MTi Sports
Atlanta at Washington
Play: Washington +4
With seven minutes to go in the third quarter, the Hawks trailed the Cavs 62-49. Then they went on huge run in the third quarter to take a 81-74 lead. However, the Cavs battled back to win 88-87 on a Lebron james free throw with 1 second on the clock.These type of games are tough to recover from with no rest. Indeed, Atlanta is 0-9 ATS (-8.7 ppg) off a loss of four points or fewer at home in which they trailed by double digits. In addition, Atlanta is 0-9 ATS (-7.8 ppg) after a game at home in which they scored more than 25% of their points from the free throw line.Last night, Atlanta had a total of 11 assists -- a season low at home. This is a bad sign for their chances tonight. The Hawks are 0-12 SU (-13.0 ppg) and 0-12 ATS (-8.1 ppg) after a home loss in which they had more turnovers than assists. Player-wise, the Hawks are 0-7 ATS (-9.8 ppg) since December 13, 2006 with no rest after a loss at home in which Marvin Williams had more turnovers than assists and 0-5 ATS (-11.0 ppg) after a loss at home in which Al Horford had more turnovers than assists.In the last meeting between these two, the Hawks pounded the Wizards 111-90 laying 9 at home. Joe Johnson led all scorers with 22 points on 9-of-16 shooting. Atlanta can be soft in this spot, as they are 0-9 ATS (-8.6 ppg) as a favorite after winning the previous matchup in which Joe Johnson was the Hawks' high scorer. Conversely, the Wizards are 8-0 ATS as a 4+ point dog with less than two days rest when seeking revenge for a double-digit loss as a dog -- including 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS this season. Grab the points and consider a moneyline play on the Wizards.
MTi’s FORECAST: WASHINGTON 107 Atlanta 99
Atlanta at Washington
Play: Washington +4
With seven minutes to go in the third quarter, the Hawks trailed the Cavs 62-49. Then they went on huge run in the third quarter to take a 81-74 lead. However, the Cavs battled back to win 88-87 on a Lebron james free throw with 1 second on the clock.These type of games are tough to recover from with no rest. Indeed, Atlanta is 0-9 ATS (-8.7 ppg) off a loss of four points or fewer at home in which they trailed by double digits. In addition, Atlanta is 0-9 ATS (-7.8 ppg) after a game at home in which they scored more than 25% of their points from the free throw line.Last night, Atlanta had a total of 11 assists -- a season low at home. This is a bad sign for their chances tonight. The Hawks are 0-12 SU (-13.0 ppg) and 0-12 ATS (-8.1 ppg) after a home loss in which they had more turnovers than assists. Player-wise, the Hawks are 0-7 ATS (-9.8 ppg) since December 13, 2006 with no rest after a loss at home in which Marvin Williams had more turnovers than assists and 0-5 ATS (-11.0 ppg) after a loss at home in which Al Horford had more turnovers than assists.In the last meeting between these two, the Hawks pounded the Wizards 111-90 laying 9 at home. Joe Johnson led all scorers with 22 points on 9-of-16 shooting. Atlanta can be soft in this spot, as they are 0-9 ATS (-8.6 ppg) as a favorite after winning the previous matchup in which Joe Johnson was the Hawks' high scorer. Conversely, the Wizards are 8-0 ATS as a 4+ point dog with less than two days rest when seeking revenge for a double-digit loss as a dog -- including 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS this season. Grab the points and consider a moneyline play on the Wizards.
MTi’s FORECAST: WASHINGTON 107 Atlanta 99
Jamie Tursini
Cleveland at Miami
Play: Cleveland -3.5
Normally it's very difficult to lay points on the second of back to back games. Especially on the road and vs a solid home team. Miami is 20-10 at home.
But Cleveland simply has an outstanding record with 0 days rest.
They are 11-2 SU and 10-3 ATS, averaging a 101.2 to 90.3 score.
I'll lay the points.
Cleveland at Miami
Play: Cleveland -3.5
Normally it's very difficult to lay points on the second of back to back games. Especially on the road and vs a solid home team. Miami is 20-10 at home.
But Cleveland simply has an outstanding record with 0 days rest.
They are 11-2 SU and 10-3 ATS, averaging a 101.2 to 90.3 score.
I'll lay the points.
