Jeff Scott
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Baltimore /Texas over 11: The Over is 10-4-1 in Rangers last 15 games vs. a right-handed starter, while the Over is 41-19-4 in Orioles last 64 games vs. a left-handed starter. Both teams have the potetial to score plenty of runs as Texas is 3rd in scoring at 6.1 rpg, while Blatimore is 9th in scoring at 5.5 rpg and today those offenses will take aim at some crappy pitching. Matt Harrison has made 18 career starts and he has 6.04 ERA in those starts. An interesting side note is that despite the poor ERA he has a winning 9-5 record and that has translated into his games averaging 14.3 rpg. Matt has faced the O's once here and that game put up 22 runs. Jeremy Guthrie has a winning record this year, despite his 5.16 ERA, as 11.3 rpg have been scored in his starts. Jeremy has faced the Rangers at home twice and 12 rpg have been scored in those games. Yesterday 13 runs were scored by these teams and I see this one exceding that number as both offenses will have a field day vs some bad pitching.
3 UNIT PLAY
Kansas City/ Toronto Over 9: The Over is 6-0 in Blue Jays last 6 during game 1 of a series, while the Over is 8-1-1 in Bannisters last 10 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance and 4-1-1 in his last 6 starts overall. David Purcey has just 16 career starts, but he has an ERA of 5.67 in those starts and that includes a 6.10 ERA in his 4 starts this year. David's starts have averaged 12.3 rpg overall and 12 rpg on the road. Brian Bannister didn't allow a run in his first start, but he does have a 5.79 ERA in 1 starts vs the Jays. The Royals are not a great offensive team, but they should have good success vs Purcey today, while Toronto's top ranked scoring offense should get enough runs to push this one over the total.
2 UNIT PLAY
Chicago +126 over ARIZONA: The Cubs are 10-2 in Lillys last 12 starts during game 1 of a series, while the Diamondbacks are 1-7 in their last 8 games vs. a left-handed starter. The Cubs broke a 4 game slide with a big win over the Cards yesterday and they should make it 2 in a row here. Ted Lilly has pitched well for the Cubs this year, as he is 2-1 with a 2.41 ERA, while in 8 games vs lefty starters the D-Backs are scoring just 2 rpg and hitting just .171 vs them. Pitiful. cubs should take this one easily.
1 UNIT PLAY
PHILADELPHIA -1.5 (+120) Over Washington: I think that 9th inning vs the Marlins on Friday really jumpstarted the phils offense as they have now scored 26 runs in their last 19 innings. Now they faced the 22nd ranked staff and their hot hitting should continue. Joe Blanton has not had a good start, but the Phils bats will give him plenty of run support as they win easily.
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