Service Plays Monday 07/20/09

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Indian Cowboy

4 Unit Play. Take Under 8.5 between the Minnesota Twins @ Oakland A's (Monday @ 10pm est). Let's return to the American League from here on out. It was the mold for the success of the first half of the season. Nick Blakburn is 5-2 over his last ten starts and he has produced some solid numbers this year. The Oklahoma native has a 8-4 record with a 3.14 era and he has been able to do this because of his ability to work out of jams successfully on the road. Nick has given up 21 hits over his last two starts on the road, as he pitched a total of 14 innings in those two contests combined and yet only gave up six runs. He has pitche din 8 of 10 unders so far and he has yet to have a back to back over start. He comes off an Over effort against the Whitesox where he gave up 4 runs through the course of seven innings and I expect him to more efficient effort today. He pitched against Oakland this year and fell short 3-4 as he picked up a no-decision but gave up just 3 runs on 8 innings. I look for him to have a better effort today as this time around he looks to get the 'W'. Gio Gonzalez has quite a bit of potential and he looks to turn the page on what has been a tough season. He is 1-2 with a 6.29 but the A's are known to have arguably the best crop of young pitchers over the last decade in baseabll. This is the organization that most recently has produced Brett Anderson, Haren, Harden - not to mention Hudson, Mulder from "back in the day". Gio has the potential to put together a commanding start as he did against the Indians on the road earlier this year yielding just two runs in 6 innings and I expect him to put together a strong start today at home as the A's come off a tough 0-1 loss to the Angels. The Under is 5-0 in Blackburn's last five road starts and the Under is 14-3 when the A's face a righty of late.
 

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Smart Money

Smart Money MLB Wisguys just hit #919 Boston UNDER

Smart Money MLB #923 Angels just hit by some sharps offshore
 

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DailyMatchup

7/20/09 7:05PM Pittsburgh Pirates -108
7/20/09 7:05PM New York Mets at Washington Nationals Under 9½/-110
7/20/09 8:10PM Chicago White Sox -105
 

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Chris Jordan

Monday's winners ...
300♦ TEXAS RANGERS (LIST Millwood only) - Tuning up for the American League East-leading Red Sox, the Rangers won a thriller over Minnesota last night in extra innings. And tonight I am putting my money on the hot-and-cold offense of the Rangers to turn up the heat on veteran right-hander John Smoltz, who is 1-2 with a 5.40 ERA for the BoSox.

Rangers Ballpark is a tough place to pitch, and though the Rangers are mired in a 1-4 slide, last night’s 5-3 win in 12 innings is one of those games that can spark a team. And what I’ve found interesting is how this team responds and plays to the level of competition.

To wit: the Rangers closed Interleague play by getting beat by dropping two straight to the Padres, 7-3 and 2-0. They came home and took two of three from the Angels by putting up 20 runs on the Halos and then swept the defending American League champion Rays by outscoring them 20-7. They hit the road and took two of three, again, from the Angels, scoring another 20 runs in that series – marking three straight series they scored 20 runs. Since then, they’ve lost five of seven, going 1-3 in Seattle and 1-2 in Minneapolis.

It’s all mental, but if you ask me, Texas is playing tougher against the big boys, then it is against what is considered to be lesser competition.

Boston has lost two straight and comes to town out of Toronto, and the Rangers are on a 4-0 roll against the A.L. East. And while the Red Sox have owned this series, winning 16 of the last 21 overall and six of the last seven in Texas, it’s important to note the Rangers went into Fenway Park and took two of three.

I am counting on a big performance with Kevin Millwood, who has been rock solid in Arlington this season, going 6-1 with a 2.49 ERA. With the veteran right-hander on the bump, Texas is on runs of 20-7 at home, 11-5 against the A.L. East, 7-1 in series openers and 4-0 at the Ballpark against teams sporting a winning record.

Even further, one of Millwood’s better starts this season came at Fenway Park, where he held the Red Sox to one unearned run on seven hits in seven innings of a 5-1 Texas win on June 5.

I’m playing the home team here, and banking on a big win from Millwood.

100♦ L.A. DODGERS (Action) - Had a lot to think about with this game, as I needed to take in consideration the long layoff for starter Jason Schmidt. Then I looked at the price of this game and realized the oddsmakers are telling us the Dodgers – and the veteran right-hander – are deservedly steep favorites tonight. And I don’t mind laying it with a team that continues to defy the naysayers by winning ball games however it can – including 19 of 28 one-run contests.

