STAT/SYSTEMS SPORTS POWER SEARCH -- ALCS & NFL *****
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When you are ready to step up an into the challenge of advanced sports handicapping, be sure to check out Stan 'The Man's ALL NEW Stat/Systems Sheets. They are loaded with power ratings, computer predictions, matchups, betting trends, systems, statistics, schedules and results. Once you have sampled my Stat/Systems Sheets, you will no longer need free picks, consensus plays, or other professional handicapping services!
Each day here in our Stat/Systems Report we will list the Top - Angles, Stats and Situational Trends for up-coming games, including all the Key - ATS, Over/Unders, Money-Line, First Half ATS Top Trends including Over/Unders, Coaches ATS & Over/Unders and Teaser Line Trends, along with all your high percentage Super Situation Systems.
Stan Continues to Turn Up the Heat on the Gridiron with his RED~HOT 26-3-2 (89.6%) ATS Run, along with an impressive 127-56-2 mark (69.4%) roll in MLB action! But most Importantly, Yours Truly has delivered in Thirty-Three of the last Thirty-Six, and Sixty-Seven of Seventy-One Weeks Dating back to Last Season.
The Man kicked off the week Saturday with his *5-Star CFB System of the Week (San Diego St. +1) which told us to -- PLAY ON: Any .500 or greater college home dog with revenge off a SU road favorite loss that allows 20.7 or fewer PPG versus an .800 or greater opponent. (ATS W-L Record Since 1980: 18-7, 72%).
--Result: True freshman Ronnie Hillman carried 24 times for 191 yards and two touchdowns and San Diego State was aided by the use of instant replay in a 27-25 win over 23rd-ranked Air Force. Ryan Lindley connected on 14-of-26 throws for 247 yards and a touchdown for the Aztecs who defeated a ranked team for the first time since 1996.
Stan came right back in another MWC affair (BYU +30) with his Amazing *5-Star Situational Play of the Week -- TEAMS: are 0-16 ATS (-11.7 ppg) since October 9, 2004 as between a 22 and 33 point dog after a home win by more than a point and they scored at least 17 points if they were underdogs of more than two points.
--Result: Andy Dalton threw for 273 yards and four touchdowns as No. 4 TCU had an easy time dispatching BYU 31-3, at Carter Stadium. Dalton, who finished 24-of-36 and was not intercepted, connected with Josh Boyce twice and once each with Jimmy Young and Jeremy Kerley for the Horned Frogs who have won the season's first seven games for the second consecutive campaign.
The winning continued for all that called as Stan delivered with his *5-Star Total of the Week (Rutgers/Army Over 42) - PLAY OVER - All teams where the total is 42 or less in a game involving two teams with good turnover differentials (+0.75/game or better). (29-2 over the last 5 seasons.) (93.5%, +26.8 units).
--Result: A one-yard touchdown run by Joe Martinek proved to be the difference in overtime as the Rutgers Scarlet Knights picked up the 23-20 win over the Army Black Knights in non-conference action at the New Meadowlands Stadium. Martinek finished with just 30 yards on 10 attempts for the Scarlet Knights a team which generated a mere 95 yards on the ground. Chas Dodd completed 18-of-30 passes for 251 yards and two touchdowns, but was intercepted once and sacked a total of eight times, leaving him with a net of minus-78 rushing yards on the afternoon.
Sunday it was another Perfect weekend with "The Man" cashing his *5-Star Awesome Angle of the Week (New Orleans -5.5). Stan wrote: Coming to the rescue is this winning angle from our huge powerful database, one that tells us that the defending Super Bowl champions playing on the road off a straight-up loss as a favorite taking on an opponent off a SU and ATS win are 17-6-2 ATS, including 14-2-2 ATS when facing a .500 or greater outfit. Toss in Tampa’s 2-7 SU and 1-7-1 ATS mark in home affairs under head coach Raheem Morris, along with their 1-10 ATS record in October battles when playing off a straight underdog win and suddenly New Orleans is looking more like last year’s Saints!
--Result: Drew Brees threw for 263 yards and three touchdowns, as the New Orleans Saints dominated in a 31-6 win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Brees completed 21-of-32 passes and was intercepted once for the Saints who rebounded nicely from last week's loss to Arizona. Rookie running back Chris Ivory broke out for a career-high 158 yards on 15 carries, while Robert Meachem and Lance Moore each had a touchdown reception.
“Who will cash at the betting window on Monday, be sure to get all your winners each and every day "Where the Winning Never Stops!" Call me toll-free in the office @ 1-800-351-4640 "You'll be real glad you did" -Stan!
NOTE: All New Website Coming Soon!
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*** RANGERS @ NEW YORK YANKEES ***
ALCS Game 3, Series tied 1-1
Monday, 8:05 p.m. EDT, Line: Texas -120, New York +110 Total: 7.5
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The Rangers look to take advantage of a New York team that is 0-5 in its last 5 playoff games as an underdog. The ALCS shifts to New York for Monday night’s Game 3 where Cliff Lee (12-9, 3.18 ERA) takes on Andy Pettitte (11-3, 3.28 ERA). Lee is a spectacular 6-0 with a 1.44 ERA and three complete games in seven postseason starts the last two years. He gets the ball for the Texas Rangers against Andy Pettitte, who has an outstanding October resume of his own. The longtime Yankees lefty is going for his 20th postseason win.
Coming off the first home playoff win in the franchise’s 50-season history, the Rangers are back on the road—where they’re unbeaten in these playoffs. Texas won all three first-round games at AL East champion Tampa Bay, including a pair of masterpieces by Lee. Next, he’ll try to join Orlando Hernandez and Orel Hershiser as the only pitchers to win their first seven postseason decisions. Hernandez opened 8-0 for the Yankees from 1998-2000, while Hershiser went 7-0 with the Los Angeles Dodgers and Cleveland Indians from 1985-95.
Because of his overwhelming brilliance, most of the buzz leading up to this matchup has revolved around Lee, nearly acquired by the Yankees before Seattle traded him to Texas on July 9. That’s just fine with the 38-year-old Pettitte, who is 5-0 with a 2.88 ERA in his last nine postseason starts and always seems to come through when New York needs him most. After missing two months with a groin injury and making only three starts in September, he pitched seven solid innings to beat Minnesota in Game 2 of the division series.
The high-scoring Yankees, with baseball’s top offense this season, have been as overmatched by Lee as everyone else lately. They like to work pitchers and grind out at-bats, but their patient approach can be neutralized by Lee because he keeps everything on the plate. In his last five starts in the Bronx, Lee is 5-0 with a 1.67 ERA and two complete games, including a six-hitter in the World Series opener for the Phillies last year when he struck out 10 and gave up only an unearned run. In fact, he won both his World Series starts for Philadelphia. New York took the other four games.
Lee struggled in August, then had an injection in his aching back and took almost two weeks off before returning to face the Yankees at home on Sept. 12th. He allowed two hits in eight-plus innings of a 4-1 win. In the postseason, he’s been nearly perfect, compiling 54 strikeouts while walking only six in 56 1-3 innings. He struck out 21 and did not walk a batter in two starts spanning 16 innings against the Rays.
If the wild-card Yankees have their way, this will be the last time they see the 32-year-old Lee until they start throwing money at him this offseason, when he can become a free agent. But if the Rangers win Monday night, New York would need to take the next three in a row to advance without facing him in a decisive Game 7 at Texas. Nobody knows that better than Pettitte. At 19-9 with a 3.87 ERA, he holds major league records for wins, starts (41) and innings (256) in the postseason.
*STAN'S FORECASTER – NY by 0.6; OU 8.31
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Texas -107
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - NY - 0.72
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• TOP RATED TEAM MONEY LINE TRENDS
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--TEXAS is 10-19 (-12.8 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 this season.