Rob Homyak
Villanova Wildcats at Notre Dame Fighting Irish
5 units on Notre Dame
The Irish are 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven meetings with the Wildcats and they?ve covered each of the last three played in South Bend. Villanova is 1-4 ATS all in the Big East and 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games after a straight-up loss.
Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big East.
Fighting Irish are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5.
Fighting Irish are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite of 0.5-6.5.
Villanova Wildcats at Notre Dame Fighting Irish
5 units on Notre Dame
The Irish are 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven meetings with the Wildcats and they?ve covered each of the last three played in South Bend. Villanova is 1-4 ATS all in the Big East and 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games after a straight-up loss.
Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big East.
Fighting Irish are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5.
Fighting Irish are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite of 0.5-6.5.
Brian King...
Villanova (156) at Notre Dame (-3) - 7:00, ET
Brian King's 20 Dime Big East TV Game of the Week Winner is...
Villanova (+3) 20 Dimes
Like taking candy from a baby tonight. Villanova has not lost two in a row all season and yes, I know all about Notre Dame's home run but that was long ago and this is now. The Irish have a tall order trying to stop Scottie Reynolds who has averaged 19.7 ppg in three shots at the Irish. It's must win for 'Nova and they are 9-0 when Reynolds scores 18 or more and 10-1 when he shoots over 40%. He'll do both tonight as the wrong team is favored in this one. This game is a trend buster as the Irish are 1-5-1 ATS against Villanova the last 7 however the underdog is 5-2-1 the last 7 ATS. Tonight the Irish catch an angry 'Nova team coming off a tough loss at home to G'Town. The Irish 7-15 ATS lose outright tonight on their home floor to the better team.
Villanova (156) at Notre Dame (-3) - 7:00, ET
Brian King's 20 Dime Big East TV Game of the Week Winner is...
Villanova (+3) 20 Dimes
Like taking candy from a baby tonight. Villanova has not lost two in a row all season and yes, I know all about Notre Dame's home run but that was long ago and this is now. The Irish have a tall order trying to stop Scottie Reynolds who has averaged 19.7 ppg in three shots at the Irish. It's must win for 'Nova and they are 9-0 when Reynolds scores 18 or more and 10-1 when he shoots over 40%. He'll do both tonight as the wrong team is favored in this one. This game is a trend buster as the Irish are 1-5-1 ATS against Villanova the last 7 however the underdog is 5-2-1 the last 7 ATS. Tonight the Irish catch an angry 'Nova team coming off a tough loss at home to G'Town. The Irish 7-15 ATS lose outright tonight on their home floor to the better team.
indiancowboy
4 Unit Play. #520. Take Elon +14 over Davidson (Monday @ 7pm est). Elon University is just as good as any dog out there today for us as we kick off our goal to win 7 of 9 weeks in college ball after a winning week in cbb last week going 4-3. Elon has its Senior Night tonight against Davidson and its by no accident that they have scheduled Davidson on senior night. Emotions will be high and Elon will look to step up here as they played fairly well against Davidson on the road earlier this year losing 68-83 easily covering the 22 points they were getting. Stephon Curry had a monster 39 points in that game at home. Well, if Elon can lose by 15 points on the road and actually outscored Davidson 44-37 in the second half on the road, I feel like they can start off this game well, be less intimidated, have the crowd behind them and hang in the 14 point spread here. You would be surprised at the bite Elon has at home as they have defeated the likes of Southern by 14 points, Western Carolina by 6, Furman by 8 and did beat Southern on the road by 3 and Charleston by 6. Elon does have some scoring potential with the likes of Chris Long, Devan Carter, Josh Bonney and Seniors Ola Attoyebi and Brett James who play their last home game today. I like the fact that the total is 138 here and the fact we are catching 14 of those points. Let's roll with Elon today as the public favors Davidson to a tune of 65% to 35% and let's take the points as Elon comes off a big loss as they return home and Davidson comes off a huge win over Georgia Southern. Davidson is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall and Elon is 5-0 ATS when facing a team with a straight up winning record. Elon has covered the last 4 times these two teams have met and this will be a tough spread for Davidson to cover on the highway here. I haev Elon likely losing by 8 to 10 points here.
