ChicagoSportsConnection
ChicacagoSportsConnection
The football strategy worked out yesterday as a favorite(PITT) finally covered the spread.
The NBA game last night pissed me off.
I was watching the game on The NBA Network...
IND was up 3 with a minute left and got two real bad calls against them that swung the game in the other direction.
So we dropped 1/2 a unit yesterday instead of picking up 1.5.
The original plan was to go with IND last night and against them tonight since they are playing their last game of a long trip.
We'll stick with the plan even tho they didn't win last night.
A couple NBA plays I really like today.....
***************************************************
UNDER 204...NYK @ N.ORL..............8 EDT
The last 9 N.ORL opponents (home games) have scored...
80 CLIP
85 WASH
79 HOU
100 LAK
90 SAC
83 SA
89 CHAR
87 MEM
91 PHOE
..............The last 6 NYK games have gone UNDER
76-96 @ hous
94-99 @ dall
99-107 @ okc
100-88 bost
103-105 ind
93-89 @ char
******************************************************************
UTAH -10 vs Indiana...............9 EDT
UTAH has started to come alive.....their last 4 home games....
98-82 .....vs Lakers
116-90... vs N.O.
110-114 vs GSt (sandwich game)
112-95.... vs Phil
This is IND's last of a seven game in 11 day travel stretch....
.........3rd game in 4 nights after a hard fought battle last night in GST.
Take Utah to win by 21.
ChicacagoSportsConnection
The football strategy worked out yesterday as a favorite(PITT) finally covered the spread.
The NBA game last night pissed me off.
I was watching the game on The NBA Network...
IND was up 3 with a minute left and got two real bad calls against them that swung the game in the other direction.
So we dropped 1/2 a unit yesterday instead of picking up 1.5.
The original plan was to go with IND last night and against them tonight since they are playing their last game of a long trip.
We'll stick with the plan even tho they didn't win last night.
A couple NBA plays I really like today.....
***************************************************
UNDER 204...NYK @ N.ORL..............8 EDT
The last 9 N.ORL opponents (home games) have scored...
80 CLIP
85 WASH
79 HOU
100 LAK
90 SAC
83 SA
89 CHAR
87 MEM
91 PHOE
..............The last 6 NYK games have gone UNDER
76-96 @ hous
94-99 @ dall
99-107 @ okc
100-88 bost
103-105 ind
93-89 @ char
******************************************************************
UTAH -10 vs Indiana...............9 EDT
UTAH has started to come alive.....their last 4 home games....
98-82 .....vs Lakers
116-90... vs N.O.
110-114 vs GSt (sandwich game)
112-95.... vs Phil
This is IND's last of a seven game in 11 day travel stretch....
.........3rd game in 4 nights after a hard fought battle last night in GST.
Take Utah to win by 21.
indiancowboy
4 Unit Play (NBA) (POD). Take Under 190.5 between the Milwaukee Bucks @ Washington Wizards (Monday @ 7:05pm est).
Going for Winning Week #4 in the NBA.
Going for back to back winning weeks in CBB.
12-6 last 18 days in the NBA (+23 Units).
Let's start off the week well in the NBA as it has been a bright spot for us looking for our 4th winning week in a row. For our selection today, let's take the under this evening in Washington. For starters, Milwaukee comes off a loss at Minnesota and we are particularly aware of that considering we took the Twolves who came back to win that game. As per this game, Milwaukee looks to bounce-back and likely wins here against Washington. But, the Wiz have revenge from an OT loss earlier this year at Milwaukee. The Bucks usually after a loss put a strong defensive effort the next game. Remember, that's how the Bucks find themselves 24-13 ATS on the year. Washington this year is not the offensive juggernaut they have been in the past and are an under team overall. Combine with the fact this team is just not shooting well at home and are playing a Milwaukee team that runs a half court offense very well, I think Milwaukee gets an early lead here and hangs on as they keep Washington's pace at bay throughout the game. The under is 4-0 when the Bucks are favored on the road. The under is 5-0-1 ATS for the Wizards following an ATS loss and the under is 8-1 when the Bucks are underdogs. In short, when the Bucks are road faves they play their style of game and it has a strong chance of going under and when the Wiz are underdogs playing better teams their offensive output is modest as well. I look for this game to total in the high 170's today.
4 Unit Play (CBB) (POD). #102. Take Louisville -6.5 over Notre Dame (Monday @ 7:05pm est). If you wait, you will get a better line for this game prior to game time as it will likely continue to go down. After all, more than 66% of the public is on the dog here. We have followed the Big East, Big 10 and Metro Altantic Basketball closely this year and we made a modest profit of +3.2 units. Let's go 5-2 on our PODs today and profit a bit more. For our CBB POD, I like Louisville to get it done here over Notre Dame. It seems too easy right? Notre Dame Fighting Irish ranked 13th in the nation as Underdogs?! They are catching 6.5 points?! The oddsmakers are dumb! This is way too easy! Like stealing candy from a baby! Think again. Let me ask you something. What has Notre Dame accomplished on the road this season? No, there wins at home do not count b/c playing at home and playing on the road in college basketball are completely different. Folks remember the Notre Dame win over Georgetown at home but they have amnesia when ND went to a team outsde the top 100 in St. Johns and lost by 6. Would you have taken Notre Dame +5 at St. Johns? St. Johns is not even ranked - well if you would have taken the +5, you woud have lost the wager. So, why would we not want to take a -6.5 here with Louisville who is a top 15 power ranking team. ND does not even classify in the top 40 of most power ranking sheets. In fact, ND only beat Loyola Marymount, one of the worst teams in Division I basketball outside the top 200 by just 11 points. ND did win nicely at home against Seton Hall and I look for them to be a let down here as once again, this team first of all has not played any team in the top 100 on the road, Louisville has the ability to defeat some good teams by a wider margin than this spread as they did againt Ole Miss and UAB. Plus, over 66% of the public favors the public dog here and that is never good news for the public dog. Louisville has a dynamic offense and Notre Dame's offense is very questionalbe on the highway at times. I look for Louisville and ND to be notched up at half and then for the the Ville to pull away in the second half and some free throws later, likely will by 10-12 here.