The average score was TEXAS 3.9, OPPONENT 4 - (Rating = 2*)
--TEXAS is 22-5 (+14.3 Units) against the money line on a good fielding streak, 10 straight games with one or less errors this season.
The average score was TEXAS 5.8, OPPONENT 3.8 - (Rating = 2*)
--TEXAS is 2-12 (-10.9 Units) against the money line in road games vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging <=0.5 errors/game this season.
The average score was TEXAS 3.5, OPPONENT 5.9 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER UNDER TRENDS
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--NY YANKEES are 39-25 OVER (+13 Units) vs. AL teams allowing 4.7 or less runs/game in the second half of the season this season.
The average score was NY YANKEES 5.3, OPPONENT 4.5 - (Rating = 2*)
--TEXAS is 15-4 UNDER (+10.5 Units) in road games after a win by 4 runs or more this season.
The average score was TEXAS 3.6, OPPONENT 3 - (Rating = 2*)
--NY YANKEES are 31-17 OVER (+13.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
The average score was NY YANKEES 5, OPPONENT 5.2 - (Rating = 2*)
--NY YANKEES are 39-25 OVER (+13 Units) vs. AL teams allowing 4.7 or less runs/game in the second half of the season this season.
The average score was NY YANKEES 5.3, OPPONENT 4.5 - (Rating = 2*)
--TEXAS is 16-4 UNDER (+11.3 Units) vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.20 to 5.70 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TEXAS 3.5, OPPONENT 4 - (Rating = 2*)
--NY YANKEES are 8-0 UNDER (+8 Units) in home games in October games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NY YANKEES 4.2, OPPONENT 2.4 - (Rating = 2*)
--NY YANKEES are 74-55 OVER (+16.1 Units) after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NY YANKEES 5.8, OPPONENT 4.4 - (Rating = 1*)
--NY YANKEES are 78-62 OVER (+12.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NY YANKEES 5.5, OPPONENT 4.4 - (Rating = 1*)
--NY YANKEES are 42-30 OVER (+10.3 Units) after having won 2 of their last 3 games this season.
The average score was NY YANKEES 5.9, OPPONENT 4.2 - (Rating = 1*)
--NY YANKEES are 26-17 OVER (+8.4 Units) in home games in the second half of the season this season.
The average score was NY YANKEES 5.7, OPPONENT 4.6 - (Rating = 1*)
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• TOP RATED TEAM RUN LINE TRENDS
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--NY YANKEES are 29-15 (+18 Units) against the run line vs. AL teams allowing 4.2 or less runs/game on the season this season.
The average score was NY YANKEES 5.2, OPPONENT 4.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--TEXAS is 0-7 (-10.6 Units) against the run line in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season this season.
The average score was TEXAS 2.9, OPPONENT 6.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--NY YANKEES are 19-9 (+13.2 Units) against the run line vs. AL teams allowing 4.2 or less runs/game in the second half of the season this season.
The average score was NY YANKEES 5.4, OPPONENT 4.4 - (Rating = 2*)
--NY YANKEES are 48-35 (+17 Units) against the run line in home games this season.
The average score was NY YANKEES 5.8, OPPONENT 4.4 - (Rating = 2*)
--NY YANKEES are 32-18 (+14.8 Units) against the run line when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season.
The average score was NY YANKEES 4.9, OPPONENT 3.5 - (Rating = 2*)
--NY YANKEES are 42-20 (+27 Units) against the run line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NY YANKEES 5.5, OPPONENT 4.4 - (Rating = 2*)
--NY YANKEES are 39-25 (+16.7 Units) against the run line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season.
The average score was NY YANKEES 5.5, OPPONENT 4.2 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED STARTING PITCHER MONEY LINE TRENDS
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--CLIFF LEE is 32-13 (+20.4 Units) against the money line vs. teams who strand 7.5 or more runners on base per game since 1997.
The average score was LEE 5.9, OPPONENT 3.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--CLIFF LEE is 70-49 (+21.1 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
The average score was LEE 5.4, OPPONENT 4.2 - (Rating = 2*)
--CLIFF LEE is 62-32 (+22 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 since 1997.
The average score was LEE 5.3, OPPONENT 3.5 - (Rating = 2*)
--ANDY PETTITTE is 28-10 (+13 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PETTITTE 5.5, OPPONENT 4 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED STARTING PITCHER OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--ANDY PETTITTE is 22-9 UNDER (+11.9 Units) vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PETTITTE 5.1, OPPONENT 3.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--ANDY PETTITTE is 37-21 UNDER (+12.7 Units) in night games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PETTITTE 5.1, OPPONENT 4.2 - (Rating = 2*)
--CLIFF LEE is 14-4 UNDER (+9.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LEE 4.3, OPPONENT 2.7 - (Rating = 2*)
--CLIFF LEE is 34-21 UNDER (+10 Units) as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LEE 4.3, OPPONENT 3.4 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED STARTING PITCHER RUN LINE TRENDS
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--ANDY PETTITTE is 10-1 (+10.9 Units) against the run line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PETTITTE 7.1, OPPONENT 4 - (Rating = 4*)
--ANDY PETTITTE is 77-48 (+34.3 Units) against the run line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
The average score was PETTITTE 5.2, OPPONENT 4.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--ANDY PETTITTE is 42-28 (+17.4 Units) against the run line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season since 1997.
The average score was PETTITTE 5.4, OPPONENT 4.2 - (Rating = 2*)
--ANDY PETTITTE is 14-6 (+10 Units) against the run line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season.
The average score was PETTITTE 6.3, OPPONENT 3.9 - (Rating = 1*)
--ANDY PETTITTE is 66-51 (+23.6 Units) against the run line in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season since 1997.
The average score was PETTITTE 5.3, OPPONENT 4.2 - (Rating = 1*)
--CLIFF LEE is 29-16 (+14.3 Units) against the run line vs. teams who strand 7.5 or more runners on base per game since 1997.
The average score was LEE 5.9, OPPONENT 3.8 - (Rating = 2*)
--CLIFF LEE is 25-14 (+13.8 Units) against the run line after giving up <=2 earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LEE 5.4, OPPONENT 3.5 - (Rating = 2*)
--CLIFF LEE is 28-16 (+13.9 Units) against the run line after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LEE 4.7, OPPONENT 3.1 - (Rating = 2*)
--CLIFF LEE is 41-29 (+13.9 Units) against the run line when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LEE 4.9, OPPONENT 3.2 - (Rating = 1*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
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PLAY AGAINST - Road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (TEXAS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better on the season (AL), starting a pitcher who walked <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings.
(63-35 over the last 5 seasons.) (64.3%, +45.2 units. Rating = 4*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team underdog with a money line of: +127.2
The average score in these games was: Team 5, Opponent 4.8 (Average run differential = +0.1)
The situation's record this season is: (12-8, +7.8 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (40-17, +32.9 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (121-107, +57.1 units).
PLAY OVER - Home teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (NY YANKEES) - good offensive team - scoring >=5.2 runs/game on the season (AL) against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 3 starts.
(99-55 since 1997.) (64.3%, +39.5 units. Rating = 2*)
The average total posted in these games was: 8.1, Money Line=-108.3
The average score in these games was: Team 4.6, Opponent 4.9 (Total runs scored = 9.5)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 1 or more runs was 83 (53.5% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (8-8, -0.7 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (17-12, +4.1 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (30-16, +12.7 units).
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Experience is what this business is all about, and good money can be made if one has the right connections. Stan 'The Man' prides himself on uncovering the edge that gives his customers the ability to beat the sports books on a consistent basis. Stan is a full time Expert Handicapper that can help you consistently beat the books. With any package that you purchase it is fully guaranteed that you show a profit, or he'll extend your service at no charge. If you have any questions about our services call 1-800 -351-4640.
