Indian Cowboy
4 Unit Play. #519. Take Furman +8 over Elon College (Monday @ 7pm est). Congrats on the 5-2 week in CBB last week, the 5-2 week in the NBA and the Overall 10-4 Week in Hoops which has allowed us to bank +22.4 net Units in Overall profit. Let's continue to focus, research and roll as per this week as we look to duplicate last week's 10-4, and last month's +66 Overall Units. This line is likely to rise as the day continues as there are 7.5's out there and now, we are beginning to see sprinklings of +8 as I write this in the early morning. I like the Southern Conference. After all, we rode The Citadel Outright over App. State most recently in the conference. These two teams have not met this year but certainly Furman remembers their dubbing they took at the hands of Elon last year when they lost 52-37 at Elon and the fact the game prior to that last year when they lost 58-60 at home to Elon. Well, Fuman is a team that seems to be getting some mo-jo back as conference play continues. Keep in mind that this team has won just 3 conference games all year and have lost 10. But, 2 of those 2 conference games they have won come in their last two games as back to back victories. This team defeated both Samford and Chattanooga at home who were teams ranked in the top 275 and top 200. Bear in mind that these were both Outright wins as Furman was dogged by 6.5 and 2.5. In fact, what has gone unnoticed is the fact that Furman has covered their last 5 straight contests and this is important considering this team si 7-10 ATS overall this year. Furman is improving its play. It is obvious by their ATS covers of late and the fact they have been rewarded with back to back conference wins at home. Does this translate into a competitive spirit on the road? Yes, I believe so. After all, prior to the win over Samford at home, this team lost to App. State by just 2 points and they were dogged by 13 in that game. In fact, in the game prior to that, this team was dogged by 13 to Western Carolina and fell short by 9 points on the road. Who is to say that our Furman Paladins who are 4-0 ATS as underdogs of late, who are 5-0 ATS overall of late, the Elon Phoenix who are 0-4 ATS at home of late, with Furman having revenge and now with a renewed sense of play which has led them to ATS wins and increasing their conference wins by 200% in a span of two games, will not be competitive here? Paladins baby! (p.s. The Paladins were known as the twelve peers and were the foremost warriors in Charlemagne's court - we can use 7 of those warriors tonight).
4 Unit Play. Take Under (no line out yet) between New Orleans Hornets @ Memphis Grizzlies (Monday @ 8pm est). There is no reason why this game shouldn't go under today. Are you aware what the final total was between the Raptors vs. Grizzlies? Try 150 (78-72 as the Grizzlies won). The combination of Conley, Mayo and Warrick scored 15, 16, and 16 points as if it was a college game. Part of this reason was because of Gay and Arthur did not play in the contest due to Arthur's personal reasons and Gay's Hip Flexor. Tack on the fact that Kyle Lowry did not play either as he is day to day with an ankle injury. Do you want to know why Toronto had trouble scoring? Well, they had no Chris Bosh and consequently, this team barely scored above 70 points. What is the similarity between Toronto and New Orleans? The fact that both teams are banged and Chris Paul and Chandler are likely to still be out and note, David West might be serving his suspension today. So, when you tack all this on what you are looking at is two banged up teams that will be struggling to score over 85 points a piece. In fact, I think the Grizzlies likely win this game outright, but how can one take the Grizzlies without knowing if Arthur or Gay is playing for certain and with a possibility of Paul playing and a possibility of West playing. I liked the under without the possibilities of injuries, but the chance that 5 of the better/best players of either of these teams combined might not be seeing action, certainly allows for me to take the under here. The Under is 5-2 for the Hornets following an ATS win and the Under is 6-2 when the Grizzlies play a winning team at home.
Good luck,
Indian Cowboy.
