:
Anyway I met this guy about 5 years ago and as a hobby he does computer predictions and models regarding the outcome of sporting events, mainly college and pro football (quite a hobby, you should see what he looks like, but the guy is a genius). I find that his information is a solid starting point but in this case he absolutely loved the game and insists his models show the linesmaker made a terrible mistake with this game. His word was the reinforcement I needed to make this game, hands down, my biggest play of the season so far. I was on it for a 100 Dimes for those of you that got my Saturday email but when I got the word I decided it was time to make my move and double this play.
New England is 15-4-1 ATS in its last 20 games after a defeat as Belichick knows how to get his team ready after a loss. They’re also 18-5-1 ATS in the month of October. Reality is that this is too low a number and we’re getting great value. New England will bring its “A’’ game tonight against a Denver team that is 6-20 SU in its last 26 Monday night road games. Take New England to win and cover tonight. Guaranteed!
New England (-3) 200 Dimes
IMPORTANT - PLEASE READ BELOW
Must play this line at -3. If you can't get -3 buy the line down to -3. This is too big a play to risk to the hook. Remember -3 (MINUS 3).
Here it is my play for Monday. If you are on the forum and paid for it PM me and I will work something out with you for some free picks. Thanks all for your support. By the way, Ediie Roman and Esposito worked with Stu just last year. As a matter of fact the Game Time Winners skin is the same as the one Stu had on his old site. They are in Farmingdale like Stu and just like the rest of them with the usual bullshit. I know I am keeping it real and that keeps my conscious clean when my head hits the pillow. I try my hardest to win and be consistent.
That said I was thinking of having a conference call where anyone interested could call in, ask questions about anything (I know a lot of stuff) or just call me an asshole and a sellout. Let me know.
Truth is though, Stu is a good guy and a lot of these clowns in this business have taken advantage of him because he is such a nice guy. Probably karma for Stu, I don't know, but the karma train runs round the clock if you know what I mean. Anyway I have a personal stake in this game so lets hope it delivers. I am sure Budin and Lang bought it from me since I put it up yesterday and they are on the same side :nohead:
My regards and well wishes to you all.
Brian King
Denver (48) at New England (-3) - 8:30 p.m. EST
New England had a rough go last Sunday night in San Diego, but do not count out this New England team just yet. A lot of people are jumping ship on New England but that might not be the smart move. Tonight they play in front of a rabid crowd out for blood after the Red Sox dropped the ALCS last night. New England fans are getting used to winners and the pressure is on the Pats to deliver.
Belichick knows how to get his team to respond and they will. Last month they were embarrassed at home by Miami, but the next time they hit the field, they got the job done at San Francisco. Now after being embarassed nationally by the Bolts, New England will take it out on this defensively-challenged Denver team that gives up almost 26 points and 395 yards per game.
Denver comes into this game on ATS slides of 7-22-1 overall, 1-5 on the road, 3-11 against teams with winning records and 1-4-1 in conference games. Look for Cassel to have a solid game against a Pony defense that yields more than 255 yards per game through the air. The more time Cassel spends in practice running the offense the more comfortable he is becoming. Expect him to take advantage of Denver's beaten and battered secondary that has just two interceptions on the season. The only one from a Denver defensive back came back in Week 2.
Denver's run defense ranks a pitiful 26<SUP>th</SUP> in the league. New England hasn’t exactly been cranking out big yards on the ground this season, but they will get things going against this porous Denver stop unit, especially after Cassel connects with Randy Moss on a long gainer to open things up. The Denver offense is still banged up and has struggled in recent weeks as they haven’t played all that well since a Week 3 home win over New Orleans. They’ve dropped two of their last three games including one to lowly KC. That was another example of a Denver team just not playing that well on the road.
I have a guy that I get a lot of information from who is an actuary and he absolutely loves this game tonight. In case you don't know what an actuary is here you go.
Actuaries are experts in:
- Evaluating the likelihood of future events
- Designing creative ways to reduce the likelihood of undesirable events
- Decreasing the impact of undesirable events that do occur.
Anyway I met this guy about 5 years ago and as a hobby he does computer predictions and models regarding the outcome of sporting events, mainly college and pro football (quite a hobby, you should see what he looks like, but the guy is a genius). I find that his information is a solid starting point but in this case he absolutely loved the game and insists his models show the linesmaker made a terrible mistake with this game. His word was the reinforcement I needed to make this game, hands down, my biggest play of the season so far. I was on it for a 100 Dimes for those of you that got my Saturday email but when I got the word I decided it was time to make my move and double this play.
New England is 15-4-1 ATS in its last 20 games after a defeat as Belichick knows how to get his team ready after a loss. They’re also 18-5-1 ATS in the month of October. Reality is that this is too low a number and we’re getting great value. New England will bring its “A’’ game tonight against a Denver team that is 6-20 SU in its last 26 Monday night road games. Take New England to win and cover tonight. Guaranteed!
New England (-3) 200 Dimes
IMPORTANT - PLEASE READ BELOW
Must play this line at -3. If you can't get -3 buy the line down to -3. This is too big a play to risk to the hook. Remember -3 (MINUS 3).
