Johnny Guild
NBA Selections Monday, March 9, 2009 7:00 PM EST.
New Orleans Hornets (39-22) at Atlanta Hawks (35-28)
The Hornets have won seven straight games, nine of its last 12 and are 3-1 both straight-up and against the spread in their last four clashes at Philips Arena. Take the Hornets and Chris Paul to sting the Hawks in Atlanta.
New Orleans Hornets -1.5
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers -4.5
NBA Selections Monday, March 9, 2009 7:00 PM EST.
New Orleans Hornets (39-22) at Atlanta Hawks (35-28)
The Hornets have won seven straight games, nine of its last 12 and are 3-1 both straight-up and against the spread in their last four clashes at Philips Arena. Take the Hornets and Chris Paul to sting the Hawks in Atlanta.
New Orleans Hornets -1.5
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers -4.5
Dave Malinsky
6* #510 DENVER/HOUSTON Under
We write often about how difficult it is to play in Denver in the
second night of a back-to-back situation, when the legs fall victim
to the altitude of the Mile High City. Tonight it becomes magnified
to an extreme, as two tired teams go head-to-head in a game in which
the playoff implications are huge, but the energy levels to push the
pace are extremely low. That makes this an ugly grinder of an affair
that should fall far below this high Total.
For Houston the log is about as extreme as the NBA schedule markers
allow it to be - the Rockets are playing their fifth game in seven
nights, and their seventh in 10, with this being the third
back-to-back in that span in which the second leg was on the road
(the first two both played Under). That is asking a lot for a team
that is not all that deep right now, particularly in terms of
offensive options. But as we noted in cashing that easy 4* Under
ticket with them vs. Memphis last night, the defense is #5 in the NBA
on our best set of ratings, and trending even better since Tracy
McGrady began wearing street clothes. Given that they prefer a
half-court game at the best of times, in order to have Yao Ming
involved as much as possible, in this setting Rcik Adelman is looking
for the slowest pace possible. And with both Ron Artest and Shane
Battier as defensive options against Carmelo Anthony, the X's are
there to handle one of the key Denver O's, which is a key factor in
terms of the offensive efficiency of the Nuggets as well.
Not that the home team has the legs to make many shots anyway. This
is a four games in five nights, and five in seven, cycle for Denver,
and the seventh straight game in which the Nuggets have had a court
change. That is exacerbated by having played on the west coast last
night, which takes an hour of recuperation time away, and it was a
draining loss at Sacramento. Instead of managing the minutes of his
starters to prepare for this showdown George Karl was forced to put
them into a chase mode, and in cutting a 16-point fourth quarter
deficit to as low as six there was a toll extracted. Chauncey Billups
played 44 minutes, with the absence of Anthony Carter not giving him
much respite, and Anthony and Nene 39 each.
Denver is not just an offensive show any more. In their last two home
games the Nuggets held the Lakers to a season-low of 79 points, and
Portland to 90. They know that it is that end of the court where this
one will have to be won, especially since their own injury issues and
fatigue will make pushing the pace almost impossible against this
opponent. So we have a rather ugly affair in which there is precious
little flow, and an easy Under.
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6* #510 DENVER/HOUSTON Under
We write often about how difficult it is to play in Denver in the
second night of a back-to-back situation, when the legs fall victim
to the altitude of the Mile High City. Tonight it becomes magnified
to an extreme, as two tired teams go head-to-head in a game in which
the playoff implications are huge, but the energy levels to push the
pace are extremely low. That makes this an ugly grinder of an affair
that should fall far below this high Total.
For Houston the log is about as extreme as the NBA schedule markers
allow it to be - the Rockets are playing their fifth game in seven
nights, and their seventh in 10, with this being the third
back-to-back in that span in which the second leg was on the road
(the first two both played Under). That is asking a lot for a team
that is not all that deep right now, particularly in terms of
offensive options. But as we noted in cashing that easy 4* Under
ticket with them vs. Memphis last night, the defense is #5 in the NBA
on our best set of ratings, and trending even better since Tracy
McGrady began wearing street clothes. Given that they prefer a
half-court game at the best of times, in order to have Yao Ming
involved as much as possible, in this setting Rcik Adelman is looking
for the slowest pace possible. And with both Ron Artest and Shane
Battier as defensive options against Carmelo Anthony, the X's are
there to handle one of the key Denver O's, which is a key factor in
terms of the offensive efficiency of the Nuggets as well.
Not that the home team has the legs to make many shots anyway. This
is a four games in five nights, and five in seven, cycle for Denver,
and the seventh straight game in which the Nuggets have had a court
change. That is exacerbated by having played on the west coast last
night, which takes an hour of recuperation time away, and it was a
draining loss at Sacramento. Instead of managing the minutes of his
starters to prepare for this showdown George Karl was forced to put
them into a chase mode, and in cutting a 16-point fourth quarter
deficit to as low as six there was a toll extracted. Chauncey Billups
played 44 minutes, with the absence of Anthony Carter not giving him
much respite, and Anthony and Nene 39 each.
Denver is not just an offensive show any more. In their last two home
games the Nuggets held the Lakers to a season-low of 79 points, and
Portland to 90. They know that it is that end of the court where this
one will have to be won, especially since their own injury issues and
fatigue will make pushing the pace almost impossible against this
opponent. So we have a rather ugly affair in which there is precious
little flow, and an easy Under.
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