Cincinnati split its four-game home set with the Brewers out of the All-Star Break, but overall, has lost 10 of 14 since July 3. And since are heating up in the National League West, not to mention the entire senior circuit, these are the types of series the Dodgers need to take more seriously and win handedly. After dropping the first two of their four-game home set with the Astros, the Dodgers responded by winning the last two in the series.

I’ve got the momentum on my side with L.A., the team boasting the best record in baseball, as it won seven of eight meetings last season. Going back even further, the Dodgers have won 21 of the last 27 meetings, while the Reds are on a 3-8 slide in their last 11 as an underdog and have lost nine in a row at Dodger Stadium. Lay the chalk tonight, as the Dodgers dismantle the visiting Reds.


Bought, Paid, and Confirmed by Me! Good luck
 

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John Morrison System Plays

Official Plays

7/20 Houston [A]
St. Louis

7/20 Atlanta [A]
San Francisco



Non-official Plays

7/20 Pittsburgh [A]
Milwaukee

7/20 Baltimore [A]
New York Yankees

7/20 Kansas City [A]
Los Angeles Angels

Note: We have NEVER lost ANY unofficial series so far this year!

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Al DeMarco
Monday's Play
5 Dime - Chicago White Sox

The White Sox were pounded by Baltimore at home on Sunday in a 10-2 loss, but prior to that setback the Pale Hose had won 16 of 23. Keying their surge has been an offense that's averaged 6.39 runs in that stretch. And tonight Chicago's lineup gets its hacks against Tampa rookie David Price, who is 0-2 with a 7.27 ERA in four road starts this season.

White Sox hurler Gavin Floyd bounced back from a rough start to the season to quietly become one of the most effective pitchers in baseball in May and June. Although he was hit hard in his final two outings prior to the All Star break, allowing 10 earned runs in 13 innings, it's worth noting his long stretch of success prior to those bumps in the road as he allowed only nine earned runs in his previous eight starts covering 58.1 innings. And Floyd carries a 3-0 record and 1.73 ERA in his last six home starts, all of which were Chicago victories.

Tampa is coming off a three-game sweep of the lowly Royals in Kansas City, but the Rays are still five games under .500 on the road on the season at 21-26. Prior to their success in KC, they had lost four in a row on the highway.

With a rookie hurler on the mound who runs up high pitch counts and a bullpen that's been weakened by injuries, plus a hot Chicago team playing at home at a discounted price, the play here is to go against Tampa Bay and back Floyd and the White Sox.

Bought & confirmed by me.
GL!
 

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Sam Clayton Picks

Monday, July 20
**9-2 in 25 dime plays this year, No. 10 goes tonight!**

25 dime - Braves

While I am typically not a big believer in laying larger chalks, tonight is a rare exception. In fact, this line is actually valued as it should be around -200 in favor of the Tomahawks. Here's why: the public has fallen for little ol' lefty Jonathan Sanchez, yes, the same guy that no-hit the lowly Padres last week. The same old Jonathan Sanchez that is a career 16-26, 5.07 pitcher. And tonight he's pitching on the opposite side of the country, out of his element on the road, where he's a horrendous 0-7 with a 6.27 ERA this season. It gets worse for the G-Men though as they draw Tommy Hanson (4-0, 2.85), who has been sensational since his June 7 call-up. Hanson has flourished in the Braves rotation and has an added edge at Turner Field, where his WHIP drops all the way down to 1.15, his strikeouts rise and his opponents' batting average plummets. Also, for some reason that can't quite be explained, the Braves actually score when Hanson toes the rubber as Atlanta's offense has plated 37 runs in his 7 starts this season. Sanchez is extremely overhyped in this spot and with the way the Atlanta bats broke out last night, I find great value in laying this chalk. Play the Braves as Monday's top play winner.

15 dime - White Sox

Just as I called in the last starts for John Danks and Mark Buehrle, Gavin Floyd is aiming for his own personal bounce back start tonight against the Rays. Sure, Floyd earned the 'W' in Minnesota last Saturday, but it came in ugly fashion. The right-hander was tagged for five runs on eight hits over seven plus innings of work. He wasn't comfortable on the mound and he sure as hell wasn't able to locate his curveball, which set the stage for a couple rough innings. Tonight though, Floyd returns home where he's enjoyed great success the last two years. No. 34 is 13-5 with a 3.23 marker since Opening Day 2008 at Comiskey and he has the luxury of facing another awful road pitcher in David Price. The former Vanderbilt standout is 0-2 with a 7.27 ERA in four road starts this season. Trust me folks, the White Sox are dangerous in bounce back games and after yesterday's 10-2 shellacking, I'm banking on a great start from Floyd and a series-opening win for the South Siders.
 