4 Unit Play. #519. Take Furman +8 over Elon College (Monday @ 7pm est). Congrats on the 5-2 week in CBB last week, the 5-2 week in the NBA and the Overall 10-4 Week in Hoops which has allowed us to bank +22.4 net Units in Overall profit. Let's continue to focus, research and roll as per this week as we look to duplicate last week's 10-4, and last month's +66 Overall Units. This line is likely to rise as the day continues as there are 7.5's out there and now, we are beginning to see sprinklings of +8 as I write this in the early morning. I like the Southern Conference. After all, we rode The Citadel Outright over App. State most recently in the conference. These two teams have not met this year but certainly Furman remembers their dubbing they took at the hands of Elon last year when they lost 52-37 at Elon and the fact the game prior to that last year when they lost 58-60 at home to Elon. Well, Fuman is a team that seems to be getting some mo-jo back as conference play continues. Keep in mind that this team has won just 3 conference games all year and have lost 10. But, 2 of those 2 conference games they have won come in their last two games as back to back victories. This team defeated both Samford and Chattanooga at home who were teams ranked in the top 275 and top 200. Bear in mind that these were both Outright wins as Furman was dogged by 6.5 and 2.5. In fact, what has gone unnoticed is the fact that Furman has covered their last 5 straight contests and this is important considering this team si 7-10 ATS overall this year. Furman is improving its play. It is obvious by their ATS covers of late and the fact they have been rewarded with back to back conference wins at home. Does this translate into a competitive spirit on the road? Yes, I believe so. After all, prior to the win over Samford at home, this team lost to App. State by just 2 points and they were dogged by 13 in that game. In fact, in the game prior to that, this team was dogged by 13 to Western Carolina and fell short by 9 points on the road. Who is to say that our Furman Paladins who are 4-0 ATS as underdogs of late, who are 5-0 ATS overall of late, the Elon Phoenix who are 0-4 ATS at home of late, with Furman having revenge and now with a renewed sense of play which has led them to ATS wins and increasing their conference wins by 200% in a span of two games, will not be competitive here? Paladins baby! (p.s. The Paladins were known as the twelve peers and were the foremost warriors in Charlemagne's court - we can use 7 of those warriors tonight).
4 Unit Play. Take Under (no line out yet) between New Orleans Hornets @ Memphis Grizzlies (Monday @ 8pm est). There is no reason why this game shouldn't go under today. Are you aware what the final total was between the Raptors vs. Grizzlies? Try 150 (78-72 as the Grizzlies won). The combination of Conley, Mayo and Warrick scored 15, 16, and 16 points as if it was a college game. Part of this reason was because of Gay and Arthur did not play in the contest due to Arthur's personal reasons and Gay's Hip Flexor. Tack on the fact that Kyle Lowry did not play either as he is day to day with an ankle injury. Do you want to know why Toronto had trouble scoring? Well, they had no Chris Bosh and consequently, this team barely scored above 70 points. What is the similarity between Toronto and New Orleans? The fact that both teams are banged and Chris Paul and Chandler are likely to still be out and note, David West might be serving his suspension today. So, when you tack all this on what you are looking at is two banged up teams that will be struggling to score over 85 points a piece. In fact, I think the Grizzlies likely win this game outright, but how can one take the Grizzlies without knowing if Arthur or Gay is playing for certain and with a possibility of Paul playing and a possibility of West playing. I liked the under without the possibilities of injuries, but the chance that 5 of the better/best players of either of these teams combined might not be seeing action, certainly allows for me to take the under here. The Under is 5-2 for the Hornets following an ATS win and the Under is 6-2 when the Grizzlies play a winning team at home.
Good luck,
Indian Cowboy.
Last edited by a moderator:
Lee Kostroski
<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->REASON FOR PICK: 7* Philadelphia vs. Phoenix UNDER 211.5
Monday, February 9 – 6:00 PM CST
After getting two big wins against the Pistons and Warriors, this will be Phoenix’ 3rd game in the past 4 nights. They have a big road game @Cleveland on Wednesday waiting in the wings, so expect the Suns to use a lot of their bench minutes tonight. They used just 8 players against the Warriors and 9 against the Pistons, so it’s obvious they don’t have the most talented bench. The ‘Sixers young, talented athletes have been giving opposing offenses fits, allowing 95.6 points per game. Look for Philly’s defense to cause problems for the fatigued Suns tonight.
Phoenix’ thrives when Shaquille O’Neal and Amare Stoudemire can dominate the paint, they also like to get out and run on the fast break whenever the opportunity presents itself. In the last 10 games, Phoenix averages 20.7 points per game on fast breaks and 54.4 points in the paint. Philly is great at stopping both; In the ‘Sixers last 10 games, they allow just 11.3 fast break points and 36.4 points in the paint per game.
Our math model projects just 199 points in this game. The Suns have finished UNDER in their last four games on no days rest. Philly is 21-9-1 UNDER in their last 31 home games. In their last 23 games the 76ers and their opponent have topped 211 total points just 3 times. When these two teams match up, they have finished UNDER in 5 of their last 7 meetings. With a fatigued lineup against a great defense, this game will NOT surpass 211 points. Go with the UNDER.