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*** JAGUARS LOOK FOR THEIR THIRD STRAIGHT VICTORY ***
Kickoff: Monday, 8:30 p.m. EDT, Line: Tennessee -3, Total: 44.5
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As one half of the four-way tie in the AFC South, the Jacksonville Jaguars and Tennessee Titans appear confident they can continue their early-season success. The division rivals meet for the first time this season Monday night in Jacksonville. After each missed the playoffs last season, Tennessee and Jacksonville join Indianapolis and Houston at 3-2. The Jaguars and Titans split two meetings last season with the Jags winning 37-17 at home on Oct. 4, 2009.
Though the Titans were blown out in their last visit to Jacksonville, they have won both of their road games this season and five of six dating to 2009. The Jaguars, meanwhile, have totaled 67 points while beating Indianapolis and Buffalo after scoring 40 in losing two of its first three games. Jacksonville has never recorded three straight games of more than 30 points. Both teams have benefited from strong offensive efforts of late.
Fourth in the NFL averaging 26.4 points per game, Tennessee has scored 83 points while winning two of three. The Titans amassed 321 yards in a 34-27 win at Dallas on Sunday. Vince Young threw two touchdowns and Chris Johnson ran for 131 yards and two scores. Young has played well recently (4 TD, 0 INT in past three games), but has averaged just 136 passing YPG with 4 TD and 8 INT (4-2) in six career games against the Jaguars.
Second in the NFL with 485 rushing yards after a league-leading 2,006 last year, Johnson ran for 228 and two TDs in a 30-13 home win over Jacksonville on Nov. 1. It was the most yards the Jaguars allowed on the ground in a single game. He could be in for another big day against a Jacksonville club that ranks 30th allowing an average of 385.0 total yards per game and points (27.4 PPG) assuming his thigh injury isn’t more serious than what the Titans are letting on.
Fisher, however, would like to see improvement from his defense after the unit allowed a season-high 511 yards against Dallas. Tennessee has yielded 1,042 yards threw the air in its last three contests. That might bode well for Jacksonville’s David Garrard 33 of 42 for 341 yards with five touchdowns and an interception in his last two games. He threw three TDs in a 36-26 win at Buffalo last Sunday. Garrard has not enjoyed this matchup in the past, 4-9 lifetime versus Tennessee with 144 passing YPG, 11 TD and 11 INT. Garrard passed for 323 yards and three touchdowns against the Titans last October.
Maurice Jones-Drew has been successful against the Titans -- 97 total YPG and 5.9 YPC with 7 TD in eight games against Tennessee. He has missed some practicing this week with an ankle injury, but he will be ready to play Monday night. Jaguars coach Jack Del Rio is confident Maurice Jones-Drew will be able to play after the running back injured his right wrist on the second play of the fourth quarter last weekend.
*STAN'S FORECASTER – Jacksonville by 1; O/U 47
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Tennessee -1.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Tennessee by 0.76
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• PREGAME NOTES
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Tennessee won five of last seven series games; they’re 5-3 in last eight visits here. Titans beat Jags last six times they held them to 17 or less points, lost last five times Jags score more than 17. Jax scored 31-36 points in last two games, running ball for 390 yards, averaging 7.4/7.5 ypa- they won at Buffalo last week despite -3 turnover ratio. Rare in NFL to win on road with that bad a ratio, even against a sorry team. Titans have played better on road, beating Giants/Dallas while losing last two home games. Field position has been key for Tennessee; in their wins, they’ve been +11/+15/+15; in losses, -11/-14, with +7 turnover ratio in wins, -7 in losses. Jags were held to 3-13 points in losses; scored 24+ in wins- they’re 11-6 as home underdog since 2004. Again, underdogs off to amazing 20-4-1 (83.3%) start vs. spread in divisional games this season, 10-2-1 at home.
• QUICK HITS
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--TENNESSEE: 8-0 OU (15.7 ppg) since September 22, 2002 as a favorite when facing a team that has allowed an average of at least 375 yards of offense per game season-to-date... 10-0 OU (13.7 ppg) since November 02, 1997 within 3 of pick when they won last week while benefiting from a takeaway margin of at least +2 on the road... FISHER: 0-12 ATS fav 3 > pts vs op off BB SU/ATS wins.
--JACKSONVILLE: 9-0 .500 > off SU non div win vs .500 > opp... 9-0 OU (12.7 ppg) since October 01, 2006 the week after on the road in which they had at least three more minutes of possession time than their season-to-date average... 8-0 OU (16.5 ppg) since October 01, 2006 within 3 of pick when their opponent’s season-to-date average pass attempts per game is fewer than 30.
• AWESOME ANGLE OF THE DAY
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Jack Del Rio has prospered mightly in tonight’s role, posting a Rock Solid 13-5 ATS mark (72.2%) as a division dog when playing with revenge, including 5-1 ATS if his squad is .600 or greater on the season. The Jag's have also been money in the bank in this series as dogs off a SU underdog victory, posting a perfect 4-0 ATS mark while the Titans are just 1-5-1 ATS as favorites off a SU dog win versus an NFL outfit off back-to-back SU wins.
The clincher here tonight comes from our huge powerful database which tells us: NFL division home underdogs off a SU nondivision road dog win and back-to-back SU victories are 18-5-1 ATS (78.3%) when facing an opponent off a SU win. Not to mention once again "We’d like to thank Jeff's Troops plus the points for delivering an easy *5-Star Systems of the Week selection with their 34-27 win in Dallas last Sunday.
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--TENNESSEE is 23-8 OVER (+14.2 Units) after allowing 300 or more passing yards in their last game since 1992.
The average score was TENNESSEE 20.8, OPPONENT 28.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--TENNESSEE is 15-3 OVER (+11.7 Units) vs. awful passing defenses - allowing 7.5 or more passing yards/att. since 1992.
The average score was TENNESSEE 29.5, OPPONENT 25.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--TENNESSEE is 32-13 OVER (+17.7 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 7 or more passing yards/att. since 1992.
The average score was TENNESSEE 24.6, OPPONENT 23.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--TENNESSEE is 26-9 OVER (+16.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing >=350 yards/game since 1992.
The average score was TENNESSEE 26.4, OPPONENT 23.9 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--JACKSONVILLE is 8-0 UNDER (+8 Units) the 1rst half total after scoring 30 points or more in 2 straight games since 1992.
The average score was JACKSONVILLE 4.7, OPPONENT 7.3 - (Rating = 3*)
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When you are ready to step up an into the challenge of advanced sports handicapping, be sure to check out Stan 'The Man's ALL NEW Stat/Systems Sheets. They are loaded with power ratings, computer predictions, matchups, betting trends, systems, statistics, schedules and results. Once you have sampled my Stat/Systems Sheets, you will no longer need free picks, consensus plays, or other professional handicapping services!
Each day here in our Stat/Systems Report we will list the Top - Angles, Stats and Situational Trends for up-coming games, including all the Key - ATS, Over/Unders, Money-Line, First Half ATS Top Trends including Over/Unders, Coaches ATS & Over/Unders and Teaser Line Trends, along with all your high percentage Super Situation Systems.
Stan Continues to Turn Up the Heat on the Gridiron with his RED~HOT 26-3-2 (89.6%) ATS Run, along with an impressive 127-56-2 mark (69.4%) roll in MLB action! But most Importantly, Yours Truly has delivered in Thirty-Three of the last Thirty-Six, and Sixty-Seven of Seventy-One Weeks Dating back to Last Season.
