Mon, 10/20/08 - 8:35 PMKing Creole | NFL Side
double-dime bet432 NEP -3.0 (-110) BetUS vs 431 DEN
Analysis: 8:35pm ET / Denver Broncos @ New England Patriots
2** Play on: NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
Despite the fact that our weekend TOTALS PLAYS went 6-1 overall, we'll pass on the Over / Under in tonight's Broncos-Patriots game. But if you DO decide to play an Over / Under tonight, don't forget that all MONDAY games are already a PERFECT 7-0 O/U so far this season. That's not a recommendation, it's just a fact.
I much prefer some of the great ATS Systems in regards to tonight's SIDE PLAY.
MONDAY night non-div home favs of -5 < points (PATRIOTS) are 20-6 ATS since 1999 when taking on an opponent off a SUATS loss (broncos).... and 17-5 ATS versus and .500 > opponent.
Denver comes into tonight's game on an ATS tailspin as they have dropped FOUR games in a row against the spread.
NFL road teams with a .666 > winning percentage are 5-17 ATS since 2000 when playing off 3 or more straight ATS losses (broncos)... and 1-7 ATS in the last 3 years.
Let's expand our query by one more game:
0-6 ATS since 2000 for ALL road teams off 4 straight ATS losses in which they were favored by -3 or more points in ALL four games (broncos).
After scoring ton of points to start the season, the offense has dried up for Denver in their last 3 games... as they have scored only 19, 16, and 17 points.
0-5 ATS since 1992 for ALL NFL teams who scored 30+ points in 3 straight games... and then 20 < points in their last 3 games (broncos).
The Pats are glad to return home after struggling to put up points last week against the Chargers on Sunday night.
8-1 ATS in the last 4 years: NFL home teams who scored 13 < points last week... 30+ points in the game before that... and 13 < points in the game before that (PATRIOTS).
NEW ENGLAND is a great team to play 'ON: after they shit the bed on offense. The Patriots are 10-2-1 ATS since 2000 after scoring 10 or less points in a game... and a PERFECT 4-0 ATS since 2003.
One would think that when Denver is off a home FAVORITE loss, that they are a great "play ON". That's not the case.
DENVER is a PERFECT 0-4 ATS in the last 3 years when playing off a SU home FAVORITE loss.