Service Plays Monday 1/25/10

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ugk

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DON BEST STEAM

11:04:38am 2010-01-25 711 Atlanta +1
9:42:13am 2010-01-25 732 Western Carolina -6½
8:49:49am 2010-01-25 710 San Antonio Over 197
8:38:36am 2010-01-25 718 Portland Over 187
8:17:03am 2010-01-25 708 Memphis Over 204½
8:16:36am 2010-01-25 702 Philadelphia Over 206
8:10:58am 2010-01-25 710 San Antonio -7½
8:10:16am 2010-01-25 722 Pennsylvania +6½
8:00:31am 2010-01-25 714 Utah -6½
 

ugk

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The Duke's Sports

Charleston (+8) for 3 Units

The Cougars are playing an outstanding level of basketball on an 8-0 ATS tear and we'll stay on them in this spot. Charleston sports a 6-1 ATS mark at WC, losing only once SU in those visits - a 2 point loss. Charleston is the class of the Southern Conference and controls a sweet 51-24-2 ATS mark on the road vs a home team with a winning % above .600. We realize the Catamounts are coming off a loss at Appalachian State and desperately need a win here however, they have not performed well as a favorite of 7 to 12' points at 1-4 ATS moreover, the Cougars had an extra day of prep and should continue to get solid extended minutes from Willis Hall who stepped up his scoring game after Simmons went down. We'll stay on the road tested Cougars here to cover.
 

ugk

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CALIFORNIA SPORTS
3* 76'ers
3* Under Cavs
3* Under Syracuse
 
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SPORTS BETTING PROFESSOR

No NCAAB picks today

NBA:

LA Clippers +12*

Houston -1
Utah -6.5

* marked system play
 

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CURRENT PLAYS
2010
SYSTEMPLAYS CURRENT PLAYS:
Mon 1/25
NBA
Cle +1 -115 ov Mia

YTD: 19 W 20 L -3.05 UNITS
 
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MIKE HOOK

CBB Total Mon, 01/25/10 - 11:00 PM ƒŠ

double-dime bet 727 Boise St. / 728 Idaho Over 145.0 BetUS
Analysis: First off i want to talk about this entire CBB card. What a wacky Monday this has turned out to be, as there was line movement in games that i clearly didn't expect. How else to describe today other than the line movement in the PENN-ST. JOES game. You got huge money on St. Joe's, yet this line has moved a ton in favor of the team with 1 win on the entire season. Too bad, because i did have a lean to PENN at +7, and that would have been my Bonus Play.

Moving forward, i also liked Boise St today, but again, this line has severely been bet down. I care so much about each of my clients, that the last thing i'm going to do is to back a play that i know in my heart has lost a ton of value. So we will do the prudent thing here tonight on a day that's been very difficult to cap. I can almost all but guarantee you that late tonight and tomorrow people are going to be wishing they never bet CBB today because they are going to get burned. There are truly that many traps out there today.

We are backing the OVER 145 tonight for a few reasons. I already mentioned that i liked Boise St. in this game tonight, and the biggest reason why is because of their style of play. This Boise St. team is in every game they play. They only struggle in the final minutes of games, as i've talked about in past weeks. But this team is ultra talented, as they return nearly everyone from last years team that tasted some success. This is as close to a must win as there could be for Boise St, and i think we will see them do what they do best tonight. They are going to look to push the tempo as much as possible, and i actually think Idaho will end up running with them. This is a rivalry game for BOTH schools, and i think nerves will be high for each team. Because of that, i believe that this pace will be fast.

If you think about how much this SIDE has dropped in favor of Boise St, you would think this total would only RISE with it. But average bettors aren't that smart, as they only focus on their 1st level of thinking. If you dig a bit deeper, you will see this OVER is LOADED with value simply based off the fact that this line is dropping so much to begin with. Clearly this is a STRONG indication that Boise St. is going to be a game opponent. With a close game all but guaranteed to take place tonight, i like the fact that free throws late in a close game are only going to help us. This is exactly the type of game that can see 12-15 points take place in the final mižnute.

Both defenses are allowing opponents to shoot better than 50% from the field during league play. That's absurd, and thats the biggest reason neither team has tasted much success this year. Clearly this late in the season, both teams are flawed on defense. That's just not going to change overnight. I also like that BOTH teams start 2 true point guards at each guard position. I believe this will only help both teams to score tonight early and often. Boise St. will also hold an advantage in the rebounding department, so i can see some easy points being scored thanks to the rebounding edge for the Broncos. Overall, i just feel this game sets up perfectly for Boise St. With that being said, the most logical wager is to back this OVER. With the numbers backing up this OVER play, as well as specific situationals, this IS the right play.

Lastly, for me to play a TOTAL takes alot of work. That means i've capped this game even more than i typically do sides. I'm very confident that this IS the very best bet on the entire card. That's why this is a DOUBLE STAR release. Let's keep up the very solid CBB run, and cash this OVER 145 tonight between Idaho and Boise St. Thanks as always for all of your support. I greatly appreciate it, and it's why i work so hard to continue to find VALUE daily. As always, any additional plays can be found in my daily thread in the forums. Let's have a great night!
 

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Trent Citron

6 units Samford
5 units College of Charleston
4 units Tenn Chatanooga
 
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GREG SHAKER

CBB Total Mon, 01/25/10 - 7:00 PM ƒŠ

triple-dime bet 721 St. Joseph's / 722 Pennsylvania Under 142.0 BetUS
Analysis: NCAAB: St Joseph Hawks at Pennsylvania Quakers - Under 142 (Best Bet) -110 | Unit Value: 3
Game Date: 1/25/2010
Note: This is not the Penn Quaker team of the past and even though they are still running up and down the court at a nice pace, they are not scoring points. That is because they are managing just under 39% shooting and that is not likely to improve much, if at all tonight as they host the Hawks. This team has managed just one win this year and recently they have had some injuries that have sidelined players. It certainly shows with just 57 and 45 points their last 2 times on the court. They did get their only win of the season playing Maryland Baltimore, "Who?" 2 weeks ago but with the exception of that contest, they have averaged a paltry 54 points the last 5 times on the court. I am not going to tell you that St. Joe has a quality D because they do not, but their last 5 games have seen a marked improvement and their pace has slowed down quite a bit. It has been working for them with 3 quality starts that all have fallen below the posted total. This line opened at 144.5 and mostly due to perception of what Penn has been and not what they are right now. I would play this down to 138 and am not sure where the line is going, but I do like the current number a lot.
 

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The Millionaires Club Guaranteed Selections
Date: Monday, January 25, 2010
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