<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->REASON FOR PICK: 7* Philadelphia vs. Phoenix UNDER 211.5
Monday, February 9 – 6:00 PM CST
After getting two big wins against the Pistons and Warriors, this will be Phoenix’ 3rd game in the past 4 nights. They have a big road game @Cleveland on Wednesday waiting in the wings, so expect the Suns to use a lot of their bench minutes tonight. They used just 8 players against the Warriors and 9 against the Pistons, so it’s obvious they don’t have the most talented bench. The ‘Sixers young, talented athletes have been giving opposing offenses fits, allowing 95.6 points per game. Look for Philly’s defense to cause problems for the fatigued Suns tonight.
Phoenix’ thrives when Shaquille O’Neal and Amare Stoudemire can dominate the paint, they also like to get out and run on the fast break whenever the opportunity presents itself. In the last 10 games, Phoenix averages 20.7 points per game on fast breaks and 54.4 points in the paint. Philly is great at stopping both; In the ‘Sixers last 10 games, they allow just 11.3 fast break points and 36.4 points in the paint per game.
Our math model projects just 199 points in this game. The Suns have finished UNDER in their last four games on no days rest. Philly is 21-9-1 UNDER in their last 31 home games. In their last 23 games the 76ers and their opponent have topped 211 total points just 3 times. When these two teams match up, they have finished UNDER in 5 of their last 7 meetings. With a fatigued lineup against a great defense, this game will NOT surpass 211 points. Go with the UNDER.
Kanesline
(POD)
NCAAB
ESPN
West Virginia Mountaineers at Pittsburgh Panthers
Projected Spread: Pittsburgh Panthers by 8
Projected Total: 142
Projected Score:
West Virginia Mountaineers 67
Pittsburgh Panthers 75
System Pick: Take Pittsburgh Panthers -7.50
Trend to Watch:
The Pittsburgh Panthers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a
favorite of 7-12.5 points.
NCAAB
ESPN
Kansas Jayhawks at Missouri Tigers
Projected Spread: Missouri Tigers by 2
Projected Total: 154
Projected Score:
Kansas Jayhawks 76
Missouri Tigers 78
System Pick: Take Kansas Jayhawks +4
Trends to Watch:
The Kansas Jayhawks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 monday games.
NBA
Houston Rockets at Milwaukee Bucks
Projected Spread: Houston Rockets by 1
Projected Total: 197
Projected Score:
Houston Rockets 99
Milwaukee Bucks 98
Pick: Take 3 point buy Milwaukee Bucks +9.50
System Pick: Take Milwaukee Bucks +6.50
Trend to Watch:
The Milwaukee Bucks are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 vs the NBA
southwest.
The POD for monday is the 3 point buy Milwaukee Bucks +9.50 vs
the Houston Rockets. Also, we like the Pittsburgh Panthers -7.50 and the Kansas Jayhawks +4 in ESPN college hoops
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(POD)
NCAAB
ESPN
West Virginia Mountaineers at Pittsburgh Panthers
Projected Spread: Pittsburgh Panthers by 8
Projected Total: 142
Projected Score:
West Virginia Mountaineers 67
Pittsburgh Panthers 75
System Pick: Take Pittsburgh Panthers -7.50
Trend to Watch:
The Pittsburgh Panthers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a
favorite of 7-12.5 points.
NCAAB
ESPN
Kansas Jayhawks at Missouri Tigers
Projected Spread: Missouri Tigers by 2
Projected Total: 154
Projected Score:
Kansas Jayhawks 76
Missouri Tigers 78
System Pick: Take Kansas Jayhawks +4
Trends to Watch:
The Kansas Jayhawks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 monday games.
NBA
Houston Rockets at Milwaukee Bucks
Projected Spread: Houston Rockets by 1
Projected Total: 197
Projected Score:
Houston Rockets 99
Milwaukee Bucks 98
Pick: Take 3 point buy Milwaukee Bucks +9.50
System Pick: Take Milwaukee Bucks +6.50
Trend to Watch:
The Milwaukee Bucks are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 vs the NBA
southwest.