The Man kicked off the week Saturday with his *5-Star CFB System of the Week (San Diego St. +1) which told us to -- PLAY ON: Any .500 or greater college home dog with revenge off a SU road favorite loss that allows 20.7 or fewer PPG versus an .800 or greater opponent. (ATS W-L Record Since 1980: 18-7, 72%).
--Result: True freshman Ronnie Hillman carried 24 times for 191 yards and two touchdowns and San Diego State was aided by the use of instant replay in a 27-25 win over 23rd-ranked Air Force. Ryan Lindley connected on 14-of-26 throws for 247 yards and a touchdown for the Aztecs who defeated a ranked team for the first time since 1996.
Stan came right back in another MWC affair (BYU +30) with his Amazing *5-Star Situational Play of the Week -- TEAMS: are 0-16 ATS (-11.7 ppg) since October 9, 2004 as between a 22 and 33 point dog after a home win by more than a point and they scored at least 17 points if they were underdogs of more than two points.
--Result: Andy Dalton threw for 273 yards and four touchdowns as No. 4 TCU had an easy time dispatching BYU 31-3, at Carter Stadium. Dalton, who finished 24-of-36 and was not intercepted, connected with Josh Boyce twice and once each with Jimmy Young and Jeremy Kerley for the Horned Frogs who have won the season's first seven games for the second consecutive campaign.
The winning continued for all that called as Stan delivered with his *5-Star Total of the Week (Rutgers/Army Over 42) - PLAY OVER - All teams where the total is 42 or less in a game involving two teams with good turnover differentials (+0.75/game or better). (29-2 over the last 5 seasons.) (93.5%, +26.8 units).
--Result: A one-yard touchdown run by Joe Martinek proved to be the difference in overtime as the Rutgers Scarlet Knights picked up the 23-20 win over the Army Black Knights in non-conference action at the New Meadowlands Stadium. Martinek finished with just 30 yards on 10 attempts for the Scarlet Knights a team which generated a mere 95 yards on the ground. Chas Dodd completed 18-of-30 passes for 251 yards and two touchdowns, but was intercepted once and sacked a total of eight times, leaving him with a net of minus-78 rushing yards on the afternoon.
Sunday it was another Perfect weekend with "The Man" cashing his *5-Star Awesome Angle of the Week (New Orleans -5.5). Stan wrote: Coming to the rescue is this winning angle from our huge powerful database, one that tells us that the defending Super Bowl champions playing on the road off a straight-up loss as a favorite taking on an opponent off a SU and ATS win are 17-6-2 ATS, including 14-2-2 ATS when facing a .500 or greater outfit. Toss in Tampa’s 2-7 SU and 1-7-1 ATS mark in home affairs under head coach Raheem Morris, along with their 1-10 ATS record in October battles when playing off a straight underdog win and suddenly New Orleans is looking more like last year’s Saints!
--Result: Drew Brees threw for 263 yards and three touchdowns, as the New Orleans Saints dominated in a 31-6 win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Brees completed 21-of-32 passes and was intercepted once for the Saints who rebounded nicely from last week's loss to Arizona. Rookie running back Chris Ivory broke out for a career-high 158 yards on 15 carries, while Robert Meachem and Lance Moore each had a touchdown reception.
“Who will cash at the betting window on Monday, be sure to get all your winners each and every day "Where the Winning Never Stops!" Call me toll-free in the office @ 1-800-351-4640 "You'll be real glad you did" -Stan!
NOTE: All New Website Coming Soon!
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*** RANGERS @ NEW YORK YANKEES ***
ALCS Game 3, Series tied 1-1
Monday, 8:05 p.m. EDT, Line: Texas -120, New York +110 Total: 7.5
=================================================
The Rangers look to take advantage of a New York team that is 0-5 in its last 5 playoff games as an underdog. The ALCS shifts to New York for Monday night’s Game 3 where Cliff Lee (12-9, 3.18 ERA) takes on Andy Pettitte (11-3, 3.28 ERA). Lee is a spectacular 6-0 with a 1.44 ERA and three complete games in seven postseason starts the last two years. He gets the ball for the Texas Rangers against Andy Pettitte, who has an outstanding October resume of his own. The longtime Yankees lefty is going for his 20th postseason win.
Coming off the first home playoff win in the franchise’s 50-season history, the Rangers are back on the road—where they’re unbeaten in these playoffs. Texas won all three first-round games at AL East champion Tampa Bay, including a pair of masterpieces by Lee. Next, he’ll try to join Orlando Hernandez and Orel Hershiser as the only pitchers to win their first seven postseason decisions. Hernandez opened 8-0 for the Yankees from 1998-2000, while Hershiser went 7-0 with the Los Angeles Dodgers and Cleveland Indians from 1985-95.
Because of his overwhelming brilliance, most of the buzz leading up to this matchup has revolved around Lee, nearly acquired by the Yankees before Seattle traded him to Texas on July 9. That’s just fine with the 38-year-old Pettitte, who is 5-0 with a 2.88 ERA in his last nine postseason starts and always seems to come through when New York needs him most. After missing two months with a groin injury and making only three starts in September, he pitched seven solid innings to beat Minnesota in Game 2 of the division series.
The high-scoring Yankees, with baseball’s top offense this season, have been as overmatched by Lee as everyone else lately. They like to work pitchers and grind out at-bats, but their patient approach can be neutralized by Lee because he keeps everything on the plate. In his last five starts in the Bronx, Lee is 5-0 with a 1.67 ERA and two complete games, including a six-hitter in the World Series opener for the Phillies last year when he struck out 10 and gave up only an unearned run. In fact, he won both his World Series starts for Philadelphia. New York took the other four games.
Lee struggled in August, then had an injection in his aching back and took almost two weeks off before returning to face the Yankees at home on Sept. 12th. He allowed two hits in eight-plus innings of a 4-1 win. In the postseason, he’s been nearly perfect, compiling 54 strikeouts while walking only six in 56 1-3 innings. He struck out 21 and did not walk a batter in two starts spanning 16 innings against the Rays.
If the wild-card Yankees have their way, this will be the last time they see the 32-year-old Lee until they start throwing money at him this offseason, when he can become a free agent. But if the Rangers win Monday night, New York would need to take the next three in a row to advance without facing him in a decisive Game 7 at Texas. Nobody knows that better than Pettitte. At 19-9 with a 3.87 ERA, he holds major league records for wins, starts (41) and innings (256) in the postseason.
*STAN'S FORECASTER – NY by 0.6; OU 8.31
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Texas -107
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - NY - 0.72
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• TOP RATED TEAM MONEY LINE TRENDS
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
--TEXAS is 10-19 (-12.8 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 this season.
The average score was TEXAS 3.9, OPPONENT 4 - (Rating = 2*)
--TEXAS is 22-5 (+14.3 Units) against the money line on a good fielding streak, 10 straight games with one or less errors this season.
The average score was TEXAS 5.8, OPPONENT 3.8 - (Rating = 2*)
--TEXAS is 2-12 (-10.9 Units) against the money line in road games vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging <=0.5 errors/game this season.
The average score was TEXAS 3.5, OPPONENT 5.9 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER UNDER TRENDS
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
--NY YANKEES are 39-25 OVER (+13 Units) vs. AL teams allowing 4.7 or less runs/game in the second half of the season this season.
The average score was NY YANKEES 5.3, OPPONENT 4.5 - (Rating = 2*)
--TEXAS is 15-4 UNDER (+10.5 Units) in road games after a win by 4 runs or more this season.
The average score was TEXAS 3.6, OPPONENT 3 - (Rating = 2*)
--NY YANKEES are 31-17 OVER (+13.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
The average score was NY YANKEES 5, OPPONENT 5.2 - (Rating = 2*)
--NY YANKEES are 39-25 OVER (+13 Units) vs. AL teams allowing 4.7 or less runs/game in the second half of the season this season.