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charlie

mlb. milwaukee @ atlanta under 9 runs ( 500* ).
mlb. washington-130 (30*)
mlb. twins-130 (20*)
mlb. reds+155 (20*)
mlb. white sox+110 (10*)
mlb. colorado-140 (10*) Bonus Play
 

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C-Star Sports

5000 Units Top Super Play Of The month

Milwaukee OVER Pittsburgh
 

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Jack Jones

20* No Doubt Rout on LA Angels -120

The Angels are one of the hottest teams in baseball, winning 6 of their last 7 games overall, aided by a team batting average of .310 and a scoring average of over 7 runs per game on this current stretch. As a basis of comparison, the Royals are 1-6 over their last 7 games, averaging 4.1 runs per game and hitting just .253 as a team. You can clearly see these are two teams heading in different directions. Sidney Ponson hasn't pitched for the Royals since May, but don't expect him to wow you in his return appearance. Ponson was just 1-4 with a 5.92 ERA in 6 starts before hitting the disabled list. The Angels send Sean O'Sullivan to the mound, and even though he only has 4 starts this season, I have much more confidence in him than I do in Ponson. O'Sullivan is 2-0 on the season with a 3.80 ERA and 1.35 WHIP, including a 2.08 ERA and 1.08 WHIP on the road. As a matter of fact, the Angels are 4-0 in his four appearances this year. Obviously that can't keep up forever, but the Angels are playing great ball right now and they should provide him with more than enough support.

15* on Minnesota Twins -120

I'm backing the Twins and Nick Blackburn tonight at Oakland. Blackburn has been sharp all season, earning an 8-4 record with a 3.06 ERA and 1.28 WHIP. Over his last 3 starts, Blackburn has allowed a total of 7 earned runs in 22 innings pitched, giving him an ERA of 2.86 over that stretch. The A's will counter with Gio Gonzalez, who has just 3 starts on the season and who has not earned a win pitching in Oakland in two starts there. So far he is 0-2 with a 7.27 ERA and 2.42 WHIP. I also like that the Twins have been hot offensively, averaging 6 runs per game over their last 7 games, helping them to win 3 of their last 4 overall.
 

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Savannah Sports

Professional Plays
MLB Baseball

4 (***) Milwakee -105
3 (***) Texas -109
 

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Tony Salinas Baseball

Monday, July 20, 2009


24* La Angels {S.OSullivan} (-130) over Royals {S.Ponson}
8:10 PM -- Kauffman Stadium
Partly cloudy. Winds blowing out to center field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 75.


25*Rockies {J.De La Rosa} (-145) over Diamondbacks {D.Davis}
8:40 PM -- Coors Field
Partly cloudy. Winds blowing out to right field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 70.
 

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Fantasy sports gametime

100* Play Pittsburgh (-110) over Milwaukee (TOP MLB PLAY)

Milwaukee has lost 10 of the last 15 games and Mike Burns is 0-1 in road games this season with an ERA of 13.49. Ross Ohlendorf has won 7 of the last 8 games when the total posted is between -125 to +125 and he has also won 6 of the last 8 home games when the total is between 8.5 and 10 runs.




100* Play Washington (-120) over NY Mets (TOP MLB PARLAY)

Washington has lost 14 of the last 20 games and they have also lost 14 of the last 20 road games this season when the total posted is between 9 and 9.5 runs. Livan Hernandez has lost 8 of the last 11 games as an underdog of +100 or higher and he is also 0-3 over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 11.57.




50* Play Philadelphia (-110) over Chicago Cubs (MLB BONUS PLAY)

Philadelphia has won 12 of the last 13 games and they have also won 5 of the last 6 games when playing on a Monday. Rodrigo Lopez ahs won 9 of the last 10 home games and he is also 1-0 this season with an ERA of 3.18. Chicago has lost 15 of the last 17 games as an underdog of +100 or higher and they have also lost 12 of the last 17 games after having won 5 or 6 of the last 7 games.