4 Unit Play. Take Under 201 between the Dallas Mavericks vs. Oklahoma City Thunder (Monday @ 8pm est). The Pacers pull through outright last night against Denver at home. Let's keep it going with our 3rd straight NBA Winner with the Under today in OKC. The last time these two teams met was an exciting game which went into overtime with Dallas winning 110-108. The game in regulation scored at 190. However, it seems the public assumes that this game is going to be high scoring as the last game was (some not realizing it went to OT) and many are still forgetting that there will be no Durant for this contest. Durant was instrumental in OKC being competitive in the game at Dallas. I actually think that OKC will be very competitive in this game which is why 70% might get buried backing the Mavs on the road. On that same token, I do believe that 201 points is a bit high considering there will be no Durant and Dallas is not a road team with a lot of prowess for offense on the highway. Let's not forget this Dallas team scored 76 at San Antonio, 86 at Houston and 87 Utah. In short, on the highway, this team lacks offense. OKC did defeat Memphis on the road successfully without Durant as Westbrook and Green took the load scoring over 50 points combined of OKC's 99 points in that game. That game totaled at 191 and went under the total of 198. Bear in mind both of these teams have no depth because of injuries and of course, there is no Jason Terry in this contest. Look for both teams to score in the mid to high 80's today as the Under is 9-0 for the Mavs when they are road favorites of 5 to 10 points and the under is 7-3 for the Thunder when they are home dogs by this margin as well.
4 Unit Play. #520. Take Elon +14 over Davidson (Monday @ 7pm est). Elon University is just as good as any dog out there today for us as we kick off our goal to win 7 of 9 weeks in college ball after a winning week in cbb last week going 4-3. Elon has its Senior Night tonight against Davidson and its by no accident that they have scheduled Davidson on senior night. Emotions will be high and Elon will look to step up here as they played fairly well against Davidson on the road earlier this year losing 68-83 easily covering the 22 points they were getting. Stephon Curry had a monster 39 points in that game at home. Well, if Elon can lose by 15 points on the road and actually outscored Davidson 44-37 in the second half on the road, I feel like they can start off this game well, be less intimidated, have the crowd behind them and hang in the 14 point spread here. You would be surprised at the bite Elon has at home as they have defeated the likes of Southern by 14 points, Western Carolina by 6, Furman by 8 and did beat Southern on the road by 3 and Charleston by 6. Elon does have some scoring potential with the likes of Chris Long, Devan Carter, Josh Bonney and Seniors Ola Attoyebi and Brett James who play their last home game today. I like the fact that the total is 138 here and the fact we are catching 14 of those points. Let's roll with Elon today as the public favors Davidson to a tune of 65% to 35% and let's take the points as Elon comes off a big loss as they return home and Davidson comes off a huge win over Georgia Southern. Davidson is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall and Elon is 5-0 ATS when facing a team with a straight up winning record. Elon has covered the last 4 times these two teams have met and this will be a tough spread for Davidson to cover on the highway here. I haev Elon likely losing by 8 to 10 points here.
4 Unit Play. Take Under 201 between the Dallas Mavericks vs. Oklahoma City Thunder (Monday @ 8pm est). The Pacers pull through outright last night against Denver at home. Let's keep it going with our 3rd straight NBA Winner with the Under today in OKC. The last time these two teams met was an exciting game which went into overtime with Dallas winning 110-108. The game in regulation scored at 190. However, it seems the public assumes that this game is going to be high scoring as the last game was (some not realizing it went to OT) and many are still forgetting that there will be no Durant for this contest. Durant was instrumental in OKC being competitive in the game at Dallas. I actually think that OKC will be very competitive in this game which is why 70% might get buried backing the Mavs on the road. On that same token, I do believe that 201 points is a bit high considering there will be no Durant and Dallas is not a road team with a lot of prowess for offense on the highway. Let's not forget this Dallas team scored 76 at San Antonio, 86 at Houston and 87 Utah. In short, on the highway, this team lacks offense. OKC did defeat Memphis on the road successfully without Durant as Westbrook and Green took the load scoring over 50 points combined of OKC's 99 points in that game. That game totaled at 191 and went under the total of 198. Bear in mind both of these teams have no depth because of injuries and of course, there is no Jason Terry in this contest. Look for both teams to score in the mid to high 80's today as the Under is 9-0 for the Mavs when they are road favorites of 5 to 10 points and the under is 7-3 for the Thunder when they are home dogs by this margin as well.