The POD for monday is the 3 point buy Milwaukee Bucks +9.50 vs
the Houston Rockets. Also, we like the Pittsburgh Panthers -7.50 and the Kansas Jayhawks +4 in ESPN college hoops
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GamblersWorld
Tip of the Day - February 9, 2009
Today's TIP OF THE DAY:
Sport: NBA
Game: 8:00PM, Houston Rockets vs. Milwaukee Bucks
Prediction: Houston Rockets
Current Line: -6.5
Over/Under: 196.5
Reason: The Houston Rockets and the Milwaukee Bucks will both be gunning for a victory on Monday when they meet at Bradley Center.
Oddsmakers currently have the Rockets listed as 6½-point favorites versus the Bucks, while the game's total is sitting at 196½.
The Rockets dominated the fourth quarter to put away the Timberwolves 107-90 on Saturday. The Rockets covered the 7.5-point spread, but the 197 points went UNDER the posted total of 199.5.
Yao Ming dropped a team -high 30 points to go with six rebounds. Rafer Alston chipped in with 22 points in that win.
The Bucks fell 126-121 to the Pistons in overtime on Saturday, as 4-point underdogs at home. The combined score sailed OVER the posted total of 184.
Ramon Sessions collected a game-high 44 points for the Bucks, and Charlie Villanueva added 33 points in the loss.
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Tip of the Day - February 9, 2009
Today's TIP OF THE DAY:
Sport: NBA
Game: 8:00PM, Houston Rockets vs. Milwaukee Bucks
Prediction: Houston Rockets
Current Line: -6.5
Over/Under: 196.5
Reason: The Houston Rockets and the Milwaukee Bucks will both be gunning for a victory on Monday when they meet at Bradley Center.
Oddsmakers currently have the Rockets listed as 6½-point favorites versus the Bucks, while the game's total is sitting at 196½.
The Rockets dominated the fourth quarter to put away the Timberwolves 107-90 on Saturday. The Rockets covered the 7.5-point spread, but the 197 points went UNDER the posted total of 199.5.
Yao Ming dropped a team -high 30 points to go with six rebounds. Rafer Alston chipped in with 22 points in that win.
The Bucks fell 126-121 to the Pistons in overtime on Saturday, as 4-point underdogs at home. The combined score sailed OVER the posted total of 184.
Ramon Sessions collected a game-high 44 points for the Bucks, and Charlie Villanueva added 33 points in the loss.
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ChicagoSportsConnection
ChicagoSportsConnection
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CHARLOTTE -1 vs Clippers....7:05 EDT
The mighty Clippers and their 12-39 record are suddenly getting respect at the windows.
What a joke.
They won their last two games against ATL & MEMP by shooting 57% and 59% from the field.
I was listening to the home radio feed for the Clippers the other night, and their announcers were laughing like little girls because their team couldn't miss.
It was quite amusing actually....but ,back to the game tonight.
The Clippers will play their last of 7 games on this East Coast swing.
....and it's 7 games in 11 days, which makes this a bad spot for them....especially since they've won the last two.
CHAR on the other hand is hungry.
They have lost their last 5 games....but they have excuses.
The last 2 games (@ MIA & vs ATL) were tough losses that could have gone either way.
The 3 losses before that were...
@ Utah
@ Denver
@ Portland.
They won @ The Lakers in the 6th game back.
Before that stretch ,you remember, they were the team to bet on (covered 8 straight).
We say CHAR gets back on track tonight with a comfortable win.
We know Wallace is out, but they played tuff without him in the last two.
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ChicagoSportsConnection
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CHARLOTTE -1 vs Clippers....7:05 EDT
The mighty Clippers and their 12-39 record are suddenly getting respect at the windows.
What a joke.
They won their last two games against ATL & MEMP by shooting 57% and 59% from the field.
I was listening to the home radio feed for the Clippers the other night, and their announcers were laughing like little girls because their team couldn't miss.
It was quite amusing actually....but ,back to the game tonight.
The Clippers will play their last of 7 games on this East Coast swing.
....and it's 7 games in 11 days, which makes this a bad spot for them....especially since they've won the last two.
CHAR on the other hand is hungry.
They have lost their last 5 games....but they have excuses.
The last 2 games (@ MIA & vs ATL) were tough losses that could have gone either way.
The 3 losses before that were...
@ Utah
@ Denver
@ Portland.
They won @ The Lakers in the 6th game back.
Before that stretch ,you remember, they were the team to bet on (covered 8 straight).
We say CHAR gets back on track tonight with a comfortable win.
We know Wallace is out, but they played tuff without him in the last two.
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