The average score was NY YANKEES 5.3, OPPONENT 4.5 - (Rating = 2*)
--TEXAS is 16-4 UNDER (+11.3 Units) vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.20 to 5.70 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TEXAS 3.5, OPPONENT 4 - (Rating = 2*)
--NY YANKEES are 8-0 UNDER (+8 Units) in home games in October games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NY YANKEES 4.2, OPPONENT 2.4 - (Rating = 2*)
--NY YANKEES are 74-55 OVER (+16.1 Units) after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NY YANKEES 5.8, OPPONENT 4.4 - (Rating = 1*)
--NY YANKEES are 78-62 OVER (+12.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NY YANKEES 5.5, OPPONENT 4.4 - (Rating = 1*)
--NY YANKEES are 42-30 OVER (+10.3 Units) after having won 2 of their last 3 games this season.
The average score was NY YANKEES 5.9, OPPONENT 4.2 - (Rating = 1*)
--NY YANKEES are 26-17 OVER (+8.4 Units) in home games in the second half of the season this season.
The average score was NY YANKEES 5.7, OPPONENT 4.6 - (Rating = 1*)
__________________________________________________ _________________
• TOP RATED TEAM RUN LINE TRENDS
-----------------------------------------------------------------
--NY YANKEES are 29-15 (+18 Units) against the run line vs. AL teams allowing 4.2 or less runs/game on the season this season.
The average score was NY YANKEES 5.2, OPPONENT 4.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--TEXAS is 0-7 (-10.6 Units) against the run line in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season this season.
The average score was TEXAS 2.9, OPPONENT 6.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--NY YANKEES are 19-9 (+13.2 Units) against the run line vs. AL teams allowing 4.2 or less runs/game in the second half of the season this season.
The average score was NY YANKEES 5.4, OPPONENT 4.4 - (Rating = 2*)
--NY YANKEES are 48-35 (+17 Units) against the run line in home games this season.
The average score was NY YANKEES 5.8, OPPONENT 4.4 - (Rating = 2*)
--NY YANKEES are 32-18 (+14.8 Units) against the run line when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season.
The average score was NY YANKEES 4.9, OPPONENT 3.5 - (Rating = 2*)
--NY YANKEES are 42-20 (+27 Units) against the run line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NY YANKEES 5.5, OPPONENT 4.4 - (Rating = 2*)
--NY YANKEES are 39-25 (+16.7 Units) against the run line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better this season.
The average score was NY YANKEES 5.5, OPPONENT 4.2 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED STARTING PITCHER MONEY LINE TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
--CLIFF LEE is 32-13 (+20.4 Units) against the money line vs. teams who strand 7.5 or more runners on base per game since 1997.
The average score was LEE 5.9, OPPONENT 3.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--CLIFF LEE is 70-49 (+21.1 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
The average score was LEE 5.4, OPPONENT 4.2 - (Rating = 2*)
--CLIFF LEE is 62-32 (+22 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 since 1997.
The average score was LEE 5.3, OPPONENT 3.5 - (Rating = 2*)
--ANDY PETTITTE is 28-10 (+13 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PETTITTE 5.5, OPPONENT 4 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED STARTING PITCHER OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
--ANDY PETTITTE is 22-9 UNDER (+11.9 Units) vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PETTITTE 5.1, OPPONENT 3.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--ANDY PETTITTE is 37-21 UNDER (+12.7 Units) in night games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PETTITTE 5.1, OPPONENT 4.2 - (Rating = 2*)
--CLIFF LEE is 14-4 UNDER (+9.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LEE 4.3, OPPONENT 2.7 - (Rating = 2*)
--CLIFF LEE is 34-21 UNDER (+10 Units) as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LEE 4.3, OPPONENT 3.4 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED STARTING PITCHER RUN LINE TRENDS
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
--ANDY PETTITTE is 10-1 (+10.9 Units) against the run line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PETTITTE 7.1, OPPONENT 4 - (Rating = 4*)
--ANDY PETTITTE is 77-48 (+34.3 Units) against the run line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
The average score was PETTITTE 5.2, OPPONENT 4.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--ANDY PETTITTE is 42-28 (+17.4 Units) against the run line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) in the second half of the season since 1997.
The average score was PETTITTE 5.4, OPPONENT 4.2 - (Rating = 2*)
--ANDY PETTITTE is 14-6 (+10 Units) against the run line vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season.
The average score was PETTITTE 6.3, OPPONENT 3.9 - (Rating = 1*)
--ANDY PETTITTE is 66-51 (+23.6 Units) against the run line in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season since 1997.
The average score was PETTITTE 5.3, OPPONENT 4.2 - (Rating = 1*)
--CLIFF LEE is 29-16 (+14.3 Units) against the run line vs. teams who strand 7.5 or more runners on base per game since 1997.
The average score was LEE 5.9, OPPONENT 3.8 - (Rating = 2*)
--CLIFF LEE is 25-14 (+13.8 Units) against the run line after giving up <=2 earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LEE 5.4, OPPONENT 3.5 - (Rating = 2*)
--CLIFF LEE is 28-16 (+13.9 Units) against the run line after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LEE 4.7, OPPONENT 3.1 - (Rating = 2*)
--CLIFF LEE is 41-29 (+13.9 Units) against the run line when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LEE 4.9, OPPONENT 3.2 - (Rating = 1*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
---------------------------------------------------------------
PLAY AGAINST - Road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (TEXAS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.20 or better on the season (AL), starting a pitcher who walked <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings.
(63-35 over the last 5 seasons.) (64.3%, +45.2 units. Rating = 4*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team underdog with a money line of: +127.2
The average score in these games was: Team 5, Opponent 4.8 (Average run differential = +0.1)
The situation's record this season is: (12-8, +7.8 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (40-17, +32.9 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (121-107, +57.1 units).
PLAY OVER - Home teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (NY YANKEES) - good offensive team - scoring >=5.2 runs/game on the season (AL) against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 3 starts.
(99-55 since 1997.) (64.3%, +39.5 units. Rating = 2*)
The average total posted in these games was: 8.1, Money Line=-108.3
The average score in these games was: Team 4.6, Opponent 4.9 (Total runs scored = 9.5)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 1 or more runs was 83 (53.5% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (8-8, -0.7 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (17-12, +4.1 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (30-16, +12.7 units).
__________________________________________________ _____________
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*** JAGUARS LOOK FOR THEIR THIRD STRAIGHT VICTORY ***
Kickoff: Monday, 8:30 p.m. EDT, Line: Tennessee -3, Total: 44.5
===============================================
As one half of the four-way tie in the AFC South, the Jacksonville Jaguars and Tennessee Titans appear confident they can continue their early-season success. The division rivals meet for the first time this season Monday night in Jacksonville. After each missed the playoffs last season, Tennessee and Jacksonville join Indianapolis and Houston at 3-2. The Jaguars and Titans split two meetings last season with the Jags winning 37-17 at home on Oct. 4, 2009.
Though the Titans were blown out in their last visit to Jacksonville, they have won both of their road games this season and five of six dating to 2009. The Jaguars, meanwhile, have totaled 67 points while beating Indianapolis and Buffalo after scoring 40 in losing two of its first three games. Jacksonville has never recorded three straight games of more than 30 points. Both teams have benefited from strong offensive efforts of late.
Fourth in the NFL averaging 26.4 points per game, Tennessee has scored 83 points while winning two of three. The Titans amassed 321 yards in a 34-27 win at Dallas on Sunday. Vince Young threw two touchdowns and Chris Johnson ran for 131 yards and two scores. Young has played well recently (4 TD, 0 INT in past three games), but has averaged just 136 passing YPG with 4 TD and 8 INT (4-2) in six career games against the Jaguars.
