THE DUKE SPORTSJacksonville (+3) for 1.5 Units
The Jaguars' defense is a concern for us; after all, it has allowed 26 or more ppg over its last 4 games. Tonight, however, we'll look for a better showing from that unit considering this is a division game and Del Rio takes pride in defense; moreover, they're overdue for a solid defensive effort considering that's where their off-season focus was on. On the other hand, Jacksonville's offense has stepped up its game over the past few weeks. TE Mercedes Lewis has emerged as a big-time threat and the running game remains solid behind Maurice Jones-Drew and backup - Karim. At a trend standpoint, Jacksonville is a dangerous small home dog at 10-3 ATS and that comes into play in this series where the dog has covered 5 of the last 7 and the home team covered 7 of the last 10. The Jags do well in week 6 at 4-1 ATS. Tennessee has stumbled in road games vs teams with winning home records at 2-6 ATS. TN has alternated wins and losses and they're coming off that big win last week at Dallas. We'll look for the Jags to keep their winning momentum here.
The Jaguars' defense is a concern for us; after all, it has allowed 26 or more ppg over its last 4 games. Tonight, however, we'll look for a better showing from that unit considering this is a division game and Del Rio takes pride in defense; moreover, they're overdue for a solid defensive effort considering that's where their off-season focus was on. On the other hand, Jacksonville's offense has stepped up its game over the past few weeks. TE Mercedes Lewis has emerged as a big-time threat and the running game remains solid behind Maurice Jones-Drew and backup - Karim. At a trend standpoint, Jacksonville is a dangerous small home dog at 10-3 ATS and that comes into play in this series where the dog has covered 5 of the last 7 and the home team covered 7 of the last 10. The Jags do well in week 6 at 4-1 ATS. Tennessee has stumbled in road games vs teams with winning home records at 2-6 ATS. TN has alternated wins and losses and they're coming off that big win last week at Dallas. We'll look for the Jags to keep their winning momentum here.
