Indian Cowboy
6*Unit Play. Take Under 51 between Miami @ Wake Forest (Saturday @ 3:30pm est). This is a big game for Wake Forest as they come off some tough losses.* This team will love to control the clock and grind the ball, especially against an offensive team such as Miami.* The goal for this Wake team to have any chance in this game, is to keep the Hurricanes off the field.* Heck, in the Navy game, there were only 23 points scored total as this team went toe to toe against Navy who is a very good team on the road losing by a field goal. Now, they return home to face a very good Miami team - a Miami team who by the way who comes off a tough loss to Clemson by a score of 37-40.* Remember, this Miami team will be looking to bounce-back from that tough loss to Clemson and in particular their defense.* Wake runs a fairly simple offense with a big reliance on running the ball and time of possession*- a poor man's version of the Miami Dolphins in the NFL a bit.* But, I like Wake coming off a loss and this could be a public burial as well as over 70% are on Miami.* So, we take the under which is an indirect public fade.* After all, what that means is that if Wake is an active dog, this is a rare case in which you will get a dog/under because Wake looks for ball control and time of possession more than anything. The Under is 5-2 in the Hurricanes last seven games as a favorite and the Under is 5-1 when the Demon Deacons are Underdogs overall and home Underdogs as well.
4*Unit Play.* #147.* Take Georgia Bulldogs +14.5 over Florida Gators*(Saturday @ 3:30pm est). Florida beat this team 49-10 last year.* You don't think Georgia is going to be ready for this game?* Yes, I know Joe Cox sucks.* So, who cares about Joe Blow.* If this Georgia defense steps up in a big way, this can certainly be Georgia's way.* Keep in mind this can be a great step up opportunity for Georgia.* This team is desperate for a win and this could be the game here. Florida did not cover huge spreads against Miss State, Arkansas or Tennessee so who is to say they are going to cover the spread here against an arch rival such as Georgia.* I like the points here. as bear in mind that Georgia will absolutely fired up for this game.* When you have a team like Georgia who has nothing to lose in this game, and everything to gain, who the hell cares?* I think Georgia is going to pull out all the stops here as this team is desperate for a big win this year after the tough loss to LSU at home and certainly, Joe got some confidence in the win over Vanderbilt.* Florida has shown its weaknesses at times especially against Arkansas at home and if Georgia can score early and get a couple of things to go their way, indeed, they could cover this game with Florida barely coming back to win very similar to the Arkansas game. The Bulldogs are 5-0 as Underdogs of 10.5 or greater and the Bulldogs are 3-1-1 ATS after a win of twenty points or more as this team feeds off confidence.
4 Unit Play.*Take Under 49.5 between the Ole Miss Rebels @ Auburn Tigers (Saturday @ 12:20pm est). Auburn desperately needs a win here coming off the ugly loss to LSU and back to back losses. In fact, they come off three straight conference losses. The Ole Miss defense has been getting better steadily and I would not be surprised to see an Under here as the Auburn defense needs to step up big at home here as the offense is lacking.* If Ole Miss can be physical on defense, this game is likely to go under.* Yes, indeed Auburn can be an active dog here, but bear in mind that this team struggles to score against athletic defenses. If you notice this total has been going down steadily and rightfully so.* Auburn put up just ten points at LSU and even that touchdown came late, they put up 14 against Kentucky at home and Ole Miss defense is solid.* No, Ole Miss is not amazing on defense, but this team gave up 17 points to Arkansas at home, which is better than Florida, they gave up 13 to UAB, 22 to Alabama, 7 to Vandy and 16 to South Carolina.* I like this to be more of a defensive battle than folks realize and this game likely to go under. The Under is 6-0 when the Rebels are favored between a field goal and touchdown such as this week, the Under is 5-1 when the Rebels are favored on the road and the Under is 13-3 when the Tigers are an Underdog by this margin.
4 Unit Play. Take Under 47 between Georgia Tech @ Vanderbilt (Saturday @ 7:30pm est). With nearly 80% on Georgia Tech here, the line is just begging you take it.* Rather, we will take the Under here.* Georgia Tech is the tops in the country in many rushing categories and they will look to pound the ball on the ground once again. Vandy is no stranger to an offense that likes to run coming from the SEC and I look for Vandy to hang in there tough.* Now, does Vandy win, no.* Does Vandy even hang within the spread, maybe not.* But, they will look to slow this game down and if Vandy has any chance in this game with their limited offense, it needs to be through their defense.* This will be very similar to the Tech vs. Virginia game which totaled at 43.* Vandy has played in four straight Unders, and 8 of 9 Unders. I like Vandy to hang tough here for a bit, Tech to take a nice lead and just run this clock out through their running game. The Under is 5-0 when the Jackets come off a win of more than 20 points, the Under is 16-4-1 for the Commodores as an Underdog and the Under is 14-3-1 for the Commodores in their last 18 home games.
4 Unit Play.* #188.*Take Oregon +3 over University of Southern Cal (Saturday @ 8pm est).* You have to take a look at games objectively.* If you look at the numbers purely, this is a game that Oregon can certainly cover, if not win outright.* Since the loss to Boise State early on, this team has dominated teams, and is looking to just kill people.* Each and ever week, they are looking to just absolutely kill people.* Its awesome to watch.* This team remembers that loss earlier in the year on national television and they are coming back with a vengeance and it is a thing of beauty to watch.* What better way than to win the PAC-10?* This team is right there as they are ranked twelfth in the country, just beat a decent Washington team 43-19 on the road, beat UCLA on the road 24-10, crushed Cal 42-3 at home and beat Utah 31-24.* Heck, this team has covered five straight ballgames. USC is good.* No one is doubting that. But, this team has had their shaky moments including barely defeating Oregon State, losing at Washington, barely defeating Ohio State and winning by a possession at Notre Dame.* I don't like going against Pete Carroll here, but I can see Oregon hanging tough here and staying with the number of winning outright.* If USC can lose at Washington, then why not Oregon? The Trojans are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games and the Ducks are 6-0 ATS in their last six conference games.* Quack Quack baby.
4 Unit Play.* #152.* Take Oregon State -9.5 over UCLA (Saturday @ 4pm est). Speaking of Oregon State, why not go with the Beavers here at home coming off their tough loss to USC.* Oregon State is a very good team and lost within one possession to the number four team in the country in USC.* This team is well coached and UCLA is a team with a lot of heart, but a bit undersized, and of course, they don't have the offensive capability as the Beavers have here.* I like Oregon State to do well here as they did beat Stanford by 10 at home, beat Arizona State outright on the road and beat UCLA by 28 on the road last year. UCLA has lost four straight games and consequently four straight covers.* I like Oregon State here off the loss to USC as the Beavers are 5-1 ATS as a favorite of 3 to 10 points, 10-3 ATS in their last 13 home games and UCLA is 0-4 ATS as an underdog by this margin.