Second in the NFL with 485 rushing yards after a league-leading 2,006 last year, Johnson ran for 228 and two TDs in a 30-13 home win over Jacksonville on Nov. 1. It was the most yards the Jaguars allowed on the ground in a single game. He could be in for another big day against a Jacksonville club that ranks 30th allowing an average of 385.0 total yards per game and points (27.4 PPG) assuming his thigh injury isn’t more serious than what the Titans are letting on.
Fisher, however, would like to see improvement from his defense after the unit allowed a season-high 511 yards against Dallas. Tennessee has yielded 1,042 yards threw the air in its last three contests. That might bode well for Jacksonville’s David Garrard 33 of 42 for 341 yards with five touchdowns and an interception in his last two games. He threw three TDs in a 36-26 win at Buffalo last Sunday. Garrard has not enjoyed this matchup in the past, 4-9 lifetime versus Tennessee with 144 passing YPG, 11 TD and 11 INT. Garrard passed for 323 yards and three touchdowns against the Titans last October.
Maurice Jones-Drew has been successful against the Titans -- 97 total YPG and 5.9 YPC with 7 TD in eight games against Tennessee. He has missed some practicing this week with an ankle injury, but he will be ready to play Monday night. Jaguars coach Jack Del Rio is confident Maurice Jones-Drew will be able to play after the running back injured his right wrist on the second play of the fourth quarter last weekend.
*STAN'S FORECASTER – Jacksonville by 1; O/U 47
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Tennessee -1.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Tennessee by 0.76
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• PREGAME NOTES
---------------------------------
Tennessee won five of last seven series games; they’re 5-3 in last eight visits here. Titans beat Jags last six times they held them to 17 or less points, lost last five times Jags score more than 17. Jax scored 31-36 points in last two games, running ball for 390 yards, averaging 7.4/7.5 ypa- they won at Buffalo last week despite -3 turnover ratio. Rare in NFL to win on road with that bad a ratio, even against a sorry team. Titans have played better on road, beating Giants/Dallas while losing last two home games. Field position has been key for Tennessee; in their wins, they’ve been +11/+15/+15; in losses, -11/-14, with +7 turnover ratio in wins, -7 in losses. Jags were held to 3-13 points in losses; scored 24+ in wins- they’re 11-6 as home underdog since 2004. Again, underdogs off to amazing 20-4-1 (83.3%) start vs. spread in divisional games this season, 10-2-1 at home.
• QUICK HITS
------------------------
--TENNESSEE: 8-0 OU (15.7 ppg) since September 22, 2002 as a favorite when facing a team that has allowed an average of at least 375 yards of offense per game season-to-date... 10-0 OU (13.7 ppg) since November 02, 1997 within 3 of pick when they won last week while benefiting from a takeaway margin of at least +2 on the road... FISHER: 0-12 ATS fav 3 > pts vs op off BB SU/ATS wins.
--JACKSONVILLE: 9-0 .500 > off SU non div win vs .500 > opp... 9-0 OU (12.7 ppg) since October 01, 2006 the week after on the road in which they had at least three more minutes of possession time than their season-to-date average... 8-0 OU (16.5 ppg) since October 01, 2006 within 3 of pick when their opponent’s season-to-date average pass attempts per game is fewer than 30.
• AWESOME ANGLE OF THE DAY
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Jack Del Rio has prospered mightly in tonight’s role, posting a Rock Solid 13-5 ATS mark (72.2%) as a division dog when playing with revenge, including 5-1 ATS if his squad is .600 or greater on the season. The Jag's have also been money in the bank in this series as dogs off a SU underdog victory, posting a perfect 4-0 ATS mark while the Titans are just 1-5-1 ATS as favorites off a SU dog win versus an NFL outfit off back-to-back SU wins.
The clincher here tonight comes from our huge powerful database which tells us: NFL division home underdogs off a SU nondivision road dog win and back-to-back SU victories are 18-5-1 ATS (78.3%) when facing an opponent off a SU win. Not to mention once again "We’d like to thank Jeff's Troops plus the points for delivering an easy *5-Star Systems of the Week selection with their 34-27 win in Dallas last Sunday.
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
------------------------------------------------------------------------
--TENNESSEE is 23-8 OVER (+14.2 Units) after allowing 300 or more passing yards in their last game since 1992.
The average score was TENNESSEE 20.8, OPPONENT 28.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--TENNESSEE is 15-3 OVER (+11.7 Units) vs. awful passing defenses - allowing 7.5 or more passing yards/att. since 1992.
The average score was TENNESSEE 29.5, OPPONENT 25.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--TENNESSEE is 32-13 OVER (+17.7 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 7 or more passing yards/att. since 1992.
The average score was TENNESSEE 24.6, OPPONENT 23.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--TENNESSEE is 26-9 OVER (+16.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing >=350 yards/game since 1992.
The average score was TENNESSEE 26.4, OPPONENT 23.9 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--JACKSONVILLE is 8-0 UNDER (+8 Units) the 1rst half total after scoring 30 points or more in 2 straight games since 1992.
The average score was JACKSONVILLE 4.7, OPPONENT 7.3 - (Rating = 3*)
__________________________________________________ ___________________
Services with a Winning Streak
SuperSportsGroup
10-4 Run (71%)
06 Oct 2-0
07 Oct 1-0
08 Oct 1-2
09 Oct 1-1
11 Oct 2-0
12 Oct 1-0
15 Oct 1-1
16 Oct ???
17 Oct 1-0
SUPERSPORTSGROUP
Texas v. NY 8:10pm
7* PICK: Yankees ML +105 Game
9* PICK: OVER 7.5 Game ev BEST BET OF THE DAY
Teddy Covers
6-2 Run (75%)
29 Sept 1-0
01 Oct 1-0
06 Oct 1-0
07 Oct 0-1
09 Oct 0-1
10 Oct 1-0
12 Oct 1-0
15 Oct 1-0
TEDDY COVERS
ALCS MLB PLAY
Texas Rangers
401 K Sports
Matt Dennehy
19-9 Run (68%)
7-3 Current Run (70%)
06 Oct 2-1
07 Oct 1-0
09 Oct 1-0
10 Oct 1-0
11 Oct 0-1
15 Oct 1-1
16 Oct 1-0
18 Oct
1* Texas -110
1* Texas -1.5 runs +150
The batter pitcher splits for Pettitte vs the Rangers are crazy. Francouer 5-8, Andrus 2-5, Guerrero 9-25 , Murphy 4-11, Molina 6-20, Young 9-30 and Hamilton 3-10. That is a lot of guys who have had significant success vs Pettitte in the past. Even though Pettitte is a money pitcher, hard to go against Lee here in the playoffs. Lee had the Yanks # last year and he is 6-0 in his playoff career. I think the Rangers gained a ton of confidence from their game 2 win. I am not worried about the bullpen here because Lee usually goes 8+ inn in the playoffs anyway. The ump Reynolds has a tight strike zone. This favors Lee as he pounds the zone where Pettitte nibbles more.