50* Play Texas (+100) over Boston (MLB BONUS PLAY)

Texas has won 11 of the last 15 games as a home underdog of +100 or higher and they have also won 10 of the last 13 games when their bullpen has an ERA of 2.00 over the last 5 games. Kevin Millwood has won 7 of the last 8 games when the total posted is 10 runs or higher and he is also 6-1 in home games this season with an ERA of 2.49.
 

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Kelso:

Minnesota Twins ML
LA Angels ML

Jonathon Stone:

New York Yankees ML
 

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<TABLE id=Table_01 height=29 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=banner3 width="100%">Stu's 1000 Dime Baseball </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE id=Table_01 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD align=left><TABLE width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD class=DNNAlignleft id=dnn_ctr754_ContentPane align=left width="100%"><!-- Start_Module_754 -->

METS @ NATIONALS 7:05 ET
HERNANDEZ AND THE METS HAVE STUGGLED ALL YEAR, BUT TODAY THEY WILL BEAT WASHINGTON. LIVAN OWNS THE NATIONALS. 10-5 LIFETIME AND 2-0 THIS YEAR. HE DESPERATELY NEEDS A WIN AND WILL GET IT HERE. MARTIN HAS JUST BEEN CALLED UP AND WILL LOSE HIS FIRST MAJOR LEAGUE START.
METS + 120 FOR A 1000 DIME SELECTION




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</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=505 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD><TABLE id=Table_01 height=29 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=banner3 width="100%">Stu's 1000 Dime Baseball #2 </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE id=Table_01 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD align=left><TABLE width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD class=DNNAlignleft id=dnn_ctr753_ContentPane align=left width="100%"><!-- Start_Module_753 -->

CARDS @ ASTROS 8:05 ET
MOEHLER OWNS ST LOUIS. 4-0 LIFETIME AGAINST THE CARDS. HIS TEAM HAS WON 9 OF HIS 15 STARTS. IN HIS LAST 18 INNINGS HE IS 2-1 WITH AN ERA OF 2.00. LOHSE IS ONLY 4-5 THIS YEAR AND HIS TEAM IS 4-7 IN HIS 11 STARTS. HE IS ALSO 0-2 ON THE ROAD THIS YEAR AND WILL LOSE TONIGHT.
ASTROS - 107 FOR A 1000 DIME SELECTION


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</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=505 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD><TABLE id=Table_01 height=29 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=banner3 width="100%">Stu's 1000 Dime Baseball #3 </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE id=Table_01 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD align=left><TABLE width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD class=DNNAlignleft id=dnn_ctr935_ContentPane align=left width="100%"><!-- Start_Module_935 -->
RAYS @ WHITE SOX 8:11 ET
FLOYD IS HAVING A SOLID YEAR. 7-6 ON THE YEAR AND HIS TEAM HAS WON 10 OF HIS 17 STAR TS. HE HAS ALREADY BEATEN TAMPA THIS YEAR. IN HIS LAST 19 INNINGS HE IS 2-1 WITH AN ERA OF 2.84. PRICE IS 0-2 ON THE ROAD AND IN HIS LAST 13 INNINGS HE HAS GIVEN UP 8 EARNED RUNS WITH AN ERA OF 5.54. HE WILL GET BEAT TONIGHT.
WHITE SOX PK FOR A 1000 DIME SELECTION






BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED--------GL GUYS:103631605


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Rated Picks

PAID PLAYS -

LA Dodgers RL -1.5 +130 *3units
NY Yankees RL -1.5 +105 *5units
Min Twins -120 *3units
Mets/Nats OVER 9 *3units

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Ratedpicks.com
 

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Thank you for your purchase

Street Rosenthal of HandicappingTrends

61% over the last 60 days, now that is consistency!

Free Pick


*200 Colorado Rockies -145

The Rockies looked prime to get another win tonight, and Street has the Trends that say they will. First we have the Rockies starter De La Rosa as 12-0 SU as favorite and his team had more than 6 strike outs in their previous game. Plus, I have the Diamondbacks as 3-17 SU since 2008 as a dog after a loss in which they had 6 or fewer hits. Street says take the Rockies for the Win.

Be Sure to check out the other two *300 we have tonight.

**Pre-Season NFL Package is now on sale for 99$, make a profit or get the entire NFL Season for FREE**
 

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KBHoops

<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top>5* Cubs +104 **POD**
5* Pittsburgh -105
5* NY Mets +117
5* Texas -108
5* Minnesota -120
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
 

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