JR MILLER
National Basketball Association:
RAPTORS +10.0 -107 at Celtics (OR +400)
Thunder and Nets UNDER 201.5 -105
Trailblazers at Bulls UNDER 193.0 -107
Comments:
RAPTORS +10.0 -107 at Celtics
There's a lot of subjectivity involved when two teams are playing back-to-back games. One team can find itself a lot more motivated than the other.
In this particular case, we wouldn't be afraid at all to take the moneyline with the Raptors (+400). We don't think the Raptors would lose this game for than 4 out of 5 times, not even close. It's just that the pointspread (+10.0) appears to offer somewhat better value. (Can you say "gimme"?) We like this bet.
Thunder and Nets UNDER 201.5 -105
According to us, the Nets are one of the most unpredictable teams in the NBA at this time. Nevertheless, this posted total line of 201.5 appears to be 'way out of line. Our mathematical formulas are forecasting the Nets should win this game by a score of maybe 92-85, give or take 2 or 3 baskets from either team. That's a forecasted total score of maybe 177 points, give or take 3 or 4 baskets. That's a helluva ways from 201.5 points.
Trailblazers at Bulls UNDER 193.0 -107
This play isn't nearly as strong for us as the Thunder-Nets' play, except that these two teams are less erratic than the Nets. Our formulas indicate that neither the Trailblazers nor the Bulls figure to score as many as 96 points. We're predicting a total score in this game of maybe 172 points, give or take 3 or 4 baskets. The bad news is that were predicting a final score of 86-86....If that actually happens, (86-86), we can kiss goodbye to our 'Under' play in overtime.