Wouldn't be surprised by a 5-2 Texas win tonight in the Bronx
Benjamin Lee Eckstein
4-1 Run (80%)
07 Oct 1-0
08 Oct 1-0
11 Oct 0-1
12 Oct 1-0
15 Oct 1-0
18 Oct
New York Yankees
NFL
WunderDog Sports
38-13 Run (75%)
19 Sept 7-2
20 Sept 1-0
26 Sept 8-3
27 Sept 1-0
03 Oct 5-2
04 Oct 1-0
10 Oct 7-3
11 Oct 1-0
17 Oct 7-3
18 Oct
5* Jacksonville Jaguars +3
401 K Sports
Matt Dennehy
3-1 Run (75%)
17 Oct 1-1
18 Oct
2* Jacksonville ML +135
Jacksonville has a lot of momentum here after confidence building wins over Indy and Buffalo. Garard in response to Del Rio's criticism has been efficient with the ball the last 2 weeks. Amazing what bringing in another Qb will do to the focus of a struggling player. Jax is 6-2 as a home team on Sun or Mon nights. The Titans defense has been leaky the last 2 games as their pass defense is a hurtin unit. The game is actually sold out for tonight. Much like Tampa in MLB, when the Jags sell out their games, they have a solid 6-2 SU record over the last 5 years(8 games sold out in 5 years?? that is sad but I digress). Johnson has a thigh problem that has held him out of practice as late as Saturday, so he is 1 good hit away from being out. Not ready to trust Titans on the road as a fave on Monday night.
Jax 24 Tenn 20
John Harrison
Disgusting Blowout
6-3 Run (67%)
12 Sept 1-0
26 Sept 1-0
03 Oct 0-1
04 Oct 1-0
10 Oct 1-1
11 Oct 1-0
17 Oct 1-1
18 Oct
2* Tennessee Titans Over 45
Lion Of Vegas
10-4 Run (71%)
17 Oct 1-1
18 Oct
2* Tennessee Titans -1/2 (1st half bet only)
SuperSportsGroup
10-4 Run (71%)
06 Oct 2-0
07 Oct 1-0
08 Oct 1-2
09 Oct 1-1
11 Oct 2-0
12 Oct 1-0
15 Oct 1-1
16 Oct ???
17 Oct 1-0
SUPERSPORTSGROUP
Texas v. NY 8:10pm
7* PICK: Yankees ML +105 Game
9* PICK: OVER 7.5 Game ev BEST BET OF THE DAY
Teddy Covers
6-2 Run (75%)
29 Sept 1-0
01 Oct 1-0
06 Oct 1-0
07 Oct 0-1
09 Oct 0-1
10 Oct 1-0
12 Oct 1-0
15 Oct 1-0
TEDDY COVERS
ALCS MLB PLAY
Texas Rangers
401 K Sports
Matt Dennehy
19-9 Run (68%)
7-3 Current Run (70%)
06 Oct 2-1
07 Oct 1-0
09 Oct 1-0
10 Oct 1-0
11 Oct 0-1
15 Oct 1-1
16 Oct 1-0
18 Oct
1* Texas -110
1* Texas -1.5 runs +150
The batter pitcher splits for Pettitte vs the Rangers are crazy. Francouer 5-8, Andrus 2-5, Guerrero 9-25 , Murphy 4-11, Molina 6-20, Young 9-30 and Hamilton 3-10. That is a lot of guys who have had significant success vs Pettitte in the past. Even though Pettitte is a money pitcher, hard to go against Lee here in the playoffs. Lee had the Yanks # last year and he is 6-0 in his playoff career. I think the Rangers gained a ton of confidence from their game 2 win. I am not worried about the bullpen here because Lee usually goes 8+ inn in the playoffs anyway. The ump Reynolds has a tight strike zone. This favors Lee as he pounds the zone where Pettitte nibbles more.
Wouldn't be surprised by a 5-2 Texas win tonight in the Bronx
Benjamin Lee Eckstein
4-1 Run (80%)
07 Oct 1-0
08 Oct 1-0
11 Oct 0-1
12 Oct 1-0
15 Oct 1-0
18 Oct
New York Yankees
NFL
WunderDog Sports
38-13 Run (75%)
19 Sept 7-2
20 Sept 1-0
26 Sept 8-3
27 Sept 1-0
03 Oct 5-2
04 Oct 1-0
10 Oct 7-3
11 Oct 1-0
17 Oct 7-3
18 Oct
5* Jacksonville Jaguars +3
401 K Sports
Matt Dennehy
3-1 Run (75%)
17 Oct 1-1
18 Oct
2* Jacksonville ML +135
Jacksonville has a lot of momentum here after confidence building wins over Indy and Buffalo. Garard in response to Del Rio's criticism has been efficient with the ball the last 2 weeks. Amazing what bringing in another Qb will do to the focus of a struggling player. Jax is 6-2 as a home team on Sun or Mon nights. The Titans defense has been leaky the last 2 games as their pass defense is a hurtin unit. The game is actually sold out for tonight. Much like Tampa in MLB, when the Jags sell out their games, they have a solid 6-2 SU record over the last 5 years(8 games sold out in 5 years?? that is sad but I digress). Johnson has a thigh problem that has held him out of practice as late as Saturday, so he is 1 good hit away from being out. Not ready to trust Titans on the road as a fave on Monday night.
Jax 24 Tenn 20
John Harrison
Disgusting Blowout
6-3 Run (67%)
12 Sept 1-0
26 Sept 1-0
03 Oct 0-1
04 Oct 1-0
10 Oct 1-1
11 Oct 1-0
17 Oct 1-1
18 Oct
2* Tennessee Titans Over 45
Lion Of Vegas
10-4 Run (71%)
17 Oct 1-1
18 Oct
2* Tennessee Titans -1/2 (1st half bet only)
RANDALL THE HANDLE
JACKSONVILLE +1.30 over Tennessee
Both these teams come in 3-2 and the winner of this game will be in a three-way tie with Indy and Houston for first in the AFC South. The loser will be just a game behind. The perception is that the Titans are a legit threat while the Jags are somewhat of an aberration and that perception provides us with an opportunity to “sell” high on the visitors. The Titans are actually the imposters here. They opened the year with a win over Oakland and a subsequent loss to the Steelers. That makes them average so far. Tennessee’s next game was a 29-10 win over the Giants and that’s perhaps the most misleading score of the year thus far. The Giants ate them alive, they outgained them through the air 364-110 but committed three key turnovers and 11 penalties to do them in. The G-Men moved at will against this Titans “D” and so did the Boys last week. In fact, Dallas gained over 500 yards of total offense, 511 to be exact but just like the Giants, the Cowboys tuned it over three times and committed 12 penalties for 133 yards. You talk about winning through smoking mirrors and that’s the Tennessee Titans. Sandwiched between the wins over the G-Men and Boys, Tennessee lost at home to Denver and once again they were shredded through the air for over 300 yards against. The Titans don’t do anything well except run the ball and by the way, the Jags run the ball better. In fact, the Jags rank 3rd in the league in rushing with 146 per game while the Titans rank fifth. So, what we have here is a home dog on Monday night playing a team that can’t stop the marching band. The Titans should be 1-4 because they’ve been not outplayed but grossly outplayed by every team they’ve played with the exception of the Raiders. The Jags lost to two good teams, the Eagles and Chargers. They have wins over Denver, Indy and a 36-26 road win over the Bills. They host a rare Monday nighter, they’ll play to a sellout crowd for the first time in a long time and in no way should they be the pooch against this true imposter. Play: Jacksonville +1.30 (Risking 2 units).
St. Louis +1.35 over CHICAGO
In terms of luck, the Blue Notes have not had any. They’re 2-1-1 thus far but they’ve outplayed every opponent and badly outplayed three of them. In its last game vs Dallas, the Blues ran into a hot goaltender and lost in OT but they out-chanced the Stars 3-1 and outshot them 43-25. Over its last three games, two losses and a win, St. Louis has allowed 14, 22 and 25 shots on net respectively and if they had solid goaltending they’d likely be undefeated. Both Jaroslav Halak and Ty Conklin have not been sharp but one would expect Halak to pick it up. Fact is, the Blue Notes are playing tremendous defensively and they’re creating plenty of scoring chances for themselves. The Blackhawks are not even close to being the same team they were a year ago. They lost the guts of its team and they’re very beatable this season. They’ve already played six games and despite winning its last over the Sabres, Buffalo dominated play for most of the game. Because of its Cup win last season, the Blackhawks are way overvalued and we’re going to keep playing against them under those conditions. Play: St. Louis +1.35 (Risking 2 units).
