MTi Sports
Houston at LA Lakers
Play: Under 193.5
In their last two games of the Utah series, Kobe Bryant was 16-of-24 for 38 points and 10-of-21 for 31 points. In the playoffs, these stats point to the UNDER. The Lakers are 0-9 OU (-18.2 ppg) during the playoffs after two wins in which Kobe Bryant took more than 20 shots in each and 0-5 OU (-19.8 ppg) at home when Kobe scored at least 30 points the last two games. In their series-clinching win over the Jazz, Lamar Odom was a terrific 10-of-15 from the field and scored 26 points. This rarely occurring situation points strongly to the UNDER, as LA is 0-4 OU after a win at home in which Lamar Odom shot better than 66% from the field, staying under by an average of 33.1 ppg.LA has beaten the Rockets in each match-up this season, covering all four games. The Rockets shot 53% and 51% in their two home games vs LA, but shot only 37 and 42% on the road. Houston is 0-6 OU (-14.0 ppg) on the road when seeking revenge for a double-digit loss as a dog, 0-6 OU (-12.0 ppg) when seeking revenge for a loss in which Luis Scola had more turnovers than assists and 0-7 OU (-12.5 ppg) after losing the previous matchup in which Yao Ming was not the Rockets' high scorer.In Houston’s series-clinching win over the Blazers, they held Portland to 76 points while the Refs let them play. Portland made only 12 free throws and the Rockets made 11. Yao Ming was a very nice 8-of-16 from the floor but Ron Artest led the Rockets with 27 points. Houston is 0-6 OU as a dog after a game at home in which they scored less than 15% of their points from the free throw line and 0-6 OU (-13.2 ppg) during the playoffs and after a win at home in which Yao Ming was NOT the Rockets' high scorer. If the Rockets are going to compete in this series, they are not going to be able to do it with offense, it has to be on the defensive side of the floor. Take the UNDER.
MTi’s FORECAST: LA LAKERS 96 Houston 87
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