4 Unit Play (NBA) (POD). Take Under 190.5 between the Milwaukee Bucks @ Washington Wizards (Monday @ 7:05pm est).
Going for Winning Week #4 in the NBA.
Going for back to back winning weeks in CBB.
12-6 last 18 days in the NBA (+23 Units).
Let's start off the week well in the NBA as it has been a bright spot for us looking for our 4th winning week in a row. For our selection today, let's take the under this evening in Washington. For starters, Milwaukee comes off a loss at Minnesota and we are particularly aware of that considering we took the Twolves who came back to win that game. As per this game, Milwaukee looks to bounce-back and likely wins here against Washington. But, the Wiz have revenge from an OT loss earlier this year at Milwaukee. The Bucks usually after a loss put a strong defensive effort the next game. Remember, that's how the Bucks find themselves 24-13 ATS on the year. Washington this year is not the offensive juggernaut they have been in the past and are an under team overall. Combine with the fact this team is just not shooting well at home and are playing a Milwaukee team that runs a half court offense very well, I think Milwaukee gets an early lead here and hangs on as they keep Washington's pace at bay throughout the game. The under is 4-0 when the Bucks are favored on the road. The under is 5-0-1 ATS for the Wizards following an ATS loss and the under is 8-1 when the Bucks are underdogs. In short, when the Bucks are road faves they play their style of game and it has a strong chance of going under and when the Wiz are underdogs playing better teams their offensive output is modest as well. I look for this game to total in the high 170's today.
4 Unit Play (CBB) (POD). #102. Take Louisville -6.5 over Notre Dame (Monday @ 7:05pm est). If you wait, you will get a better line for this game prior to game time as it will likely continue to go down. After all, more than 66% of the public is on the dog here. We have followed the Big East, Big 10 and Metro Altantic Basketball closely this year and we made a modest profit of +3.2 units. Let's go 5-2 on our PODs today and profit a bit more. For our CBB POD, I like Louisville to get it done here over Notre Dame. It seems too easy right? Notre Dame Fighting Irish ranked 13th in the nation as Underdogs?! They are catching 6.5 points?! The oddsmakers are dumb! This is way too easy! Like stealing candy from a baby! Think again. Let me ask you something. What has Notre Dame accomplished on the road this season? No, there wins at home do not count b/c playing at home and playing on the road in college basketball are completely different. Folks remember the Notre Dame win over Georgetown at home but they have amnesia when ND went to a team outsde the top 100 in St. Johns and lost by 6. Would you have taken Notre Dame +5 at St. Johns? St. Johns is not even ranked - well if you would have taken the +5, you woud have lost the wager. So, why would we not want to take a -6.5 here with Louisville who is a top 15 power ranking team. ND does not even classify in the top 40 of most power ranking sheets. In fact, ND only beat Loyola Marymount, one of the worst teams in Division I basketball outside the top 200 by just 11 points. ND did win nicely at home against Seton Hall and I look for them to be a let down here as once again, this team first of all has not played any team in the top 100 on the road, Louisville has the ability to defeat some good teams by a wider margin than this spread as they did againt Ole Miss and UAB. Plus, over 66% of the public favors the public dog here and that is never good news for the public dog. Louisville has a dynamic offense and Notre Dame's offense is very questionalbe on the highway at times. I look for Louisville and ND to be notched up at half and then for the the Ville to pull away in the second half and some free throws later, likely will by 10-12 here.
Dr Bob
2 Star Selection
Oklahoma City (+6 ½) over NEW JERSEY
12-Jan-09 04:35 PM Pacific Time
I’ll take Oklahoma City in a 2-Star Best Bet at +5 points or more and for 3-Stars at +7 or more.
2-Stars at +5 or more, 3-Stars at +7 or more.
COLLEGE
3 Star Selection
Tennessee Martin (-10 ½) over SE MISSOURI ST
12-Jan-09 05:00 PM Pacific Time
I’ll take Tennessee Martin in a 3-Star Best Bet at -12 points or less and for 2-Stars at -12 ½ or -13 points.
3-Stars at -12 or less, 2-Stars up to -13.
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2 Star Selection
Oklahoma City (+6 ½) over NEW JERSEY
12-Jan-09 04:35 PM Pacific Time
I’ll take Oklahoma City in a 2-Star Best Bet at +5 points or more and for 3-Stars at +7 or more.
2-Stars at +5 or more, 3-Stars at +7 or more.
COLLEGE
3 Star Selection
Tennessee Martin (-10 ½) over SE MISSOURI ST
12-Jan-09 05:00 PM Pacific Time
I’ll take Tennessee Martin in a 3-Star Best Bet at -12 points or less and for 2-Stars at -12 ½ or -13 points.
3-Stars at -12 or less, 2-Stars up to -13.
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