TAMPA BAY -½ +1.31 over Dallas
The Stars are off to a 4-0-0 start to the season but that doesn’t mean there aren’t issues. One of them is the shots disparity through those first four games. The Stars have been outshot 146-90.
They are giving up 37 shots per game, which ranks 27th in the league and have given up more than 40 shots twice in the first four games. Dallas’ 4-0 starts is misleading, as they could just as easily be 0-4 after not outplaying any of its first four opponents. In fact, they’ve been dominated in three of its four games and again, that 4-0 start is a complete aberration. What makes this play even more appealing is the fact that the Bolts are coming off a 6-0 loss and you know for sure that’s not sitting well with them. It looks like Vinny is out tonight but that’s not going to deter us one bit. His absence will inspire this talented squad to dig down even deeper and with or without LeCavalier the Lightning are simply the better team playing at home. Goaltender Kari Lehtonen has won three of four games on his own for Dallas but they’re not going to keep winning games when they get so badly outplayed. This is not a 5-0 team, no way, no how. Play: Tampa Bay -½ +1.31 (Risking 2 units).
Colorado +1.07 over N.Y. RANGERS
The Rangers offer up nothing as the chalk. This is a bad hockey team with poor defense, very little offense and the only thing they have going for them is a great goaltender but even he’s been a little shaky this year. The Rangers opened the year with a win over Buffalo but subsequently lost its next two to the Islanders and Leafs. They allowed 10 goals in those two losses and they were completely dominated by the Leafs in its last game. That 4-3 OT loss to Toronto is a hugely flattering score for the Blue Shirts. The Avalanche, meanwhile, will not get outworked. They may not win every game but you’re going to get your money’s worth and an honest effort from them when you bet on them. Colorado’s biggest flaw is a defense with very little depth but they’re learning, they’re getting better and they have an outstanding goaltender to bail them out. Offensively, the Avalanche will roll out three very good lines that will wear out the opposition with relentless forechecking. Colorado has already beaten Chicago, Detroit and the Devils and they surely are not taking a step up in class here. Also note that this is a rare opportunity for the Avalanche to play in New York and the mystique of MSG. They’ve played here once in the past five years and every club that rarely plays here gets extra jacked up when they do. Play: Colorado +1.07 (Risking 2 units).
JACKSONVILLE +1.30 over Tennessee
Both these teams come in 3-2 and the winner of this game will be in a three-way tie with Indy and Houston for first in the AFC South. The loser will be just a game behind. The perception is that the Titans are a legit threat while the Jags are somewhat of an aberration and that perception provides us with an opportunity to “sell” high on the visitors. The Titans are actually the imposters here. They opened the year with a win over Oakland and a subsequent loss to the Steelers. That makes them average so far. Tennessee’s next game was a 29-10 win over the Giants and that’s perhaps the most misleading score of the year thus far. The Giants ate them alive, they outgained them through the air 364-110 but committed three key turnovers and 11 penalties to do them in. The G-Men moved at will against this Titans “D” and so did the Boys last week. In fact, Dallas gained over 500 yards of total offense, 511 to be exact but just like the Giants, the Cowboys tuned it over three times and committed 12 penalties for 133 yards. You talk about winning through smoking mirrors and that’s the Tennessee Titans. Sandwiched between the wins over the G-Men and Boys, Tennessee lost at home to Denver and once again they were shredded through the air for over 300 yards against. The Titans don’t do anything well except run the ball and by the way, the Jags run the ball better. In fact, the Jags rank 3rd in the league in rushing with 146 per game while the Titans rank fifth. So, what we have here is a home dog on Monday night playing a team that can’t stop the marching band. The Titans should be 1-4 because they’ve been not outplayed but grossly outplayed by every team they’ve played with the exception of the Raiders. The Jags lost to two good teams, the Eagles and Chargers. They have wins over Denver, Indy and a 36-26 road win over the Bills. They host a rare Monday nighter, they’ll play to a sellout crowd for the first time in a long time and in no way should they be the pooch against this true imposter. Play: Jacksonville +1.30 (Risking 2 units).
St. Louis +1.35 over CHICAGO
In terms of luck, the Blue Notes have not had any. They’re 2-1-1 thus far but they’ve outplayed every opponent and badly outplayed three of them. In its last game vs Dallas, the Blues ran into a hot goaltender and lost in OT but they out-chanced the Stars 3-1 and outshot them 43-25. Over its last three games, two losses and a win, St. Louis has allowed 14, 22 and 25 shots on net respectively and if they had solid goaltending they’d likely be undefeated. Both Jaroslav Halak and Ty Conklin have not been sharp but one would expect Halak to pick it up. Fact is, the Blue Notes are playing tremendous defensively and they’re creating plenty of scoring chances for themselves. The Blackhawks are not even close to being the same team they were a year ago. They lost the guts of its team and they’re very beatable this season. They’ve already played six games and despite winning its last over the Sabres, Buffalo dominated play for most of the game. Because of its Cup win last season, the Blackhawks are way overvalued and we’re going to keep playing against them under those conditions. Play: St. Louis +1.35 (Risking 2 units).
TAMPA BAY -½ +1.31 over Dallas
The Stars are off to a 4-0-0 start to the season but that doesn’t mean there aren’t issues. One of them is the shots disparity through those first four games. The Stars have been outshot 146-90.
They are giving up 37 shots per game, which ranks 27th in the league and have given up more than 40 shots twice in the first four games. Dallas’ 4-0 starts is misleading, as they could just as easily be 0-4 after not outplaying any of its first four opponents. In fact, they’ve been dominated in three of its four games and again, that 4-0 start is a complete aberration. What makes this play even more appealing is the fact that the Bolts are coming off a 6-0 loss and you know for sure that’s not sitting well with them. It looks like Vinny is out tonight but that’s not going to deter us one bit. His absence will inspire this talented squad to dig down even deeper and with or without LeCavalier the Lightning are simply the better team playing at home. Goaltender Kari Lehtonen has won three of four games on his own for Dallas but they’re not going to keep winning games when they get so badly outplayed. This is not a 5-0 team, no way, no how. Play: Tampa Bay -½ +1.31 (Risking 2 units).
Colorado +1.07 over N.Y. RANGERS
The Rangers offer up nothing as the chalk. This is a bad hockey team with poor defense, very little offense and the only thing they have going for them is a great goaltender but even he’s been a little shaky this year. The Rangers opened the year with a win over Buffalo but subsequently lost its next two to the Islanders and Leafs. They allowed 10 goals in those two losses and they were completely dominated by the Leafs in its last game. That 4-3 OT loss to Toronto is a hugely flattering score for the Blue Shirts. The Avalanche, meanwhile, will not get outworked. They may not win every game but you’re going to get your money’s worth and an honest effort from them when you bet on them. Colorado’s biggest flaw is a defense with very little depth but they’re learning, they’re getting better and they have an outstanding goaltender to bail them out. Offensively, the Avalanche will roll out three very good lines that will wear out the opposition with relentless forechecking. Colorado has already beaten Chicago, Detroit and the Devils and they surely are not taking a step up in class here. Also note that this is a rare opportunity for the Avalanche to play in New York and the mystique of MSG. They’ve played here once in the past five years and every club that rarely plays here gets extra jacked up when they do. Play: Colorado +1.07 (Risking 2 units).
